ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[tolakram]

Last 9 frames of radar loop since there is a corrupt frame in the previous loop.

[HurricaneWarning92]

So i guess this one is headed north of South Florida.. And with it getting stronger, i think SFL will dodge another bullet.

[Gustywind]

Close up of Hurricane Irene on PR

[deltadog03]

Still looks to be around 280 to 285 as well......

[fci]

Well statistics show NE FL/GA hits from the SE are VERY rare, so IMO it will be landfall S of Vero Beach or E of Charleston SC, missing CONUS not looking likely. When does the NHC sample the upper air ahead of Irene? That will tell the story IMO.

I believe I read last night that it will be done tonight

[boca]

I like being in the 5 day cone so I can dodge another bullet.

[pcolaman]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/vis-l.jpg

[fci]

I like being in the 5 day cone so I can dodge another bullet.

I will like it a whole lot better when we are out of the cone and are just spectators again.

[HurricaneWarning92]

Looking at the satellite, it looks as if the eye is right in the center of the convection... which is wayyyy farther north...

[SouthFloridawx]

Will irene relocate further north today...toward deep convection

This circulation is probably too defined for it to relocate.

[DESTRUCTION5]

I would love to know why FL is 3days out from a potential major hurricane and we don't have Dropsone data!!! FAIL

[boca]

Its safe to say that south florida will dodge another one but ill wait another 24 hrs but its looking a heck of alot better.

[GTStorm]

Well statistics show NE FL/GA hits from the SE are VERY rare, so IMO it will be landfall S of Vero Beach or E of Charleston SC, missing CONUS not looking likely. When does the NHC sampled the upper air ahead of Irene? That will tell the story IMO.

Blown Away, it is always said that where I live here in NE FL we are blessed to have that unique curvature geographically of the coastline. Due to the angle of approach history has shown that tropical cyclones have it very hard to make landfall from the east or southeast here in NE FL/SE GA area. Systems most times on its approach here usually travel up the Gulf Stream and misses us to the north often hitting the Carolinas or south of us farther down the peninsula. Only Hurricane Dora in 1964 is the only documented storm to make a direct landfall from the east here in the NE FL area.

I tell you what, this theory will be put to the test later this week, no question about it. Irene is going to get really close to this area. I have always wondered when the day would come when this curvature of the coast theory of protection will run out after 47 years. We will find out very soon in a few days as Irene will be approaching from the southeast. For this area, I hope our luck here continues in this manner for sure.

agree 100%....and it seems like latest model indications are that Irene is trending more up the coast, ala Myrtle Beach or so. That would be my guess. Let's hope we make it 48 years and counting!

[deltadog03]

Looking at the satellite, it looks as if the eye is right in the center of the convection... which is wayyyy farther north...

HUH???

[DESTRUCTION5]

I like being in the 5 day cone so I can dodge another bullet.

Your in the 3 day cone...wake up

[SootyTern]

Looking at the satellite, it looks as if the eye is right in the center of the convection... which is wayyyy farther north...

Radar loop posted previously shows quite clearly the eye is offshore the NW corner of Puerto Rico.

[HurricaneWarning92]

Looking at the satellite, it looks as if the eye is right in the center of the convection... which is wayyyy farther north...

HUH???

lol sorry, what i meant it can be deceiving when you look at satellite because one would think the center is in the middle of the convection but in reality it seems the eye is just offshore Puerto Rico with most of the convection to the north of it..

[tolakram]

How about personal forecast disclaimers?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I'm not sure anyone knows exactly where Irene is going so please pay attention to the NHC and local NWS products. You should already be prepared and ready to put your evacuation plans into motion. Do not listen to folks calling all clear anywhere on the coast, it's a silly exercise we seem to go through whenever a big storm is near the US.

[JtSmarts]

Looking at the satellite, it looks as if the eye is right in the center of the convection... which is wayyyy farther north...

HUH???

Delta, would you share your thoughts on an eventual landfall/intensity if you don't mind?

[Windtalker1]

Can someone please explain to me about what is to turn Irene? If it is the 2nd front everyone is talking about, I don't know where it is because our Temps here in TN are only going up all week.
Tuesday.......Low: 62° High: 90°
Wednesday...Low: 62° High: 93°
Thursday......Low: 67° High: 95°
Friday..........Low: 69° High: 94°