Another Disturbance?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#61 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 8:24 am

Here is the twave exiting Africa...
Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneMaster_PR
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 795
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Another Disturbance?

#62 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Mon Aug 22, 2011 2:20 pm

2:05pm NHC Discussion

A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER W AFRICA NEAR 16N15W. A TROPICAL
WAVE WITH A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION IS FURTHER SW NEAR 13N17W.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AS
IT MOVES OFFSHORE TODAY.

Interesting Statement from the NHC.

Prepare for the tropical cyclone parade as we approach the peak month of the Hurricane Season...

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#63 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 4:11 pm

Current probabilities formation does not seems too bad near the 15W, but let's wait and see as some convection has diminished...
Image
0 likes   
Top
blazess556
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 250
Joined: Mon Aug 31, 2009 10:51 pm
Location: Germantown, MD

#64 Postby blazess556 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 5:35 pm

Looks like 18z gfs develops this and one more right behind it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4234
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

#65 Postby abajan » Tue Aug 23, 2011 11:15 am

Latest TWO gives that area 20%.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145444
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Another Disturbance?

#66 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 23, 2011 11:19 am

ozonepete wrote:Wow. There really seems to be an explosion of activity. Is that another disturbance popping up southwest of 94L? It certainly seems to have developed into a completely separate area.

Image

Image

This sudden activity spike is reminding me of 2005.


This thread original topic was for a disturbance south of Bermuda.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cycloneye, Frank P, RomP, saila, sasha_B and 54 guests