ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Dave]

I'm running late, had to do something and thought I'd be back 15 mins ago. Going for graphics now for awhile.

[TheDreamTraveler]

Hmm, it's hard to tell but it looks like Irene is reacting to the interaction with Hispaniola a bit. Though not enough to weaken it much.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rb.html

[tolakram]

Live 30 frame loop. wow. http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30

[WeatherGuesser]

Irene destroyed Richard Branson's Necker Island resort home:

LONDON (Reuters) - British Oscar-winning actress Kate Winslet was among the guests who escaped unhurt from a fire which swept through Richard Branson's Caribbean holiday retreat overnight, the billionaire said on Monday.

Branson said the blaze was caused by a lightning strike on The Great House on Necker Island, and that the building was completely destroyed.

"We had a really bad tropical storm with winds up to 90 miles per hour. A big lightning storm came around 4 a.m. and hit the house.

http://news.yahoo.com/kate-winslet-esca ... 15862.html

[tailgater]

Does anyone think it looks like it's tracking north of the forecast point when you overlay them on this loop?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

With that trough coming down and a weaker one behind it I'd be surpised if it reaches 75W

[Zampanò]

Latest set of HDOBs showing absurd pressure readings as low as 850. Faulty equipment, I assume.

[clfenwi]

URNT15 KNHC 222251
AF303 0709A IRENE HDOB 05 20110822
224100 1815N 06654W 6949 02878 //// +085 //// 191031 034 /// /// 05
224130 1815N 06656W 6941 03057 9876 +092 //// 190034 035 /// /// 05
224200 1815N 06658W 6945 02837 9735 +092 //// 195032 033 /// /// 05
224230 1815N 06700W 6937 02921 9768 +095 //// 197032 033 /// /// 05
224300 1815N 06702W 6945 02869 9712 +097 +092 197032 033 /// /// 03
224330 1815N 06704W 6941 02952 9782 +090 //// 201033 035 /// /// 05
224400 1816N 06706W 6942 03036 //// +089 //// 202036 037 /// /// 05
224430 1816N 06707W 6938 03165 0020 +092 //// 195035 037 /// /// 05
224500 1816N 06709W 6943 03184 0049 +088 //// 196033 033 /// /// 05
224530 1816N 06711W 6944 03187 //// +080 //// 197032 032 /// /// 05
224600 1816N 06713W 6944 03188 //// +084 //// 198033 033 026 000 05
224630 1816N 06715W 6941 03189 //// +082 //// 201032 034 026 000 05
224700 1816N 06717W 6942 03189 0062 +085 //// 201032 032 025 000 05
224730 1816N 06719W 6942 03187 0063 +083 //// 200032 033 025 000 05
224800 1816N 06720W 6943 03186 //// +081 //// 201032 033 027 000 05
224830 1816N 06722W 6941 03188 0068 +082 //// 201031 032 026 000 05
224900 1816N 06724W 7308 02759 0077 +098 //// 191029 031 /// /// 05
224930 1816N 06726W 7683 02335 0077 +123 //// 194027 028 /// /// 05
225000 1816N 06728W 8021 01982 0089 +137 //// 199028 029 /// /// 05
225030 1815N 06730W 8108 01891 0084 +145 //// 200030 031 019 005 05
$$
;

[Tstormwatcher]

Does anyone think it looks like it's tracking north of the forecast point when you overlay them on this loop?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

Could easily be a wobble.

[Dave]

[South Texas Storms]

Live 30 frame loop. wow. http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30

Awesome loop Mark. You can really see the billowing cloud tops on there.

[Gustywind]

Off topic, for those who are interrested here is some good news from Guadeloupe . You have details on Irene (source our Pro Mets of Meteo-France Guadeloupe). No report of damages, death toll contrary to our neighbors in the Northern Leewards and especially St Kitts, PR . Hope for the best everybody... those who are in Irenes path, the carib islands and included all my friends, keep the faith and keep your fingers crossed.
Gustywind

METEO

Back to green
franceantilles.fr22.08.2011
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 135501.php


Hurricane Irene in category 1 is now located along the coast north of the Dominican Republic. The situation improved markedly on the Guadeloupe archipelago.

The bad weather which has lasted in the wake of the cyclone we more concerned and therefore no longer warrants the continued vigilance. While still may know a few stormy but more localized and less intense showers.
Irène centre has circulated between Guadeloupe and Antigua in the night of Saturday to Sunday, barely 30 km north of Grande Vigie 5 p.m. local. Irene was a tropical storm. The archipelago of Guadeloupe, then located in the South of the storm, has therefore
not been affected by the strong winds.

[b]Wind : strongest gusts were recorded in the first storm-storm bands that have swept the Guadeloupe Saturday afternoon with "only" 66 km to la Desirade and 65 km/h at Sainte-Anne.

Rain/THUNDERSTORMS : the stormy rains were substantial, but not exceptional. In little more than 3 days, accumulations reach 80 to 120 mm of rain to la Desirade, the relief of the Basse-Terre, great funds and the mould and between 30 and 80 mm elsewhere generally.

Sea : she was strong Sunday end of the night and until workplace according - midi with average lows reaching 4 m at the peak of the episode and maximum heights of waves of 5 m 60, in a dominant from East to Southeast swells.

[mf_dolphin]

Latest set of HDOBs showing absurd pressure readings as low as 850. Faulty equipment, I assume.

The aircraft is just now descending so those first reading were at altitude.

[clfenwi]

URNT15 KNHC 222301
AF303 0709A IRENE HDOB 06 20110822
225100 1814N 06731W 8084 01912 0081 +145 //// 197031 032 /// /// 05
225130 1814N 06732W 8093 01898 0074 +149 //// 195031 032 029 003 05
225200 1815N 06734W 8214 01772 0076 +152 //// 194032 032 033 007 01
225230 1816N 06735W 8397 01590 //// +140 //// 191033 034 034 016 05
225300 1817N 06737W 8410 01567 //// +143 //// 204026 029 042 019 05
225330 1818N 06738W 8400 01575 0066 +157 //// 210028 029 036 003 05
225400 1819N 06740W 8399 01575 0064 +169 //// 211027 027 031 001 01
225430 1820N 06741W 8399 01575 0065 +166 //// 208027 027 034 004 01
225500 1821N 06742W 8400 01574 0065 +166 //// 206028 028 032 005 01
225530 1823N 06743W 8401 01567 //// +157 //// 206030 030 032 007 01
225600 1824N 06745W 8402 01566 0060 +166 //// 208030 031 033 009 01
225630 1825N 06746W 8396 01573 //// +160 //// 208030 030 031 016 01
225700 1826N 06747W 8396 01571 //// +146 //// 210029 031 042 019 01
225730 1827N 06748W 8402 01565 //// +151 //// 213032 034 046 010 05
225800 1829N 06750W 8401 01566 0056 +172 //// 217032 032 033 002 05
225830 1830N 06751W 8443 01523 0059 +168 //// 220032 032 026 002 01
225900 1831N 06752W 8426 01540 //// +166 //// 216031 032 029 002 01
225930 1832N 06753W 8430 01536 0056 +168 //// 211032 032 031 001 01
230000 1833N 06755W 8429 01533 0053 +170 //// 211033 033 029 003 01
230030 1835N 06756W 8432 01530 //// +170 //// 215034 035 030 002 05
$$
;

[charlesw]

those readings were due to flying over the mountains in PR

[Dave]

[lonelymike]

To our NC/SC friends we salute you Be safe and Be prepared.

[dmbthestone]

From Denis Phillips facebook:

"Hey guys...new model data continues to come in. It's ALL to the East for now. I'm telling you, this track will shift even MORE East at 11 and I wouldn't be surprised if it only brushes the outer banks of NC. Still could be a big event for New England. "

[SNOW_JOKE]

Irene destroyed Richard Branson's Necker Island resort home:

LONDON (Reuters) - British Oscar-winning actress Kate Winslet was among the guests who escaped unhurt from a fire which swept through Richard Branson's Caribbean holiday retreat overnight, the billionaire said on Monday.

Branson said the blaze was caused by a lightning strike on The Great House on Necker Island, and that the building was completely destroyed.

"We had a really bad tropical storm with winds up to 90 miles per hour. A big lightning storm came around 4 a.m. and hit the house.

http://news.yahoo.com/kate-winslet-esca ... 15862.html

No mention of the 800,000 without power or those in Haiti though. I guess money does talk

[CronkPSU]

From Denis Phillips facebook:

"Hey guys...new model data continues to come in. It's ALL to the East for now. I'm telling you, this track will shift even MORE East at 11 and I wouldn't be surprised if it only brushes the outer banks of NC. Still could be a big event for New England. "

ummm...no, or he looks at 6-12 hour old models and counts them as new

[clfenwi]

URNT15 KNHC 222311
AF303 0709A IRENE HDOB 07 20110822
230100 1836N 06757W 8430 01532 0052 +170 //// 213034 034 029 001 05
230130 1837N 06758W 8430 01531 0050 +170 //// 214035 036 027 000 01
230200 1838N 06800W 8429 01531 0048 +173 //// 216035 036 027 001 05
230230 1840N 06801W 8428 01532 //// +172 //// 220033 034 027 000 05
230300 1841N 06802W 8430 01527 //// +169 //// 220035 036 027 000 05
230330 1842N 06803W 8428 01529 //// +171 //// 222038 038 025 000 01
230400 1843N 06805W 8430 01525 0046 +173 +129 221033 035 024 000 03
230430 1844N 06806W 8430 01525 //// +172 //// 221030 031 025 000 05
230500 1845N 06807W 8430 01524 //// +170 //// 221030 030 027 000 05
230530 1847N 06808W 8429 01524 //// +168 //// 220029 030 028 001 01
230600 1848N 06809W 8430 01520 //// +167 //// 220027 028 030 001 05
230630 1849N 06811W 8429 01522 //// +166 //// 221029 029 029 002 01
230700 1850N 06812W 8429 01522 //// +169 //// 221029 030 028 000 01
230730 1851N 06813W 8431 01518 //// +169 //// 218030 030 029 001 05
230800 1853N 06814W 8430 01515 //// +162 //// 217030 030 031 004 01
230830 1854N 06816W 8429 01516 //// +169 //// 223027 027 030 000 05
230900 1855N 06817W 8432 01514 //// +173 //// 225027 027 030 000 01
230930 1856N 06818W 8430 01515 //// +176 //// 226028 029 032 000 05
231000 1857N 06819W 8429 01513 //// +173 //// 226030 030 033 002 01
231030 1858N 06820W 8429 01514 //// +178 //// 229031 032 033 000 05