Watch Gulf of Mexico...

[Sean in New Orleans]

First post---nice to be here. As the wave enters the Gulf of Mexico from the Caribbean, I'm becoming increasingly concerned of rapid development as the upper level low skirts off to the west. Where the system will go, remains a mystery of course, but SW Louisiana is my initial thought for a possible hurricane around Labor Day. We need to watch this one. The Gulf of Mexico is ripe for development, the waters are very warm, and there isn't much to inhibit development now that the upper level low is leaving the picture. Steering currents are changing and the more time passes, the system will be pulled northward. It should develop rather quickly right before our eyes.

[chadtm80]

Welcome to storm2k Sean!! Keep your eyes on the sea!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[bkhusky2]

If this was to develop, I have a feeling it would be a slow-mover. I wouldn't go as far as saying possible major hurricane, but I agree 100% with you. The gulf could be more interesting than Fabien.

[bfez1]

Welcome to storm2k, neighbor
All eyes are on the Gulf! :o :o :o
Should be an interesting Labor Day Weekend!

[zoeyann]

HELLO I don't see this as getting to strong and it looks like it will hit TX/LA border area or even farther west. If thats the case NO will be on the wet side which is not too different from the everyday weather around these parts. We just have to watch.

[bkhusky2]

Just curious, is that Opal in your signature?

To keep it on topic, you think this could be a depression as early as tomorrow morning?

[Lindaloo]

Welcome to storm2k Sean and bkhusky!!! Glad you could join us. Yes, all of us GOMer's are watching the tropics.

[Sean in New Orleans]

I think it could be a depression by tomorrow evening easy. This time of the year, we can watch it develop via satellite in a matter of hours over the Gulf once it gets rotation established. It could really blow up quickly. I'm watching this one directly and taking a glance every now and then at Fabian. I'm not particularly concerned about my hometown just yet, but, of course, I'm going to watch. It is a holiday weekend and not many will be watching other than weather hobbyists and meteorologists. It could catch many off guard, although, I agree, it will probably be a slow mover. And thanks for the welcome by all.

[chadtm80]

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL AMERICA
NEAR E HONDURAS TO W CUBA MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE LOOKS
BETTER ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY WITH STRONG 20-25 KT SE WINDS ON
THE E SIDE WITH SOME NLY WINDS ALONG THE E COAST OF CENTRAL
AMERICA. ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO DEFINABLE CENTER AT THIS TIME...
CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING AND IT LOOKS LIKE THIS SYSTEM
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE WITH
PATCHES OF STRONG FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 82W-85W. WIDELY
SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 14N82W 18N82W. OTHERWISE
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 15N-22N BETWEEN 79W-87W.

[bkhusky2]

I sorta hope it either doesn't develop, or moves slow. I'll be in Greenville Alabama playing in a golf tournament, and I really don't want it to rain. Combination stalling front to my north and potential system moving from the south isn't a good combination.

[bev1]

Don't want no stinkin storm in the Gulf. My daughter is 3 weeks from delivery and I don't want the baby early. Not ready LOL! She would be happy to get it over with though!

I am concerned with the area that is trying to develop though. I think we have more risk from that than Fabian.

[Anonymous]

We're glad you could drop in!!


-Jeb