Caribbean - Central America Weather

[HUC]

Hello Luis,glad to read you again...

[msbee]

we're haivng problems here too Gusty

[msbee]

http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/current/tci.shtml

Update

By Edgar Howell <howelledgar at yahoo.co.uk>
Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2011 19:16:49 +0100 (BST)

Grand Turk is reporting very heavy rain and strong winds consistent with the regrouping notion earlier and the formation of a well define eye. The northern edge of the system is passing over Salt Cay, Grand Turk and South Caicos now. The rest of the country can expect strong winds and rain within the next two hours. There are confirmed reports of down power lines in the Blue Hills area of Providenciales.

[Gustywind]

we're haivng problems here too Gusty

Just waouw is my only word Barbara, same in Guadeloupe, Martinica, St Marteen and Cycloneye told us that too. I wonder if our neighbours in the south suffered from to? Hope that there's not interraction with the huge activity of the hurricane season in the Carib?! something to meditate, hoping i'm really wrong

[msbee]

Luis, are you still getting a lot of rain there?

[cycloneye]

Yes Barbara and a lot.

Here is sad news as the first victim of the Irene event died today.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 47559.html

[cycloneye]

The tail of Irene has been worse than the storm itself when it moved thru Puerto Rico. Many rivers are out of their banks,many mudslides and now the first victim of this event died today. Today alone between 10-15 inches have fallen so far.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 47559.html

[Gustywind]

The tail of Irene has been worse than the storm itself when it moved thru Puerto Rico. Many rivers are out of their banks,many mudslides and now the first victim of this event died today. Today alone between 10-15 inches have fallen so far.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 47559.html

that's awfull and impressive Luis no word for that!!!

[quaqualita]

Cabarete, North Coast DR:
getting breezy here, rains on and off, 20-30 knts with a gust about 1hr ago of 50 knts. Here another webcam with wind speed charts: http://www.cabaretekitebeachwebcam.com/video/

thanks for the link to the webcam. I hope things don't get too bad for you there. Know you are in our thoughts and prayers.

Thanks! We got very lucky last night. Winds picked up here around 2am to 5am, but never went over 45 knts with at times a some higher gusts. All hurricane force winds stayed offshore - very near, if my calculation is right those really strong winds missed us by not more than 12 miles! I haven't seen any major damages, just a few branches down, some beach erosion, but all seems ok. We did not receive that much rain yet, but I heard that the east coast Punta Cana is under very heavy rain falls, so we might still be in for that here further west. I hope Irene does not cause too much problems for everybody else still on her way.

[abajan]

we're haivng problems here too Gusty

Just waouw is my only word Barbara, same in Guadeloupe, Martinica, St Marteen and Cycloneye told us that too. I wonder if our neighbours in the south suffered from to? Hope that there's not interraction with the huge activity of the hurricane season in the Carib?! something to meditate, hoping i'm really wrong

Yep, this algae is pretty bad here too but I believe I heard that it has been observed to kill the Giant African Snail when applied to gardens. This snail which has a voracious appetite has become quite widespread here over the past seven years or so and has become a major headache for some households.

[sweetpea]

I just spoke to my dad in Aguirre, PR. He said this is worse than when the actual storm was over the island. He said his road in front of his house looks like a river flowing. The river behind his house has already crested. He said he and his neighbors are ok, they spent the day putting more "bumpers" along the road to try and keep the water from getting up to their houses. He also said Salinas is under water, you can't get into the town. His neighbor told him that a family member that lives in the mountains to the north, lost their house it started sliding down the mountain from the rain. Unreal!!!!!! Stay safe and be careful!

[cycloneye]

Click where it says storm total.

Irene rainfall so far in PR

[cycloneye]

Rainfall so far in PR with the Irene event.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no

[SootyTern]

Wow. I hope the worst isn't yet to come for Puerto Rico.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1032 PM AST TUE AUG 23 2011

.UPDATE...A NEW RAIN BAND IS DEVELOPING OVER THE MONA CHANNEL AND
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH TOPS TO 57 THOUSAND FEET WERE NOTED
ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF LAJAS INDICATING CONTINUED UNFAVORABLE
WEATHER OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO
RICO. THE RAIN BAND THAT LEFT FLOODING RAINS OVER MUCH OF THE
ISLAND IS DISSIPATING OVER EXTREME EASTERN PUERTO RICO...BUT WILL
LIKELY MOVE OVER VIEQUES AND POSSIBLY CULEBRA WITH MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINS BEFORE FADING INTO LIGHT SHOWERS. THE SOUTHERN TAIL OF
THIS BAND IS STILL ACTIVE AND WILL CONTINUE TO LEAVE EXCESSIVE
RAIN OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO. THE NEW
BAND IN THE CARIBBEAN AND MONA CHANNEL WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO
AFFECT THE SOUTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO AROUND 6 TO 8 AM AST
AFTER OPPOSING STABILITY AND LAND BREEZE EFFECT WEAKEN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...RIVERS CONTINUE AT VERY HIGH LEVELS IN MANY OF THE
BASINS EMPTYING INTO THE ATLANTIC AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
WELL INTO TOMORROW IF NOT BEYOND. ATMOSPHERIC FLOW OVER PUERTO RICO
SHOWN IN THE MODELS IS FORECAST TO BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DURING
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BUT THE MIMIC PRODUCT INDICATES THAT THIS
IS STILL WELL WITHIN A PLUME OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES OVER 2 INCHES...HENCE A NEW ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AS RAIN BANDS WELL DISTANCED BUT
STILL VIGOROUS EXTEND FROM YET INTENSIFYING HURRICANE IRENE. THIS
TREND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A LOBE OF
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC HIGH BUILDS INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN.
AREAS MOST LIKELY TO BE IMPACTED BY RAIN BANDS WEDNESDAY ARE THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR AND THE SOUTHEAST COASTS.

[Macrocane]

Irene doesn't want to leave Puerto Rico alone, I guess the situation is getting very dangerous for some locations and more damages could occur. Stay safe cycloneye.

[quaqualita]

hi all, north coast of DR is since about 3 hrs experiencing very strong winds again. Last night / early morning when Irene's center passed just a few miles north of us we were lucky and received only 40-45knts with a few gusts in the 50ies. Daytime was quite, no wind, only some rain (I posted the 'all ok' msg earlier), but now winds are picking up and I mean really picking up again, in the 30-40 knot range again and getting stronger and stronger by the hour!! What's that all about? Irene is supposed to have left us, but for sure doesn't feel like it.

[Gustywind]

Good morning to all. New records could be broke this month in PR

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 240803
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
403 AM AST WED AUG 24 2011

.SYNOPSIS...SUBEQUATORIAL RIDGE WILL HOLD STRONG THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK. TUTT LOW ACROSS THE CNTRL ATLC IS EXPECTED TO
RETROGRESS TOWARD THE NE CARIBBEAN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.DISCUSSION...MODELS MAINTAIN DEEP MOISTURE AND HIGH THETAE AIR
ACROSS THE AREA FOR ANOTHER 24 HRS WITH SLOW DRYING EXPECTED FOR
THU WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT DRYING FOR FRI AND SAT. MAIN THING
DIFFERENT TODAY FROM YESTERDAY IS THAT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXIS
FEEDING INTO HURRICANE IRENE HAS SHIFTED WWD INTO HISPANIOLA WHICH
SHOULD LIMIT EXTENT AND INTENSITY OF SHOWERS ACROSS OUR AREA
TODAY. SO A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED IN THIS REGARD.
HOWEVER...RIVERS REMAIN HIGH AND ONLY LITTLE RAINFALL NEEDED TO
CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING.

A MORE NOTABLE IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED FOR THU WITH FURTHER
WEAKENING OF LOW LEVEL FLOW...LOWER THETAE AIR AND INTRUSION OF
MID LEVEL DRY AIR. SHOULD ALSO BE ABLE TO SEE SOME GLIMPSE OF
SUNSHINE BEFORE THE DAY IS OVER.

CONDITIONS RETURN TO NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK AS TRADES ESTABLISH
ACROSS THE REGION WITH YOUR NORMAL AFTERNOON CONVECTION FORMING
OUT WEST. CONVECTION COULD BE ENHANCED BY RETROGRESSING TUTT LOW.


&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CIGS STILL LIKELY TODAY ESPECIALLY TJPS WITH
SHRAS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS. VFR THU AND ON.


&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING. MIGHT
BE ABLE TO DROP SCA LATER THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...SCEC EXPECTED.
HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCES FOR WATERSPOUTS
DECREASING TODAY DUE TO WEAKENING LOW LEVEL FLOW.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...FFA WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TODAY. RIVERS
REMAIN HIGH AND SOILS SATURATED. ONLY LITTLE RAINFALL NEEDED TO
CAUSE NEW FLOODING.


&&

.CLIMATE...IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS PAST FEW DAYS HAS RESULTED
IN NEW RAINFALL RECORDS BEING BROKEN AT THE LMM SJU INTL ARPT.

SO FAR THIS MONTH...A TOTAL OF 16.53 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN
MEASURED. AUG 2011 IS NOW THE WETTEST AUG ON RECORD BREAKING THE
OLD RECORD OF 14.10 SET BACK IN 1944. AUG 2011 IS ALSO THE THIRD
WETTEST MONTH OF ANY YEAR ON RECORD SINCE RECORD KEEPING BEGAN IN
1898. ONLY 0.35 INCHES OF RAIN NEEDED TO BREAK THE RECORD OF 16.88
INCHES MEASURED BACK IN MAY 1936. WITH STILL EIGHT DAYS LEFT THIS
MONTH IT IS PRETTY MUCH DEFINITE THAT THIS RECORD WILL BE BROKEN
BEFORE THE MONTH IS OVER. LASTLY...AN INCREDIBLE 61.07 INCHES OF
RAIN HAVE ALREADY BEEN MEASURED SO FAR THIS YEAR. THIS REPRESENTS
THE WETTEST START TO A YEAR ON RECORD WELL AHEAD OF 2010 WHEN
52.89 INCHES HAD BEEN MEASURED TO THE DATE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 77 90 79 / 70 70 40 20
STT 87 78 88 80 / 50 40 40 30

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR CENTRAL INTERIOR-
EASTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-NORTH CENTRAL-
NORTHEAST-NORTHWEST-PONCE AND VICINITY-SAN JUAN AND
VICINITY-SOUTHEAST-SOUTHWEST-WESTERN INTERIOR.

VI...NONE.
&&

$$

64/64

[cycloneye]

This Irene event has turned to epic as we haven't seen this kind of rainfall in many decades.

CLIMATE...IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS PAST FEW DAYS HAS RESULTED
IN NEW RAINFALL RECORDS BEING BROKEN AT THE LMM SJU INTL ARPT.

SO FAR THIS MONTH...A TOTAL OF 16.53 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN
MEASURED. AUG 2011 IS NOW THE WETTEST AUG ON RECORD BREAKING THE
OLD RECORD OF 14.10 SET BACK IN 1944. AUG 2011 IS ALSO THE THIRD
WETTEST MONTH OF ANY YEAR ON RECORD SINCE RECORD KEEPING BEGAN IN
1898. ONLY 0.35 INCHES OF RAIN NEEDED TO BREAK THE RECORD OF 16.88
INCHES MEASURED BACK IN MAY 1936. WITH STILL EIGHT DAYS LEFT THIS
MONTH IT IS PRETTY MUCH DEFINITE THAT THIS RECORD WILL BE BROKEN
BEFORE THE MONTH IS OVER. LASTLY...AN INCREDIBLE 61.07 INCHES OF
RAIN HAVE ALREADY BEEN MEASURED SO FAR THIS YEAR. THIS REPRESENTS
THE WETTEST START TO A YEAR ON RECORD WELL AHEAD OF 2010 WHEN
52.89 INCHES HAD BEEN MEASURED TO THE DATE.

[msbee]

Good morning everyone
I may have missed it but do we have totals for how much rain has fallen in PR due to Irene.
I was sorry to hear of the death there Luis.
This storm really hit PR hard and is now going to hit the Bahamas even harder.
and who knows what she will bring to the East Coast of the USA..
wow, what a storm!

On a MUCH less serious note, the sun started shining..a little bit..here yesterday but then last night we had heavy thunder and lightning storms.
I checked this morning and my rain gauge showed 2.5 inches of rain had fallen.
nothing like what PR has received of course, but it does sort of feel like it has been raining here forever.

Be safe Everyone. Wishing good luck for the people of the Bahamas!