ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[FireRat]

the east coast sea breeze (meaning the winds from the atlantic are pushing harder than the west coast sea breeze) is again the stronger wind today over Florida, figured that may mean something to someone here as a piece of the overall puzzle, then again, maybe it doesn't

A pretty good ridge that's currently guiding Irene. This ridge should weaken almost now for Irene to bend more north, which is what the models are likely showing.

[Sanibel]

The Fist and tightening eye. ("Fist" is a fist-like shape to the CDO that is a sign of strengthening)

[hipshot]

Family in long island reporting HEAVY rain, winds approaching hurricane force.

Well, that weather hasn't got anything to do with Irene!!

[bamajammer4eva]

Family in long island reporting HEAVY rain, winds approaching hurricane force.

Well, that weather hasn't got anything to do with Irene!!

I think he means Long Island in the Bahamas

[gatorcane]

Family in long island reporting HEAVY rain, winds approaching hurricane force.

Well, that weather hasn't got anything to do with Irene!!

He's not talking New York City here.

Long island in the Bahamas.

[jacindc]

Family in long island reporting HEAVY rain, winds approaching hurricane force.

Well, that weather hasn't got anything to do with Irene!!

Long Island, BAHAMAS.

[Canelaw99]

A pretty good ridge that's currently guiding Irene. This ridge should weaken almost now for Irene to bend more north, which is what the models are likely showing.

I'm on my phone so not able to look up a lot of stuff, but are there signs it's weakening 'almost now'??

[artist]

Family in long island reporting HEAVY rain, winds approaching hurricane force.

Well, that weather hasn't got anything to do with Irene!!

hipshot, apology needed from you. They have family on Long island, Bahamas

[KWT]

Irene looks very good right now, certainly got the classic major hurricane look it has to be said, fully expecting a peak still of about 115-120kts.

Track is NW BUT stair-stepping its way that direction.

[gatorcane]

Another decent west wobble as of 1915 UTC. SW shear appears to be really dropping off. Very symmetric system and pinhole eye.

Long Island in the Bahamas getting hit hard right now. Cat Island and Harbour island also in the path. I am sure those yachts in Harbor Island (Dunmore Town) have been moved out.

[FireRat]

A pretty good ridge that's currently guiding Irene. This ridge should weaken almost now for Irene to bend more north, which is what the models are likely showing.

I'm on my phone so not able to look up a lot of stuff, but are there signs it's weakening 'almost now'??

The only sign I can tell could be the recent elongated appearance of Irene's outflow from NNW to SSE, this could be a sign that she's getting ready to make her turn hopefully. Intense storms tend to elongate when they're beginning to feel the trough. Feeling the trough implies the ridge weakening and allowing the storm to feel the trough. If the appearance flattens out a bit by tonight to a more WNW-ESE direction, that could signal trouble for us here in Florida, but is unlikely at this point per the models.

[Aric Dunn]

Another West wobble as of 1915 UTC. Shear appears to be really dropping off. Very symmetric system and pinhole eye.

Long Island in the Bahamas getting hit hard right now. Cat Island an Harbour island also in the path. I am sure those yachts in Harbor Island (Dunmore Town) have been moved out.

Hi res shows a football shaped eye... overall motion is basically the direction the island it just left is pointing.. pointing right and long island and set to pass just west of the forecast point. a little early though

[SNOW_JOKE]

Long Island. Bahamas is about another 2 hours min from max eyewall winds. The Loops take Irene tracking right over the Island as it makes it's way through the Bahama'n chain.

[xironman]

There really is a reason for posting my question. The NC govenor is saying theat the brunt of the storm will probably stay off shore sparing the south beaches. Of course we are the north beaches, but most think that applies here too.

http://www.wxii12.com/weather/28949226/ ... z1Vy13qDe6

At first I didn't understand her, but reading the full article it shows headlines can be misleading

"This could be a large storm, so we are taking it very seriously," Perdue said. "Everyone in central and eastern North Carolina needs to keep a close eye on the weather forecast and listen to instructions from local emergency management officials."

Read more: http://www.wxii12.com/weather/28949226/ ... z1VyfCXhyk

[/quote]

[JPmia]

If you want to watch how the weather Georgetown on Long Island will go down hill real quick go here:

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/fin ... 5.76999664

I think this is the nearest on shore weather reporting station to the center at the moment. Maybe there are some bouys around as well, but I didn't look to see.

[mutley]

Another decent west wobble as of 1915 UTC. SW shear appears to be really dropping off. Very symmetric system and pinhole eye.

Long Island in the Bahamas getting hit hard right now. Cat Island and Harbour island also in the path. I am sure those yachts in Harbor Island (Dunmore Town) have been moved out.

And it looks like Irene might be poised to stair step west again right into the island. Wouldn't want to be there now.

[Tireman4]

Family in long island reporting HEAVY rain, winds approaching hurricane force.

Well, that weather hasn't got anything to do with Irene!!

hipshot, apology needed from you. They have family on Long island, Bahamas

I will apologize to Bahamaswx... I hope your family stays safe during this time. I am a veteran of four hurricanes (Alicia, Fran, Rita, Ike) myself.

[hipshot]

Family in long island reporting HEAVY rain, winds approaching hurricane force.

Well, that weather hasn't got anything to do with Irene!!

He's not talking New York City here.

Long island in the Bahamas.

OOPS, sorry about that, didn't know there was a Long Island in the Bahamas, my bad.

[Aric Dunn]

If you want to watch how the weather Georgetown on Long Island will go down hill real quick go here:

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/fin ... 5.76999664

I think this is the nearest on shore weather reporting station to the center at the moment. Maybe there are some bouys around as well, but I didn't look to see.

if you scroll to the bottom there are a couple more stations near by that have live updates. exumas gusting over 40

[Canelaw99]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=
Current steering, no?? I am NOT a pro, so I gotta ask-- are the 2 highs trying to meet? I *know* what models show. I *know* FL is not likely to be hit, but when I go back on that map a couple of clicks (3 hr time spans), it looks like the gap between the highs is narrowing. Now, I may be completely wrong, and if so, PLEASE educate