ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15507
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re:

#5881 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:35 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:TS conditions back in forecast for Central florida

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-80.6002



The way she's spanding tonight, I wouldn't doubt it.
I am planning to take a ride to the coast tomorrow late afternoon to see some of the wave action, wonder how many s2k members I may come across at the beach :D
0 likes   

User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:

Re: Re:

#5882 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:38 pm

NDG wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:TS conditions back in forecast for Central florida

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-80.6002



The way she's spanding tonight, I wouldn't doubt it.
I am planning to take a ride to the coast tomorrow late afternoon to see some of the wave action, wonder how many s2k members I may come across at the beach :D


The wife and I will be heading to Fort Lauderdale Beach tomorrow... Eye should be pretty much parallel to us +/- 100 miles away
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20164
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#5883 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:39 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
tolakram wrote:Right on the track

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

snow_joke, that loop is not updated as often and further behind.


do you have the rainbow version of that?


Unfortunately no. The nice colored loops up on the NHC site take longer to generate, apparently. There is an standard IR loop available.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =spect.pal

Code: Select all

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=24&lon=-75&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1024&height=800&type=Animation&quality=90&numframes=10&palette=spect.pal


you can change the number of frames by adjusting the link above.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2020
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

Re: Re:

#5884 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:39 pm

NDG wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:TS conditions back in forecast for Central florida

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-80.6002



The way she's spanding tonight, I wouldn't doubt it.
I am planning to take a ride to the coast tomorrow late afternoon to see some of the wave action, wonder how many s2k members I may come across at the beach :D



LOL I can just imagine 20 s2k'ers all on the beach constantly reporting each raindrop and which direction it came from and clicking refresh on their ipads and smart phones :-)
0 likes   

ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#5885 Postby ozonepete » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:40 pm

Radiogirltx wrote:Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't it normal for New Yorkers not to own a car? How do you evacuate a city where the majority of residence depend on public transportation?


You are right. That makes it VERY difficult. What NYC Emergency Management did is to set up designated shelters using the large number of public schools we have. They use schools that are in safe zones where it won't flood. Because you can't evacuate 8 million people. Or more correctly, the 2 or 3 million that live in flood zones.
0 likes   

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2020
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#5886 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:40 pm

thanks tola, that is the one I was using earlier before my kids got home and messed up all the tabs I was using!
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#5887 Postby Macrocane » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:40 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 242237
AF302 1709A IRENE HDOB 10 20110824
222800 2046N 07001W 3925 07717 0401 -169 -306 221008 009 033 000 00
222830 2047N 07004W 3927 07716 0401 -169 -319 218009 009 033 000 00
222900 2049N 07006W 3926 07713 0401 -165 -285 221009 009 034 001 00
222930 2050N 07008W 3926 07712 0400 -165 -292 224009 009 033 000 00
223000 2051N 07010W 3927 07715 0400 -165 -334 221010 010 033 000 00
223030 2053N 07013W 3925 07719 0400 -164 -291 214010 010 033 000 00
223100 2054N 07015W 3929 07710 0399 -162 -300 213010 010 033 000 00
223130 2055N 07017W 3926 07717 0401 -165 -339 214010 011 032 000 00
223200 2057N 07019W 3927 07714 0400 -169 -311 210011 011 032 000 00
223230 2058N 07021W 3926 07710 0399 -170 -294 201011 011 032 000 00
223300 2059N 07024W 3926 07715 0400 -168 -304 204012 013 031 000 00
223330 2101N 07026W 3926 07713 0400 -168 -304 205014 015 030 000 03
223400 2102N 07028W 3926 07713 0398 -167 -310 201015 015 031 000 00
223430 2104N 07030W 3927 07712 0397 -168 -318 200014 015 031 000 00
223500 2105N 07033W 3926 07710 0396 -170 -298 196013 013 032 000 00
223530 2106N 07035W 3927 07711 0395 -170 -296 193012 012 032 000 00
223600 2108N 07037W 3927 07714 0396 -170 -305 201014 015 032 000 00
223630 2109N 07039W 3925 07711 0396 -170 -306 202014 015 033 000 00
223700 2110N 07042W 3927 07710 0395 -170 -293 192014 014 034 000 00
223730 2112N 07044W 3926 07710 0395 -168 -264 191015 015 033 000 00
$$
;
0 likes   

Ellsey
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 104
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2011 11:04 am
Location: McKinney, TX

Re: Re:

#5888 Postby Ellsey » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:40 pm

NDG wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:TS conditions back in forecast for Central florida

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-80.6002



The way she's spanding tonight, I wouldn't doubt it.
I am planning to take a ride to the coast tomorrow late afternoon to see some of the wave action, wonder how many s2k members I may come across at the beach :D


You all need to wear red flowers or "King Euro" shirts so you can identify each other. :cheesy:
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 74
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#5889 Postby Dave » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:43 pm

Image
0 likes   
This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Listeri69
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Age: 48
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2010 3:08 pm
Location: Meriden CT

Re: Re:

#5890 Postby Listeri69 » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:45 pm

Ellsey wrote:
NDG wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:TS conditions back in forecast for Central florida

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-80.6002



The way she's spanding tonight, I wouldn't doubt it.
I am planning to take a ride to the coast tomorrow late afternoon to see some of the wave action, wonder how many s2k members I may come across at the beach :D


You all need to wear red flowers or "King Euro" shirts so you can identify each other. :cheesy:



It'd be funny if the beach was awash with red flowers or people wearing the same shirt :lol:
0 likes   
Scotland the only place where you can get a suntan and trench foot on the same day :)

User avatar
Bocadude85
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2990
Age: 39
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
Location: Honolulu,Hi

Re: Re:

#5891 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:45 pm

NDG wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:TS conditions back in forecast for Central florida

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-80.6002



The way she's spanding tonight, I wouldn't doubt it.
I am planning to take a ride to the coast tomorrow late afternoon to see some of the wave action, wonder how many s2k members I may come across at the beach :D



That forecast makes no sense to me... if you click 5 miles up or down the coast TS conditions are not forecast... even up in Cape Canaveral which juts further out then Satelite Beach they are not forecasting "TS Conditions"
Last edited by Bocadude85 on Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20164
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#5892 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:45 pm

Good night Irene, stay safe Bahamas.

live 30 frame loops

zoom 4: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30

zoom 2: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30

Beautiful and terrifying sight, catch it before the sun sets.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2020
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#5893 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:46 pm

something is going on with the storm on the IR radar (probably EWRC) the eye is not longer visible and clouded over with dark reds
0 likes   

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2020
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#5894 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:47 pm

LOL I just noticed that as well Boca...just plain silly and inconsistent
0 likes   

User avatar
FireRat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1268
Age: 38
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:38 pm
Location: North Carolina

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#5895 Postby FireRat » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:49 pm

The jump north could be the sign that the storm is trying to maintain a NW direction, hopefully the north jump won't be the wobble instead of the earlier westward movement. In my observing opinion, this storm better fully turn NW to NNW by midnight or the track forecast will be missed to the west a bit. If Irene wobbles back west and keeps stair stepping more west than north by early morning Thursday, you can bet the southeast coast of Florida will get more than just "breezy cloudiness and rough surf", but TS conditions.
0 likes   
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#5896 Postby Macrocane » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:51 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 242247
AF302 1709A IRENE HDOB 11 20110824
223800 2113N 07046W 3925 07712 0395 -166 -259 187015 015 033 000 00
223830 2115N 07049W 3926 07712 0395 -169 -283 191016 017 033 000 00
223900 2116N 07051W 3926 07706 0396 -167 -305 196017 017 034 001 00
223930 2117N 07053W 3925 07713 0396 -165 -307 193017 018 034 000 00
224000 2119N 07055W 3927 07704 0396 -161 -240 202017 018 034 000 00
224030 2120N 07058W 3926 07710 0395 -160 -203 199020 023 034 000 00
224100 2121N 07100W 3926 07706 0393 -162 -211 199024 025 034 000 00
224130 2123N 07102W 3926 07708 0393 -165 -198 197023 025 033 000 00
224200 2124N 07104W 3926 07711 0391 -168 -194 199018 020 036 000 00
224230 2126N 07107W 3927 07702 0385 -166 -182 201014 015 040 000 03
224300 2127N 07109W 3927 07700 0380 -169 -183 224012 014 /// /// 03
224330 2127N 07112W 3923 07705 0387 -170 -184 229015 017 034 000 03
224400 2128N 07114W 3925 07710 0387 -168 -185 229012 015 030 002 00
224430 2128N 07117W 3930 07697 0389 -173 -206 227025 028 030 002 00
224500 2129N 07119W 3923 07710 0389 -180 -238 224027 028 030 002 03
224530 2129N 07122W 3926 07703 0388 -177 -228 223026 027 030 003 00
224600 2130N 07124W 3927 07699 0388 -174 -247 219027 027 031 001 03
224630 2131N 07126W 3926 07705 0387 -176 -247 213026 027 032 001 03
224700 2131N 07129W 3926 07696 0379 -177 -234 212027 028 /// /// 03
224730 2132N 07131W 3925 07681 0367 -173 -228 209026 028 /// /// 03
$$
;
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7240
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: Re:

#5897 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:52 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
NDG wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:TS conditions back in forecast for Central florida

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-80.6002



The way she's spanding tonight, I wouldn't doubt it.
I am planning to take a ride to the coast tomorrow late afternoon to see some of the wave action, wonder how many s2k members I may come across at the beach :D



That forecast makes no sense to me... if you click 5 miles up or down the coast TS conditions are not forecast... even up in Cape Canaveral which justs further out then Satelite Beach they are not forecasting "TS Conditions"


he gave you the link to the nws forecast,they are forecasting TS conditions possible according to their website....we have an s2k member that works at that nws office, lets get him on the case
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 74
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#5898 Postby Dave » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:53 pm

Image

Image
0 likes   
This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Bizzles
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 473
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:22 am
Location: Columbus, NJ

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#5899 Postby Bizzles » Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:54 pm

Wouldn't be worried so much for NYC as Long Island (NY) and Boston. IF NYC gets hit, They'll have plenty of warning from us in NJ.

I'm personally concerned (if it makes landfall in Long Island) for everyone in Conn & RI that may be on the eastern side of her. A brush 50-100 mi off the coast should be much more mild than being hit by the eastern side of the storm...let alone a direct cat 2 hit on a west to east island where storm surge could be a very bad problem.

IMO.
0 likes   
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Bizzles
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 473
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:22 am
Location: Columbus, NJ

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#5900 Postby Bizzles » Wed Aug 24, 2011 6:00 pm

Also keep in mind people in NY/NJ/Conn/RI are not usually watching the tropics, nor do they know what to do when a cat 2 is coming right at them.

Luckily (i guess) the earthquake should have people now paying attention to the news and as such Irene. The down side is the sudden abandonment of the easterly tracks may lead people to think "hey TV said it's gonna rain Sunday...no big deal, it's going to be way out to sea" not realizing they are in the 4-6 day cone.
0 likes   
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests