A few great looks at Fabian..... and some added thoughts

[Stormchaser16]

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ATL/animir.html

Nice little colored IR animation there.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
And that one. One comment about that one, it really looks as if Fabian has slowed signifigantly over the last few hours, I dont know if this is just a stage of reorganization or if this is going to be a trend. If it is a trend then this could mean that trough comes in BEFORE Fabian does and stalls which means the east coast threat is greater. The 18Z gfs went off its kilter, had no front and had Fabian somehow getting up the coast then turned away by the trough.... "OK"....... its more likely a stalled front sits there, halts its forward motion then the trough comes in and it is forced up the coastline.......

I already mentioned why the EC took it out to sea....

1) It missed the development Fabian has been geoing through
2) It missed the westward trend it has maintained throughout the day

This is because the EC is run off of 12z data.........
I REALLY think the EC should be run twice a day.......

[obxhurricane]

Well, the EC should just really not be used with regards to specific TC development and track. Use the EC for an overall guide to weather patterns, combined with other data, and you'll do okay!

[Stormchaser16]

My thoughts exactly! Thats what i do when using ANY model........