ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[StormingB81]

Weird! I went to http://www.newyorktimes.com
and there's nothing about hurricane Irene on the front page..... Really?????

Are you kidding?! Steve Jobs stepped down! That's way more important and newsworthy than some hurricane

New York Daily news has it on the front page..though to the side it is still up there

[jlauderdal]

Irene is just past 75 now so she should start to impact the SE coast of Florida a bit pretty soon: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-jsl.html

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
834 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0745 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSE KEY BISCAYNE 25.59N 80.10W
08/24/2011 M0 MPH AMZ651 FL C-MAN STATION

A PASSING SHOWER PRODUCED A WIND GUST OF 39 KNOTS.

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250127
AF302 1709A IRENE HDOB 27 20110825
011800 2309N 07544W 6963 02974 9826 +108 +098 319073 075 049 006 00
011830 2310N 07543W 6972 02961 9818 +106 //// 319067 070 053 010 01
011900 2312N 07542W 6966 02957 //// +090 //// 317057 060 056 017 05
011930 2313N 07540W 6984 02926 //// +094 //// 310058 066 056 016 01
012000 2314N 07539W 6965 02942 9784 +112 //// 310059 061 055 006 01
012030 2315N 07538W 6974 02926 9766 +122 +116 310057 059 054 005 03
012100 2317N 07536W 6970 02921 9748 +131 +112 310054 056 052 003 00
012130 2318N 07535W 6965 02917 9728 +142 +105 309053 053 047 002 03
012200 2319N 07534W 6963 02913 9712 +148 +102 309051 054 043 000 00
012230 2321N 07533W 6974 02894 9703 +148 +106 311050 050 042 000 03
012300 2322N 07532W 6962 02896 9697 +145 +103 312051 052 040 000 00
012330 2323N 07530W 6966 02882 9681 +150 +094 311050 051 057 006 03
012400 2325N 07529W 6970 02870 9668 +154 +092 310051 052 039 000 03
012430 2326N 07528W 6967 02860 9658 +149 +098 311052 053 039 000 03
012500 2327N 07527W 6966 02848 9648 +146 +099 310053 055 039 000 00
012530 2329N 07526W 6972 02829 9633 +146 +103 308053 054 041 000 03
012600 2330N 07524W 6963 02820 9607 +150 +106 310054 055 045 002 00
012630 2331N 07523W 6971 02787 9583 +150 +122 308055 056 049 000 00
012700 2333N 07522W 6971 02766 9564 +142 +133 311044 051 049 002 03
012730 2334N 07521W 6967 02747 9540 +142 +139 317033 036 042 006 00
$$

[Dave]

[sandboxpirate]

Thanks for the info, and we'll definitely listen to the locals. I assume what you mean by 6 feet of water backup in the Neuse is 6 feet vertically, from the current river levels. Am I interpreting that right? Wonder what that translates to in terms of water coming out of the river. We live about 150 yards or so from the river, but pretty much level with the water. (Well, our house sits up about 5-6 feet, but street level is level with the water.) And BTW, I appreciate your "this situation is fluid" pun, even if it wasn't intended! [/quote]

The graphic said six feet above ground level.....however as I said before that was with a worst case scenario, I am not a professional and can only pass along what I get, someone else may be able to explain the SLOSH modeling a little bit better. The local mets in our area "Eastern NC" will have a better idea and as this approaches they will put that info out....I think they are just waiting on a more definite path in regards to how close this thing comes, they will start discussing surge and such tomorrow and Friday for sure . But we all do know that the rivers will back up its just a matter of how much. And the pun wasn't intended, didn't figure it out until after I posted. Good luck and stay safe down there.

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250137
AF302 1709A IRENE HDOB 28 20110825
012800 2335N 07519W 6967 02728 9522 +143 +135 307017 022 028 001 03
012830 2337N 07518W 6968 02710 9508 +140 +131 298004 009 /// /// 03
012900 2339N 07517W 6965 02766 9522 +137 +127 151006 007 /// /// 03
012930 2340N 07517W 6967 02726 9525 +136 +125 123013 016 023 000 03
013000 2342N 07516W 6964 02733 9529 +133 +130 115020 022 024 002 03
013030 2343N 07514W 6967 02725 9527 +135 +131 116026 027 028 001 00
013100 2344N 07513W 6972 02724 9531 +133 //// 125040 047 047 005 01
013130 2345N 07512W 6967 02743 9544 +136 //// 130059 062 070 010 05
013200 2347N 07510W 6959 02775 //// +101 //// 134076 080 070 017 01
013230 2348N 07509W 6971 02777 //// +090 //// 130082 084 063 031 05
013300 2349N 07508W 6958 02815 9632 +104 //// 132083 085 077 023 05
013330 2350N 07507W 6963 02827 //// +095 //// 136084 084 /// /// 05
013400 2351N 07505W 6971 02832 9669 +114 //// 136086 087 070 000 05
013430 2352N 07504W 6963 02855 9671 +127 +121 136085 085 089 003 03
013500 2353N 07503W 6969 02866 9696 +120 //// 138085 085 075 000 05
013530 2354N 07501W 6970 02877 9716 +114 //// 139084 085 072 010 01
013600 2356N 07500W 6970 02889 9728 +115 //// 140085 085 074 002 01
013630 2357N 07459W 6965 02905 9739 +115 //// 142086 087 076 004 01
013700 2358N 07457W 6967 02913 9752 +112 //// 142086 089 077 005 01
013730 2359N 07456W 6966 02923 //// +090 //// 146092 095 077 014 01
$$
;

[CronkPSU]

just cleared Long Island (Bahamas), looks like it followed right up the coast on the NHC path...the next island, Cat Island, is also right on the NHC path and alligned right about 315 degrees South to North so we can use that for tracking motion

[drezee]

More wobble watches...

Distance between

N Latitude 23 27 0.00, W Longitude 75 2 0.00 (Point 1)

and N Latitude 23 37 0.00, W Longitude 75 18 0.00 (Point 2)



32.897 kilometers; 20.442 miles
Azimuth from point 1 to point 2 = 304.33°

Still NW but close to WNW...

[Dave]

[TheShrimper]

More wobble watches...

Distance between

N Latitude 23 27 0.00, W Longitude 75 2 0.00 (Point 1)

and N Latitude 23 37 0.00, W Longitude 75 18 0.00 (Point 2)



32.897 kilometers; 20.442 miles
Azimuth from point 1 to point 2 = 304.33° Very informative stats drezee.

Still NW but close to WNW...

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250147
AF302 1709A IRENE HDOB 29 20110825
013800 2401N 07455W 6967 02937 //// +081 //// 143092 093 078 014 01
013830 2402N 07453W 6970 02938 //// +075 //// 140094 095 074 014 01
013900 2403N 07452W 6971 02946 //// +074 //// 140096 098 072 012 01
013930 2404N 07451W 6972 02957 //// +078 //// 143095 097 074 013 01
014000 2405N 07449W 6962 02978 9857 +081 //// 142091 092 076 010 01
014030 2406N 07448W 6971 02975 //// +074 //// 141095 097 076 011 01
014100 2408N 07447W 6960 03001 //// +077 //// 140096 099 072 011 01
014130 2409N 07446W 6974 02990 //// +074 //// 139086 089 071 009 01
014200 2410N 07444W 6965 03004 //// +078 //// 142084 084 071 009 01
014230 2411N 07443W 6969 03007 9898 +082 //// 143089 093 066 012 01
014300 2412N 07442W 6967 03016 //// +069 //// 143093 095 068 017 01
014330 2413N 07440W 6964 03023 //// +070 //// 142088 089 068 020 01
014400 2415N 07439W 6966 03026 //// +066 //// 139082 086 068 011 01
014430 2416N 07438W 6971 03029 9923 +082 //// 140079 080 069 009 01
014500 2417N 07436W 6971 03029 9927 +086 //// 143082 084 065 009 01
014530 2418N 07435W 6965 03046 //// +076 //// 144086 087 063 009 01
014600 2419N 07433W 6970 03045 //// +071 //// 144087 088 063 009 01
014630 2421N 07432W 6963 03056 //// +076 //// 146084 085 061 009 01
014700 2422N 07431W 6966 03059 //// +077 //// 147081 082 062 010 01
014730 2423N 07429W 6968 03059 //// +067 //// 144082 083 061 010 01
$$
;

[cpdaman]

love this view for some reason

eye should be sneaking in ...within a hour or so

plus this updates as fast as the ramdis online site

http://aviationweather.gov/adds/satelli ... g&itype=ir

out to 0140 utc already

[Jevo]

0z Wind field.....

Looking prett symetrical



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[Terry]

Bahamian news reports http://www.tribune242.com/news/08232011_hurricanerolling_news_pg

[wx4tv]

I will be racing home from NYC tomorrow PM to the OBX to button up, get my wife and kids to higher ground and get back to Virginia Beach to cover Irene. This will be #200 for me. Certainly has the capability to become the most memorable.

I will do my best to post nowcasts from Virginia Beach as she approaches.

[cpdaman]

looks like the lastest wobble or two is back more wnw
watch for the 0145 utc wobble to show this

[Dave]

[CronkPSU]

looks like the lastest wobble or two is back more wnw
watch for the 0145 utc wobble to show this

yeah it is like it is trying to thread the needle around all these islands..

[Stephanie]

I will be racing home from NYC tomorrow PM to the OBX to button up, get my wife and kids to higher ground and get back to Virginia Beach to cover Irene. This will be #200 for me. Certainly has the capability to become the most memorable.

I will do my best to post nowcasts from Virginia Beach as she approaches.

Will they let you on the island that late tomorrow? Be careful!

[Dave]

Anyone who can pickup graphics for awhile let me know. Thanks!