ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

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#6561 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:49 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 251443
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 55 20110825
143330 2541N 07832W 6965 03098 9993 +085 //// 010057 060 037 003 01
143400 2541N 07834W 6970 03094 9990 +089 //// 006058 058 038 004 01
143430 2541N 07836W 6962 03107 9995 +088 //// 007051 056 040 005 01
143500 2541N 07838W 6963 03106 9992 +091 //// 006045 046 038 005 01
143530 2540N 07840W 6966 03101 9979 +101 +092 360041 042 035 008 00
143600 2540N 07842W 6967 03100 9975 +104 +089 004041 042 038 004 00
143630 2540N 07844W 6971 03097 9984 +100 +089 004039 041 039 004 00
143700 2540N 07846W 6967 03105 9988 +097 +089 005039 040 038 003 00
143730 2540N 07848W 6967 03106 9993 +094 +089 005039 040 038 005 00
143800 2540N 07850W 6968 03106 0000 +091 //// 007037 038 040 007 01
143830 2540N 07852W 6968 03109 0016 +079 //// 008040 041 041 008 01
143900 2540N 07854W 6962 03116 0012 +082 //// 008040 041 042 004 01
143930 2540N 07856W 6964 03115 0002 +092 //// 003039 041 041 004 01
144000 2540N 07858W 6965 03116 9994 +098 //// 360037 039 040 006 01
144030 2540N 07858W 6965 03116 //// +082 //// 360034 035 /// /// 05
144100 2541N 07902W 6974 03106 //// +063 //// 355039 042 047 013 01
144130 2542N 07903W 6948 03128 9983 +081 //// 351035 036 040 005 05
144200 2543N 07905W 6650 03486 9978 +076 //// 349033 034 /// /// 05
144230 2543N 07906W 6379 03828 9989 +049 //// 354035 036 045 005 05
144300 2544N 07908W 6153 04123 9993 +031 //// 350035 035 /// /// 05
$$
;

Mission over. Next plane arrives for 18Z?
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6562 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:51 am

eye appears to be clearing out now..

Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6563 Postby SFLcane » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:51 am

Here in dade wind is extremely calm with light rain.
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Re: Re:

#6564 Postby hurricaneCW » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:52 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
hurricaneCW wrote:Dunno...it has been almost over since last night...really, if it is going to intensify, it has to do it now since north of 30N, waters would probably be too cold for intensification beyond what it is now.

Waters are plenty warm all the way to the N.C/VA border, not to mention the gulf stream is just off the coast all the way up to the Delmarva.


True, but as the last discussion mentioned, the shear suppose to be extreme........


But I believe the direction of the shear also corresponds to the direction of the storm, like if a storm moves west and there's westerly shear, then it would weaken the storm, but a storm moving N or NNE with that same type of shear may not be as damaging to the storm, especially a large storm like Irene.
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#6565 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:52 am

Image

Georgetown airport. Guess they forgot to tie her down.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6566 Postby SFLcane » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:52 am

Wow we got sooo lucky again in sfl...How many more times are we gonna dodge the bullet.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6567 Postby JPmia » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:54 am

[quote="Aric Dunn"]eye appears to be clearing out now..

Yeah and she looks like she is turning a little more northerly?
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6568 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:59 am

hard for me at least to figure out movement since the eye is clearing out and could just be expanding...should be going more north now though
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#6569 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:59 am

It looks like as many as 70 million people could get at least TS winds or flooding. That has to be an Atlantic basin record.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6570 Postby maxx9512 » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:00 am

11:00 AM discussion:
THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE WESTWARD ON THIS CYCLE...AND
THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK HAS BEEN NUDGED WEST AS WELL. THE NEW
FORECAST LIES BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF...AND IS A LITTLE RIGHT OF
THE TVCA CONSENSUS.
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#6571 Postby Aja » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:00 am

NHC: "CENTER FIXES FROM THE AIRCRAFT OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING INDICATE THAT THE EXPECTED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TURN HAS OCCURRED."
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6572 Postby jhpigott » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:01 am

Looks like another decent squall line/rain band setting up to come in for PBC

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6573 Postby hipshot » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:04 am

hurricaneCW wrote:
tina25 wrote:Just moved to NYC and I am amazed at the lack of media coverage here regarding Irene. Noone is even talking about it at work. It almost makes me feel like there is nothing to worry about. I guess they don't want 8 million people panicking at once?



There's that complacency, I don't think most people realize the damage a storm like this can cause, I think a lot of people think the storm is going to miss them or not really affect them. I think tomorrow will really be the day when it will hit everybody if the track is the same or the track shows a direct hit on the city or just to the west or east.


Both my kids live in Brooklyn and they pretty much blew it off. I sure hope they are right but my gut
tells me otherwise. I hope they get some supplies before any panic sets in.
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#6574 Postby Aja » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:05 am

11AM EDT Cat 3 HURRICANE IRENE winds 115mph gusting 140mph moving NNW at 12mph pressure is 28.07R http://livewxradar.com/ #wx #weather #news
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#6575 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:06 am

Well presently it looks NC and DC will take alot of punch out of it before it gets too far north. NYC may just get alot of rain. Atleast FEMA wont have far to go.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6576 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:06 am

Image
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Re:

#6577 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:06 am

Aja wrote:11AM EDT Cat 3 HURRICANE IRENE winds 115mph gusting 140mph moving NNW at 12mph pressure is 28.07R http://livewxradar.com/ #wx #weather #news


I don't see the cat4 on the map like I saw on the previous advisory...
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6578 Postby Meteorcane » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:08 am

In the new track forecast Delaware/New Jersey are on the north-northeastern side of a 100mph hurricane could cause some problems
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#6579 Postby Aja » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:09 am

John Farley ...Irene's forecast track has shifted slightly west. That means more of NC will likely get hit.
http://www.wistv.com/
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6580 Postby FireRat » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:09 am

SFLcane wrote:Wow we got sooo lucky again in sfl...How many more times are we gonna dodge the bullet.



Yeah, South Florida (Miami) has really been pulling a "matrix" for nearly 2 decades with big ones. Cat 1's and TS have hit Miami but they've still dodged big time. Here in Broward I can't say the same as Wilma beat us up pretty good only 6 years ago. Statistically, South Florida should be hit in 2011 or 2012....so maybe only 1 or 2 more bullet dodges IMO.
Last edited by FireRat on Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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