ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

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Tyler Penland
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7021 Postby Tyler Penland » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:28 pm

yzerfan wrote:Space Coast sees an influx of surfers for the weekend:

[/quote]

Sebastian Inlet webcam: http://www.surfguru.com/florida-surf-re ... jetty.aspx
Haven't seen too many out today. The water is absolutely horrible though. NNE winds from 25-35 MPH.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7022 Postby littlevince » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:29 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 252125
AF306 2109A IRENE HDOB 36 20110825
211530 2628N 07749W 6969 02957 9787 +135 +063 294056 056 060 002 03
211600 2627N 07750W 6968 02962 9800 +127 +062 292054 054 063 005 00
211630 2626N 07751W 6969 02966 9814 +120 +062 293053 053 066 005 00
211700 2625N 07753W 6955 02995 9866 +084 +061 297063 070 065 010 00
211730 2624N 07754W 6967 02981 9879 +077 +058 296069 070 066 017 00
211800 2623N 07755W 6965 02988 9876 +083 +052 296067 067 066 014 00
211830 2622N 07756W 6969 02990 9879 +087 +050 294064 065 057 009 00
211900 2621N 07757W 6966 02995 9876 +091 +048 298064 065 055 006 00
211930 2620N 07758W 6968 02998 9866 +105 +047 296062 063 054 003 00
212000 2618N 07759W 6967 03002 9875 +101 +048 293057 059 053 004 00
212030 2617N 07800W 6971 03005 9885 +098 +048 291054 055 053 005 00
212100 2616N 07801W 6966 03011 9890 +096 +048 292055 056 054 004 00
212130 2615N 07803W 6970 03012 9895 +095 +048 295055 056 054 004 00
212200 2614N 07804W 6967 03018 9900 +095 +048 297054 054 052 002 00
212230 2613N 07805W 6968 03019 9901 +097 +048 299056 056 050 003 00
212300 2612N 07806W 6966 03024 9899 +100 +047 301057 058 048 002 00
212330 2611N 07807W 6965 03030 9902 +100 +048 301058 058 047 000 03
212400 2610N 07808W 6969 03028 9907 +100 +048 302057 057 046 001 03
212430 2609N 07810W 6968 03033 9915 +097 +049 303058 058 047 000 03
212500 2608N 07811W 6967 03036 9919 +095 +050 303060 060 047 000 03
$$
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7023 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:32 pm

Looks to be moving due north recently accordiing to recon.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7024 Postby mutley » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:33 pm

This view hasn't been posted in awhile, I don't think. Looks to be ramping up, unfortunately:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/tpw2/natl/main.html
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Re:

#7025 Postby ncweatherwizard » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:34 pm

Raebie wrote:Where in NC is landfall now projected?


Most likely somewhere between Cape Fear and Cape Hatteras.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7026 Postby Battlebrick » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:36 pm

111 kts FL.
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#7027 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:36 pm

000
URNT15 KWBC 252128
NOAA2 2309A IRENE HDOB 10 20110825
211900 2721N 07652W 7531 02138 9602 +173 //// 146085 087 087 016 01
211930 2723N 07651W 7499 02187 9624 +164 //// 144094 097 086 019 01
212000 2724N 07649W 7518 02185 9647 +164 //// 148100 104 086 015 01
212030 2726N 07648W 7520 02199 9669 +162 +164 143103 105 086 015 00
212100 2727N 07646W 7535 02198 9686 +162 +163 143100 101 084 012 00
212130 2728N 07644W 7538 02210 9704 +159 //// 146096 098 083 012 01
212200 2730N 07643W 7552 02205 9716 +161 +163 147094 095 079 011 00
212230 2731N 07641W 7516 02258 9729 +156 //// 149099 104 078 015 01
212300 2733N 07640W 7518 02265 9743 +153 //// 143096 099 075 018 01
212330 2734N 07638W 7536 02254 9754 +153 //// 145097 100 079 016 01
212400 2735N 07636W 7533 02268 9766 +152 //// 148105 108 074 014 01
212430 2737N 07635W 7525 02284 9776 +150 //// 149109 111 076 008 01
212500 2738N 07633W 7518 02301 9793 +143 //// 147110 111 073 006 01
212530 2740N 07632W 7517 02311 9804 +142 +147 145107 110 073 006 00
212600 2741N 07630W 7517 02319 9807 +149 +145 143103 103 071 006 00
212630 2742N 07628W 7518 02325 9819 +146 +143 143101 102 070 004 00
212700 2744N 07627W 7517 02335 9826 +147 +140 145101 102 068 004 00
212730 2745N 07625W 7519 02339 9838 +142 +144 146101 102 068 002 00
212800 2746N 07624W 7518 02348 9849 +139 +142 148099 100 066 001 00
212830 2748N 07622W 7517 02355 9859 +137 +137 148098 099 066 003 00
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7028 Postby littlevince » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:37 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 252135
AF306 2109A IRENE HDOB 37 20110825
212530 2607N 07812W 6963 03045 9922 +095 +050 305060 060 046 001 00
212600 2606N 07813W 6967 03043 9928 +093 +050 304058 058 046 004 00
212630 2604N 07814W 6971 03041 9929 +096 +049 304061 062 047 002 03
212700 2603N 07816W 6970 03045 9938 +091 +049 306063 063 049 000 00
212730 2602N 07817W 6963 03058 9951 +085 +048 309062 064 048 007 00
212800 2601N 07818W 6966 03057 9935 +100 +048 308065 066 047 001 00
212830 2600N 07819W 6966 03058 9939 +098 +048 309067 067 047 002 00
212900 2559N 07820W 6967 03060 9941 +099 +048 308066 066 048 005 00
212930 2558N 07821W 6964 03066 9947 +097 +048 308065 065 048 001 03
213000 2557N 07823W 6972 03058 9942 +105 +048 310065 066 047 000 03
213030 2556N 07824W 6967 03070 9949 +101 +048 308063 064 045 001 03
213100 2554N 07825W 6963 03074 9955 +097 +048 309061 062 046 000 03
213130 2553N 07826W 6970 03069 9963 +094 +048 310059 060 045 000 03
213200 2552N 07828W 6964 03079 9969 +091 +047 310057 059 043 001 00
213230 2551N 07829W 6968 03077 9970 +091 +047 311057 058 044 001 03
213300 2550N 07830W 6971 03075 9973 +092 +047 311057 058 042 001 00
213330 2549N 07831W 6963 03089 9977 +091 +047 311056 056 043 000 03
213400 2548N 07832W 6965 03089 9976 +095 +047 311057 058 038 000 03
213430 2546N 07834W 6967 03087 9982 +091 +047 314056 057 038 000 03
213500 2545N 07835W 6967 03092 9984 +092 +046 315056 057 038 001 00
$$
;

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Last edited by littlevince on Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7029 Postby maxintensity » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:38 pm

Yeh and a lot of FL winds over 100kts that pass. Also as I said a few minutes ago there is not a double wind maximum anymore. The EWRC is finished and no hints of a new one. A sizeable drop in pressure looks likely. And I could see this possible undergoing some RI for a 12 hour period or so. We shall see.

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Last edited by maxintensity on Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#7030 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:40 pm

NOAA2

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#7031 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:40 pm

Presentation of Irene looks like its improving, track still looks like it may head very close to LI and New York, also yes it is wobbling along a generally due North motion, even wobbles could make quite a large difference to the eventual track of Irene and the possible threat to the east coast cities.
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#7032 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:40 pm

000
UZNT13 KWBC 252123
XXAA 75218 99265 70781 08068 99984 25406 29549 00639 ///// /////
92548 23225 31584 85284 20022 31577 88999 77999
31313 09608 82059
51515 10167 07775
61616 NOAA2 2309A IRENE OB 04
62626 REL 2651N07805W 205930 SPG 2646N07800W 210232 WL150 30573 0
85 DLM WND 31578 984752 MBL WND 31080=
XXBB 75218 99265 70781 08068 00984 25406 11977 24614 22867 20825
33800 16808 44752 14000
21212 00984 29549 11983 29552 22982 30066 33979 30073 44975 30571
55965 31084 66939 31586 77935 31583 88902 31582 99896 32086 11867
32074 22752 32068
31313 09608 82059
51515 10167 07775
61616 NOAA2 2309A IRENE OB 04
62626 REL 2651N07805W 205930 SPG 2646N07800W 210232 WL150 30573 0
85 DLM WND 31578 984752 MBL WND 31080=
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Re:

#7033 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:41 pm

KWT wrote:Presentation of Irene looks like its improving, track still looks like....


Agreed, just my two cents worth, but I think she maybe in the early stages of deepening (perhaps even bombing out) again.
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Re:

#7034 Postby GreenWinds » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:44 pm

KWT wrote:Presentation of Irene looks like its improving, track still looks like it may head very close to LI and New York, also yes it is wobbling along a generally due North motion, even wobbles could make quite a large difference to the eventual track of Irene and the possible threat to the east coast cities.


So you think Irene might just graze the eastern tip of Long Island?

Because of the recent N movement, Irene may miss forecast points to the east and possibly be better news for NYC?
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7035 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:44 pm

maxintensity wrote:Yeh and a lot of FL winds over 100kts that pass. Also as I said a few minutes ago there is not a double wind maximum anymore. The EWRC is finished and no hints of a new one. A sizeable drop in pressure looks likely.


That would certainly back up the idea that the presentation has improved in the last couple of hours, looks like the inner eyewall has strengthened.

I suspect as the threat to NC/New York and LI northwards increases over the next 12-24hrs the more attention this hurricane thread will get again.
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Re: Re:

#7036 Postby Battlebrick » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:45 pm

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:
KWT wrote:Presentation of Irene looks like its improving, track still looks like....


Agreed, just my two cents worth, but I think she maybe in the early stages of deepening (perhaps even bombing out) again.


she never really did..
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#7037 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:45 pm

000
URNT15 KWBC 252138
NOAA2 2309A IRENE HDOB 11 20110825
212900 2749N 07620W 7515 02365 9868 +137 +137 147099 100 067 002 00
212930 2751N 07619W 7518 02370 9875 +139 +133 145098 100 063 004 00
213000 2752N 07617W 7518 02376 9882 +140 +126 145098 099 061 002 00
213030 2754N 07616W 7518 02382 9893 +135 +122 149101 102 060 002 00
213100 2755N 07614W 7516 02388 9899 +133 +120 150099 100 057 004 00
213130 2756N 07612W 7516 02393 9906 +132 +117 149097 097 058 000 00
213200 2758N 07611W 7519 02393 9912 +131 +117 149095 095 058 001 00
213230 2759N 07609W 7517 02400 9916 +133 +106 148094 095 058 002 00
213300 2801N 07607W 7517 02405 9915 +141 +101 148093 094 058 002 00
213330 2802N 07606W 7518 02410 9922 +140 +102 148092 092 058 000 00
213400 2804N 07604W 7520 02410 9925 +140 +103 149090 091 057 000 00
213430 2805N 07603W 7517 02421 9937 +134 +107 147085 087 056 001 00
213500 2806N 07601W 7518 02423 9945 +130 +117 146081 082 055 001 00
213530 2808N 07559W 7518 02428 9951 +127 +120 146079 080 053 000 00
213600 2809N 07558W 7519 02428 9955 +127 +112 147078 078 053 001 00
213630 2811N 07556W 7519 02432 9957 +130 +111 149077 078 053 002 00
213700 2812N 07554W 7518 02438 9959 +133 +111 146074 077 052 001 00
213730 2814N 07553W 7520 02439 9966 +130 +110 147072 072 052 003 00
213800 2815N 07551W 7518 02442 9968 +128 +115 149073 075 053 000 00
213830 2817N 07549W 7519 02442 9973 +123 +120 152078 080 052 002 00
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#7038 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:47 pm

Battlebrick, yeah sorta steadily deepened rather then ever really combing out. Conditions aloft is still favourable enough for some further deepening though the best conditions are now probasbly jsut behind Irene...
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon Discussion

#7039 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:47 pm

I can do some posting, obs or images, if needed.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7040 Postby maxintensity » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:47 pm

not sure what SFMR is doing. Over 100kts FL and some of the SFMR were tropical storm winds. That is weird. SFMR is always off it seems. Or maybe it just needs deeper convection to transport the winds more.
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