ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 261549
AF306 2709A IRENE HDOB 41 20110826
153930 3042N 07550W 6967 03027 9897 +105 +051 186083 084 059 000 00
154000 3042N 07548W 6967 03033 9899 +108 +052 187081 082 058 003 00
154030 3042N 07546W 6965 03038 9910 +103 +052 189080 081 060 008 00
154100 3042N 07544W 6971 03033 9929 +088 +052 188084 085 058 010 00
154130 3042N 07542W 6966 03042 9941 +081 +050 189085 088 060 011 00
154200 3042N 07540W 6957 03056 9947 +080 +049 185083 086 063 013 00
154230 3042N 07538W 6974 03036 9948 +079 +048 181083 084 061 015 00
154300 3042N 07536W 6967 03047 9957 +074 +047 180084 086 057 019 00
154330 3042N 07535W 6967 03051 9955 +077 +046 180086 092 057 027 00
154400 3042N 07533W 6978 03036 9956 +077 +046 183091 091 065 024 00
154430 3042N 07531W 6968 03051 9957 +079 +045 186089 091 064 021 00
154500 3042N 07529W 6959 03063 9947 +089 +044 185088 089 062 020 00
154530 3042N 07527W 6973 03048 9958 +081 +044 184087 087 059 021 00
154600 3042N 07525W 6963 03063 9967 +077 +043 185090 093 059 015 00
154630 3042N 07523W 6967 03062 9965 +082 +042 184093 093 057 010 00
154700 3042N 07521W 6969 03063 9964 +086 +041 186095 096 058 008 00
154730 3042N 07519W 6964 03072 9963 +088 +041 186091 092 056 009 00
154800 3042N 07517W 6968 03070 9972 +084 +041 185088 091 056 009 00
154830 3042N 07516W 6970 03069 9978 +083 +040 181086 087 058 008 00
154900 3042N 07514W 6967 03079 9976 +087 +040 179087 087 058 004 00
$$
;

[WeatherLovingDoc]

^^Above doesn't look so good across northern edge of New Jersey either (in the brown). What is the color depicting? Not winds I hope (sorry I can't tell on visual and don't know all the nomenclature). I have relatives up there. TIA.

[South Texas Storms]

^^Above doesn't look so good across northern edge of New Jersey either (in the brown). What is the color depicting? Not winds I hope (sorry I can't tell on visual and don't know all the nomenclature). I have relatives up there. TIA.

The color in those images is depecting 3 hour precipitation.

[ozonepete]

I wonder when they will issue hurricane warnings for NYC?

Probably at 2PM.

[InstantWeatherMaps]

12Z GFS 48:

[WeatherLovingDoc]

The color in those images is depecting 3 hour precipitation.[/quote]

Thank you very much. I see it is heavy. I've been worried about winds and whether they should cover big picture windows etc.

Appreciate your help.

[ncbird]

As someone who's been through several storms here, I'd love to hear your thoughts about New Bern as well. I'm especially interested in what areas of downtown tend to flood. Feel free to PM me! Thanks!

Almost all of the area's along the Neuse river there in town will flood to some extent. The park there by the bridge and along with the road there is usually pretty bad. I expect with the length of time the water will be getting pushed up into the river due to the size of the hurricane, the flooding is going to get real bad. If you live anywhere close to the rivers or creeks, my advise is to park your car some where on higher ground and away from the water-ways if you can.

[poof121]

^^Above doesn't look so good across northern edge of New Jersey either (in the brown). What is the color depicting? Not winds I hope (sorry I can't tell on visual and don't know all the nomenclature). I have relatives up there. TIA.

The color in those images is depecting 3 hour precipitation.

What are the units? Millimeters, I'm assuming. In that case, 25.3 mm is about 1 inch.

[brunota2003]

Looks, and is acting, very similar to Isabel...only difference is the direction of travel. Isabel managed to pull together before landfall, but didn't have the chance to intensify (Isabel also had the higher than usual ratio, as on 17 Sept, Recon found numerous spots of 115 to 120 knot winds, but dropsondes said the surface winds were lower than the usual ratio). Interesting stuff.

[WeatherLovingDoc]

O/T: Wow, three fighter jets just screamed across NOVA from Andrews Airforce Base, and they stll keep coming. Possible no-fly zone violation?

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 261559
AF306 2709A IRENE HDOB 42 20110826
154930 3042N 07512W 6965 03083 9974 +092 +039 179086 086 059 001 00
155000 3042N 07510W 6965 03086 9972 +097 +038 181085 085 058 001 00
155030 3042N 07508W 6967 03089 9977 +096 +038 181084 084 057 001 00
155100 3042N 07506W 6966 03095 9982 +097 +039 181085 085 054 000 00
155130 3042N 07505W 6967 03094 9981 +097 +039 181086 086 054 000 03
155200 3042N 07503W 6969 03094 9978 +100 +040 180085 086 055 000 03
155230 3042N 07501W 6966 03098 9985 +096 +040 179084 084 053 000 03
155300 3042N 07459W 6967 03097 9992 +093 +041 179083 084 053 000 00
155330 3042N 07457W 6969 03100 9997 +090 +040 179083 083 053 001 00
155400 3042N 07455W 6969 03101 0002 +090 +040 178082 082 053 000 00
155430 3042N 07454W 6966 03107 0002 +090 +040 179083 083 052 001 00
155500 3042N 07452W 6967 03108 0001 +095 +040 180084 085 053 001 00
155530 3042N 07450W 6967 03111 0004 +096 +040 181083 084 053 000 03
155600 3043N 07448W 6965 03114 0000 +099 +040 180083 084 /// /// 03
155630 3045N 07448W 6967 03112 9998 +101 +040 179081 083 /// /// 03
155700 3046N 07450W 6976 03100 9997 +100 +041 178081 081 051 000 03
155730 3048N 07451W 6963 03113 9999 +097 +041 177082 082 053 000 00
155800 3050N 07453W 6968 03104 9999 +095 +041 175083 083 053 001 00
155830 3052N 07454W 6967 03103 9993 +095 +041 175083 084 053 001 00
155900 3054N 07455W 6966 03102 9994 +095 +041 175083 083 054 002 03
$$
;

[TropicalWXMA]

Looks like the 00Z GFS has sped up Irene's New England arrival by about 4 hours. Has her making landfall in LI/Ctrl CT around 2pm, instead of 5-6pm.

[sittingduck]

O/T: Wow, three fighter jets just screamed across NOVA from Andrews Airforce Base, and they stll keep coming. Possible no-fly zone violation?

Maybe just moving them to a safer place - I know that I heard this morning that MacDill in Tampa was expecting aircraft to be arriving there from bases in the path of Irene

[Ptarmigan]

Irene hasn't gotten to the warmest waters off the Carolina coast yet. NHC has said not much strengthening before landfall and they are the pros. But like seahawk said we have watched them grow significantly before landfall just hours before landfall.

Irene's large size is very concerning. A large hurricane is way worse than a small hurricane. They produce larger storm surge and waves, prolonged wind, and flooding rains.

[InstantWeatherMaps]

^^Above doesn't look so good across northern edge of New Jersey either (in the brown). What is the color depicting? Not winds I hope (sorry I can't tell on visual and don't know all the nomenclature). I have relatives up there. TIA.

The color in those images is depecting 3 hour precipitation.

What are the units? Millimeters, I'm assuming. In that case, 25.3 mm is about 1 inch.

Actually I think it's hundredths of an inch.

[Macrocane]

URNT15 KNHC 261609
AF306 2709A IRENE HDOB 43 20110826
155930 3056N 07457W 6969 03098 9995 +093 +041 175084 084 054 000 00
160000 3058N 07458W 6966 03101 9995 +092 +040 174084 085 055 001 00
160030 3100N 07459W 6968 03097 9997 +090 +040 175085 085 054 003 00
160100 3103N 07501W 6965 03097 9997 +087 +040 173087 087 055 002 00
160130 3105N 07502W 6967 03095 9996 +087 +040 172087 087 055 002 00
160200 3107N 07503W 6967 03095 9995 +086 +040 171088 088 055 001 00
160230 3109N 07505W 6969 03091 9994 +088 +040 170088 089 054 004 00
160300 3111N 07506W 6966 03095 9991 +089 +039 168088 088 053 002 00
160330 3113N 07507W 6970 03088 9985 +090 +039 168088 088 054 000 03
160400 3115N 07509W 6967 03089 9983 +091 +040 166087 087 054 001 00
160430 3117N 07510W 6967 03088 9981 +094 +040 164084 085 054 000 03
160500 3120N 07512W 6967 03085 9977 +096 +040 165086 086 054 000 03
160530 3122N 07513W 6967 03084 9974 +095 +041 162084 086 054 001 00
160600 3124N 07514W 6967 03086 9974 +096 +041 164084 085 055 001 00
160630 3126N 07516W 6966 03085 9974 +095 +041 164085 086 053 003 00
160700 3128N 07517W 6967 03084 9972 +095 +041 162086 087 054 003 00
160730 3130N 07518W 6965 03085 9975 +095 +041 161087 087 053 002 00
160800 3132N 07520W 6966 03084 9980 +088 +040 161087 087 055 003 00
160830 3135N 07521W 6967 03082 9990 +078 +039 159088 089 055 004 00
160900 3137N 07523W 6967 03082 9988 +082 +039 158088 088 056 007 00
$$

[poof121]

The color in those images is depecting 3 hour precipitation.

What are the units? Millimeters, I'm assuming. In that case, 25.3 mm is about 1 inch.

Actually I think it's hundredths of an inch.

That doesn't quite add up right. That means the darkest color is only 1-1.5 inches in 3hrs. With a storm like this, I doubt that's right.

[xironman]

I have it tracking at about 355 now. On the last pass with the air force plane there was an 83kt flight level wind about 160 miles from the center.

[Eddy Gurge]

O/T: Wow, three fighter jets just screamed across NOVA from Andrews Airforce Base, and they stll keep coming. Possible no-fly zone violation?

I just saw that as well.

[seahawkjd]

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... on%2c%20NC

Wilmington is already reporting heavy rain according to weatherunderground. Beaufort (where my parents are currently ) is reporting rain. Quite a bit out from when this was supposed to start isn't it?