ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

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Hogweed

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8701 Postby Hogweed » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:45 am

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/live-seve ... her-webcam

He's just driven into storm surge flooded areas and had to back off.

Pressure currently 957mb at his location (Morehead City)
Last edited by Hogweed on Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:49 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re:

#8702 Postby kf154 » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:46 am

WeatherGuesser wrote:I'm not that big on geography of the northeast, so I didn't realize Philadelphia would be in on this too. Anybody there to give us updates?


I'm in Philly. I'll be here until the power goes! It's cloudy and still right now.
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#8703 Postby Annie Oakley » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:46 am

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 11:19Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2011
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 31
Observation Number: 24
A. Time of Center Fix: 27th day of the month at 11:00:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 34°29'N 76°34'W (34.4833N 76.5667W)
B. Center Fix Location: 20 miles (32 km) to the SSE (149°) from Morehead City, NC, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,689m (8,822ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 67kts (~ 77.1mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 29 nautical miles (33 statute miles) to the NE (52°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 150° at 85kts (From the SSE at ~ 97.8mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 27 nautical miles (31 statute miles) to the NE (52°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 953mb (28.14 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,052m (10,013ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 15°C (59°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,056m (10,026ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 6°C (43°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 0 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 98kts (~ 112.8mph) in the east quadrant at 10:14:40Z
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 16°C (61°F) which was observed 6 nautical miles to the NE/ENE (56°) from the flight level center
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Advisories

#8704 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:47 am

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...CENTER OF IRENE MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NNE OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE

INTERESTS IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IRENE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER INDICATES THAT THE EYE OF IRENE
MADE LANDFALL NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 730 AM
EDT...1130 UTC. THE ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF IRENE AT LANDFALL WAS
85 MPH...140 KM/H...CATEGORY ONE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE
WIND SCALE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IRENE CROSSES
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A
HURRICANE AS IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW
ENGLAND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
260 MILES...415 KM. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 59 MPH WITH A GUST TO 84
MPH WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
A COASTAL MARINE OBSERVING SITE AT CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 954.0 MB...28.17 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER THIS MORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SHOULD SPREAD
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE DAY.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8705 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:48 am

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...CENTER OF IRENE MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NNE OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
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#8706 Postby DTMEDIC » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:48 am

Here in Gloucester County of VA near Yorktown...was quite surprised to wake up to as much sustained wind as we have right now nearly 12 hours before she makes it to VA NC border. Wondering if storm surge predictions have been about right for areas south...we've had no problems with flooding (to our property) during any of the TS or NOr'easters since Isabel but tidal flooding prevents us from exiting our street...it's always close by. Isabel probably put 7-8 inches of water on our lot according to neighbors, but leveled the trees...and no one seemed to think our winds were very impressive here during Isabel. Winds are disconcerting, but more interested in tides...
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#8707 Postby Annie Oakley » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:50 am

Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 11:24Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number: 09
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 31
Observation Number: 26

Mandatory Data...

Observation Time: Saturday, 11:22Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 33.8N 78.0W
Location: 30 miles (48 km) to the S (190°) from Wilmington, NC, USA.
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 3,050 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 340° at 61 knots (From the NNW at ~ 70.1 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 11°C
Flight Level Dew Point: 6°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Overcast / Undercast
700 mb Surface Altitude: 2,935 geopotential meters



Mission Status: Concluded (Last Report)
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#8708 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:51 am

000
URNT15 KWBC 271143
NOAA3 3209A IRENE HDOB 22 20110827
113330 3512N 07530W 7521 02306 9802 +143 //// 149084 084 /// /// 05
113400 3511N 07532W 7521 02302 9795 +145 //// 149083 084 /// /// 05
113430 3510N 07534W 7521 02296 9785 +148 //// 150080 081 /// /// 05
113500 3509N 07536W 7522 02288 9775 +150 //// 150079 079 /// /// 05
113530 3508N 07538W 7520 02285 9766 +153 //// 149077 078 /// /// 05
113600 3507N 07540W 7508 02293 9761 +153 //// 147077 077 /// /// 05
113630 3506N 07542W 7514 02282 9756 +153 //// 147079 080 /// /// 05
113700 3505N 07544W 7512 02280 9750 +153 //// 150083 085 /// /// 05
113730 3504N 07546W 7503 02282 9743 +152 //// 151087 088 /// /// 05
113800 3503N 07548W 7515 02260 9734 +152 //// 150088 089 /// /// 05
113830 3502N 07550W 7514 02250 9723 +151 //// 147089 090 /// /// 05
113900 3501N 07552W 7524 02224 9709 +151 //// 148092 094 /// /// 05
113930 3500N 07554W 7511 02233 9703 +148 //// 147093 094 /// /// 05
114000 3459N 07556W 7492 02249 9688 +153 //// 151089 091 /// /// 05
114030 3458N 07558W 7522 02203 9676 +157 //// 153093 094 /// /// 05
114100 3457N 07559W 7523 02195 9665 +161 //// 157090 092 /// /// 05
114130 3456N 07601W 7523 02187 9657 +161 //// 159093 094 /// /// 05
114200 3455N 07603W 7521 02179 9645 +163 //// 156092 092 /// /// 05
114230 3454N 07606W 7522 02169 9631 +166 //// 157087 091 /// /// 05
114300 3454N 07608W 7490 02195 9616 +169 //// 156078 082 /// /// 05
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Hogweed

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8709 Postby Hogweed » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:53 am

cycloneye wrote:BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...CENTER OF IRENE MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NNE OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES


That's approx 12 miles east of the live stream where the guy broadcasting is in the middle of the storm surge right now. His path keeps being blocked by rising water.

If the water is still rising he could be in serious trouble!
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#8710 Postby Annie Oakley » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:56 am

Thanks Mark. I am out of here for a while. Really enjoyed your graphics while watching Irene come in. I felt like I was there live. You captured some great moments........

Hope everyone stays safe today.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#8711 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:56 am

Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon Discussion

#8712 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:58 am

Thanks Annie :)
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8713 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:58 am

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8714 Postby ronjon » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:59 am

Appears the center is tightening up and becoming better defined over the northern and eastern side with eyewall banding showing up. The frictional effects of landfall is probably causing this - current heading she might stay inland a little more than forecast over NC.

Radar
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Hogweed

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8715 Postby Hogweed » Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:59 am

Sensibly he's moved back to slightly higher ground for now.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8716 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:00 am

latest
Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#8717 Postby capepoint » Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:06 am

I'm in the eye now winds calm. Reports of 3 ft of water on the roads in eastern chartered county. Winds prior to eye were up as high as 94. Must be brief, on 3g. Lots of trees.down lots of rain.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#8718 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:13 am

000
URNT15 KWBC 271153
NOAA3 3209A IRENE HDOB 23 20110827
114330 3453N 07610W 7510 02163 9607 +169 //// 151078 078 /// /// 05
114400 3452N 07613W 7522 02136 9598 +162 //// 147078 079 /// /// 05
114430 3451N 07615W 7510 02133 9579 +163 //// 145079 080 /// /// 05
114500 3451N 07618W 7505 02126 9556 +174 //// 147065 073 /// /// 05
114530 3450N 07620W 7504 02121 9541 +184 //// 148051 054 /// /// 05
114600 3449N 07622W 7531 02086 9538 +184 //// 145045 047 /// /// 05
114630 3448N 07624W 7528 02083 9531 +184 //// 143040 042 /// /// 05
114700 3447N 07626W 7528 02080 9528 +183 //// 140035 036 /// /// 05
114730 3446N 07628W 7527 02076 9523 +184 //// 135028 032 /// /// 05
114800 3444N 07630W 7528 02073 9519 +186 //// 130020 023 /// /// 05
114830 3443N 07632W 7530 02069 9515 +188 +193 124013 015 /// /// 03
114900 3441N 07633W 7531 02065 9510 +191 //// 132007 009 /// /// 05
114930 3439N 07634W 7528 02068 9512 +190 +189 226002 004 /// /// 03
115000 3437N 07635W 7529 02069 9511 +193 +190 249008 009 /// /// 03
115030 3435N 07635W 7529 02071 9511 +198 +189 246012 016 /// /// 03
115100 3433N 07635W 7528 02077 9515 +199 +189 252019 020 /// /// 03
115130 3431N 07635W 7528 02081 9523 +194 +187 264024 026 /// /// 03
115200 3429N 07635W 7532 02082 9535 +186 +190 269031 034 038 004 00
115230 3427N 07635W 7530 02092 9543 +186 +190 269037 037 042 004 00
115300 3425N 07635W 7528 02105 9554 +187 +181 266037 039 042 002 00
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#8719 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:15 am

Image
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Re:

#8720 Postby Trishasmom » Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:19 am

DTMEDIC wrote:Here in Gloucester County of VA near Yorktown...was quite surprised to wake up to as much sustained wind as we have right now nearly 12 hours before she makes it to VA NC border. Wondering if storm surge predictions have been about right for areas south...we've had no problems with flooding (to our property) during any of the TS or NOr'easters since Isabel but tidal flooding prevents us from exiting our street...it's always close by. Isabel probably put 7-8 inches of water on our lot according to neighbors, but leveled the trees...and no one seemed to think our winds were very impressive here during Isabel. Winds are disconcerting, but more interested in tides...


We are in Charles City and I wasn't expecting much if anything this far inland until later today but the winds are blowing pretty good and we are getting rain. The rain is not bad here but the trees are swaying in my yard.

Carol
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