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ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion
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Dave
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Dave
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000
URNT15 KNHC 271440
AF303 3309A IRENE HDOB 02 20110827
143100 3406N 07725W 6965 02958 9811 +105 //// 313066 067 /// /// 05
143130 3407N 07723W 6971 02946 9807 +105 //// 314068 068 /// /// 05
143200 3408N 07722W 6967 02946 9798 +107 //// 312068 068 /// /// 05
143230 3410N 07721W 6970 02940 9792 +111 +110 310071 072 /// /// 03
143300 3411N 07719W 6969 02937 9784 +113 +107 307071 072 /// /// 03
143330 3412N 07718W 6967 02938 9782 +111 +108 305071 073 /// /// 03
143400 3413N 07716W 6968 02933 9782 +108 //// 306067 069 /// /// 05
143430 3415N 07715W 6963 02932 9779 +104 //// 300062 068 /// /// 05
143500 3416N 07713W 6971 02915 //// +102 //// 301054 056 /// /// 05
143530 3417N 07711W 6963 02919 9742 +124 //// 304056 056 /// /// 05
143600 3419N 07710W 6967 02912 9729 +132 +130 303057 058 /// /// 03
143630 3420N 07708W 6964 02912 9731 +127 +126 299055 057 /// /// 03
143700 3421N 07707W 6975 02895 9726 +128 +128 303050 050 /// /// 03
143730 3423N 07705W 6963 02906 9716 +134 +125 299048 049 /// /// 03
143800 3424N 07704W 6966 02897 9712 +135 +124 297050 051 /// /// 03
143830 3425N 07702W 6963 02895 9708 +132 +123 291051 052 /// /// 03
143900 3426N 07700W 6970 02883 9708 +131 +126 293051 052 /// /// 03
143930 3427N 07657W 6969 02882 9702 +130 +130 295053 054 /// /// 03
144000 3428N 07655W 6963 02888 9698 +129 +127 293052 053 /// /// 03
144030 3429N 07653W 6964 02878 9686 +135 +121 290055 056 /// /// 03
$$
URNT15 KNHC 271440
AF303 3309A IRENE HDOB 02 20110827
143100 3406N 07725W 6965 02958 9811 +105 //// 313066 067 /// /// 05
143130 3407N 07723W 6971 02946 9807 +105 //// 314068 068 /// /// 05
143200 3408N 07722W 6967 02946 9798 +107 //// 312068 068 /// /// 05
143230 3410N 07721W 6970 02940 9792 +111 +110 310071 072 /// /// 03
143300 3411N 07719W 6969 02937 9784 +113 +107 307071 072 /// /// 03
143330 3412N 07718W 6967 02938 9782 +111 +108 305071 073 /// /// 03
143400 3413N 07716W 6968 02933 9782 +108 //// 306067 069 /// /// 05
143430 3415N 07715W 6963 02932 9779 +104 //// 300062 068 /// /// 05
143500 3416N 07713W 6971 02915 //// +102 //// 301054 056 /// /// 05
143530 3417N 07711W 6963 02919 9742 +124 //// 304056 056 /// /// 05
143600 3419N 07710W 6967 02912 9729 +132 +130 303057 058 /// /// 03
143630 3420N 07708W 6964 02912 9731 +127 +126 299055 057 /// /// 03
143700 3421N 07707W 6975 02895 9726 +128 +128 303050 050 /// /// 03
143730 3423N 07705W 6963 02906 9716 +134 +125 299048 049 /// /// 03
143800 3424N 07704W 6966 02897 9712 +135 +124 297050 051 /// /// 03
143830 3425N 07702W 6963 02895 9708 +132 +123 291051 052 /// /// 03
143900 3426N 07700W 6970 02883 9708 +131 +126 293051 052 /// /// 03
143930 3427N 07657W 6969 02882 9702 +130 +130 295053 054 /// /// 03
144000 3428N 07655W 6963 02888 9698 +129 +127 293052 053 /// /// 03
144030 3429N 07653W 6964 02878 9686 +135 +121 290055 056 /// /// 03
$$
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
DTMEDIC wrote:Evenstar wrote:Checking in from Chesapeake VA. Pouring rain, windy, but no serious drama YET. So not looking forward to losing power and my beloved air-conditioning!
If you want drama, you need to watch the Andy Fox comedy hour on WAVY 10...LOL...he's out on the OBX (I think) proving that the winds will hold his body weight up!! LOL
LOL. Every hour that man is on tv is comedy hour. (Too bad it didn't blow him over face first into the sand.)
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I never received my Hogwarts letter, so I'm leaving the Shire and becoming a Sith Lord.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
latest saved radar loop. Still moving N/NE? Hard for me to tell.
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M a r k
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Dave
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CrazyC83
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SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 811
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DELAWARE
EASTERN MARYLAND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1040 AM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORFOLK
VIRGINIA TO 15 MILES NORTH OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 810...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE IRENE CONTINUE TO CONTAIN SMALL ROTATING CELLS. THESE ARE
MOVING ONSHORE INTO THE TIDEWATER NEAR VIRGINIA BEACH AND EAST OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY OVER COASTAL VA AND MD. A THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NWD ALONG THE COAST AS IRENE MOVES NNEWD PER
LATEST NHC FORECAST.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 11040.
...WEISS
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 811
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DELAWARE
EASTERN MARYLAND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1040 AM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORFOLK
VIRGINIA TO 15 MILES NORTH OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 810...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE IRENE CONTINUE TO CONTAIN SMALL ROTATING CELLS. THESE ARE
MOVING ONSHORE INTO THE TIDEWATER NEAR VIRGINIA BEACH AND EAST OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY OVER COASTAL VA AND MD. A THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NWD ALONG THE COAST AS IRENE MOVES NNEWD PER
LATEST NHC FORECAST.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 11040.
...WEISS
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Norfolk long range, saved loop.
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M a r k
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IRENE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ALONG THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES DUE TO LAND INTERACTION...DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT...AND INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. IF THE CENTER OF
IRENE MOVES MORE OVER LAND THAN FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...IT COULD BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN PREDICTED. WHETHER IRENE
IS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL MAKE
LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN THE EXPECTED IMPACTS OF DAMAGING WINDS...A
DANGEROUS STORM SURGE...AND FLOODING RAINS.
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES DUE TO LAND INTERACTION...DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT...AND INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. IF THE CENTER OF
IRENE MOVES MORE OVER LAND THAN FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS...IT COULD BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN PREDICTED. WHETHER IRENE
IS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL MAKE
LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN THE EXPECTED IMPACTS OF DAMAGING WINDS...A
DANGEROUS STORM SURGE...AND FLOODING RAINS.
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Dave
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677
URNT15 KNHC 271450
AF303 3309A IRENE HDOB 03 20110827
144100 3430N 07651W 6967 02868 9677 +139 +118 286055 056 /// /// 03
144130 3431N 07649W 6970 02858 9662 +148 +108 284060 064 /// /// 03
144200 3432N 07646W 6966 02857 9658 +150 +094 281066 067 /// /// 03
144230 3433N 07644W 6970 02846 9653 +143 +110 279065 065 /// /// 03
144300 3434N 07642W 6966 02840 9652 +131 +128 277063 065 /// /// 03
144330 3435N 07639W 6970 02826 9652 +125 //// 276064 068 /// /// 05
144400 3436N 07637W 6970 02823 9636 +134 +126 278059 060 /// /// 03
144430 3437N 07635W 6967 02819 9629 +132 +131 274057 057 /// /// 03
144500 3438N 07632W 6967 02802 9618 +129 //// 271058 060 /// /// 05
144530 3439N 07630W 6968 02796 9607 +132 //// 269057 059 /// /// 05
144600 3441N 07628W 6963 02802 9598 +140 //// 264055 056 /// /// 05
144630 3442N 07626W 6966 02796 9589 +144 //// 258057 058 /// /// 05
144700 3444N 07624W 6967 02792 9579 +149 +145 249058 059 /// /// 03
144730 3446N 07623W 6971 02781 9575 +149 +136 238058 059 /// /// 03
144800 3447N 07621W 6970 02775 9568 +148 +137 229058 059 /// /// 03
144830 3449N 07619W 6967 02774 9566 +148 +137 221059 060 /// /// 03
144900 3451N 07618W 6963 02778 9562 +147 +136 214060 061 /// /// 03
144930 3453N 07616W 6967 02761 9558 +145 +136 207061 061 /// /// 03
145000 3455N 07615W 6967 02767 9560 +145 +135 197066 068 /// /// 03
145030 3457N 07613W 6964 02773 9561 +149 +124 190068 068 /// /// 03
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 271450
AF303 3309A IRENE HDOB 03 20110827
144100 3430N 07651W 6967 02868 9677 +139 +118 286055 056 /// /// 03
144130 3431N 07649W 6970 02858 9662 +148 +108 284060 064 /// /// 03
144200 3432N 07646W 6966 02857 9658 +150 +094 281066 067 /// /// 03
144230 3433N 07644W 6970 02846 9653 +143 +110 279065 065 /// /// 03
144300 3434N 07642W 6966 02840 9652 +131 +128 277063 065 /// /// 03
144330 3435N 07639W 6970 02826 9652 +125 //// 276064 068 /// /// 05
144400 3436N 07637W 6970 02823 9636 +134 +126 278059 060 /// /// 03
144430 3437N 07635W 6967 02819 9629 +132 +131 274057 057 /// /// 03
144500 3438N 07632W 6967 02802 9618 +129 //// 271058 060 /// /// 05
144530 3439N 07630W 6968 02796 9607 +132 //// 269057 059 /// /// 05
144600 3441N 07628W 6963 02802 9598 +140 //// 264055 056 /// /// 05
144630 3442N 07626W 6966 02796 9589 +144 //// 258057 058 /// /// 05
144700 3444N 07624W 6967 02792 9579 +149 +145 249058 059 /// /// 03
144730 3446N 07623W 6971 02781 9575 +149 +136 238058 059 /// /// 03
144800 3447N 07621W 6970 02775 9568 +148 +137 229058 059 /// /// 03
144830 3449N 07619W 6967 02774 9566 +148 +137 221059 060 /// /// 03
144900 3451N 07618W 6963 02778 9562 +147 +136 214060 061 /// /// 03
144930 3453N 07616W 6967 02761 9558 +145 +136 207061 061 /// /// 03
145000 3455N 07615W 6967 02767 9560 +145 +135 197066 068 /// /// 03
145030 3457N 07613W 6964 02773 9561 +149 +124 190068 068 /// /// 03
$$
;
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-
cycloneye
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Advisories
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...IRENE BATTERING EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE DELMARVA COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 76.4W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND FROM MERRIMACK RIVER NORTHWARD
TO EASTPORT MAINE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4 WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON. THE HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IRENE CROSSES
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
AND APPROACHES NEW ENGLAND.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM. A WIND
GUST TO 87 MPH WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA. NORFOLK NAVAL AIR STATION RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND
GUST TO 63 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS
AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS EVENING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND-LEVEL.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO EASTERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND. THESE RAINS...
COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS...COULD CAUSE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS...AND
SIGNIFICANT UPROOTING OF TREES DUE TO RAIN-SOFTENED GROUNDS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING MUCH OF THE
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA...EASTERN MARYLAND...DELAWARE...AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...IRENE BATTERING EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE DELMARVA COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 76.4W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND FROM MERRIMACK RIVER NORTHWARD
TO EASTPORT MAINE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4 WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON. THE HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IRENE CROSSES
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
AND APPROACHES NEW ENGLAND.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM. A WIND
GUST TO 87 MPH WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA. NORFOLK NAVAL AIR STATION RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND
GUST TO 63 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS
AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS EVENING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND-LEVEL.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO EASTERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND. THESE RAINS...
COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS...COULD CAUSE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS...AND
SIGNIFICANT UPROOTING OF TREES DUE TO RAIN-SOFTENED GROUNDS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING MUCH OF THE
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA...EASTERN MARYLAND...DELAWARE...AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Stephanie
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
TWC is going to lose either Mike Seidel or Jeff Morrow or both! 
Part of Atlantic Beach Pier just blew away...
Part of Atlantic Beach Pier just blew away...
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Dave
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WeatherLovingDoc
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
MET Expert on TWC says Irene is meandering at about 10 mph.
Steph, I am a bit surprised TWC would show Mike S doing what ALL have said not to do: one rogue wave and he might be history not to mention evacuate the beaches. TWC should haul him off imo.
Steph, I am a bit surprised TWC would show Mike S doing what ALL have said not to do: one rogue wave and he might be history not to mention evacuate the beaches. TWC should haul him off imo.
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Dave
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857
URNT15 KNHC 271500
AF303 3309A IRENE HDOB 04 20110827
145100 3457N 07611W 6971 02771 9567 +148 +124 189068 069 /// /// 03
145130 3458N 07608W 6970 02782 9580 +150 +116 189069 070 /// /// 03
145200 3458N 07606W 6970 02789 9595 +141 +130 189070 070 /// /// 03
145230 3459N 07604W 6962 02806 9614 +129 //// 193074 077 /// /// 05
145300 3459N 07602W 6963 02817 9626 +120 //// 196078 079 /// /// 05
145330 3459N 07600W 6969 02816 9638 +119 //// 191081 084 /// /// 05
145400 3459N 07557W 6963 02831 9645 +126 //// 191083 084 /// /// 05
145430 3459N 07555W 6968 02834 9656 +125 //// 189086 087 /// /// 05
145500 3458N 07553W 6963 02845 9669 +121 //// 188088 089 /// /// 05
145530 3458N 07551W 6967 02852 9668 +130 +120 189089 089 /// /// 03
145600 3458N 07549W 6965 02861 9673 +133 +115 190088 089 /// /// 03
145630 3458N 07547W 6971 02860 9678 +135 +109 187085 085 /// /// 03
145700 3458N 07545W 6963 02874 9686 +133 +110 187083 083 /// /// 03
145730 3458N 07543W 6971 02874 9691 +133 +108 187082 082 /// /// 03
145800 3458N 07541W 6965 02882 9698 +134 +106 187079 080 /// /// 03
145830 3458N 07539W 6967 02889 9700 +138 +103 188079 079 /// /// 03
145900 3458N 07536W 6966 02897 9712 +132 +102 188077 078 /// /// 03
145930 3458N 07534W 6967 02895 9719 +130 +106 190077 077 /// /// 03
150000 3458N 07532W 6969 02900 9722 +131 +104 190075 076 /// /// 03
150030 3458N 07530W 6970 02900 9731 +128 +107 190075 076 /// /// 03
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 271500
AF303 3309A IRENE HDOB 04 20110827
145100 3457N 07611W 6971 02771 9567 +148 +124 189068 069 /// /// 03
145130 3458N 07608W 6970 02782 9580 +150 +116 189069 070 /// /// 03
145200 3458N 07606W 6970 02789 9595 +141 +130 189070 070 /// /// 03
145230 3459N 07604W 6962 02806 9614 +129 //// 193074 077 /// /// 05
145300 3459N 07602W 6963 02817 9626 +120 //// 196078 079 /// /// 05
145330 3459N 07600W 6969 02816 9638 +119 //// 191081 084 /// /// 05
145400 3459N 07557W 6963 02831 9645 +126 //// 191083 084 /// /// 05
145430 3459N 07555W 6968 02834 9656 +125 //// 189086 087 /// /// 05
145500 3458N 07553W 6963 02845 9669 +121 //// 188088 089 /// /// 05
145530 3458N 07551W 6967 02852 9668 +130 +120 189089 089 /// /// 03
145600 3458N 07549W 6965 02861 9673 +133 +115 190088 089 /// /// 03
145630 3458N 07547W 6971 02860 9678 +135 +109 187085 085 /// /// 03
145700 3458N 07545W 6963 02874 9686 +133 +110 187083 083 /// /// 03
145730 3458N 07543W 6971 02874 9691 +133 +108 187082 082 /// /// 03
145800 3458N 07541W 6965 02882 9698 +134 +106 187079 080 /// /// 03
145830 3458N 07539W 6967 02889 9700 +138 +103 188079 079 /// /// 03
145900 3458N 07536W 6966 02897 9712 +132 +102 188077 078 /// /// 03
145930 3458N 07534W 6967 02895 9719 +130 +106 190077 077 /// /// 03
150000 3458N 07532W 6969 02900 9722 +131 +104 190075 076 /// /// 03
150030 3458N 07530W 6970 02900 9731 +128 +107 190075 076 /// /// 03
$$
;
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Hogweed
Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Ustream guy at http://www.ustream.tv/channel/live-seve ... her-webcam seeing some more action now at Morehead NC
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seahawkjd
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
It wouldn't be a hurricane if the crystal coast didn't lose a pier. I tried to call my parents in Beaufort and noone answered the cell so I assume cell phones (at least US Cellular) is down there. A little concerned but we went through a lot of hurricanes in the house they're in and its well above sea level.
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Gloria, Hugo, Emily, Bertha, Bonnie, Dennis (twice), Fran, Floyd, Isabel, Irene, Arthur, Matthew, Florence, Dorian (and many tropical storms and nor'easters).
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Dave
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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Irene is getting that convective ball right over core/post landfall look that so many hurricanes show. She should gradually wind down from here but what an impressively large circulation with copious amounts of rainfall heading for the northeast along with surge . Hours and hours of tropical storm force winds will cause power outages but probably not the massive 2-3 week type events if she would still be a cat 3 right now. Stay safe and good luck to all those in Irene's path.
. Hours and hours of tropical storm force winds will cause power outages but probably not the massive 2-3 week type events if she would still be a cat 3 right now. Stay safe and good luck to all those in Irene's path.
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