ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Janie2006]

Tornadoes are a major part of a hurricane threat, they can be found in the outer bands as well as the eyewall...this is common of most hurricanes....and not necessarily an effect of latitude or interaction with a trough. You have to assume that the tornado threat exists and that they will be *very* fast movers once they get going. My experience has been that they tend to be EF1 or EF2 strength, but your milage may vary.

[lilac]

Hey everyone. Im in southwest suffolk county. Our power is out now. For everyone else in this storm stay safe!

[southerngale]

Yes I stand corrected. Energy latent transfer has no relevance whatsoever during times like these, going through atlantic cyclogenesis 'bombs' I must be talking rubbish. Sorry but too many people here with ego's, not going to bother contributing anymore if all I get is cr-p for giving a link.

It has nothing to do with egos. There's a huge difference in 15 ft. waves and a 15 ft. surge. They were just pointing that out.

[jlauderdal]

Yes I stand corrected. Energy latent transfer has no relevance whatsoever during times like these, going through atlantic cyclogenesis 'bombs' I must be talking rubbish. Sorry but too many people here with ego's, not going to bother contributing anymore if all I get is cr-p for giving a link.

the link was great, your facts were wrong so you were corrected, you will see many people get corrected on this board, thats a good thing that the goal is correct information, btw there is a laundry list of contributors on this board that have vast experience with atlantic cyclogenis bombs so prepare yourself to be corrected if the facts are incorrect...now back to the storm.

[southerngale]

La guardia already gusting to 69mph, per TWC.

[jinftl]

Winds really picking up on eastern tip of Long Island....Fisher's Island (north of Montauk, just south of Groton, CT) reporting sustained ts force winds with gusts to 50 mph in last half hour.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =KNYFISHE1

[funster]

Landfall Little Egg Inlet NJ as 75 mph cat 1 ...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0938.shtml

[ncbird]

To all my friends around eastern NC.... our cleanup begins. With temps rising into the 90's in some of our hard hit counties, no electric means difficulty finding a place to cool off. Please all be careful as you are out trying to take care of the mess Irene left behind.

To those up North yet to feel her wrath or are dealing with her now, my thoughts go out to you and your families.

Be safe all

[Gustywind]

Be safe and dry all my friends, those who are in the path of Irene! Best thoughts for you and prayers from the Leewards islands . Keep the faith!
Regards
Gustywind

[storm4u]

6 hours until the real fun starts here center should pass right over to me or just west

[Chacor]

Quick round-up of the latest obs..

Kennedy Intl
KJFK 281047Z AUTO 10032G39KT 1 1/2SM R04R/6000VP6000FT +RA BR BKN008 OVC016 22/20 A2887 RMK AO2 PK WND 11040/1027 PRESFR P0027 TSNO

Pressure down to 977 mbar at JFK, sustained 37 mph, gusting 45 mph.

NYC Central Park
KNYC 281038Z AUTO 09012G22KT 040V150 3/4SM +RA BR BKN009 BKN014 OVC020 21/21 A2895 RMK AO2 PK WND 08026/1023 CIG 006V012 PRESFR P0040 TSNO

Pressure 980 mbar, sustained 14 mph, gusting 25 mph.

Dulles International
KIAD 281042Z 30017G24KT 9SM RA FEW021 BKN030 BKN035 21/19 A2929 RMK AO2 PK WND 32030/1019 P0004

Pressure 991 mb, sustained 20 mph, gusting 28 mph.

Newark International
KEWR 281017Z 07023G34KT 2SM +RA BR FEW003 BKN008 OVC021 23/21 A2892 RMK AO2 PK WND 07034/1017 TWR VIS 2 1/2 CIG 007V010 P0027

Pressure 979 mbar, sustained 26 mph gusting 39 mph.

Philadelphia International
KPHL 281021Z 35016G24KT 9SM -RA BKN018 BKN024 OVC029 23/21 A2878 RMK AO2 P0004

Pressure 974 mbar, sustained 18 mph, gusting 28 mph.

Dover Air Force Base, DE
KDOV 281045Z AUTO 28024G32KT 4SM -DZ BR BKN010 OVC015 21/20 A2887 RMK AO2 PK WND 28041/1005 RAE1017DZB1017 PRESRR SLP777

Pressure 977 mbar, sustained 28 mph gusting 37 mph.

[tolakram]

saved radar loop this morning

[beoumont]

I drove from Vero Beach, Florida and arrived at Atlantic Beach Friday 3 PM. Frolicked in tumultuous surf , and viewed 8 ft. breakers beyond the 400 yard deep ocean-ward frothy soup line until just before dark. Always exhilarating to feel the oncoming gustiness and wild surf line of a soon to landfall hurricane.

Spent night at motel 2 blocks from northern end of causeway at Morehead City. 1.76 miles from the ocean shoreline as the crow flies.

Highest gust just after dawn, an estimated 80 mph. Saw a few of the green-flashes on the coast, indicating hurricane gusts had touched the shore.

Barometer read 951.5 MB. for about a half hour. wind in clouded eye usually 5-15 mph.

Drove around at noon all around Morehead City near the sound and only "damage" was a few small limbs down, a shingle or two here and there, and some leaves on the ground.

Drove to causeway bridge entrance and talked with police officer manning the roadblock. He noted that he had just driven the length of Atlantic Beach, and saw pretty much what I did on the mainland side.

On radio a Coast Guard helicopter pilot stated: We flew the coast from Lookout Point to Wilmington. Damage was much less than anticipated. A few limbs and weak trees down, no roof damage to note, some minor flooding..

Next.

[wxman57]

Looks like a TS heading north along the coast of New Jersey. No evidence it is still a hurricane in surface obs. Strongest wind I see is 35 kts south of western LI, though a lot of obs are missing. Recon was indicating 40-50 kts on SFMR recently. It appears stronger winds have elevated above the surface. I hope those in NY don't think they went through a hurricane today.

Irene appears to have weakened since this 0730Z HRD wind analysis:

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/hwind/2 ... tour04.png

[SouthFLTropics]

Looks like a TS heading north along the coast of New Jersey. No evidence it is still a hurricane in surface obs. Strongest wind I see is 35 kts south of western LI, though a lot of obs are missing. Recon was indicating 40-50 kts on SFMR recently. It appears stronger winds have elevated above the surface. I hope those in NY don't think they went through a hurricane today.

Agreed...This is how complacency is born. The media hyped it up...and rightfully so. But when it turns out to not be near as bad as what it was "hyped" to be then the next time when there is a real threat a good portion of people will not pay attention to it.

SFT

[SouthFLTropics]

Tolakram...That radar loop is one to save for sure. A very rare sight indeed.

SFT

[jlauderdal]

Looks like a TS heading north along the coast of New Jersey. No evidence it is still a hurricane in surface obs. Strongest wind I see is 35 kts south of western LI, though a lot of obs are missing. Recon was indicating 40-50 kts on SFMR recently. It appears stronger winds have elevated above the surface. I hope those in NY don't think they went through a hurricane today.

Agreed...This is how complacency is born. The media hyped it up...and rightfully so. But when it turns out to not be near as bad as what it was "hyped" to be then the next time when there is a real threat a good portion of people will not pay attention to it.

SFT

media is really struggling to find something to cover today, anderson cooper standing there with no wind and moderate rain

[SouthFLTropics]

Looks like a TS heading north along the coast of New Jersey. No evidence it is still a hurricane in surface obs. Strongest wind I see is 35 kts south of western LI, though a lot of obs are missing. Recon was indicating 40-50 kts on SFMR recently. It appears stronger winds have elevated above the surface. I hope those in NY don't think they went through a hurricane today.

Agreed...This is how complacency is born. The media hyped it up...and rightfully so. But when it turns out to not be near as bad as what it was "hyped" to be then the next time when there is a real threat a good portion of people will not pay attention to it.

SFT

media is really struggling to find something to cover today, anderson cooper standing there with no wind and moderate rain

Yes, I was watching his broadcast as well. I can imagine people who evacuated that area saying to themselves right now that the emergency officials and the mayor were full of *$&%. Let's hope they don't ever get to experience a real bad storm (i.e. Ivan, Katrina, Andrew).

SFT

[jinftl]

WHDH Boston has a reporter live in Central Park New York - folks are jogging in the park. Power is on and no sign of trees down.

Reporter said, 'some folks are saying the worst is yet to come, though others are beginning to suggest that this may be as bad as it is going to get'.

500 TV reporters are now furiously searching for a downed tree limb to report live from!!!!

[Terry]

Looks like a TS heading north along the coast of New Jersey. No evidence it is still a hurricane in surface obs. Strongest wind I see is 35 kts south of western LI, though a lot of obs are missing. Recon was indicating 40-50 kts on SFMR recently. It appears stronger winds have elevated above the surface. I hope those in NY don't think they went through a hurricane today.

Agreed...This is how complacency is born. The media hyped it up...and rightfully so. But when it turns out to not be near as bad as what it was "hyped" to be then the next time when there is a real threat a good portion of people will not pay attention to it.

SFT

media is really struggling to find something to cover today, anderson cooper standing there with no wind and moderate rain

Until we can predict with certainty the track and the intensity, it seems to me that the media and officials are in a no win situation. Either they are accused of ignoring much needed preps or they are accused of hype and over-reacting.

Bryan Norcross was just saying that the strongest winds are way out on the eastern/NE side of Irene and that Boston *could* see stronger winds that NYC. Wondering if that will pan out.