fci wrote:Nice quibbling going on here for what is supposed to happen a week from now.![]()
Bottom line is that it is fun to see what the models say 7-10 days from now and NO ONE is right or wrong at this point.
The interesting thing is, obviously; climatology says recurve will happen BUT there are models telling us to hold off on the slam-dunk of a recurve.
So, after we went through the saga of Irene; many are on edge and the fact that there is no complete consensus of a solid recurve means we still need to pay attention.
I'd still bet on a recurve but nothing is absolute with the tropics as we have all learned time and time again.
Seems like people are either assuming a curve way out past NS without sniffing the usa, or due west hitting florida or even points south. I am somewhere in the middle on that. I think it will curve, but much later than expected, ending up pulling a Irene track, that is just my assumption though.