ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[MGC]

Rumble of thunder off to my south. Looks like yet another cell will be moving ashore soon. Just finished watching the WC and yep, looks like a closed low south of Louisiana. I'm on the wet side so it will be like this for some time.....MGC

[djmikey]

I'm really losing hope fast! When does the euro come out?

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 011750
NOAA2 01HHA INVEST HDOB 10 20110901
174030 2719N 08904W 6492 03812 0100 +080 +025 098017 019 /// /// 03
174100 2717N 08903W 6490 03814 0096 +083 +021 088012 014 /// /// 03
174130 2718N 08901W 6489 03814 0093 +084 +019 104011 012 036 002 03
174200 2719N 08859W 6489 03813 0100 +080 +016 134014 015 034 000 00
174230 2720N 08858W 6488 03812 0100 +078 +013 134014 014 033 000 00
174300 2722N 08856W 6489 03813 0101 +079 +021 123014 014 032 000 00
174330 2723N 08854W 6741 03492 0100 +095 +028 124015 016 032 000 00
174400 2725N 08852W 6908 03287 0101 +108 +043 129017 019 032 000 00
174430 2726N 08851W 7124 03032 0113 +115 +064 145017 020 /// /// 03
174500 2728N 08851W 7335 02791 0119 +126 +082 151025 026 /// /// 03
174530 2729N 08853W 7386 02735 0118 +130 +094 142027 029 /// /// 03
174600 2728N 08854W 7661 02420 0127 +133 +117 135023 026 032 000 03
174630 2726N 08853W 7909 02157 0132 +150 +132 137020 021 /// /// 03
174700 2727N 08851W 8172 01878 0140 +162 +139 136024 026 /// /// 03
174730 2729N 08850W 8404 01642 0137 +179 +149 140027 028 /// /// 03
174800 2730N 08853W 8718 01316 0132 +195 +167 135027 029 /// /// 03
174830 2730N 08855W 8972 01066 0132 +207 +180 136029 031 030 000 03
174900 2728N 08856W 9226 00825 0132 +220 +191 140028 029 032 000 00
174930 2727N 08858W 9413 00648 0131 +232 +196 143028 029 031 000 00
175000 2725N 08859W 9537 00534 0132 +237 +199 144025 025 031 000 00

[South Texas Storms]

I'm really losing hope fast! When does the euro come out?

I am too. It's updating right now. Up to 48 hours so far. Looks like this run might send it NE too.

[underthwx]

Rumble of thunder off to my south. Looks like yet another cell will be moving ashore soon. Just finished watching the WC and yep, looks like a closed low south of Louisiana. I'm on the wet side so it will be like this for some time.....MGC

what are the winds like there?

[ColinDelia]

Im curious to see how wide the 5 day cone will be if its upgraded.

The width of the cone is the same for every storm in a season.

239 nautical miles for 5 days. See:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutcone.shtml

[Stormcenter]

Did any of the models have 93L at the location it's at today?
As I stated before in another post. I believe only the NAM had
it where it's at today. My point is I have very little confidence in any
of the model runs for 93L "right now". JMHO

[Dave]

000
URNT11 KWBC 011750
97779 17504 50274 89010 04700 14023 24223 /8002 41425 92280
RMK NOAA2 01HHA INVEST OB 03 KWBC

[djmikey]

I'm really losing hope fast! When does the euro come out?

I am too. It's updating right now. Up to 48 hours so far. Looks like this run might send it NE too.

Will it atleast bump TX at ALL? This would be so horrible that it gets THIS CLOSE to TX and then laughs at u before it shoots off NE....

[Aric Dunn]

They are searching for it to far east..

[South Texas Storms]

I'm really losing hope fast! When does the euro come out?

I am too. It's updating right now. Up to 48 hours so far. Looks like this run might send it NE too.

Will it atleast bump TX at ALL? This would be so horrible that it gets THIS CLOSE to TX and then laughs at it shoots off NE....

Yeah I feel the same way. Absolute heartbreaker, but knowing our luck and horrible drought, it will probably verify.

[BigB0882]

Tonight's 00z runs should have a center to go off of if this gets classified. Then after that it is all so close that we can just watch the radars and what not, although models will still be useful if this is still supposed to stall for a few days so we can know what to expect 4-5 days out. Never had that happen before, having a storm on your door step but still need to look at models to know where it will be in 4 days. Usually we just assume it will be gone, haha.

[mvtrucking]

Rumble of thunder off to my south. Looks like yet another cell will be moving ashore soon. Just finished watching the WC and yep, looks like a closed low south of Louisiana. I'm on the wet side so it will be like this for some time.....MGC

I would do backflips if we got any moisture here in northeast Louisiana (Monroe) but I won't hold
my breath.

[MGC]

what are the winds like there?

I am about one long block from the beach. The winds are on and off gusty. Right now the tree tops are swaying a good bit.....MGC

Raining like crazy right now.

[Houstonia]

I'm really losing hope fast! When does the euro come out?

I am too. It's updating right now. Up to 48 hours so far. Looks like this run might send it NE too.

Is there somewhere to look at the Euro? A graphic, not just the coordinates?

thanks.

[gboudx]

Will it atleast bump TX at ALL? This would be so horrible that it gets THIS CLOSE to TX and then laughs at u before it shoots off NE....

Don't Mess With Texas is too strong a PSA apparently. Needs some exceptions.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 011800
NOAA2 01HHA INVEST HDOB 11 20110901
175030 2724N 08900W 9577 00500 0133 +237 +212 145023 023 032 000 00
175100 2723N 08902W 9578 00495 0131 +236 +215 145024 024 033 000 00
175130 2721N 08903W 9577 00494 0129 +239 +212 151024 024 034 000 00
175200 2720N 08905W 9578 00496 0130 +241 +216 148023 024 033 000 00
175230 2719N 08906W 9577 00496 0130 +239 +218 143024 025 033 000 00
175300 2718N 08908W 9579 00492 0128 +239 +224 146024 025 033 000 00
175330 2716N 08909W 9580 00491 0127 +235 +234 144024 025 035 002 00
175400 2715N 08911W 9579 00491 0126 +238 +230 150024 025 032 000 00
175430 2714N 08912W 9578 00492 0126 +238 +226 147027 027 034 001 00
175500 2713N 08914W 9579 00491 0126 +238 +220 150027 028 034 000 00
175530 2711N 08915W 9580 00491 0127 +239 +220 150026 028 034 000 00
175600 2710N 08917W 9579 00490 0126 +241 +218 148027 028 033 000 00
175630 2709N 08918W 9581 00491 0127 +240 +220 145027 028 032 000 00
175700 2708N 08919W 9581 00487 0123 +241 +223 141027 027 032 000 00
175730 2706N 08921W 9579 00488 0122 +241 +223 137028 028 033 000 00
175800 2705N 08922W 9578 00488 0122 +241 +223 138029 030 034 001 00
175830 2704N 08924W 9578 00486 0120 +244 +221 140028 029 034 000 00
175900 2702N 08925W 9580 00484 0119 +240 +227 140026 026 032 001 00
175930 2701N 08927W 9580 00482 0117 +240 +231 136021 022 030 001 00
180000 2700N 08928W 9580 00481 0115 +242 +236 140020 020 032 001 00

[Ivanhater]

12z Euro...72 hours. Heading ENE to NE.



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[mf_dolphin]

Need to sniff around 90-91 not 89

[South Texas Storms]

Yep now we are officially DONE. Why am I not surprised at all? Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.