ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[Countrygirl911]

To those worried about those 10" or 15" rain predictions and having a heart attack. Just remember these are the same models that predict the blizzards that never happen in the deep south during Winter time. As I always say I'll believe it when I see it. IMO

sorry if i sounded like i was worried about the 10 to 15 inches of rain i know that our drought here is not as bad as yours but we sure need the rain the grass and trees here has started to die most of my yard is almost completely bare and just dirt. i know that is not even close to what yall in TX is going thru i just wanted to know if this was going to pan out and if there a chance of being more since it is suppose to sit off the coast of LA for days so that i know what i need to do for all our animals outside

[Tireman4]

Well. Dadgum. Crud. Heck.

[Dave]

[Tireman4]

That is it. I am done. When Wxman 57 says it is looking more likely - move to the mid to SW LA coast, stall, drop south into the Gulf and loop around a bit, then back to the north and possibly NE. SW movement into Texas looking less likely, then I am done. I am going into full blow FALL MODE!! Back OT.

[poof121]

Looks like the ULL is moving off to the NW...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-wv.html

[Comanche]

Alrighty then, it's time to bring out Jobu for this lack of rain.........(classic from Major League for you young-uns).

[poof121]

Alrighty then, it's time to bring out Jobu for this lack of rain.........(classic from Major League for you young-uns).

Oh I love that movie!!!

[Tireman4]

Great movie...The Great Jobu!!!

[lostsole]

Quite breezy here in Pcola, and it just feels like there is energy in the air, gonna go check out the waves tonight and see how big they are getting already. I put my bets on Mobile or here for it to come ashore eventually. I dont worry about rain with us, but maybe inland and to the west it could be an issue. Ive seen us get 2 feet of rain in a day and it just ran off for the most part. Storm Surge is what worries me, and the beach erosion.

[BigB0882]

Will the ULL moving off to the NW mean more or less shear? Could it even enhance the system?

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Well "first band" just got here. No wind a little thunder and moderate to heavy rain. Updated NWS hazards now has Baton Rouge and surrounding parishes under flash flood watch. Earlier it was the southern most part of SE LA . My parish is also now under the 10"+ rain swath with BTR upwards of 6". Only expect this to continue to go up as the sytems organizes more.

[wxman57]

That is it. I am done. When Wxman 57 says it is looking more likely - move to the mid to SW LA coast, stall, drop south into the Gulf and loop around a bit, then back to the north and possibly NE. SW movement into Texas looking less likely, then I am done. I am going into full blow FALL MODE!! Back OT.

There's still hope. It was just one model cycle. Unfortunately, it was every model in the cycle. It might drift far enough west over the weekend that we could get some bands of storms moving in from the northeast.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 012030
NOAA2 01HHA INVEST HDOB 26 20110901
202030 2620N 09156W 9586 00451 0085 +259 +232 354022 022 025 000 00
202100 2618N 09157W 9584 00453 0085 +260 +228 356020 020 023 000 00
202130 2617N 09158W 9586 00452 0085 +263 +219 356020 021 025 000 03
202200 2615N 09159W 9588 00451 0086 +262 +215 353020 021 028 000 00
202230 2613N 09200W 9585 00455 0087 +263 +217 354020 021 026 000 00
202300 2611N 09200W 9588 00450 0085 +263 +218 352020 020 025 000 00
202330 2609N 09200W 9585 00453 0086 +256 +228 342019 019 025 000 00
202400 2607N 09200W 9584 00453 0086 +253 +242 342015 017 024 000 00
202430 2605N 09200W 9589 00447 0085 +253 +238 349017 018 024 000 00
202500 2603N 09200W 9587 00451 0086 +253 +234 350017 018 023 000 00
202530 2601N 09200W 9587 00451 0086 +254 +229 352018 018 022 000 00
202600 2559N 09200W 9588 00449 0085 +258 +218 348018 018 022 000 00
202630 2557N 09200W 9586 00451 0085 +256 +223 345017 018 023 000 00
202700 2555N 09200W 9589 00448 0085 +257 +229 339018 019 022 000 00
202730 2553N 09200W 9585 00452 0085 +259 +224 336017 017 022 000 00
202800 2551N 09200W 9588 00449 0085 +262 +220 333017 018 023 000 00
202830 2549N 09200W 9588 00449 0085 +257 +234 330017 019 028 003 00
202900 2547N 09200W 9587 00451 0085 +249 +240 349015 017 031 004 00
202930 2545N 09200W 9586 00452 0085 +259 +234 323016 016 030 000 00
203000 2543N 09200W 9587 00448 0085 +260 +236 324016 016 025 000 00

[PTrackerLA]

Ironic that there's a flood watch for areas currently in a Severe drought and the rains really haven't even started yet . This could easily be the heaviest rain event for Louisiana since 2001.

[HouTXmetro]

Sent from my PC36100 using Tapatalk

[BigB0882]

Then that rain should be knocking on my door very very soon. I live in the south part of the city.

[Dave]

Satellite Updated

[lebron23]

12z-18z runs last night were in favor of LA 00z-6z were in favor of TX

[Tireman4]

That is it. I am done. When Wxman 57 says it is looking more likely - move to the mid to SW LA coast, stall, drop south into the Gulf and loop around a bit, then back to the north and possibly NE. SW movement into Texas looking less likely, then I am done. I am going into full blow FALL MODE!! Back OT.

There's still hope. It was just one model cycle. Unfortunately, it was every model in the cycle. It might drift far enough west over the weekend that we could get some bands of storms moving in from the northeast.

Now you are just not wanting the cool temperatures with fall....LOL or trying to make us feel better. Again, WORST SUMMER EVER. Sigh. Back OT

[Dean4Storms]

So Euro jumped east too, looks like a consensus forming toward a north gulf coast landfall.