ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[SouthFloridawx]

Definitely multiple low level centers...

[Stormcenter]

Lots of convection yes but very ragged looking. IMO

This sure looks like a strengthening tropical system to my novice eyes.

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/ ... e_anim.gif

[underthwx]

In looking at all of the steering current 5 day movies I just don't see how this doesn't make it to at least the TX/LA border.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/movies/wg8dlm2/wg8dlm2java.html

im tryin to hold my mouth right..maybe thatll give it a nudge....




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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Portastorm]

You don't suppose we could move some of our giant wind turbines from west Texas over to Mississippi and Louisiana and blow TD #13 our way, do you?!

OK ... I'll stop. Moderators should set a better example. Blame it on drought/heat desperation.

[SFLcane]

AL, 13, 2011090212, , BEST, 0, 270N, 916W, 35, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 100, 100, 0, 0, 1010, 180, 80, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, THIRTEEN, M

[tailgater]

Pressure down to 1003.4 extraplated. Very weak LLC and maybe more than 1.

[Dave]

367
URNT15 KNHC 021416
AF306 0213A CYCLONE HDOB 17 20110902
140500 2708N 09105W 9770 00236 0036 +256 +218 091006 006 019 001 00
140530 2706N 09105W 9766 00241 0037 +260 +216 060003 004 019 001 00
140600 2705N 09105W 9768 00241 0038 +258 +216 056004 004 020 000 00
140630 2703N 09104W 9768 00240 0038 +257 +219 045004 004 021 001 00
140700 2701N 09104W 9773 00236 0039 +259 +220 037007 010 026 001 03
140730 2700N 09103W 9769 00244 0042 +255 +225 300002 005 022 002 00
140800 2659N 09102W 9772 00240 0042 +253 +229 196004 006 024 004 00
140830 2657N 09102W 9769 00244 0042 +260 +223 170005 006 021 001 00
140900 2656N 09101W 9765 00249 0043 +261 +221 164005 006 020 001 00
140930 2654N 09100W 9772 00243 0045 +262 +222 144003 004 /// /// 03
141000 2653N 09101W 9766 00249 0046 +264 +217 177002 002 019 000 00
141030 2652N 09102W 9768 00248 0046 +265 +216 230001 002 019 001 03
141100 2651N 09104W 9765 00251 0046 +265 +216 338001 001 020 002 00
141130 2651N 09106W 9773 00244 0046 +265 +218 260001 002 019 000 03
141200 2650N 09106W 9762 00253 0046 +265 +215 240004 005 /// /// 03
141230 2648N 09105W 9772 00244 0046 +265 +216 227005 006 019 000 03
141300 2648N 09104W 9762 00254 0047 +264 +220 203004 005 023 000 03
141330 2648N 09102W 9766 00250 0046 +263 +219 174005 006 023 000 00
141400 2648N 09100W 9769 00246 0046 +260 +218 181005 006 019 001 00
141430 2648N 09059W 9770 00246 0046 +260 +216 184005 006 020 000 00
$$
;

[underthwx]

whats the shear like this morning?.......

[petit_bois]

Heavy rain has begun here. Its going to be a long weekend.
Lots of movies, popcorn, pizza and cool-aid in between surf sessions.

[psyclone]

Reminds me of Frances 1998

Yeah, except it rained in Texas during Frances and apparently, it's never going to rain in Texas again.

if anything, it would appear based on current trends that southwest louisiana may be high and dry as well. it seems as if the extremely heavy rain is targeting southest LA to the the western FL panhandle.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[DESTRUCTION5]

AL, 13, 2011090212, , BEST, 0, 270N, 916W, 35, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 100, 100, 0, 0, 1010, 180, 80, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, THIRTEEN, M

Lee it is...

[underthwx]

Heavy rain has begun here. Its going to be a long weekend.
Lots of movies, popcorn, pizza and cool-aid in between surf sessions.

take some pictures...

[deltadog03]

The shear is really dropping off now...Should be a TS by afternoon.

[Dave]

[HenkL]

LLC around 27.0N 91.0W, half a degree south of the 'center' found at 1500m height.
Extrapolated SLP 1004 hPa.

[underthwx]

The shear is really dropping off now...Should be a TS by afternoon.

in what way could that affect the track?...





The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[HouTXmetro]

Slightly off topic, but 66 million trees have died in Houston alone due to the drought. We really needed this system.

Sent from my PC36100 using Tapatalk

[Dave]

273
URNT15 KNHC 021424
AF306 0213A CYCLONE HDOB 18 20110902
141500 2647N 09057W 9768 00250 0048 +254 +218 181011 013 022 000 00
141530 2648N 09055W 9768 00250 0050 +252 +219 182013 016 023 000 00
141600 2648N 09053W 9766 00254 0051 +250 +216 184015 016 027 001 00
141630 2648N 09052W 9769 00252 0052 +250 +216 187016 016 026 000 03
141700 2647N 09050W 9767 00254 0053 +250 +214 197017 018 028 000 00
141730 2646N 09049W 9768 00254 0053 +251 +213 200018 019 027 001 00
141800 2645N 09048W 9768 00254 0053 +250 +212 204017 018 027 001 03
141830 2644N 09046W 9764 00257 0053 +252 +210 202019 020 024 001 03
141900 2644N 09045W 9769 00251 0052 +253 +209 213017 017 026 000 00
141930 2644N 09043W 9774 00248 0053 +242 +213 211019 020 026 001 03
142000 2645N 09041W 9770 00251 0053 +241 +215 213022 022 028 001 00
142030 2646N 09039W 9769 00253 0055 +240 +216 209022 023 027 001 00
142100 2646N 09037W 9771 00254 0057 +242 +218 202017 018 022 001 03
142130 2647N 09036W 9766 00258 0057 +242 +217 184017 018 026 000 03
142200 2649N 09036W 9767 00257 0057 +242 +217 181019 020 027 001 00
142230 2651N 09035W 9769 00255 0056 +246 +216 186023 024 029 002 00
142300 2652N 09034W 9767 00257 0056 +245 +218 190025 026 031 001 00
142330 2654N 09034W 9767 00255 0054 +247 +216 191027 027 033 000 03
142400 2656N 09033W 9769 00252 0053 +250 +215 190025 026 032 001 00
142430 2658N 09033W 9771 00249 0052 +247 +219 185023 024 029 000 00
$$
;

[Bluefrog]

OMG .... if it rains like this for days ...we are in trouble. We've had enough already ... would gladly send to Texas ..... {{{{{{blowing it your way}}}}}}}}

[EasyTiger]

If you look at the visible, it looks like the entire system is moving due west:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tropical/satpix/gmex_vis_loop.php

Also, all of the convection was displaced to the east, but now appears to be wrapping around all sides of the LLC which was previously somewhat naked. Confusing forecast to say the least.