ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[Dave]

[Sanibel]

SST's are driving development despite the shear. Wish the rain stayed longer, we're really behind this year.

[underthwx]

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1026 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE GULF BEACHFRONT AND
SHORE OF GALVESTON BAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

...RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...

.SWELLS AND ROUGH SURF ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL SYSTEM
IN THE GULF WILL RESULT IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND
A RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

TXZ214-236>238-022330-
/O.NEW.KHGX.CF.S.0001.110902T1526Z-110903T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.RP.S.0003.110902T1526Z-110905T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON-MATAGORDA-
1026 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE GULF BEACHFRONT AND
SHORE OF GALVESTON BAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

...RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE BEACHES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.



FYI...





Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Dave]

456
URNT15 KNHC 021554
AF306 0213A CYCLONE HDOB 27 20110902
154500 2750N 09142W 8429 01542 0054 +195 +105 085019 020 017 000 00
154530 2750N 09140W 8433 01538 0053 +194 +105 083018 019 015 000 00
154600 2750N 09139W 8430 01541 0052 +195 +105 081017 017 015 001 00
154630 2750N 09137W 8429 01542 0051 +195 +105 081018 019 013 001 00
154700 2750N 09135W 8429 01541 0050 +196 +105 081019 019 012 001 00
154730 2750N 09133W 8426 01545 0052 +193 +105 083019 020 013 000 00
154800 2750N 09132W 8430 01539 0052 +191 +105 085018 018 011 000 00
154830 2750N 09130W 8426 01542 0049 +198 +105 091018 020 012 000 00
154900 2750N 09128W 8429 01539 0045 +203 +105 095018 019 013 000 00
154930 2749N 09127W 8430 01536 0050 +195 +104 092015 017 014 000 00
155000 2749N 09125W 8429 01538 0051 +193 +105 091014 015 014 000 00
155030 2749N 09123W 8424 01545 0049 +194 +105 087014 015 015 000 00
155100 2749N 09122W 8428 01540 0048 +195 +105 087015 015 012 000 00
155130 2749N 09120W 8429 01537 0049 +193 +106 091013 014 015 000 00
155200 2748N 09118W 8429 01538 0046 +197 +106 095014 015 015 000 00
155230 2748N 09116W 8430 01536 0048 +194 +106 099013 014 015 000 00
155300 2748N 09115W 8430 01537 0053 +188 +106 117012 013 013 000 00
155330 2748N 09113W 8421 01545 0048 +194 +106 101012 012 012 000 00
155400 2748N 09111W 8430 01536 0049 +192 +107 126011 011 012 000 00
155430 2747N 09109W 8432 01534 0048 +194 +107 128011 012 014 000 00
$$
;

[bayoubebe]

I'm surprised to see no rain or wind out here, at the moment. Little showers earlier, but no wind at all. I guess that will change?

[Portastorm]

I'm surprised to see no rain or wind out here, at the moment. Little showers earlier, but no wind at all. I guess that will change?

Where are you located? It would be good if you added your location to your profile.

[Stormcenter]

It sure has the appearance of moving NW. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

[Dave]

[Dave]

740
URNT15 KNHC 021604
AF306 0213A CYCLONE HDOB 28 20110902
155500 2747N 09108W 8429 01537 0048 +195 +107 130013 013 014 000 00
155530 2747N 09106W 8429 01539 0051 +190 +107 137011 012 019 001 00
155600 2747N 09104W 8427 01541 0053 +186 +106 147011 011 019 000 00
155630 2746N 09102W 8433 01536 0055 +186 +107 150011 012 021 001 00
155700 2746N 09101W 8424 01544 0055 +186 +107 160013 013 020 000 00
155730 2746N 09059W 8432 01540 0058 +183 +107 161015 016 017 001 00
155800 2746N 09057W 8423 01548 0058 +183 +107 158017 018 020 002 00
155830 2746N 09055W 8444 01526 0059 +184 +108 161015 015 025 001 00
155900 2745N 09053W 8425 01547 0062 +178 +104 164016 017 030 003 00
155930 2745N 09052W 8429 01544 0062 +182 +104 152017 018 030 001 00
160000 2745N 09050W 8426 01546 0062 +182 +104 156016 017 030 000 00
160030 2745N 09048W 8429 01545 0063 +183 +104 155014 015 029 000 00
160100 2744N 09046W 8426 01548 0065 +180 +105 154014 014 027 001 00
160130 2744N 09045W 8428 01548 0067 +180 +105 155014 016 028 001 00
160200 2744N 09043W 8426 01551 0066 +181 +106 152014 015 028 001 00
160230 2744N 09041W 8429 01546 0069 +179 +106 152014 014 026 000 03
160300 2744N 09039W 8426 01553 0070 +178 +107 160016 016 027 000 00
160330 2745N 09037W 8429 01549 0071 +176 +107 160015 015 027 000 00
160400 2745N 09036W 8429 01548 0070 +177 +107 164016 016 028 001 00
160430 2745N 09034W 8428 01551 0071 +175 +107 167016 016 029 002 00
$$
;

[bigGbear]

What's with all this buildup to the southwest in the last few hours?

[Wayne]

Weather in Lafayette riminds me of how it changed just before Rita and Gustav, clouds are getting darker wind is getting stronger and substained East to West

[PTrackerLA]

Looks like the GFS has backed off some on the ridiculously high rainfall totals, hopefully that is a good sign as the storm basically sits just under or over south central Louisiana for a few days. I don't think we would have a problem taking 5"-8" of rain spread out over a few days since it has been so dry.

[underthwx]

It sure has the appearance of moving NW. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

looks interesting at the end of the loop..if you look ESE from Galveston Bay...





Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[gboudx]

It sure has the appearance of moving NW. IMO

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

looks interesting at the end of the loop..if you look ESE from Galveston Bay...





Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

That's associated with the ULL passing near Houston.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

[bbadon]

OK Mets help us out here what in the world are we seeing on visible. Is the center really that broad?

[Dave]

[Dave]

319
URNT15 KNHC 021614
AF306 0213A CYCLONE HDOB 29 20110902
160500 2745N 09032W 8429 01551 0072 +175 +107 164017 018 029 000 00
160530 2746N 09030W 8428 01553 0075 +175 +108 163018 019 031 001 00
160600 2746N 09028W 8428 01551 0075 +175 +107 169017 017 030 001 00
160630 2746N 09027W 8425 01555 0076 +174 +107 176019 020 033 001 00
160700 2746N 09025W 8429 01551 0076 +174 +107 178019 020 033 000 00
160730 2747N 09023W 8426 01552 0075 +175 +107 179023 023 034 001 00
160800 2747N 09021W 8429 01551 0075 +175 +108 179025 027 035 001 00
160830 2747N 09019W 8430 01548 0074 +175 +108 181026 026 035 003 00
160900 2747N 09017W 8425 01554 0075 +175 +108 178026 027 035 005 00
160930 2747N 09017W 8425 01554 0074 +173 +108 169033 035 039 008 00
161000 2748N 09014W 8434 01543 0075 +169 +107 170032 035 042 007 03
161030 2747N 09012W 8425 01553 0074 +174 +104 164034 035 041 007 00
161100 2746N 09011W 8428 01552 0075 +175 +101 159034 035 042 005 00
161130 2745N 09010W 8427 01553 0073 +178 +101 156035 036 041 005 00
161200 2745N 09008W 8430 01549 0079 +173 +100 164030 032 041 004 03
161230 2743N 09008W 8418 01563 0075 +178 +101 162027 028 035 004 03
161300 2742N 09009W 8431 01549 0071 +180 +101 157028 030 035 004 00
161330 2741N 09011W 8429 01551 0071 +179 +102 157027 029 031 002 00
161400 2740N 09012W 8429 01549 0072 +180 +100 156024 025 031 001 00
161430 2739N 09013W 8427 01550 0069 +182 +100 154022 023 031 000 00
$$
;

[underthwx]

looked like at the end of the visible loop showed some sort of a broad circulation digging down to the S.W...(my untrained eyes)...





Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[PauleinHouston]

What's with all this buildup to the southwest in the last few hours?

My guess is that the ULL N/W of it is beginning to dissipate. That will help relax the shear and dry air entrainment a bit and also allow more moisture to feed in from the S and SW. Crossing fingers that maybe, just "maybe", it could ease more NW and grow in size (which it's doing) and get at least some rainbands into parts of our drought stricken Texas....

[BigB0882]

It looks like the track shifted east slightly. Are there any new rainfall maps? Curious if Baton Rouge is still going to get a lot of rain or if it will scoot to our East.