ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[duris]

Just light rain and some gusty but not serious wind by mein the Lakeview area of New Orleans. Of course, that seems to be all it took for my power to go out for more than an hour.

[JSDS]

I'm just outside of Baton Rouge (on the east side), and we have barely a trace in the rain gauge. We've had an off and on light rain since around noon, but apparently nothing measurable.

[tdess02]

so far in Belle Chasse La. 2.90 since yesterday, coming dow hard right now.

[Countrygirl911]

ok so how many days in a row could people see TS force winds

[Kennethb]

ok so how many days in a row could people see TS force winds

Here is our forecast here in Baton Rouge:

LAZ046>048-031230-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE...
PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE
442 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. RAIN AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE MID 70S.
EAST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH INCREASING TO 50 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. RAIN AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. EAST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH
INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. RAIN AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE
MID 70S. EAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. RAIN AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 75 MPH. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. RAIN AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.LABOR DAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. RAIN AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. CLOUDY WITH
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
30 PERCENT.

[Annie Oakley]

Mets or others with experience....from seeing the LA. people's posts..is this a slow mover and they will benefit? Or is there going to be days and days of rain where it accumulates and saturates. The reports seem mild and what they need but watches and warnings seem they need to watch carefully.

[Annie Oakley]

URNT15 KNHC 030153
AF306 0413A LEE HDOB 20 20110903
014400 2800N 09119W 8426 01505 //// +191 //// 207023 023 015 000 01
014430 2801N 09121W 8433 01499 //// +204 //// 209023 023 014 000 01
014500 2802N 09123W 8430 01500 //// +205 //// 209023 023 014 000 01
014530 2803N 09124W 8429 01502 //// +205 //// 208022 023 012 001 01
014600 2804N 09126W 8428 01500 //// +202 //// 204020 022 011 001 05
014630 2804N 09127W 8430 01500 //// +208 //// 214017 019 008 001 01
014700 2805N 09129W 8433 01495 //// +217 //// 223016 017 012 000 05
014730 2806N 09130W 8430 01498 //// +216 //// 208014 015 010 000 05
014800 2807N 09132W 8428 01500 //// +208 //// 203013 013 010 000 05
014830 2808N 09134W 8430 01498 //// +201 //// 207009 010 012 000 05
014900 2809N 09136W 8429 01499 //// +192 //// 198005 007 008 001 05
014930 2809N 09137W 8434 01493 //// +187 //// 207003 004 014 001 01
015000 2809N 09139W 8433 01494 //// +190 //// 174004 005 014 001 05
015030 2810N 09141W 8430 01499 //// +186 //// 118005 005 015 001 01
015100 2810N 09143W 8430 01498 //// +186 //// 113004 006 018 000 05
015130 2811N 09145W 8430 01498 //// +183 //// 110004 004 019 000 01
015200 2811N 09146W 8430 01497 //// +187 //// 105005 006 020 001 01
015230 2812N 09148W 8433 01495 //// +183 //// 091006 008 022 001 01
015300 2812N 09150W 8429 01499 //// +186 //// 068009 011 023 002 01
015330 2813N 09152W 8430 01498 //// +185 //// 051015 017 027 001 05
$$
;

[jasons2k]

I'm usually a lurker. In fact, my user name is so old that I forgot what it was and had to make this one. The Texas drought talk is getting pretty annoying. At first this morning I just shrugged it off, but it's been all day long on this thread, and it's interfering with those of us trying to discuss, read, or gather information about Lee. We get it. You want the rain. There is nothing anyone can do about it, so please quit spamming this thread about Lee with it. It's Friday night...go out with your friends. If not, please move the drought talk somewhere else.

As for Lee, here in New Orleans I received only one significant bout of heavy rain around 6:00. Winds were probably in the area of 30 mph. According to the radar, I might be seeing another squall in about 15 minutes.

Just so you know, we (SE Texas) are going to get a very strong fetch of dry NE winds this weekend which is a direct result of Lee. We are going to have an extreme fire danger with red flag warnings in place. As Jeff Lindner described it, it's a ticking time bomb that has been building for months and with the wind now switching to the NE (instead of from the South off the Gulf), it's going to be an extremely dangerous situation.

Unfortunately, the effects of Lee are not limited to some wind and rain in LA/MS/AL. Even though we're not getting the rain we had hoped for - Lee is affecting us Texans in a very real and dangerous way.

You'd probably have to be here to truly understand. Places like SE Texas, with all the trees and underbrush, have never been this dry before. And this weekend's fire danger - courtesy of Lee - just might be the most extreme fire danger we have ever faced. It's not a trivial situation at all.

[freeroam]

Mets or others with experience....from seeing the LA. people's posts..is this a slow mover and they will benefit? Or is there going to be days and days of rain where it accumulates and saturates. The reports seem mild and what they need but watches and warnings seem they need to watch carefully.

Well... benefit to put out a major marsh fire. Fingers crossed if slow mover our pumps keep up.

[gone2beach]

Rain report from Long Beach, MS
at 7 am 1.05 (24 hr report)
at 7 pm, 0.50
at 9 pm an additional 1.65

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Looks like the dry air and shear coming from the west is starting to take its toll on Lee. It seems to be cutting the southern half of Lee off and drying up the deep moisture feed to its SE. Might not get close to the earlier forecasted amounts of rain. Will see.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html

[Ixolib]

Looks like he's dryin' out on the entire south side??? And comin' around to the east as well...

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_GULF/anim16ir.html

[underthwx]

tropical storm cond. may last for 2 or more days possibly in some areas?.....

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS product

[Turtle]

NAM is coming out. Looks wetter at SW LA @ 24 hours.

[cycloneye]

Off-Topic= For those members who live in Texas and want to comment about the drought in that state,you can do so on the thread for that at the USA weather forum.

viewtopic.php?f=24&t=110429&p=2186379#p2186379

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Ixolib, must have been thinking the same thing at the same time. Looking pretty bad. Will be interesting to see what the NHC says in about 45 min.

[tailgater]

Looks like the dry air and shear coming from the west is starting to take its toll on Lee. It seems to be cutting the southern half of Lee off and drying up the deep moisture feed to its SE. Might not get close to the earlier forecasted amounts of rain. Will see.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html

Yeah it seems Highly unlikely that we will receive nearly as much rain or wind as forecast. IMHO

[Annie Oakley]

I think everyone gets it by now...but this is NOT ALL ABOUT TEXAS. PLEASE. Let us all try to put the shoe on the other foot and look beyond our border.
What if they acted like this in the military?? NO STATES RIGHTS apply lol. Just the weather. Try to focus on where the storm is and not where it isn't.
And this site graciously opened up a thread for us.
So maybe go back and forth?

[Annie Oakley]

URNT15 KNHC 030203
AF306 0413A LEE HDOB 21 20110903
015400 2813N 09154W 8431 01497 //// +186 //// 055019 020 030 000 01
015430 2813N 09156W 8435 01492 //// +182 //// 047021 023 030 001 05
015500 2814N 09158W 8431 01499 //// +175 //// 048030 034 034 004 05
015530 2815N 09159W 8436 01493 //// +178 //// 053033 037 035 001 01
015600 2816N 09201W 8428 01500 //// +173 //// 056035 036 035 003 01
015630 2817N 09202W 8434 01495 //// +173 //// 055030 031 038 001 01
015700 2818N 09204W 8426 01503 //// +173 //// 058029 031 039 002 01
015730 2819N 09205W 8429 01503 //// +165 //// 050033 036 041 005 01
015800 2820N 09207W 8431 01502 //// +161 //// 033037 038 042 010 05
015830 2821N 09208W 8433 01502 //// +147 //// 033035 037 041 013 01
015900 2822N 09209W 8429 01508 //// +141 //// 034030 033 040 012 01
015930 2824N 09210W 8430 01506 //// +158 //// 036028 029 042 007 01
020000 2825N 09212W 8434 01503 //// +164 //// 030027 027 038 008 01
020030 2826N 09213W 8428 01513 //// +175 //// 031028 029 036 002 01
020100 2827N 09214W 8433 01508 //// +177 //// 037028 029 035 003 01
020130 2828N 09215W 8429 01514 //// +167 //// 044027 027 037 002 01
020200 2830N 09216W 8430 01510 //// +169 //// 048027 028 036 002 01
020230 2831N 09218W 8429 01513 //// +165 //// 048029 030 036 001 01
020300 2832N 09219W 8432 01509 //// +165 //// 045031 032 036 002 01
020330 2833N 09220W 8429 01511 //// +165 //// 046032 033 036 002 01
$$

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Wouldn't put to much into what the models say tonight because Lee is falling apart right now.