ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

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PTrackerLA
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#2521 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:07 pm

Looks like the 18z NAM takes LEE into SE Vermilion parish immediately which is where it appears to have just made landfall per the visible. Also has the precip distribution nailed at that time period too. If we see a WNW motion and then a turn back to the south it may very well be on to something...
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2522 Postby galvestontx » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:10 pm

is the storm moving west???? why does it look like it is on radar? raining in atascocita/humble now.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2523 Postby djmikey » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:10 pm

From what Im seeing here in Beaumont, TX...It would not suprise me if NAM comes to a reality! Amazing how this is effecting all the way from Tx to Fl!! Wow...heavy band coming through now! That had a gust atleast close to 35-40! I know it's not, BUT it sure seems Lee is moving more west than N/NE! Houston...Im trying to send some your way! You'd sure would enjoy this! Really does look like a TS "beginning" here in SETX! And according to radar, it does look like the "majority" of the precip is in SWLA/SETX!
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2524 Postby wxman57 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:12 pm

galvestontx wrote:is the storm moving west???? why does it look like it is on radar? raining in atascocita/humble now.


Center is moving north, rain bands are expanding west. Wind field expanding west, too as it steadily loses tropical characteristics.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2525 Postby galvestontx » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:13 pm

wxman57 wrote:
galvestontx wrote:is the storm moving west???? why does it look like it is on radar? raining in atascocita/humble now.


Center is moving north, rain bands are expanding west. Wind field expanding west, too as it steadily loses tropical characteristics.


well I'm loving it along with my grass/plants!!!!
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2526 Postby djmikey » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:15 pm

From what Im seeing here in Beaumont, TX...It would not suprise me if NAM comes to a reality! Amazing how this is effecting all the way from Tx to Fl!! Wow...heavy band coming through now! That had a gust atleast close to 35-40! I know it's not, BUT it sure seems Lee is moving more west than N/NE! Houston...Im trying to send some your way! You'd sure would enjoy this! Really does look like a TS "beginning" here in SETX! And according to radar, it does look like the "majority" of the precip is in SWLA/SETX!
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2527 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:15 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:Not a bad day around Lafayette it has been a few hours since the last heavy squall but looks like another will move in soon.

The 18z NAM solution is a little crazy but it's actually nailing the current precip distribution so it's hard to completely discount it. Looks to be heading NNW back towards the coast at the end :eek: .

Edit: Looking at the latest visible on GHCC site, looks like the LLC has just made landfall in SE Vermilion parish.


Your right PT, the NAM definitely has the precip shield portrayed correctly. Just have to see if the mass starts moving south again.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2528 Postby JSDS » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:19 pm

JtSmarts wrote:The pressure has been falling continuously all day but the winds have not gone up in awhile.


And while it has moved slightly from update to update, it really hasn't moved much since 7 am this morning. It was at 29.4/92.0 and now it is at 29.4/92.1. Basically stationary.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2529 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:19 pm

center looks to me to be moving West of north which helped bring in the moisture we are seeing. Still though all the globals show LEE going out to the NE...so that is a good bet...

he is still west of forecast points...
Last edited by ROCK on Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2530 Postby jabman98 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:20 pm

We've got high clouds with intermittent sun where I am (near downtown Houston). Lots of wind with some stronger gusts - knocked over my eggplant plant. I keep watching the outer bands of Lee on the radar and they seem to dissipate before they get to 610 on the east side of Houston. Our dry air is still very strong.
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#2531 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:21 pm

Should be getting good rain around League City/Dickinson near the radar site now.
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#2532 Postby BigB0882 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:24 pm

My parents in Crockett can probably smell the rain! Please continue moving West so they get some!

It is sunny here in Baton Rouge, I can even see spots of blue sky. Everyone is out and about like a normal day. Hopefully our quarterback Lee will be much more formidable today. :lol:
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2533 Postby RachelAnna » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:25 pm

Lots of wind out here in Cypress, between 249 and 290. Knocking over umbrellas and sending stuff flying!
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2534 Postby cpdaman » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:26 pm

on last visible's looks like center made it to about the coast and is now sort of moving back west....

radar from what one can get from it appears west as well
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2535 Postby sphelps8681 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:26 pm

Just made a trip into Beaumont with heavy rain band all the way there and worse on the way back. Lots of streets already with water. Flash flood watch could pan out. There was a wreck on the way back. Very gusty winds at the moment.
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Re:

#2536 Postby Kennethb » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:28 pm

BigB0882 wrote:My parents in Crockett can probably smell the rain! Please continue moving West so they get some!

It is sunny here in Baton Rouge, I can even see spots of blue sky. Everyone is out and about like a normal day. Hopefully our quarterback Lee will be much more formidable today. :lol:


Yes, it is interesting to some some blue skies and the streets drying off inbetween feeder bands.

I wonder in the game had been here at home if it would have been postponed or moved earlier in the day.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2537 Postby jabman98 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:30 pm

So what's up with the front? Is it still on time and going to pick up Lee as predicted?
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2538 Postby BigA » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:32 pm

Strong band north of the center moving toward Lake Charles. Probably tropical-storm force winds in it, certainly heavy rain.

As for the good folks of west LA and east TX, I am happy that Lee is moving west enough to give you rain.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2539 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:33 pm

jabman98 wrote:So what's up with the front? Is it still on time and going to pick up Lee as predicted?


well if you believe the NAM it wont dig as much before lifting out...

climo speaking it is still first of Sept and would have to be a good one to get this far down....just sayin....


local AFD- lows in the upper 60's and highs in the low 90's this week...so it makes it down this far according to them...
Last edited by ROCK on Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2540 Postby mpic » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:34 pm

NE side of Dickinson, sun is shining, but I see the clouds hanging over west League City. Lots of wind.
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