08lava wrote:I sure hope the GFS is right... man it would be great news here..
ATL: NATE - Remnants - Discussion
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models
A very wet tropical storm would be great news. A slow moving hurricane would not be. IMO
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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And just like that im back in the forum! I hope Nate isnt just teasing us right now....
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000
URNT15 KNHC 081938
AF300 0215A NATE HDOB 28 20110908
192530 2032N 09120W 9576 00443 0075 +215 //// 151037 038 034 000 01
192600 2031N 09121W 9574 00445 0074 +215 //// 149039 042 034 001 01
192630 2030N 09122W 9570 00447 0073 +214 //// 149039 042 035 000 01
192700 2029N 09124W 9571 00445 0070 +214 //// 146040 043 037 001 01
192730 2028N 09125W 9579 00432 0068 +213 //// 146041 042 037 001 01
192800 2027N 09126W 9575 00433 0064 +212 //// 148041 043 037 002 01
192830 2026N 09127W 9563 00446 0063 +210 //// 143041 042 038 000 01
192900 2025N 09128W 9573 00430 0057 +210 //// 143045 048 038 001 01
192930 2024N 09129W 9571 00431 0058 +210 //// 145045 048 039 003 01
193000 2023N 09130W 9557 00445 0055 +209 //// 144044 046 039 001 01
193030 2022N 09131W 9566 00428 0051 +209 //// 142046 048 040 000 01
193100 2021N 09132W 9572 00423 0048 +208 //// 141048 049 041 002 01
193130 2020N 09134W 9563 00429 0046 +207 //// 142047 049 040 002 01
193200 2019N 09135W 9565 00424 0043 +207 //// 141047 049 040 001 05
193230 2018N 09136W 9579 00409 0040 +208 //// 141049 052 040 002 01
193300 2017N 09137W 9572 00415 0039 +206 //// 141050 053 042 001 01
193330 2016N 09138W 9561 00421 0034 +206 //// 136051 052 044 002 01
193400 2015N 09139W 9576 00403 0032 +202 //// 138052 054 043 004 01
193430 2014N 09140W 9575 00402 0028 +204 //// 142056 057 046 001 05
193500 2013N 09141W 9578 00395 0023 +204 //// 144056 057 045 003 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 081938
AF300 0215A NATE HDOB 28 20110908
192530 2032N 09120W 9576 00443 0075 +215 //// 151037 038 034 000 01
192600 2031N 09121W 9574 00445 0074 +215 //// 149039 042 034 001 01
192630 2030N 09122W 9570 00447 0073 +214 //// 149039 042 035 000 01
192700 2029N 09124W 9571 00445 0070 +214 //// 146040 043 037 001 01
192730 2028N 09125W 9579 00432 0068 +213 //// 146041 042 037 001 01
192800 2027N 09126W 9575 00433 0064 +212 //// 148041 043 037 002 01
192830 2026N 09127W 9563 00446 0063 +210 //// 143041 042 038 000 01
192900 2025N 09128W 9573 00430 0057 +210 //// 143045 048 038 001 01
192930 2024N 09129W 9571 00431 0058 +210 //// 145045 048 039 003 01
193000 2023N 09130W 9557 00445 0055 +209 //// 144044 046 039 001 01
193030 2022N 09131W 9566 00428 0051 +209 //// 142046 048 040 000 01
193100 2021N 09132W 9572 00423 0048 +208 //// 141048 049 041 002 01
193130 2020N 09134W 9563 00429 0046 +207 //// 142047 049 040 002 01
193200 2019N 09135W 9565 00424 0043 +207 //// 141047 049 040 001 05
193230 2018N 09136W 9579 00409 0040 +208 //// 141049 052 040 002 01
193300 2017N 09137W 9572 00415 0039 +206 //// 141050 053 042 001 01
193330 2016N 09138W 9561 00421 0034 +206 //// 136051 052 044 002 01
193400 2015N 09139W 9576 00403 0032 +202 //// 138052 054 043 004 01
193430 2014N 09140W 9575 00402 0028 +204 //// 142056 057 046 001 05
193500 2013N 09141W 9578 00395 0023 +204 //// 144056 057 045 003 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models
@Rock - naaa, haven't looked. Been reading reports on wildfires.
Feel free to post if need be.
Feel free to post if need be.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models
Of interesting note though, the NWS 5 day cone has, from run 1 through 4, made a considerable shift in speed (slower) and a considerable shift more north/northwesterly as well as dropping an almost due West solution at the end of the cone period. I would think they are sniffing something out...
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000
URNT15 KNHC 081956
AF300 0215A NATE HDOB 29 20110908
193530 2012N 09142W 9575 00395 0021 +202 //// 143055 057 045 001 05
193600 2010N 09144W 9567 00400 0018 +202 //// 145057 059 043 003 05
193630 2009N 09145W 9563 00401 0015 +202 //// 147055 058 043 001 01
193700 2009N 09146W 9563 00397 0012 +203 //// 150055 056 043 003 01
193730 2008N 09147W 9568 00390 0008 +205 //// 156055 056 046 003 01
193800 2007N 09148W 9570 00386 0005 +203 //// 153051 053 044 002 01
193830 2006N 09149W 9569 00386 0003 +207 //// 152049 050 043 003 01
193900 2005N 09150W 9571 00382 0000 +212 +211 161045 047 036 003 00
193930 2004N 09151W 9570 00379 9996 +215 +211 163039 041 037 000 00
194000 2003N 09152W 9573 00375 9994 +215 +213 163037 038 034 002 00
194030 2002N 09153W 9567 00378 9992 +215 +215 164037 038 026 001 00
194100 2001N 09154W 9572 00373 9989 +217 +216 165036 037 024 001 00
194130 2000N 09155W 9567 00374 9986 +223 +218 162034 034 022 001 00
194200 1959N 09156W 9576 00364 9984 +220 //// 163032 033 021 001 01
194230 1958N 09157W 9574 00365 9982 +222 //// 164032 033 022 000 01
194300 1957N 09158W 9569 00367 9978 +224 //// 164031 032 020 002 01
194330 1956N 09159W 9570 00363 9976 +218 //// 161031 032 018 000 05
194400 1955N 09201W 9572 00359 9974 +220 //// 157029 030 017 002 01
194430 1955N 09203W 9572 00358 9972 +219 //// 153027 027 013 001 01
194500 1954N 09204W 9569 00358 9970 +219 //// 149024 026 012 001 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 081956
AF300 0215A NATE HDOB 29 20110908
193530 2012N 09142W 9575 00395 0021 +202 //// 143055 057 045 001 05
193600 2010N 09144W 9567 00400 0018 +202 //// 145057 059 043 003 05
193630 2009N 09145W 9563 00401 0015 +202 //// 147055 058 043 001 01
193700 2009N 09146W 9563 00397 0012 +203 //// 150055 056 043 003 01
193730 2008N 09147W 9568 00390 0008 +205 //// 156055 056 046 003 01
193800 2007N 09148W 9570 00386 0005 +203 //// 153051 053 044 002 01
193830 2006N 09149W 9569 00386 0003 +207 //// 152049 050 043 003 01
193900 2005N 09150W 9571 00382 0000 +212 +211 161045 047 036 003 00
193930 2004N 09151W 9570 00379 9996 +215 +211 163039 041 037 000 00
194000 2003N 09152W 9573 00375 9994 +215 +213 163037 038 034 002 00
194030 2002N 09153W 9567 00378 9992 +215 +215 164037 038 026 001 00
194100 2001N 09154W 9572 00373 9989 +217 +216 165036 037 024 001 00
194130 2000N 09155W 9567 00374 9986 +223 +218 162034 034 022 001 00
194200 1959N 09156W 9576 00364 9984 +220 //// 163032 033 021 001 01
194230 1958N 09157W 9574 00365 9982 +222 //// 164032 033 022 000 01
194300 1957N 09158W 9569 00367 9978 +224 //// 164031 032 020 002 01
194330 1956N 09159W 9570 00363 9976 +218 //// 161031 032 018 000 05
194400 1955N 09201W 9572 00359 9974 +220 //// 157029 030 017 002 01
194430 1955N 09203W 9572 00358 9972 +219 //// 153027 027 013 001 01
194500 1954N 09204W 9569 00358 9970 +219 //// 149024 026 012 001 01
$$
;
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URNT15 KNHC 081957
AF300 0215A NATE HDOB 30 20110908
194530 1954N 09206W 9572 00354 9967 +222 //// 144021 022 009 000 01
194600 1953N 09207W 9571 00354 9965 +224 //// 140019 020 009 000 05
194630 1952N 09209W 9572 00350 9963 +225 //// 134016 017 005 002 01
194700 1951N 09210W 9571 00351 9961 +227 //// 131014 014 004 001 05
194730 1950N 09211W 9571 00348 9959 +230 //// 123014 014 009 001 01
194800 1949N 09212W 9569 00350 9957 +230 //// 117012 012 012 002 05
194830 1948N 09213W 9572 00344 9956 +229 //// 118011 011 006 001 01
194900 1946N 09214W 9573 00342 9954 +224 //// 116010 011 007 000 01
194930 1945N 09215W 9569 00343 9953 +229 //// 108005 006 005 001 01
195000 1944N 09216W 9571 00342 9951 +232 //// 097003 004 003 001 05
195030 1942N 09217W 9571 00341 9951 +226 //// 330002 004 001 001 01
195100 1941N 09218W 9579 00334 9951 +227 //// 292007 010 004 001 01
195130 1940N 09219W 9572 00341 9952 +222 //// 311011 013 006 002 05
195200 1938N 09220W 9573 00342 //// +219 //// 315017 018 017 001 01
195230 1937N 09221W 9571 00344 //// +219 //// 318021 023 022 001 01
195300 1936N 09222W 9569 00349 //// +218 //// 324027 030 026 000 01
195330 1935N 09223W 9571 00350 //// +212 //// 326033 035 028 000 01
195400 1934N 09225W 9572 00351 //// +211 //// 326037 038 030 000 01
195430 1933N 09226W 9570 00355 //// +211 //// 328038 039 033 000 01
195500 1932N 09227W 9571 00357 9970 +213 //// 329042 043 033 000 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 081957
AF300 0215A NATE HDOB 30 20110908
194530 1954N 09206W 9572 00354 9967 +222 //// 144021 022 009 000 01
194600 1953N 09207W 9571 00354 9965 +224 //// 140019 020 009 000 05
194630 1952N 09209W 9572 00350 9963 +225 //// 134016 017 005 002 01
194700 1951N 09210W 9571 00351 9961 +227 //// 131014 014 004 001 05
194730 1950N 09211W 9571 00348 9959 +230 //// 123014 014 009 001 01
194800 1949N 09212W 9569 00350 9957 +230 //// 117012 012 012 002 05
194830 1948N 09213W 9572 00344 9956 +229 //// 118011 011 006 001 01
194900 1946N 09214W 9573 00342 9954 +224 //// 116010 011 007 000 01
194930 1945N 09215W 9569 00343 9953 +229 //// 108005 006 005 001 01
195000 1944N 09216W 9571 00342 9951 +232 //// 097003 004 003 001 05
195030 1942N 09217W 9571 00341 9951 +226 //// 330002 004 001 001 01
195100 1941N 09218W 9579 00334 9951 +227 //// 292007 010 004 001 01
195130 1940N 09219W 9572 00341 9952 +222 //// 311011 013 006 002 05
195200 1938N 09220W 9573 00342 //// +219 //// 315017 018 017 001 01
195230 1937N 09221W 9571 00344 //// +219 //// 318021 023 022 001 01
195300 1936N 09222W 9569 00349 //// +218 //// 324027 030 026 000 01
195330 1935N 09223W 9571 00350 //// +212 //// 326033 035 028 000 01
195400 1934N 09225W 9572 00351 //// +211 //// 326037 038 030 000 01
195430 1933N 09226W 9570 00355 //// +211 //// 328038 039 033 000 01
195500 1932N 09227W 9571 00357 9970 +213 //// 329042 043 033 000 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models
12z GFS Ensembles... cause im bored
These battles of King Euro vs Wizard GFS makes my day go by so much faster.. It's a sad day when they agree

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These battles of King Euro vs Wizard GFS makes my day go by so much faster.. It's a sad day when they agree

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GE's trying to catch up...


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Re: ATL: NATE - Models
PauleinHouston wrote:Of interesting note though, the NWS 5 day cone has, from run 1 through 4, made a considerable shift in speed (slower) and a considerable shift more north/northwesterly as well as dropping an almost due West solution at the end of the cone period. I would think they are sniffing something out...
They will probably begin to shift it again to where it does have that due west period I think, because the models have been tending to go back to that solution over the last two runs.
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My Tropical Weather Website: http://tropwx.com/
I do link exchange, so if you have a website we can share each others links.
I do link exchange, so if you have a website we can share each others links.
Its a tough call, i'm willing to bet the ECM ensembles are all over the place, usually if the GFS ensembles are spread out, the ECM ensembles which have more varibility will be even more spread out.
I still favour the Mexico idea but am far from convinced this bends WSW like some are desperate to try.
I still favour the Mexico idea but am far from convinced this bends WSW like some are desperate to try.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models
Cant see image wx warrior internal server blocked. Explain please. Would be appreciated.
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Well it doesn't look that strong but clearly if recon is finding winds that high and the NHC believe it, then it IS a 60kts system....
Pretty impressive winds given its lopsided...but then agasin the ECM suggested this gets down to 960mbs and still is somewhat lopsided!
Pretty impressive winds given its lopsided...but then agasin the ECM suggested this gets down to 960mbs and still is somewhat lopsided!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models
Wx_Warrior wrote:http://img15.imageshack.us/img15/8967/174824w5nlsm.gif
That's called the NHC LOL forecast... cause when you have no idea.. it's best just to make a circle

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915
URNT15 KNHC 082005
AF300 0215A NATE HDOB 31 20110908
195530 1931N 09228W 9568 00361 9974 +214 //// 330042 044 033 000 05
195600 1929N 09229W 9570 00362 9976 +215 //// 330045 046 033 001 01
195630 1928N 09231W 9571 00363 9979 +215 //// 332045 047 032 001 05
195700 1927N 09232W 9573 00365 9983 +215 //// 328044 044 032 001 01
195730 1926N 09233W 9572 00370 9987 +215 //// 326044 045 034 001 01
195800 1925N 09234W 9568 00375 9989 +216 //// 329045 046 032 001 01
195830 1924N 09236W 9569 00379 9993 +215 //// 327043 044 033 003 01
195900 1923N 09237W 9568 00381 9995 +216 //// 327044 045 032 003 01
195930 1922N 09238W 9570 00383 9998 +215 //// 329044 045 032 000 05
200000 1920N 09239W 9573 00381 0002 +215 //// 327043 044 032 001 01
200030 1919N 09240W 9571 00388 0005 +215 //// 324043 047 031 002 01
200100 1918N 09242W 9572 00388 0008 +215 //// 321043 045 031 001 01
200130 1917N 09243W 9567 00395 0012 +214 //// 325044 045 025 005 05
200200 1916N 09244W 9298 00656 0018 +204 //// 328046 047 /// /// 05
200230 1915N 09245W 9017 00933 //// +182 //// 331042 044 032 001 05
200300 1914N 09247W 8769 01169 //// +178 //// 332047 048 032 001 05
200330 1913N 09248W 8515 01426 //// +166 //// 331046 047 032 002 01
200400 1912N 09249W 8414 01533 //// +148 //// 332045 046 028 004 01
200430 1910N 09251W 8410 01541 //// +151 //// 329049 050 027 006 01
200500 1909N 09252W 8411 01544 //// +146 //// 327049 049 030 009 05
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 082005
AF300 0215A NATE HDOB 31 20110908
195530 1931N 09228W 9568 00361 9974 +214 //// 330042 044 033 000 05
195600 1929N 09229W 9570 00362 9976 +215 //// 330045 046 033 001 01
195630 1928N 09231W 9571 00363 9979 +215 //// 332045 047 032 001 05
195700 1927N 09232W 9573 00365 9983 +215 //// 328044 044 032 001 01
195730 1926N 09233W 9572 00370 9987 +215 //// 326044 045 034 001 01
195800 1925N 09234W 9568 00375 9989 +216 //// 329045 046 032 001 01
195830 1924N 09236W 9569 00379 9993 +215 //// 327043 044 033 003 01
195900 1923N 09237W 9568 00381 9995 +216 //// 327044 045 032 003 01
195930 1922N 09238W 9570 00383 9998 +215 //// 329044 045 032 000 05
200000 1920N 09239W 9573 00381 0002 +215 //// 327043 044 032 001 01
200030 1919N 09240W 9571 00388 0005 +215 //// 324043 047 031 002 01
200100 1918N 09242W 9572 00388 0008 +215 //// 321043 045 031 001 01
200130 1917N 09243W 9567 00395 0012 +214 //// 325044 045 025 005 05
200200 1916N 09244W 9298 00656 0018 +204 //// 328046 047 /// /// 05
200230 1915N 09245W 9017 00933 //// +182 //// 331042 044 032 001 05
200300 1914N 09247W 8769 01169 //// +178 //// 332047 048 032 001 05
200330 1913N 09248W 8515 01426 //// +166 //// 331046 047 032 002 01
200400 1912N 09249W 8414 01533 //// +148 //// 332045 046 028 004 01
200430 1910N 09251W 8410 01541 //// +151 //// 329049 050 027 006 01
200500 1909N 09252W 8411 01544 //// +146 //// 327049 049 030 009 05
$$
;
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000
URNT12 KNHC 082009
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL152011
A. 08/19:50:30Z
B. 19 deg 42 min N
092 deg 17 min W
C. NA
D. 46 kt
E. 050 deg 46 nm
F. 144 deg 59 kt
G. 050 deg 45 nm
H. EXTRAP 995 mb
I. 20 C / 476 m
J. 23 C / 477 m
K. 23 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 01
O. 0.02 / 4 nm
P. AF300 0215A NATE OB 08
MAX FL WIND 82 KT SE QUAD 18:15:50Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM BELOW 1500 FT
;
URNT12 KNHC 082009
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL152011
A. 08/19:50:30Z
B. 19 deg 42 min N
092 deg 17 min W
C. NA
D. 46 kt
E. 050 deg 46 nm
F. 144 deg 59 kt
G. 050 deg 45 nm
H. EXTRAP 995 mb
I. 20 C / 476 m
J. 23 C / 477 m
K. 23 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 01
O. 0.02 / 4 nm
P. AF300 0215A NATE OB 08
MAX FL WIND 82 KT SE QUAD 18:15:50Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM BELOW 1500 FT
;
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DECODED VDM OB 8
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 8th day of the month at 20:09Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 300)
Storm Number & Year: 15L in 2011
Storm Name: Nate (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 08
A. Time of Center Fix: 8th day of the month at 19:50:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 19°42'N 92°17'W (19.7N 92.2833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 115 miles (185 km) to the W (265°) from Campeche, Campeche, México.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 46kts (~ 52.9mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 46 nautical miles (53 statute miles) to the NE (50°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 144° at 59kts (From the SE at ~ 67.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 45 nautical miles (52 statute miles) to the NE (50°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 995mb (29.38 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 476m (1,562ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 477m (1,565ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 23°C (73°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Levels (sfc and flt lvl centers are within 5nm of each other): Surface and 1,500 feet
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 4 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 82kts (~ 94.4mph) in the southeast quadrant at 18:15:50Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: Below 1,500 feet
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 8th day of the month at 20:09Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 300)
Storm Number & Year: 15L in 2011
Storm Name: Nate (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 08
A. Time of Center Fix: 8th day of the month at 19:50:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 19°42'N 92°17'W (19.7N 92.2833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 115 miles (185 km) to the W (265°) from Campeche, Campeche, México.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 46kts (~ 52.9mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 46 nautical miles (53 statute miles) to the NE (50°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 144° at 59kts (From the SE at ~ 67.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 45 nautical miles (52 statute miles) to the NE (50°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 995mb (29.38 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 476m (1,562ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 477m (1,565ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 23°C (73°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Levels (sfc and flt lvl centers are within 5nm of each other): Surface and 1,500 feet
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 4 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 82kts (~ 94.4mph) in the southeast quadrant at 18:15:50Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: Below 1,500 feet
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This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models
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- Rgv20
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Re:
KWT wrote:Its a tough call, i'm willing to bet the ECM ensembles are all over the place, usually if the GFS ensembles are spread out, the ECM ensembles which have more varibility will be even more spread out.
I still favour the Mexico idea but am far from convinced this bends WSW like some are desperate to try.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/eps/ensm/essential!MSLP!North%20America!120!pop!od!enfo!plot_ensm_essential!2011090800!!/
On the Link above you can see the spread represented in the dark purple shading thru 120hrs. Most of the members from the 0zECMWF Ensembles favor a track anywhere from Tampico to Brownsville. Will be interesting what the 12zECMWF Ensembles show..
Sorry would have put a pic but I'm at work..
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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