ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
not surprised I guess.. ridging right to its north...
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
11 AM track. Does not pass west of 70W.
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cycloneye
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Re: Re:
Fego wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Looks like the center is shooting out to the west of the convection this morning.. exposed center.... west of forecast point but a good bit.
Waiting for the 11:00 am discussion to see what do they think about it.
TROPICAL STORM MARIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 11 2011
THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF MARIA IS RATHER DECEIVING THIS MORNING.
ALTHOUGH THE TROPICAL STORM IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF VERY DEEP
CONVECTION...THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST
OF THE CONVECTION DUE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR FROM A
MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF MARIA. VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...AND AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT
THE CENTER IS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE
AIRCRAFT HAS YET TO SAMPLE THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE
CIRCULATION...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 50 KT...WHICH
IS CLOSE TO THE LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES.
MARIA HAS BEEN MOVING NEARLY DUE WESTWARD THIS MORNING...HOWEVER THE
LONGER TERM MOTION IS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 8 KT. MARIA IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND
NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE CURRENT DISORGANIZED STRUCTURE OF
THE CYCLONE...A MORE WESTWARD TRACK IS POSSIBLE. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO THE SOUTH DURING THE NEXT FIRST COUPLE
OF DAYS AND AN ADDITIONAL SOUTHWARD ADJUSTMENT COULD BE REQUIRED.
AFTER 48 HOURS...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD AHEAD OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES. THE LATTER PORTION OF THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 111458
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 28 20110911
144830 1856N 06318W 8423 01574 //// +171 //// 185045 046 041 002 01
144900 1858N 06319W 8426 01564 //// +170 //// 186045 046 042 000 01
144930 1900N 06319W 8429 01562 //// +168 //// 186046 047 043 000 01
145000 1902N 06319W 8428 01562 //// +170 //// 187046 046 044 001 01
145030 1904N 06319W 8422 01567 //// +168 //// 187044 046 044 001 01
145100 1906N 06319W 8430 01560 //// +161 //// 186048 049 044 005 01
145130 1908N 06319W 8429 01561 //// +147 //// 189045 046 044 011 01
145200 1910N 06320W 8426 01562 //// +149 //// 193047 048 046 011 01
145230 1912N 06320W 8430 01555 //// +142 //// 190048 049 048 013 01
145300 1914N 06320W 8425 01562 //// +145 //// 187050 053 051 017 01
145330 1916N 06320W 8431 01557 //// +141 //// 187045 047 046 012 01
145400 1918N 06320W 8428 01569 //// +145 //// 191038 043 052 025 01
145430 1920N 06320W 8425 01569 //// +146 //// 185034 035 057 045 01
145500 1922N 06320W 8436 01556 //// +141 //// 177034 037 067 057 01
145530 1924N 06320W 8435 01564 //// +143 //// 163017 023 068 063 01
145600 1926N 06321W 8418 01579 //// +141 //// 183025 028 070 041 01
145630 1928N 06321W 8435 01566 //// +139 //// 188024 027 069 028 01
145700 1929N 06321W 8419 01583 //// +141 //// 186019 025 056 037 01
145730 1931N 06321W 8434 01564 //// +132 //// 191029 032 059 035 01
145800 1933N 06321W 8424 01578 //// +145 //// 167024 027 059 022 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 111458
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 28 20110911
144830 1856N 06318W 8423 01574 //// +171 //// 185045 046 041 002 01
144900 1858N 06319W 8426 01564 //// +170 //// 186045 046 042 000 01
144930 1900N 06319W 8429 01562 //// +168 //// 186046 047 043 000 01
145000 1902N 06319W 8428 01562 //// +170 //// 187046 046 044 001 01
145030 1904N 06319W 8422 01567 //// +168 //// 187044 046 044 001 01
145100 1906N 06319W 8430 01560 //// +161 //// 186048 049 044 005 01
145130 1908N 06319W 8429 01561 //// +147 //// 189045 046 044 011 01
145200 1910N 06320W 8426 01562 //// +149 //// 193047 048 046 011 01
145230 1912N 06320W 8430 01555 //// +142 //// 190048 049 048 013 01
145300 1914N 06320W 8425 01562 //// +145 //// 187050 053 051 017 01
145330 1916N 06320W 8431 01557 //// +141 //// 187045 047 046 012 01
145400 1918N 06320W 8428 01569 //// +145 //// 191038 043 052 025 01
145430 1920N 06320W 8425 01569 //// +146 //// 185034 035 057 045 01
145500 1922N 06320W 8436 01556 //// +141 //// 177034 037 067 057 01
145530 1924N 06320W 8435 01564 //// +143 //// 163017 023 068 063 01
145600 1926N 06321W 8418 01579 //// +141 //// 183025 028 070 041 01
145630 1928N 06321W 8435 01566 //// +139 //// 188024 027 069 028 01
145700 1929N 06321W 8419 01583 //// +141 //// 186019 025 056 037 01
145730 1931N 06321W 8434 01564 //// +132 //// 191029 032 059 035 01
145800 1933N 06321W 8424 01578 //// +145 //// 167024 027 059 022 01
$$
;
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like very little impact on the NE Caribbean or Bahamas, and no East U.S. Coast threat. Mostly a "fish". Maybe we'll have a week or so of quiet after Maria heads out to sea.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 111508
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 29 20110911
145830 1935N 06321W 8429 01573 //// +144 //// 165024 025 045 013 01
145900 1937N 06321W 8439 01565 //// +146 //// 150023 025 046 009 01
145930 1939N 06322W 8428 01575 //// +163 //// 158019 020 039 006 05
150000 1940N 06323W 8425 01577 //// +166 //// 162020 021 042 002 01
150030 1942N 06324W 8433 01569 //// +168 //// 149017 020 041 002 01
150100 1943N 06325W 8433 01568 //// +164 //// 136020 024 042 002 01
150130 1945N 06326W 8434 01568 //// +164 //// 135022 024 041 006 01
150200 1946N 06327W 8433 01571 //// +152 //// 127027 029 041 006 05
150230 1948N 06328W 8429 01578 //// +151 //// 119024 026 042 007 01
150300 1949N 06329W 8440 01566 //// +159 //// 113025 029 042 004 01
150330 1951N 06329W 8432 01573 //// +160 //// 116031 035 041 004 01
150400 1953N 06330W 8435 01572 //// +162 //// 116026 028 043 001 01
150430 1953N 06330W 8435 01572 //// +162 //// 122026 029 043 002 05
150500 1956N 06331W 8430 01577 //// +153 //// 125031 033 040 001 01
150530 1958N 06331W 8438 01571 //// +164 //// 130030 031 040 002 05
150600 2000N 06331W 8429 01580 //// +163 //// 133034 037 045 002 01
150630 2000N 06331W 8429 01580 //// +160 //// 131034 038 047 006 01
150700 2003N 06329W 8429 01579 //// +142 //// 122038 040 048 009 01
150730 2004N 06329W 8429 01580 //// +138 //// 125039 039 046 004 01
150800 2006N 06328W 8431 01578 //// +157 //// 128039 040 048 001 01
$$
URNT15 KNHC 111508
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 29 20110911
145830 1935N 06321W 8429 01573 //// +144 //// 165024 025 045 013 01
145900 1937N 06321W 8439 01565 //// +146 //// 150023 025 046 009 01
145930 1939N 06322W 8428 01575 //// +163 //// 158019 020 039 006 05
150000 1940N 06323W 8425 01577 //// +166 //// 162020 021 042 002 01
150030 1942N 06324W 8433 01569 //// +168 //// 149017 020 041 002 01
150100 1943N 06325W 8433 01568 //// +164 //// 136020 024 042 002 01
150130 1945N 06326W 8434 01568 //// +164 //// 135022 024 041 006 01
150200 1946N 06327W 8433 01571 //// +152 //// 127027 029 041 006 05
150230 1948N 06328W 8429 01578 //// +151 //// 119024 026 042 007 01
150300 1949N 06329W 8440 01566 //// +159 //// 113025 029 042 004 01
150330 1951N 06329W 8432 01573 //// +160 //// 116031 035 041 004 01
150400 1953N 06330W 8435 01572 //// +162 //// 116026 028 043 001 01
150430 1953N 06330W 8435 01572 //// +162 //// 122026 029 043 002 05
150500 1956N 06331W 8430 01577 //// +153 //// 125031 033 040 001 01
150530 1958N 06331W 8438 01571 //// +164 //// 130030 031 040 002 05
150600 2000N 06331W 8429 01580 //// +163 //// 133034 037 045 002 01
150630 2000N 06331W 8429 01580 //// +160 //// 131034 038 047 006 01
150700 2003N 06329W 8429 01579 //// +142 //// 122038 040 048 009 01
150730 2004N 06329W 8429 01580 //// +138 //// 125039 039 046 004 01
150800 2006N 06328W 8431 01578 //// +157 //// 128039 040 048 001 01
$$
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Beyond sat images,you can pick up where the center is by looking at the motion of the showers at the San Juan long range radar. Look at that big area stationary.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 111518
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 30 20110911
150830 2007N 06327W 8430 01580 //// +165 //// 126041 041 047 002 01
150900 2009N 06326W 8432 01579 //// +167 //// 126041 042 048 002 01
150930 2010N 06325W 8428 01584 //// +165 //// 122042 043 048 000 01
151000 2012N 06324W 8436 01574 //// +160 //// 120040 042 049 001 05
151030 2011N 06323W 8435 01577 //// +146 //// 122037 038 /// /// 05
151100 2010N 06324W 8432 01580 //// +151 //// 118040 040 049 001 05
151130 2009N 06326W 8431 01582 //// +161 //// 118037 039 051 002 01
151200 2008N 06328W 8429 01582 //// +164 //// 116037 038 051 001 05
151230 2007N 06329W 8432 01579 //// +162 //// 115039 040 047 000 01
151300 2006N 06331W 8433 01577 //// +151 //// 116037 039 047 003 01
151330 2005N 06333W 8430 01579 //// +157 //// 124032 036 048 004 01
151400 2004N 06334W 8433 01578 //// +162 //// 128031 032 047 005 01
151430 2003N 06335W 8433 01575 //// +161 //// 128032 033 047 001 01
151500 2002N 06336W 8431 01578 //// +160 //// 128030 030 046 000 01
151530 2001N 06338W 8436 01573 //// +162 //// 123030 032 046 001 01
151600 2000N 06339W 8429 01578 //// +164 //// 124025 028 043 000 01
151630 1958N 06340W 8434 01569 //// +165 //// 125025 027 043 000 01
151700 1957N 06341W 8430 01574 //// +165 //// 121025 025 045 001 01
151730 1956N 06343W 8438 01565 //// +170 //// 131022 024 046 001 01
151800 1955N 06344W 8430 01571 //// +168 //// 131021 022 046 001 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 111518
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 30 20110911
150830 2007N 06327W 8430 01580 //// +165 //// 126041 041 047 002 01
150900 2009N 06326W 8432 01579 //// +167 //// 126041 042 048 002 01
150930 2010N 06325W 8428 01584 //// +165 //// 122042 043 048 000 01
151000 2012N 06324W 8436 01574 //// +160 //// 120040 042 049 001 05
151030 2011N 06323W 8435 01577 //// +146 //// 122037 038 /// /// 05
151100 2010N 06324W 8432 01580 //// +151 //// 118040 040 049 001 05
151130 2009N 06326W 8431 01582 //// +161 //// 118037 039 051 002 01
151200 2008N 06328W 8429 01582 //// +164 //// 116037 038 051 001 05
151230 2007N 06329W 8432 01579 //// +162 //// 115039 040 047 000 01
151300 2006N 06331W 8433 01577 //// +151 //// 116037 039 047 003 01
151330 2005N 06333W 8430 01579 //// +157 //// 124032 036 048 004 01
151400 2004N 06334W 8433 01578 //// +162 //// 128031 032 047 005 01
151430 2003N 06335W 8433 01575 //// +161 //// 128032 033 047 001 01
151500 2002N 06336W 8431 01578 //// +160 //// 128030 030 046 000 01
151530 2001N 06338W 8436 01573 //// +162 //// 123030 032 046 001 01
151600 2000N 06339W 8429 01578 //// +164 //// 124025 028 043 000 01
151630 1958N 06340W 8434 01569 //// +165 //// 125025 027 043 000 01
151700 1957N 06341W 8430 01574 //// +165 //// 121025 025 045 001 01
151730 1956N 06343W 8438 01565 //// +170 //// 131022 024 046 001 01
151800 1955N 06344W 8430 01571 //// +168 //// 131021 022 046 001 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 111528
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 31 20110911
151830 1954N 06345W 8433 01566 //// +160 //// 134023 024 047 003 01
151900 1953N 06346W 8434 01563 //// +151 //// 148024 026 045 005 01
151930 1951N 06348W 8426 01571 //// +146 //// 143023 025 043 004 01
152000 1950N 06349W 8434 01560 //// +167 //// 144020 021 042 002 01
152030 1949N 06350W 8431 01565 //// +146 //// 133018 019 038 004 01
152100 1948N 06351W 8432 01560 //// +156 //// 130018 019 040 002 01
152130 1947N 06352W 8435 01557 //// +167 //// 139019 019 039 002 01
152200 1946N 06354W 8435 01556 //// +168 //// 144019 020 039 000 01
152230 1945N 06355W 8429 01562 //// +157 //// 156020 021 042 001 05
152300 1944N 06356W 8429 01557 //// +165 //// 155022 023 041 001 01
152330 1943N 06358W 8431 01556 //// +160 //// 147017 019 041 003 01
152400 1942N 06359W 8438 01547 //// +163 //// 153019 020 042 003 01
152430 1941N 06401W 8427 01556 //// +161 //// 154017 018 040 002 01
152500 1940N 06402W 8429 01554 //// +173 //// 154016 018 038 003 01
152530 1939N 06403W 8430 01551 //// +163 //// 151015 017 040 004 01
152600 1938N 06405W 8444 01539 //// +159 //// 143015 016 042 004 01
152630 1937N 06406W 8421 01560 //// +171 //// 150014 016 035 003 01
152700 1936N 06408W 8434 01546 //// +168 //// 131012 014 034 005 01
152730 1935N 06409W 8436 01544 //// +179 //// 117011 012 031 000 01
152800 1934N 06410W 8432 01549 //// +175 //// 131011 012 030 001 05
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 111528
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 31 20110911
151830 1954N 06345W 8433 01566 //// +160 //// 134023 024 047 003 01
151900 1953N 06346W 8434 01563 //// +151 //// 148024 026 045 005 01
151930 1951N 06348W 8426 01571 //// +146 //// 143023 025 043 004 01
152000 1950N 06349W 8434 01560 //// +167 //// 144020 021 042 002 01
152030 1949N 06350W 8431 01565 //// +146 //// 133018 019 038 004 01
152100 1948N 06351W 8432 01560 //// +156 //// 130018 019 040 002 01
152130 1947N 06352W 8435 01557 //// +167 //// 139019 019 039 002 01
152200 1946N 06354W 8435 01556 //// +168 //// 144019 020 039 000 01
152230 1945N 06355W 8429 01562 //// +157 //// 156020 021 042 001 05
152300 1944N 06356W 8429 01557 //// +165 //// 155022 023 041 001 01
152330 1943N 06358W 8431 01556 //// +160 //// 147017 019 041 003 01
152400 1942N 06359W 8438 01547 //// +163 //// 153019 020 042 003 01
152430 1941N 06401W 8427 01556 //// +161 //// 154017 018 040 002 01
152500 1940N 06402W 8429 01554 //// +173 //// 154016 018 038 003 01
152530 1939N 06403W 8430 01551 //// +163 //// 151015 017 040 004 01
152600 1938N 06405W 8444 01539 //// +159 //// 143015 016 042 004 01
152630 1937N 06406W 8421 01560 //// +171 //// 150014 016 035 003 01
152700 1936N 06408W 8434 01546 //// +168 //// 131012 014 034 005 01
152730 1935N 06409W 8436 01544 //// +179 //// 117011 012 031 000 01
152800 1934N 06410W 8432 01549 //// +175 //// 131011 012 030 001 05
$$
;
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 111538
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 32 20110911
152830 1933N 06411W 8432 01550 //// +175 //// 148010 011 028 000 05
152900 1932N 06412W 8425 01556 //// +178 //// 144010 011 029 000 05
152930 1931N 06414W 8434 01546 //// +177 //// 142010 010 029 000 01
153000 1930N 06415W 8433 01546 //// +179 //// 138010 010 028 000 01
153030 1929N 06417W 8441 01539 //// +178 //// 143009 010 027 000 01
153100 1928N 06418W 8425 01555 //// +183 //// 145008 009 027 000 01
153130 1927N 06420W 8437 01541 //// +184 //// 141007 008 027 000 01
153200 1926N 06421W 8425 01554 //// +185 //// 144006 007 026 000 01
153230 1925N 06422W 8434 01545 //// +187 //// 174003 003 026 000 01
153300 1924N 06424W 8429 01549 //// +186 //// 202003 003 026 000 01
153330 1923N 06425W 8432 01549 //// +188 //// 228001 001 026 000 01
153400 1922N 06426W 8429 01551 //// +190 //// 351002 003 026 000 01
153430 1921N 06428W 8432 01550 //// +188 //// 014003 004 025 000 01
153500 1919N 06429W 8425 01557 //// +190 //// 015004 005 026 000 01
153530 1918N 06431W 8425 01563 //// +186 //// 358007 008 026 000 01
153600 1918N 06431W 8425 01563 //// +186 //// 359010 010 027 000 01
153630 1915N 06434W 8430 01566 //// +187 //// 004011 012 026 000 01
153700 1913N 06436W 8431 01566 //// +191 //// 000012 012 026 000 01
153730 1912N 06437W 8432 01566 //// +192 //// 000012 013 028 000 01
153800 1910N 06439W 8432 01567 //// +190 //// 356014 014 027 000 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 111538
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 32 20110911
152830 1933N 06411W 8432 01550 //// +175 //// 148010 011 028 000 05
152900 1932N 06412W 8425 01556 //// +178 //// 144010 011 029 000 05
152930 1931N 06414W 8434 01546 //// +177 //// 142010 010 029 000 01
153000 1930N 06415W 8433 01546 //// +179 //// 138010 010 028 000 01
153030 1929N 06417W 8441 01539 //// +178 //// 143009 010 027 000 01
153100 1928N 06418W 8425 01555 //// +183 //// 145008 009 027 000 01
153130 1927N 06420W 8437 01541 //// +184 //// 141007 008 027 000 01
153200 1926N 06421W 8425 01554 //// +185 //// 144006 007 026 000 01
153230 1925N 06422W 8434 01545 //// +187 //// 174003 003 026 000 01
153300 1924N 06424W 8429 01549 //// +186 //// 202003 003 026 000 01
153330 1923N 06425W 8432 01549 //// +188 //// 228001 001 026 000 01
153400 1922N 06426W 8429 01551 //// +190 //// 351002 003 026 000 01
153430 1921N 06428W 8432 01550 //// +188 //// 014003 004 025 000 01
153500 1919N 06429W 8425 01557 //// +190 //// 015004 005 026 000 01
153530 1918N 06431W 8425 01563 //// +186 //// 358007 008 026 000 01
153600 1918N 06431W 8425 01563 //// +186 //// 359010 010 027 000 01
153630 1915N 06434W 8430 01566 //// +187 //// 004011 012 026 000 01
153700 1913N 06436W 8431 01566 //// +191 //// 000012 012 026 000 01
153730 1912N 06437W 8432 01566 //// +192 //// 000012 013 028 000 01
153800 1910N 06439W 8432 01567 //// +190 //// 356014 014 027 000 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It's pretty windy here but not much rain.
24 Hour Summary
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 11 AM (15) Sep 11 82 (28) 78 (26) 29.88 (1012) S 29
10 AM (14) Sep 11 82 (28) 78 (26) 29.88 (1012) S 25 rain showers
9 AM (13) Sep 11 84 (29) 78 (26) 29.85 (1011) SW 7
8 AM (12) Sep 11 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.83 (1010) SSW 21 light rain showers
24 Hour Summary
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 11 AM (15) Sep 11 82 (28) 78 (26) 29.88 (1012) S 29
10 AM (14) Sep 11 82 (28) 78 (26) 29.88 (1012) S 25 rain showers
9 AM (13) Sep 11 84 (29) 78 (26) 29.85 (1011) SW 7
8 AM (12) Sep 11 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.83 (1010) SSW 21 light rain showers
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Too many hurricanes to remember
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gatorcane
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Look at this huge trough on WV loop getting ready to dive into the East Coast of the United States......no way Maria is getting close to the CONUS with that kind of trough:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 111548
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 33 20110911
153830 1908N 06441W 8432 01568 //// +190 //// 349015 015 028 000 01
153900 1907N 06443W 8431 01571 //// +191 //// 347013 014 029 000 01
153930 1905N 06444W 8432 01572 //// +194 //// 342014 015 028 000 01
154000 1903N 06446W 8430 01574 //// +197 //// 335015 015 027 000 01
154030 1902N 06448W 8431 01575 //// +195 //// 333016 017 028 000 01
154100 1900N 06450W 8433 01575 //// +193 //// 332016 017 028 000 01
154130 1858N 06451W 8432 01577 //// +190 //// 324015 015 029 000 01
154200 1857N 06453W 8432 01579 //// +188 //// 317015 016 029 000 01
154230 1855N 06455W 8431 01581 //// +190 //// 316016 017 029 000 01
154300 1853N 06456W 8431 01583 //// +187 //// 313018 018 029 000 01
154330 1852N 06458W 8433 01581 //// +184 //// 313017 018 029 000 01
154400 1850N 06500W 8430 01588 //// +181 //// 306018 018 029 000 01
154430 1849N 06501W 8432 01589 //// +177 //// 301018 019 029 001 01
154500 1847N 06503W 8430 01590 //// +184 //// 301019 019 029 000 01
154530 1845N 06505W 8432 01588 //// +189 //// 310019 019 029 001 01
154600 1844N 06506W 8431 01590 //// +184 //// 317019 019 028 001 01
154630 1842N 06508W 8430 01592 //// +180 //// 314020 021 028 000 01
154700 1840N 06510W 8433 01591 //// +179 //// 308020 020 029 000 01
154730 1839N 06511W 8444 01577 //// +176 //// 308019 020 028 000 01
154800 1838N 06513W 8427 01594 //// +172 //// 299019 019 028 000 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 111548
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 33 20110911
153830 1908N 06441W 8432 01568 //// +190 //// 349015 015 028 000 01
153900 1907N 06443W 8431 01571 //// +191 //// 347013 014 029 000 01
153930 1905N 06444W 8432 01572 //// +194 //// 342014 015 028 000 01
154000 1903N 06446W 8430 01574 //// +197 //// 335015 015 027 000 01
154030 1902N 06448W 8431 01575 //// +195 //// 333016 017 028 000 01
154100 1900N 06450W 8433 01575 //// +193 //// 332016 017 028 000 01
154130 1858N 06451W 8432 01577 //// +190 //// 324015 015 029 000 01
154200 1857N 06453W 8432 01579 //// +188 //// 317015 016 029 000 01
154230 1855N 06455W 8431 01581 //// +190 //// 316016 017 029 000 01
154300 1853N 06456W 8431 01583 //// +187 //// 313018 018 029 000 01
154330 1852N 06458W 8433 01581 //// +184 //// 313017 018 029 000 01
154400 1850N 06500W 8430 01588 //// +181 //// 306018 018 029 000 01
154430 1849N 06501W 8432 01589 //// +177 //// 301018 019 029 001 01
154500 1847N 06503W 8430 01590 //// +184 //// 301019 019 029 000 01
154530 1845N 06505W 8432 01588 //// +189 //// 310019 019 029 001 01
154600 1844N 06506W 8431 01590 //// +184 //// 317019 019 028 001 01
154630 1842N 06508W 8430 01592 //// +180 //// 314020 021 028 000 01
154700 1840N 06510W 8433 01591 //// +179 //// 308020 020 029 000 01
154730 1839N 06511W 8444 01577 //// +176 //// 308019 020 028 000 01
154800 1838N 06513W 8427 01594 //// +172 //// 299019 019 028 000 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 111558
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 34 20110911
154830 1836N 06514W 8429 01592 //// +170 //// 299018 019 028 000 01
154900 1835N 06516W 8436 01584 //// +167 //// 301019 019 027 000 01
154930 1834N 06517W 8431 01591 //// +166 //// 298019 020 028 000 01
155000 1832N 06518W 8434 01586 //// +166 //// 294020 020 028 000 01
155030 1831N 06520W 8430 01594 //// +167 //// 294018 019 028 000 01
155100 1830N 06521W 8426 01597 //// +168 //// 296018 019 028 000 01
155130 1828N 06522W 8436 01590 //// +170 //// 293018 018 029 000 01
155200 1827N 06524W 8428 01600 //// +179 //// 290018 019 029 000 01
155230 1826N 06525W 8433 01592 //// +180 //// 289019 019 029 000 01
155300 1824N 06527W 8434 01594 //// +182 //// 288018 018 029 000 01
155330 1823N 06528W 8428 01600 //// +184 //// 295016 017 030 000 01
155400 1822N 06529W 8433 01596 //// +185 //// 303016 016 030 000 01
155430 1820N 06531W 8430 01600 //// +184 //// 294016 017 030 001 01
155500 1819N 06532W 8432 01598 //// +185 //// 290014 015 028 000 01
155530 1817N 06534W 8431 01601 //// +181 //// 283014 014 028 001 01
155600 1816N 06535W 8429 01603 //// +182 //// 289012 013 031 000 01
155630 1815N 06536W 8440 01595 //// +183 //// 287013 014 /// /// 05
155700 1813N 06537W 8427 01600 //// +185 //// 291015 016 030 000 05
155730 1812N 06537W 8433 01595 //// +180 //// 290016 017 030 000 01
155800 1810N 06537W 8429 01600 //// +179 //// 292016 016 027 010 05
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 111558
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 34 20110911
154830 1836N 06514W 8429 01592 //// +170 //// 299018 019 028 000 01
154900 1835N 06516W 8436 01584 //// +167 //// 301019 019 027 000 01
154930 1834N 06517W 8431 01591 //// +166 //// 298019 020 028 000 01
155000 1832N 06518W 8434 01586 //// +166 //// 294020 020 028 000 01
155030 1831N 06520W 8430 01594 //// +167 //// 294018 019 028 000 01
155100 1830N 06521W 8426 01597 //// +168 //// 296018 019 028 000 01
155130 1828N 06522W 8436 01590 //// +170 //// 293018 018 029 000 01
155200 1827N 06524W 8428 01600 //// +179 //// 290018 019 029 000 01
155230 1826N 06525W 8433 01592 //// +180 //// 289019 019 029 000 01
155300 1824N 06527W 8434 01594 //// +182 //// 288018 018 029 000 01
155330 1823N 06528W 8428 01600 //// +184 //// 295016 017 030 000 01
155400 1822N 06529W 8433 01596 //// +185 //// 303016 016 030 000 01
155430 1820N 06531W 8430 01600 //// +184 //// 294016 017 030 001 01
155500 1819N 06532W 8432 01598 //// +185 //// 290014 015 028 000 01
155530 1817N 06534W 8431 01601 //// +181 //// 283014 014 028 001 01
155600 1816N 06535W 8429 01603 //// +182 //// 289012 013 031 000 01
155630 1815N 06536W 8440 01595 //// +183 //// 287013 014 /// /// 05
155700 1813N 06537W 8427 01600 //// +185 //// 291015 016 030 000 05
155730 1812N 06537W 8433 01595 //// +180 //// 290016 017 030 000 01
155800 1810N 06537W 8429 01600 //// +179 //// 292016 016 027 010 05
$$
;
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT12 KNHC 111600
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL142011
A. 11/15:33:50Z
B. 19 deg 22 min N
064 deg 26 min W
C. 850 mb 1481 m
D. 51 kt
E. 052 deg 72 nm
F. 121 deg 42 kt
G. 051 deg 74 nm
H. 1007 mb
I. 17 C / 1522 m
J. 19 C / 1522 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF308 0614A MARIA OB 07
MAX FL WIND 53 KT E QUAD 14:53:00Z
;
Dropsonde:
000
UZNT13 KNHC 111600
XXAA 61168 99194 70644 04394 99007 27825 15516 00058 27221 14511
92746 23826 19508 85486 20050 32501 88999 77999
31313 09608 81534
61616 AF308 0614A MARIA OB 08
62626 SPL 1936N06445W 1535 MBL WND 16011 AEV 20802 DLM WND 17507
006843 WL150 15011 084 REL 1936N06445W 153404 SPG 1936N06444W 153
540 =
XXBB 61168 99194 70644 04394 00007 27825 11959 24410 22908 24037
33866 21428 44850 20050 55843 19057
21212 00007 15516 11005 15517 22003 14008 33994 15513 44987 17010
55981 16007 66971 16513 77959 17513 88947 18008 99929 19509 11910
18003 22887 18009 33858 22002 44843 35503
31313 09608 81534
61616 AF308 0614A MARIA OB 08
62626 SPL 1936N06445W 1535 MBL WND 16011 AEV 20802 DLM WND 17507
006843 WL150 15011 084 REL 1936N06445W 153404 SPG 1936N06444W 153
540 =
;
URNT12 KNHC 111600
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL142011
A. 11/15:33:50Z
B. 19 deg 22 min N
064 deg 26 min W
C. 850 mb 1481 m
D. 51 kt
E. 052 deg 72 nm
F. 121 deg 42 kt
G. 051 deg 74 nm
H. 1007 mb
I. 17 C / 1522 m
J. 19 C / 1522 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF308 0614A MARIA OB 07
MAX FL WIND 53 KT E QUAD 14:53:00Z
;
Dropsonde:
000
UZNT13 KNHC 111600
XXAA 61168 99194 70644 04394 99007 27825 15516 00058 27221 14511
92746 23826 19508 85486 20050 32501 88999 77999
31313 09608 81534
61616 AF308 0614A MARIA OB 08
62626 SPL 1936N06445W 1535 MBL WND 16011 AEV 20802 DLM WND 17507
006843 WL150 15011 084 REL 1936N06445W 153404 SPG 1936N06444W 153
540 =
XXBB 61168 99194 70644 04394 00007 27825 11959 24410 22908 24037
33866 21428 44850 20050 55843 19057
21212 00007 15516 11005 15517 22003 14008 33994 15513 44987 17010
55981 16007 66971 16513 77959 17513 88947 18008 99929 19509 11910
18003 22887 18009 33858 22002 44843 35503
31313 09608 81534
61616 AF308 0614A MARIA OB 08
62626 SPL 1936N06445W 1535 MBL WND 16011 AEV 20802 DLM WND 17507
006843 WL150 15011 084 REL 1936N06445W 153404 SPG 1936N06444W 153
540 =
;
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145285
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Conditions at San Juan at Noon EDT,had winds from the North.
Conditions at Sep 11, 2011 - 12:00 PM EDT
2011.09.11 1600 UTC
Wind from the N (350 degrees) at 6 MPH (5 KT)
Visibility 9 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Precipitation last hour 0.01 inches
Temperature 82.0 F (27.8 C)
Dew Point 75.9 F (24.4 C)
Relative Humidity 81%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.9 in. Hg (1012 hPa)
Conditions at Sep 11, 2011 - 12:00 PM EDT
2011.09.11 1600 UTC
Wind from the N (350 degrees) at 6 MPH (5 KT)
Visibility 9 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Precipitation last hour 0.01 inches
Temperature 82.0 F (27.8 C)
Dew Point 75.9 F (24.4 C)
Relative Humidity 81%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.9 in. Hg (1012 hPa)
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 111608
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 35 20110911
155830 1808N 06537W 8434 01597 //// +179 //// 301017 017 027 000 01
155900 1806N 06537W 8433 01597 //// +180 //// 299016 016 028 000 05
155930 1804N 06536W 8430 01601 //// +183 //// 298015 016 /// /// 05
160000 1803N 06535W 8431 01600 //// +187 //// 281014 015 /// /// 05
160030 1803N 06533W 8429 01601 //// +185 //// 274014 014 /// /// 05
160100 1803N 06531W 8428 01601 //// +183 //// 271015 016 /// /// 05
160130 1803N 06529W 8436 01595 //// +187 //// 267016 017 /// /// 05
160200 1803N 06526W 8430 01600 //// +185 //// 263017 017 /// /// 05
160230 1803N 06524W 8432 01600 //// +182 //// 262017 018 /// /// 05
160300 1803N 06522W 8429 01601 //// +183 //// 265018 019 /// /// 05
160330 1804N 06520W 8434 01592 //// +183 //// 263018 019 /// /// 35
160400 1804N 06518W 8419 01609 //// +175 //// 263020 020 /// /// 05
160430 1804N 06516W 8437 01592 //// +180 //// 260020 020 /// /// 05
160500 1804N 06514W 8431 01595 //// +183 //// 255018 019 /// /// 05
160530 1804N 06511W 8429 01597 //// +178 //// 259019 019 /// /// 05
160600 1804N 06509W 8429 01598 //// +179 //// 258020 020 /// /// 05
160630 1804N 06507W 8429 01597 //// +185 //// 257020 020 /// /// 05
160700 1804N 06505W 8425 01600 //// +187 //// 251021 021 /// /// 05
160730 1804N 06503W 8434 01591 //// +187 //// 252022 022 /// /// 05
160800 1804N 06501W 8425 01597 //// +184 //// 251023 024 /// /// 05
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 111608
AF308 0614A MARIA HDOB 35 20110911
155830 1808N 06537W 8434 01597 //// +179 //// 301017 017 027 000 01
155900 1806N 06537W 8433 01597 //// +180 //// 299016 016 028 000 05
155930 1804N 06536W 8430 01601 //// +183 //// 298015 016 /// /// 05
160000 1803N 06535W 8431 01600 //// +187 //// 281014 015 /// /// 05
160030 1803N 06533W 8429 01601 //// +185 //// 274014 014 /// /// 05
160100 1803N 06531W 8428 01601 //// +183 //// 271015 016 /// /// 05
160130 1803N 06529W 8436 01595 //// +187 //// 267016 017 /// /// 05
160200 1803N 06526W 8430 01600 //// +185 //// 263017 017 /// /// 05
160230 1803N 06524W 8432 01600 //// +182 //// 262017 018 /// /// 05
160300 1803N 06522W 8429 01601 //// +183 //// 265018 019 /// /// 05
160330 1804N 06520W 8434 01592 //// +183 //// 263018 019 /// /// 35
160400 1804N 06518W 8419 01609 //// +175 //// 263020 020 /// /// 05
160430 1804N 06516W 8437 01592 //// +180 //// 260020 020 /// /// 05
160500 1804N 06514W 8431 01595 //// +183 //// 255018 019 /// /// 05
160530 1804N 06511W 8429 01597 //// +178 //// 259019 019 /// /// 05
160600 1804N 06509W 8429 01598 //// +179 //// 258020 020 /// /// 05
160630 1804N 06507W 8429 01597 //// +185 //// 257020 020 /// /// 05
160700 1804N 06505W 8425 01600 //// +187 //// 251021 021 /// /// 05
160730 1804N 06503W 8434 01591 //// +187 //// 252022 022 /// /// 05
160800 1804N 06501W 8425 01597 //// +184 //// 251023 024 /// /// 05
$$
;
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cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Web Cam from St Thomas that does not update. It looks like light rain there. Painkillerr,what are the conditions there?
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