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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10061 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 11, 2011 12:19 pm

TROPICAL STORM MARIA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1245 PM AST SUN SEP 11 2011

A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARIA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND COULD
PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE EXTREME
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10062 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 11, 2011 2:40 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
319 PM AST SUN SEP 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST
NORTH OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND DISSIPATE
AS THE TROPICAL STORM IMPINGES ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
LOW AND SLOWS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FILL IN BEHIND TROPICAL STORM
MARIA ONCE IT HAS LEFT ON TUESDAY. A SECOND UPPER LOW NEAR 27 NORTH 40
WEST WILL MOVE DUE WEST TO JUST NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BY
NEXT WEEKEND. THIS LOW WILL ALSO CAUSE A REFLECTION AT MID LEVELS.

AT LOWER LEVELS...TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS LEAVING THE FORECAST
AREA NORTH OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BUT WILL CONTINUE TO PULL
MOIST AIR...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG ITS EASTERN FLANK. A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED TO A REFLECTION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
MENTIONED ABOVE.


&&

.DISCUSSION...TROPICAL STORM MARIA CONTINUES TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY
TO THE NORTHWEST AND IS NOW LEAVING THE FORECAST AREA NORTH OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. IT IS VERY LIKELY THAT THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING CAN BE DROPPED...BUT WILL WAIT FOR THE NATIONAL HURRICANES
5 PM LOCATION FIX BEFORE DOING SO. THE HEAVIEST RAIN SEEN IN
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON WAS SEEN IN YAUCO AND GUANICA...BUT HAS
SINCE DISSIPATED. OTHER SHOWERS ARE NOW NEAR PATILLAS AND SAN
LORENZO. MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN SUCCESSFUL AT PREDICTING THE
LOCATION OF THE RAIN BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM MARIA. AT THIS
TIME IT APPEARS THAT...NOT WITHSTANDING ANYTHING THAT THE MODELS
INDICATE...THE HEAVIEST CONVECTION...WHICH IS MOVING WEST OR WEST
NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS...WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THIS TRAJECTORY
AND BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHEASTERN OUTER WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HOWEVER IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THEY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS
TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AS SUGGESTED BY
THE GFS. THEREFORE...GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...WILL LEAVE THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL THE MOTION OF THE ONE SIGNIFICANT RAIN
BAND WITH DEEP CONVECTION CAN BE MORE PRECISELY FORECAST. WOULD
EXPECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TO BE AFFECTED BEFORE PUERTO RICO
AND IT IS UNLIKELY ANY FLOODING WILL OCCUR BEFORE 6 AM AST MONDAY
MORNING.

AFTER THAT MODELS INDICATE GOOD PRECIPITABLE WATER BEING PULLED UP
BEHIND MARIA ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND WOULD EXPECT THIS WILL LEAD TO
BETTER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAN WE HAVE HAD SO FAR. THE
TROPICAL WAVE MAY BRING VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS OWING TO HOW IT IS BEING COMPRESSED BETWEEN THE TAIL OF
MARIA AND AN UPPER LOW ENTERING THE AREA FROM THE EAST. THE AXIS
OF THIS UPPER LOW SHOULD CROSS THE AREA NEXT SUNDAY...AND USHER
IN BETTER SHOWER ACTIVITY...BUT NO CONFIDENCE CAN BE PLACED IN
THIS FORECAST SO FAR OUT...GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE NEAR-
TERM. THE MODEL ALSO HAS A LOW IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST
IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WHICH WOULD BE A CANDIDATE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...BUT IT IS NOT FAVORED BY THE GFS...POSSIBLY DUE TO
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT INTRUDES INTO ITS PATH FROM THE NORTHEAST.


&&

.AVIATION...AS T.S. MARIA CONTINUES TO MOVE GENERALLY WNW...OUTER
RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL TAF SITES FROM TIME TO
TIME. AS A RESULT...TEMPORALLY MVFR CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED...
ESPECIALLY IN AND AROUND TNCM/TKPK...TIST/TISX AND TJSJ/TJBQ THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE DUE TO THE SLOW RETREAT OF
TROPICAL STORM MARIA. MODELS ALSO INDICATE SOME ROUGH SEAS MONDAY
NIGHT IN THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE OUTER ATLANTIC WATERS.
CARIBBEAN WATERS WILL BE MORE PROTECTED FROM THESE WAVES.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 91 77 91 / 40 40 50 50
STT 78 89 78 88 / 50 50 50 50
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10063 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 11, 2011 3:40 pm

...CENTER OF MARIA TO PASS WELL NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 65.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...180 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10064 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 12, 2011 5:19 am

Good morning. The tail of Maria will cause plenty of rain today thru tommorow in PR and VI.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
518 AM AST MON SEP 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT 500 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.3 WEST AND
WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS FORECAST
TRACK...MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE LOCAL
AREA TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY BUT WITH RAINBANDS AND LINGERING
MOISTURE AFFECTING THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...TROPICAL STORM MARIA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY TO THE
NORTHWEST AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TAIL
OF THE STORM CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AT THIS TIME...AND EXPECT THIS TREND
TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SLOWLY LIFTING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO
RICO...AND POSSIBLY ACROSS MUCH OF PUERTO RICO LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL HAS BEEN
LIMITED THUS FAR...WE STILL EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SOME LOCALIZED FLASH AND RIVER
FLOODING. FOR THIS REASON...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ROUGHLY THE EASTERN ONE-THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS UNTIL 6 PM
TUESDAY. IN GENERAL...STILL EXPECT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO
LINGER ACROSS AT LEAST PARTS OF THE FA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.

A VERY BRIEF...DRIER SPELL OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED LOCALLY FOR
LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BEFORE A TROPICAL
WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE MOVE ACROSS THE FA LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY...PRODUCING ADDITIONAL
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOOKING AHEAD...
AN OVERALL DRIER WEATHER PATTERN IS CURRENTLY INDICATED FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND PROBABLY SATURDAY ALSO.

&&

.AVIATION...SHRA/TSRA ASSOCIATED WITH TS MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MVFR/IFR
CIGS AND VIS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY. SOME TSTMS COULD
PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 40 KTS. RISK OF TSTMS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON WITH IMPROVING WX CONDITIONS TUE NIGHT AND
WED. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND BECOMING MORE SRLY BY
MID MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOCAL ATLANTIC OFF
SHORE WATERS ENDED AT 5 AM AST AND HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. SMALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINING LOCAL COASTAL WATERS TODAY. IN
GENERAL...EXPECT MARINE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY IMPROVE
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST AND
AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 78 90 78 / 60 50 50 40
STT 88 79 89 80 / 60 50 50 40
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10065 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 12, 2011 11:30 am

Flash Flood Watch extended until 6 PM EDT Tuesday

FLOOD WATCH...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1220 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

PRZ001>004-012-013-VIZ001-002-130500-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-110913T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-CULEBRA-
VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE...CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...
CRUZ BAY...CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...
GROVE PLACE
1220 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM AST TUESDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...EASTERN INTERIOR...
NORTHEAST...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...SOUTHEAST AND VIEQUES. IN
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX...ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE
ADJACENT ISLANDS.

* THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING

* FEEDER BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TROPICAL STORM
MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
GRADUALLY LIFTING WEST NORTHWEST INTO EASTERN PUERTO RICO LATER
TODAY...AND THEN CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. FOR
THIS REASON...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
AST TUESDAY. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 8 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE.

* THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN RAPID RISES OF LOCAL
STREAMS...RIVERS AND GUTS AND LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. AREAS OF
HIGHER CONCERN ARE THOSE THAT WERE ALREADY IMPACTED BY DEBRIS
FLOWS IN THE WAKE OF HURRICANE IRENE. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN.

&&

$$

BCS
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10066 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 12, 2011 2:21 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
232 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT 1100 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST AND WAS
MOVING WESTWARD AT 2 MPH. A FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY EARLY
TUESDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY
FROM THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. HOWEVER...RAINBANDS
AND LINGERING MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. A TROPICAL WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTED TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN COASTAL WATERS AS
WELL AS ACROSS VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THESE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF
MOISTURE EXTENDING EAST SOUTHEASTWARD FROM TROPICAL STORM MARIA.
TROPICAL STORM MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE WEST. A
FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A FURTHER INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED BY EARLY TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TAIL OF THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THIS MOISTURE WILL PROPAGATE SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD AFFECTING THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND POSSIBLE
THE REST OF PUERTO RICO LATER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. IN FACT...PWAT
VALUES OF AROUND 2.0 INCHES OR MORE ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FA
UNTIL AT LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT.

A DRY BUT BRIEF TREND IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BEFORE A TROPICAL WAVE AND ITS
ASSOCIATED MOISTURE MOVE ACROSS THE FA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY...PRODUCING ADDITIONAL
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOOKING AHEAD...
AN OVERALL DRIER WEATHER PATTERN IS CURRENTLY INDICATED FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND PROBABLY SATURDAY ALSO.

&&

.AVIATION...SHRA/TSRA ASSOCIATED WITH FEEDING BANDS OF TS MARIA
WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VIS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS TIST...TISX AND TJSJ. SOME TSTMS COULD PRODUCE
STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 40 KTS. RISK OF TSTMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
TUE AFTERNOON WITH IMPROVING WX CONDITIONS TUE NIGHT AND WED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 90 78 91 / 60 60 30 30
STT 79 89 80 89 / 70 70 40 40
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10067 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:49 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
430 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

PRC049-147-VIC010-020-030-122330-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0429.110912T2030Z-110912T2330Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CULEBRA PR-VIEQUES PR-SAINT JOHN VI-SAINT THOMAS VI-SAINT CROIX VI-
430 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS...

IN PUERTO RICO
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN...SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 730 PM AST

AT 410 PM AST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR
INDICATED THAT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN CONTINUED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND AFFECT THE ADVISORY AREA.
THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FEEDER BANDS FROM TROPICAL
STORM MARIA NOW LOCATED WELL NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. THIS MOISTURE
WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SLOWLY NORTH NORTHEASTWARD PRODUCING
OCCASIONAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THESE ISLANDS.
FOR THIS REASON THE URBAN AND SMALL STEAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN
EXTENDED UNTIL 730 PM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND GUTS...AND LOW SPOTS IN HIGHWAYS. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN OR MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1764 6473 1768 6494 1784 6473 1827 6478
1830 6506 1809 6525 1810 6560 1820 6553
1818 6525 1831 6512 1827 6534 1834 6541
1838 6536 1840 6473 1784 6473 1770 6461

$$

RAM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10068 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 12, 2011 4:09 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
449 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

PRC037-053-069-103-122345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0431.110912T2049Z-110912T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NAGUABO PR-CEIBA PR-FAJARDO PR-HUMACAO PR-
449 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
NAGUABO...CEIBA...FAJARDO AND HUMACAO

* UNTIL 745 PM AST

* AT 447 PM AST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR
DETECTED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. SO FAR ESTIMATED HOURLY RAINFALL
RATES WERE BETWEEN AN INCH TO TWO INCHES ACROSS THESE AREAS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE QUICK RISES AND
MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS...AND LOW SPOTS IN
ROADWAYS. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN OR MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1820 6582 1830 6565 1825 6561 1813 6577

$$

RAM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
444 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

PRC095-109-151-122345-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0430.110912T2044Z-110912T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PATILLAS PR-MAUNABO PR-YABUCOA PR-
444 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
PATILLAS...MAUNABO AND YABUCOA

* UNTIL 745 PM AST

* AT 438 PM AST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR
DETECTED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. SO FAR ESTIMATED HOURLY RAINFALL
RATES WERE BETWEEN AN INCH TO TWO INCHES ACROSS THESE AREAS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE QUICK RISES AND
MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS...AND LOW SPOTS IN
ROADWAYS. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN OR MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1807 6602 1812 6590 1802 6583 1796 6596

$$

RAM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10069 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 12, 2011 6:27 pm

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC037-130030-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0128.110912T2234Z-110913T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
634 PM AST MON SEP 12 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY

IN PUERTO RICO
CEIBA

* UNTIL 830 PM AST

* AT 621 PM AST...THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR AND LOCAL PUBLIC
REPORTED HEAVY RAINS AND ROAD FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA.STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THIS
AREA.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES
OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING
OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF
CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE
SUBJECT TO FLOODING. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO AVOID ROADS WHERE
EXCESSIVE PONDING IS OBSERVED.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS PARTICULARLY AT NIGHT. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE
RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1826 6570 1829 6566 1823 6560 1820 6566
1823 6569

$$

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10070 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 12, 2011 8:49 pm

Things are starting to turn bad in Eastern Puerto Rico as the tail of Maria is causing floodings and evacuations from homes.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 65290.html
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10071 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 13, 2011 5:47 am

Good morning. The tail of Maria continues to affect Puerto Rico with numerous showers and thunder, causing plenty of flooding. I will be posting news about it during the day.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TS MARIA CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. THIS FEATURE IS SUSTAINING A DEEP LAYER MOIST
ADVECTIVE PATTERN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. A TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST
TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
AS A RESULT...UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE
ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE CELLS FIRED UP EARLIER THIS MORNING AFFECTING
MAINLY THE EASTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ALSO DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN INTERIOR
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THERE ARE STILL SOME HEAVY SHOWERS AFFECTING
THIS AREAS...AND NOT DECREASING ANYTIME SOON. ALTHOUGH...TS MARIA IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...VERY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HIGH CLOUDS FROM
THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE ARE ALSO AFFECTING THE ISLANDS...KEEPING CLOUDY
SKIES OVER THE LOCAL REGION.

TS MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW FAVORS A DEEP LAYER
MOIST ADVECTIVE PATTERN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST BLENDED TPW
PRODUCT SHOWS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF UP TO 2.6 INCHES OVER THE
ATLANTIC OFFSHORE WATERS AND OVER 2.3 INCHES OVER PR AND USVI. WE ALREADY
HAD AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME FLOODING AND EXPECT THESE TRENDS
TO CONTINUE...WITH EACH ROUND OF NEW RAINFALL RESULTING IN MORE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE EASTERN INTERIOR...
NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO.

&&

.AVIATION...FEEDER BANDS FROM TS MARIA CONTD TO AFFECT THE FLYING
AREA PRODUCING SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE E-SE
SECTIONS OF PR...AND THE COASTAL WATERS BTW PR AND THE VI. EXPECT
SHRA AND ISOLD TSRA TO CONT ACROSS THESE AREAS THRU 13/12Z AS WELL
AS VCNTY OF TJSJ...TISX...TIST...TNCM AND TKPK. THIS WILL RESULT
IN BRIEF MVFR CIGS AND PSBL IFR VSBYS IN HEAVY SHRA/TSRA THROUGH
FCST PRD. MTN TOP OBSCR ALSO PSBL OVR E PARTS OF THE CORDILLERA
CENTRAL DUE TO PASSING SHRA AND TEMPO LOW CIGS. LLVL WNDS FM SW
BTW 15 TO 25 KT BLO 10K FT BCMG WESTERLY A 10 TO 20 KT ABV.

&&

.MARINE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC
OFFSHORE WATERS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AST TODAY. SMALL BOAT OPERATORS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINING LOCAL COASTAL
WATERS TODAY. IN GENERAL...EXPECT MARINE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY IMPROVE AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHWEST AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 77 90 78 / 50 30 30 50
STT 87 78 89 80 / 50 40 40 40
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10072 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 13, 2011 6:52 am

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC003-005-011-023-067-079-083-097-099-117-125-131445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0134.110913T1146Z-110913T1445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
746 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
ANASCO
HORMIGUEROS
LAJAS
MOCA
SAN GERMAN
LAS MARIAS
RINCON
AGUADILLA
AGUADA
CABO ROJO
MAYAGUEZ

* UNTIL 1045 AM AST

* AT 737 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES MOVING REPEATEDLY
OVER THE SAME AREAS. THIS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN LOW LYING
AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS.

RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.


IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 1840 6704 1818 6705 1814 6699 1796 6699
1794 6711 1795 6722 1801 6721 1802 6719
1803 6720 1820 6716 1828 6720 1836 6727
1842 6716 1849 6718 1852 6710

$$

ER

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC043-075-133-149-131415-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0132.000000T0000Z-110913T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
708 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO
VILLALBA
JUANA DIAZ
SANTA ISABEL

* UNTIL 1015 AM AST

* AT 650 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS VILLALBA...JUANA DIAZ AND COAMO MOVING
REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. THIS WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH
FLOODING IN LOW LYING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES. IN ADDITION...
RIVER GAGES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL PUERTO RICO CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THE TOA VACA RIVER IN VILLALBA STILL OUT OF ITS BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1793 6638 1795 6642 1792 6646 1795 6643
1798 6645 1797 6654 1814 6656 1818 6646
1817 6633 1808 6626 1800 6634 1793 6632
1797 6634 1794 6637 1793 6635 1794 6637
1791 6639

$$

ER

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC095-109-151-131415-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0131.000000T0000Z-110913T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
656 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
PATILLAS
MAUNABO
YABUCOA

* UNTIL 1015 AM AST

* AT 646 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS PATILLAS...MAUNABO AND YABUCOA IN THE LAST HOUR. THIS WILL
CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING ALONG RIO MARIN...RIO GUAYANES AND
ITS TRIBUTARIES IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1806 6602 1809 6599 1809 6594 1812 6592
1812 6588 1811 6587 1812 6585 1809 6584
1807 6579 1805 6582 1801 6583 1796 6596

$$

ER

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10073 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 13, 2011 7:29 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
813 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

PRC007-009-019-021-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-061-063-101-105-107-
127-135-139-131515-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0440.110913T1213Z-110913T1515Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRANQUITAS PR-BAYAMON PR-CAGUAS PR-CAYEY PR-CIALES PR-CIDRA PR-
COMERIO PR-COROZAL PR-GUAYNABO PR-GURABO PR-MOROVIS PR-NARANJITO PR-
OROCOVIS PR-SAN JUAN PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-AIBONITO PR-
TOA ALTA PR-CAROLINA PR-
813 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARRANQUITAS...BAYAMON...CAGUAS...CAYEY...CIALES...CIDRA...
COMERIO...COROZAL...GUAYNABO...GURABO...MOROVIS...NARANJITO...
OROCOVIS...SAN JUAN...TRUJILLO ALTO...AGUAS BUENAS...AIBONITO...
TOA ALTA AND CAROLINA

* UNTIL 1115 AM AST

* AT 811 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES MOVING REPEATEDLY
OVER THE SAME AREAS. RADAR ESTIMATES TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
2 INCHES ACROSS SOME AREAS IN THE LAST HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES
THROUGH 1115 AM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS
AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND
MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1835 6592 1812 6605 1810 6626 1817 6633
1818 6652 1832 6657 1835 6637 1833 6636
1835 6635 1837 6621

$$

ER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
801 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

PRC001-013-027-055-059-065-071-073-081-083-093-111-113-115-121-131-
141-153-131500-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0439.110913T1201Z-110913T1500Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUANICA PR-GUAYANILLA PR-HATILLO PR-JAYUYA PR-LARES PR-MARICAO PR-
PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-UTUADO PR-YAUCO PR-
SAN SEBASTIAN PR-ADJUNTAS PR-ARECIBO PR-LAS MARIAS PR-ISABELA PR-
CAMUY PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-
801 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
GUANICA...GUAYANILLA...HATILLO...JAYUYA...LARES...MARICAO...
PENUELAS...PONCE...SABANA GRANDE...UTUADO...YAUCO...SAN
SEBASTIAN...ADJUNTAS...ARECIBO...LAS MARIAS...ISABELA...CAMUY
AND QUEBRADILLAS

* UNTIL 1100 AM AST

* AT 756 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS SOME AREAS IN THE LAST HOUR.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THESE MUNICIPALITIES THROUGH 11 AM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS
AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND
MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1849 6691 1849 6660 1834 6659 1832 6661
1832 6659 1797 6657 1797 6677 1799 6677
1797 6678 1796 6697 1803 6696 1805 6698
1814 6697 1818 6703 1819 6702 1821 6703
1840 6703 1852 6709

$$

ER
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10074 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 13, 2011 8:23 am

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
PRC009-019-043-045-047-105-107-131345-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
840 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 945 AM AST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING
MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
BARRANQUITAS...COAMO...COMERIO...COROZAL...NARANJITO...OROCOVIS
AND AIBONITO

AT 833 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER BARRANQUITAS AND COAMO...MOVING NORTH AT 10
MPH. INTENSE LIGHTNING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF 35
TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

IF OUTDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES.
MOVE INDOORS IF POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND
DOORS AND AVOID USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO
UNPLUG UNNECESSARY ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

$$

ER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10075 Postby Macrocane » Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:18 am

Maria proves that a tropical cyclone always needs to be monitored even if it's sheared it can cause a lot of troubles. Take care in Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands and thanks for keeping us informed cycloneye.
Last edited by Macrocane on Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10076 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:19 am

PRC043-075-133-149-131715-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0132.000000T0000Z-110913T1715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
951 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO
VILLALBA
JUANA DIAZ
SANTA ISABEL

* UNTIL 115 PM AST

* AT 943 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THESE
MUNICIPALITIES...THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
UNTIL AT LEAST 115 PM...AST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF
CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE
SUBJECT TO FLOODING. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO AVOID ROADS WHERE
EXCESSIVE PONDING IS OBSERVED.

IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 1793 6638 1795 6642 1792 6646 1795 6643
1798 6645 1797 6654 1814 6656 1818 6646
1817 6633 1808 6626 1800 6634 1793 6632
1797 6634 1794 6637 1793 6635 1794 6637
1791 6639

$$

AAS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC001-055-059-081-093-111-113-121-141-153-131630-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0136.110913T1339Z-110913T1630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
939 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
ADJUNTAS
MARICAO
SABANA GRANDE
UTUADO
YAUCO
LARES
GUAYANILLA
GUANICA
PONCE
PENUELAS

* UNTIL 1230 PM AST

* AT 929 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES WITH ANOTHER
BAND OF RAINFALL DEVELOPING AND MOVING ONSHORE FROM THE COASTAL
WATERS TRAINING OVER THESE SAME AREAS. THIS WILL CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. IN
ADDITION...MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1793 6692 1816 6693 1826 6679 1821 6670
1796 6665 1795 6678

$$

AAS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10077 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:28 am

Macrocane wrote:Maria proves that a tropical cyclone always needs to be monitored even if it's sheared it an cause a lot of troubles. Take care in Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands and thanks for keeping us informed cycloneye.


That is correct. So far on this 2011 season,the tail of systems (Irene and Maria) have done the most damage here.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10078 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:57 am

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC113-131745-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0137.110913T1448Z-110913T1745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1048 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY

IN PUERTO RICO
PONCE

* UNTIL 145 PM AST

* AT 1045 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS PONCE MOVING REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA. IN ADDITION...
INABON RIVER AT PONCE WILL CONTINUE TO RUN ABOVE BANKFULL THIS
MORNING. RIVER SENSOR WAS 13.58 FEET AND CONTINUING TO RISE. FLOOD
STAGE 10.00 FEET.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1798 6665 1813 6668 1815 6666 1816 6656
1797 6654

$$

ER

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10079 Postby Macrocane » Tue Sep 13, 2011 10:04 am

COOLEST HIGHS IN MONTHS REGISTERED YESTERDAY IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA

-Warmer than normal lows were registerd in Guatemala and Costa Rica, near normal lows occurred in the rest of the region.
-Panama was the only country that experienced near normal highs in the rest of the region they were cooler than normal, especially in Belize and Guatemala.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 24°C (75°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.7°C (69.3°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 11.3°C (52.3°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.3°C (68.5°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 13.9°C (57.0°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.1°C (73.6°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 14°C (57°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 19°C (66°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 18.3°C (64.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 23°C (73°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5°C (41°F)
Panama city, Panama 23.4°C (74.1°F)
Boquete, Panama 12.8°C (55.0°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 27°C (81°F) Coolest since February 19
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 22.8°C (73.0°F) Coolest since February 14
Guatemala city, Guatemala 21°C (70°F) Coolest since June 27
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 17.0°C (62.6°F) Coolest since June 27
Zacapa, Guatemala 28°C (82°F) Coolest since March 21
San Salvador, El Salvador 27.7°C (81.9°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 17.6°C (63.7°F) Coolest since August 1
San Miguel, El Salvador 32.9°C (91.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 28°C (82°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 21°C (70°F) Coolest since July 31
Choluteca, Honduras 31°C (88°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 30°C (86°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 26°C (79°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 26.1°C (79.0°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 29°C (84°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17°C (63°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.6°C (87.1°F)
Boquete, Panama 22.2°C (72.0°F)
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10080 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 13, 2011 10:31 am

The bad news continues to come from many parts of Puerto Rico.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 65757.html
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