FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1111 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
PRC007-009-019-021-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-061-063-101-105-107-
127-135-139-131815-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0440.000000T0000Z-110913T1815Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-CIALES PR-CAGUAS PR-CIDRA PR-CAYEY PR-COROZAL PR-
COMERIO PR-AIBONITO PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-BARRANQUITAS PR-GURABO PR-
OROCOVIS PR-NARANJITO PR-MOROVIS PR-TOA ALTA PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-
GUAYNABO PR-CAROLINA PR-SAN JUAN PR-
1111 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...CIALES...CAGUAS...CIDRA...CAYEY...COROZAL...COMERIO...
AIBONITO...AGUAS BUENAS...BARRANQUITAS...GURABO...OROCOVIS...
NARANJITO...MOROVIS...TOA ALTA...TRUJILLO ALTO...GUAYNABO...
CAROLINA AND SAN JUAN
* UNTIL 215 PM AST
AT 1105 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING
ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO. SO FAR ESTIMATED HOURLY
RAINFALL RATES HAVE BEEN BETWEEN AN INCH TO TWO INCHES IN SOME
AREAS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. FOR THOSE REASONS THE FLOOD ADVISORIES HAS EXTENDED UNTIL 215
PM AST.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1835 6592 1812 6605 1810 6626 1817 6633
1818 6652 1832 6657 1835 6637 1833 6636
1835 6635 1837 6621
$$
FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1106 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
PRC001-013-023-027-039-055-059-065-067-071-073-079-081-083-093-111-
113-115-121-125-131-141-153-131800-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0442.110913T1506Z-110913T1800Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-GUANICA PR-GUAYANILLA PR-HATILLO PR-HORMIGUEROS PR-
JAYUYA PR-LAJAS PR-LARES PR-MARICAO PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-
SABANA GRANDE PR-SAN GERMAN PR-UTUADO PR-YAUCO PR-SAN SEBASTIAN
PR-ADJUNTAS PR-ARECIBO PR-LAS MARIAS PR-ISABELA PR-CAMUY PR-CABO
ROJO PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-
1106 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXPANDED AND EXTENDED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...GUANICA...GUAYANILLA...HATILLO...HORMIGUEROS...
JAYUYA...LAJAS...LARES...MARICAO...PENUELAS...PONCE...SABANA
GRANDE...SAN GERMAN...UTUADO...YAUCO...SAN SEBASTIAN...
ADJUNTAS...ARECIBO...LAS MARIAS...ISABELA...CAMUY...CABO ROJO
AND QUEBRADILLAS
* UNTIL 200 PM AST
* AT 1059 AM AST...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS REPORTED SEVERAL ROADS
FLOODED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN PERSISTED
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AND CONTINUED TO RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING OF CREEKS AND
STREAMS...ROADS AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO
TRIGGER ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1849 6691 1849 6660 1834 6659 1832 6661
1832 6659 1797 6657 1797 6676 1799 6677
1797 6678 1795 6721 1802 6719 1816 6718
1817 6711 1815 6709 1819 6702 1840 6703
1852 6709
$$
ER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Caribbean - Central America Weather
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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cycloneye
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- Posts: 145327
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
The largest river in PR (La Plata) is out of banks.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1202 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
COMERIO
AIBONITO
BARRANQUITAS
NARANJITO
TOA ALTA
* UNTIL 500 PM AST
* AT 1155 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES WITH ANOTHER
BAND OF RAINFALL DEVELOPING AND MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES
THIS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS
AND RIVERS. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED
IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1826 6622 1835 6625 1835 6620 1826 6620
1815 6622 1816 6631
$$
FIGUEROA
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1202 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
COMERIO
AIBONITO
BARRANQUITAS
NARANJITO
TOA ALTA
* UNTIL 500 PM AST
* AT 1155 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES WITH ANOTHER
BAND OF RAINFALL DEVELOPING AND MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES
THIS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS
AND RIVERS. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED
IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1826 6622 1835 6625 1835 6620 1826 6620
1815 6622 1816 6631
$$
FIGUEROA
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
ARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
825 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
AMZ710-712-741-742-745-132030-
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
825 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
...FEEDER BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM MARIA CONTINUE TO AFFECT
LOCAL WATERS PRODUCING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...
AT 820 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SURROUNDING WATERS OF PUERTO RICO. THESE
BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST INTO THE
ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS AND ACROSS THE WESTERN WATERS
OF PUERTO RICO AND THEN INTO THE MAIN CONVECTION AREA AROUND
TROPICAL STORM MARIA NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THEMSELVES ARE MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SOME ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS.
MARINERS CAN ALSO EXPECT LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...LIGHTNING
STRIKES...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. IN ADDITION...SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. BOATERS SHOULD
SEEK SAFE HARBOR. THE MAIN NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED BAND OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FEEDING INTO THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO
LINGER OVER THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FOR AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS.
SHOWERS WERE ALSO DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO AND ARE
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AS THEY MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTH
NORTHEAST.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COAST GUARD. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
825 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
AMZ710-712-741-742-745-132030-
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
825 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
...FEEDER BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM MARIA CONTINUE TO AFFECT
LOCAL WATERS PRODUCING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...
AT 820 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SURROUNDING WATERS OF PUERTO RICO. THESE
BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST INTO THE
ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS AND ACROSS THE WESTERN WATERS
OF PUERTO RICO AND THEN INTO THE MAIN CONVECTION AREA AROUND
TROPICAL STORM MARIA NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THEMSELVES ARE MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS AND SOME ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS.
MARINERS CAN ALSO EXPECT LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...LIGHTNING
STRIKES...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. IN ADDITION...SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. BOATERS SHOULD
SEEK SAFE HARBOR. THE MAIN NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED BAND OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FEEDING INTO THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO
LINGER OVER THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FOR AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS.
SHOWERS WERE ALSO DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO AND ARE
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AS THEY MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTH
NORTHEAST.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COAST GUARD. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
106 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO
VILLALBA
JUANA DIAZ
SANTA ISABEL
* UNTIL 345 PM AST
* AT 1254 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THESE WARNED AREAS.
ADDITIONALLY...WATER AUTHORITY OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT LEVEL OF THE
TOA VACA LAKE CONTINUES TO RISE WHICH MAY RESULT IN THE TOA VACA DAM
GATES AUTOMATICALLY OPENING. IF THIS OCCURS...RAPID RISES AND
FLOODING DOWNSTREAM ALONG JACAGUAS RIVER IN VILLALBA AND JUANA DIAZ
MUNICIPALITIES CAN BE EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING
HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL AT LEAST 345 PM AST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1793 6638 1795 6642 1792 6646 1795 6643
1798 6645 1797 6654 1814 6656 1818 6646
1817 6633 1808 6626 1800 6634 1793 6632
1797 6634 1794 6637 1793 6635 1794 6637
1791 6639
$$
AAS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC029-031-037-053-077-089-103-119-131945-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0139.110913T1647Z-110913T1945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1247 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CANOVANAS
CEIBA
NAGUABO
JUNCOS
FAJARDO
CAROLINA
LUQUILLO
RIO GRANDE
* UNTIL 345 PM AST
* AT 1240 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL WILL
RESULT IN RAPID RISES AND FLASH FLOODING IN LOW LYING URBAN
AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES AND
DEBRIS FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1842 6581 1843 6579 1842 6577 1839 6574
1840 6572 1837 6568 1840 6558 1835 6562
1834 6561 1823 6565 1828 6586 1827 6592
1830 6594 1845 6586
$$
JJA
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
106 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO
VILLALBA
JUANA DIAZ
SANTA ISABEL
* UNTIL 345 PM AST
* AT 1254 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THESE WARNED AREAS.
ADDITIONALLY...WATER AUTHORITY OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT LEVEL OF THE
TOA VACA LAKE CONTINUES TO RISE WHICH MAY RESULT IN THE TOA VACA DAM
GATES AUTOMATICALLY OPENING. IF THIS OCCURS...RAPID RISES AND
FLOODING DOWNSTREAM ALONG JACAGUAS RIVER IN VILLALBA AND JUANA DIAZ
MUNICIPALITIES CAN BE EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING
HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL AT LEAST 345 PM AST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1793 6638 1795 6642 1792 6646 1795 6643
1798 6645 1797 6654 1814 6656 1818 6646
1817 6633 1808 6626 1800 6634 1793 6632
1797 6634 1794 6637 1793 6635 1794 6637
1791 6639
$$
AAS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC029-031-037-053-077-089-103-119-131945-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0139.110913T1647Z-110913T1945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1247 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CANOVANAS
CEIBA
NAGUABO
JUNCOS
FAJARDO
CAROLINA
LUQUILLO
RIO GRANDE
* UNTIL 345 PM AST
* AT 1240 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL WILL
RESULT IN RAPID RISES AND FLASH FLOODING IN LOW LYING URBAN
AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES AND
DEBRIS FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1842 6581 1843 6579 1842 6577 1839 6574
1840 6572 1837 6568 1840 6558 1835 6562
1834 6561 1823 6565 1828 6586 1827 6592
1830 6594 1845 6586
$$
JJA
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
205 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
PRC067-097-125-140100-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.W.0057.000000T0000Z-110914T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HORMIGUEROS PR-SAN GERMAN PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-
205 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
HORMIGUEROS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MAYAGUEZ MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN GERMAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL 900 PM AST
* AT 200 PM AST...RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL HAS RESULTED
IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ON RIO GUANAJIBO AND ITS TRIBUTARIES ACROSS
HORMIGUEROS...MAYAGUEZ AND SAN GERMAN. MOTORISTS DRIVING ALONG
THESE RIVERS AND ITS TRIBUTARIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD
EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND
NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1812 6715 1816 6718 1817 6714 1812 6699
1806 6700
$$
FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
159 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
PRC003-005-081-099-131-140030-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.W.0056.000000T0000Z-110914T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOCA PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-LARES PR-
159 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
AGUADA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
AGUADILLA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
LARES MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOCA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN SEBASTIAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL 830 PM AST
* AT 150 PM AST...RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL HAS RESULTED
IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ON RIO CULEBRINAS...RIO SAN SEBASTIAN AND RIO
GRANDE DE ANASCO AND ITS TRIBUTARIES ACROSS AGUADA...AGUADILLA...
LARES...MOCA AND SAN SEBASTIAN. MOTORISTS DRIVING ALONG THESE
RIVERS AND ITS TRIBUTARIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY
TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1841 6721 1841 6709 1832 6692 1825 6687
1832 6706
$$
FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
158 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
PRC013-017-039-047-054-073-091-101-141-143-145-132200-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0061.110913T1758Z-110913T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARCELONETA PR-CIALES PR-COROZAL PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-MANATI PR-
MOROVIS PR-UTUADO PR-VEGA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-ARECIBO PR-
158 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
ARECIBO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
BARCELONETA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
CIALES MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
COROZAL MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
FLORIDA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
JAYUYA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MANATI MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOROVIS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
UTUADO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
VEGA ALTA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
VEGA BAJA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL 600 PM AST
* AT 153 PM AST...USGS RIVER SENSORS INDICATED THAT THE RIO GRANDE
DE ARECIBO AND RIO GRANDE DE MANATI WERE OUT OF THEIR BANKS AND
CONTINUED TO RISE SLOWLY. IN ADDITION...EMERGENCY MANAGERS REPORTED
THAT THE RIO CIBUCO WAS OUT OF ITS BANKS IN THE FATIMA SECTOR. SOME
LIGHT INTERMITTENT SHOWERS MAY MOVE ACROSS THESE AREAS DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AND THESE RIVERS WILL CREST LATER ON THIS EVENING
INTO TONIGHT.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1850 6655 1848 6647 1849 6644 1849 6632
1831 6632 1827 6672 1848 6675 1848 6672
1849 6670 1850 6667
$$
JJA/AAS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
205 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
PRC067-097-125-140100-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.W.0057.000000T0000Z-110914T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HORMIGUEROS PR-SAN GERMAN PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-
205 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
HORMIGUEROS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MAYAGUEZ MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN GERMAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL 900 PM AST
* AT 200 PM AST...RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL HAS RESULTED
IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ON RIO GUANAJIBO AND ITS TRIBUTARIES ACROSS
HORMIGUEROS...MAYAGUEZ AND SAN GERMAN. MOTORISTS DRIVING ALONG
THESE RIVERS AND ITS TRIBUTARIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD
EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND
NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1812 6715 1816 6718 1817 6714 1812 6699
1806 6700
$$
FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
159 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
PRC003-005-081-099-131-140030-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.W.0056.000000T0000Z-110914T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOCA PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR-AGUADA PR-LARES PR-
159 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
AGUADA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
AGUADILLA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
LARES MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOCA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN SEBASTIAN MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL 830 PM AST
* AT 150 PM AST...RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL HAS RESULTED
IN SIGNIFICANT RISES ON RIO CULEBRINAS...RIO SAN SEBASTIAN AND RIO
GRANDE DE ANASCO AND ITS TRIBUTARIES ACROSS AGUADA...AGUADILLA...
LARES...MOCA AND SAN SEBASTIAN. MOTORISTS DRIVING ALONG THESE
RIVERS AND ITS TRIBUTARIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY
TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
&&
LAT...LON 1841 6721 1841 6709 1832 6692 1825 6687
1832 6706
$$
FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
158 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
PRC013-017-039-047-054-073-091-101-141-143-145-132200-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0061.110913T1758Z-110913T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARCELONETA PR-CIALES PR-COROZAL PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-MANATI PR-
MOROVIS PR-UTUADO PR-VEGA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-ARECIBO PR-
158 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
ARECIBO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
BARCELONETA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
CIALES MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
COROZAL MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
FLORIDA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
JAYUYA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MANATI MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOROVIS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
UTUADO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
VEGA ALTA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
VEGA BAJA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL 600 PM AST
* AT 153 PM AST...USGS RIVER SENSORS INDICATED THAT THE RIO GRANDE
DE ARECIBO AND RIO GRANDE DE MANATI WERE OUT OF THEIR BANKS AND
CONTINUED TO RISE SLOWLY. IN ADDITION...EMERGENCY MANAGERS REPORTED
THAT THE RIO CIBUCO WAS OUT OF ITS BANKS IN THE FATIMA SECTOR. SOME
LIGHT INTERMITTENT SHOWERS MAY MOVE ACROSS THESE AREAS DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AND THESE RIVERS WILL CREST LATER ON THIS EVENING
INTO TONIGHT.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1850 6655 1848 6647 1849 6644 1849 6632
1831 6632 1827 6672 1848 6675 1848 6672
1849 6670 1850 6667
$$
JJA/AAS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
225 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
.SYNOPSIS...RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH TS MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA UNTIL AT LEAST
TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. A TROPICAL
WAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. AS A RESULT...UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
&&
.DISCUSSION...THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF PUERTO
RICO AND THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS. THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE
EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM TROPICAL STORM MARIA. SEVERAL FLOOD
ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WARNING AND RIVER FLOOD WARNING WERE
ISSUED SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON FOR NUMEROUS MUNICIPALITIES
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM MARIA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY
TO THE NORTHWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TAIL OF THE STORM WILL CONTINUE AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS
EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. THIS MOISTURE WILL PROPAGATE
SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD. IN FACT...PWAT VALUES GREATER THAN 2.0
INCHES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE FA UNTIL AT LEAST
TONIGHT.
A TROPICAL WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FA
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY...PRODUCING
ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOOKING
AHEAD...AN OVERALL DRIER WEATHER PATTERN IS CURRENTLY INDICATED FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND PROBABLY FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION...FEEDER BANDS FROM TS MARIA CONTD TO AFFECT THE FLYING
AREA PRODUCING SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF PR...AND ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS. EXPECT SHRA AND ISOLD TSRA TO CONT ACROSS TJBQ...TJMZ...
TJPS AND TJSJ THRU AT LEAST 13/22Z. THIS WILL RESULT IN BRIEF
MVFR CIGS AND PSBL IFR VSBYS IN HEAVY SHRA/TSRA THROUGH FCST PRD.
MTN TOP OBSCR ALSO PSBL DUE TO PASSING SHRA AND TEMPO LOW CIGS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 90 78 90 / 30 30 50 50
STT 78 89 80 89 / 40 40 40 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
225 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
.SYNOPSIS...RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH TS MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA UNTIL AT LEAST
TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. A TROPICAL
WAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. AS A RESULT...UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
&&
.DISCUSSION...THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF PUERTO
RICO AND THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS. THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE
EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM TROPICAL STORM MARIA. SEVERAL FLOOD
ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WARNING AND RIVER FLOOD WARNING WERE
ISSUED SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON FOR NUMEROUS MUNICIPALITIES
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM MARIA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY
TO THE NORTHWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TAIL OF THE STORM WILL CONTINUE AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS
EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. THIS MOISTURE WILL PROPAGATE
SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD. IN FACT...PWAT VALUES GREATER THAN 2.0
INCHES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE FA UNTIL AT LEAST
TONIGHT.
A TROPICAL WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FA
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY...PRODUCING
ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOOKING
AHEAD...AN OVERALL DRIER WEATHER PATTERN IS CURRENTLY INDICATED FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AND PROBABLY FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION...FEEDER BANDS FROM TS MARIA CONTD TO AFFECT THE FLYING
AREA PRODUCING SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF PR...AND ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS. EXPECT SHRA AND ISOLD TSRA TO CONT ACROSS TJBQ...TJMZ...
TJPS AND TJSJ THRU AT LEAST 13/22Z. THIS WILL RESULT IN BRIEF
MVFR CIGS AND PSBL IFR VSBYS IN HEAVY SHRA/TSRA THROUGH FCST PRD.
MTN TOP OBSCR ALSO PSBL DUE TO PASSING SHRA AND TEMPO LOW CIGS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 90 78 90 / 30 30 50 50
STT 78 89 80 89 / 40 40 40 40
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC029-031-037-053-077-089-103-119-132145-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0139.000000T0000Z-110913T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
350 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS
LUQUILLO
NAGUABO
CEIBA
CANOVANAS
FAJARDO
CAROLINA
RIO GRANDE
* UNTIL 545 PM AST
* AT 336 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED THAT ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAD
ENDED...THERE WERE STILL AREAS OF MODERATE RAINFALL APPROACHING
OR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THIS ALONG WITH THE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF
WILL MAINTAIN RIVERS AND STREAMS AT DANGEROUSLY HIGH LEVELS.IN
ADDITION THE U.S.G.S RIVER SENSORS INDICATED THAT SOME RIVER
REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ALTHOUGH LOWLY DECLINING. FR THESE
REASONS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 545 PM
AST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF
CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE
SUBJECT TO FLOODING. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO AVOID ROADS WHERE
EXCESSIVE PONDING IS OBSERVED.
FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1842 6581 1843 6579 1842 6577 1839 6574
1840 6572 1837 6568 1840 6558 1835 6562
1834 6561 1823 6565 1828 6586 1826 6592
1830 6594 1845 6586
$$
RAM
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC043-075-133-149-140045-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0132.000000T0000Z-110914T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
347 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO
VILLALBA
JUANA DIAZ
SANTA ISABEL
* UNTIL 845 PM AST
* AT 336 PM AST...ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THESE
MUNICIPALITIES HAS DIMINISHED...ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THESE AREAS DURING THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO. ALSO...PEOPLE ALONG TOA VACA DAM GATES AND ALONG
JACAGUAS RIVER...HAS BEEN EVACUATED. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 845 PM AST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1793 6638 1795 6642 1792 6646 1795 6643
1798 6645 1797 6654 1814 6656 1818 6646
1817 6633 1808 6626 1800 6634 1793 6632
1797 6634 1794 6637 1793 6635 1794 6637
1791 6639
$$
CASTRO
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRC029-031-037-053-077-089-103-119-132145-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0139.000000T0000Z-110913T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
350 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS
LUQUILLO
NAGUABO
CEIBA
CANOVANAS
FAJARDO
CAROLINA
RIO GRANDE
* UNTIL 545 PM AST
* AT 336 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED THAT ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAD
ENDED...THERE WERE STILL AREAS OF MODERATE RAINFALL APPROACHING
OR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THIS ALONG WITH THE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF
WILL MAINTAIN RIVERS AND STREAMS AT DANGEROUSLY HIGH LEVELS.IN
ADDITION THE U.S.G.S RIVER SENSORS INDICATED THAT SOME RIVER
REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ALTHOUGH LOWLY DECLINING. FR THESE
REASONS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 545 PM
AST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF
CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE
SUBJECT TO FLOODING. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO AVOID ROADS WHERE
EXCESSIVE PONDING IS OBSERVED.
FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1842 6581 1843 6579 1842 6577 1839 6574
1840 6572 1837 6568 1840 6558 1835 6562
1834 6561 1823 6565 1828 6586 1826 6592
1830 6594 1845 6586
$$
RAM
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC043-075-133-149-140045-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0132.000000T0000Z-110914T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
347 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO
VILLALBA
JUANA DIAZ
SANTA ISABEL
* UNTIL 845 PM AST
* AT 336 PM AST...ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THESE
MUNICIPALITIES HAS DIMINISHED...ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS OVER THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THESE AREAS DURING THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO. ALSO...PEOPLE ALONG TOA VACA DAM GATES AND ALONG
JACAGUAS RIVER...HAS BEEN EVACUATED. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 845 PM AST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1793 6638 1795 6642 1792 6646 1795 6643
1798 6645 1797 6654 1814 6656 1818 6646
1817 6633 1808 6626 1800 6634 1793 6632
1797 6634 1794 6637 1793 6635 1794 6637
1791 6639
$$
CASTRO
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
It appears that the tail of Maria has left us so we can get the rivers to go down and return to normal. But look at how much rain we got in the Southern and Eastern part of the island.
Saved image.
Saved image.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
950 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
.UPDATE...TROPICAL STORM MARIA NOW CENTERED NEAR 23.1N 68.0W AT 8
PM AST...WAS SLOWLY MOVING NORTH AT 7 KT. THE OUTER BANDS FROM
MARIA CONTINUED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL REGION TODAY INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. HOWEVER THESE BANDS HAVE SINCE THEN BECOME LESS FREQUENT...AS
MARIA AN ITS TRAILING TAIL OF MOISTURE LIFTS FURTHER NORTHWARD UNDER
THE DOMINANT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW. DOPPLER RADAR STILL SHOWED
SOME LINGERING BANDS OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA BUT MAINLY BETWEEN
EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS. THEREFORE EXPECT MOST
OF THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS
THESE AREAS AND OVER THE SURROUNDING WATERS.
A TROPICAL WAVE NOW NEAR 60 WEST THIS EVENING IS BEING MASKED BY THE
BROAD MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUD DEBRIS FROM TROPICAL STORM MARIA. THIS
WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN OVERNIGHT AND MOVE
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THEREFORE...EXPECT
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WITH THE WAVE AND THUS MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACTIVITY TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. SHOWER AND
STORM ACTIVITY HOWEVER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...AS MOST OF
IT WILL BE LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN. THEREAFTER...A DRYING TREND
IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH A RETURN OF A MORE EASTERLY TRADE
WIND FLOW BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE ISLANDS REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS BUT
BY LATE EVENING THE U.S.G.S RIVER SENSORS SHOWED A STEADY DECLINE
IN THE WATER LEVEL AS MOST OF THEM HAD ALREADY CRESTED AND NO
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. RESIDENTS AND
MOTORISTS SHOULD HOWEVER BE ALERT AND EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN
TRANSITING NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. IN
ADDITION MUDSLIDES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN
DUE TO SATURATED AND LOOSE SOIL.
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO THE SHORT TERM FORECAST TO LOWER THE
POPS AND WEATHER AS WELL AS THE QPF VALUES WHICH PRESENTLY SEEMED
A BIT TOO HIGH BASED ON PRESENT AND EXPECTED WEATHER CONDITIONS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST TAF
SITES OVERNIGHT. PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL
ACROSS TNCM...AND TKPK THROUGH AT LEAST 14/10Z IN -TSRA. LATEST
14/00Z TJSJ SOUNDING SHOWED WINDS OF 20 KTS OR LESS FROM THE SURFACE
THROUGH AT LEAST 10K FEET...BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY BETWEEN 10K-25K
FEET..AND NORTHERLY ABOVE.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 90 78 90 / 30 40 50 50
STT 78 89 80 89 / 40 40 40 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
950 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011
.UPDATE...TROPICAL STORM MARIA NOW CENTERED NEAR 23.1N 68.0W AT 8
PM AST...WAS SLOWLY MOVING NORTH AT 7 KT. THE OUTER BANDS FROM
MARIA CONTINUED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL REGION TODAY INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. HOWEVER THESE BANDS HAVE SINCE THEN BECOME LESS FREQUENT...AS
MARIA AN ITS TRAILING TAIL OF MOISTURE LIFTS FURTHER NORTHWARD UNDER
THE DOMINANT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW. DOPPLER RADAR STILL SHOWED
SOME LINGERING BANDS OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA BUT MAINLY BETWEEN
EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS. THEREFORE EXPECT MOST
OF THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS
THESE AREAS AND OVER THE SURROUNDING WATERS.
A TROPICAL WAVE NOW NEAR 60 WEST THIS EVENING IS BEING MASKED BY THE
BROAD MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUD DEBRIS FROM TROPICAL STORM MARIA. THIS
WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN OVERNIGHT AND MOVE
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THEREFORE...EXPECT
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WITH THE WAVE AND THUS MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACTIVITY TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. SHOWER AND
STORM ACTIVITY HOWEVER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...AS MOST OF
IT WILL BE LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN. THEREAFTER...A DRYING TREND
IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH A RETURN OF A MORE EASTERLY TRADE
WIND FLOW BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE ISLANDS REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS BUT
BY LATE EVENING THE U.S.G.S RIVER SENSORS SHOWED A STEADY DECLINE
IN THE WATER LEVEL AS MOST OF THEM HAD ALREADY CRESTED AND NO
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. RESIDENTS AND
MOTORISTS SHOULD HOWEVER BE ALERT AND EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN
TRANSITING NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. IN
ADDITION MUDSLIDES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN
DUE TO SATURATED AND LOOSE SOIL.
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO THE SHORT TERM FORECAST TO LOWER THE
POPS AND WEATHER AS WELL AS THE QPF VALUES WHICH PRESENTLY SEEMED
A BIT TOO HIGH BASED ON PRESENT AND EXPECTED WEATHER CONDITIONS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST TAF
SITES OVERNIGHT. PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL
ACROSS TNCM...AND TKPK THROUGH AT LEAST 14/10Z IN -TSRA. LATEST
14/00Z TJSJ SOUNDING SHOWED WINDS OF 20 KTS OR LESS FROM THE SURFACE
THROUGH AT LEAST 10K FEET...BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY BETWEEN 10K-25K
FEET..AND NORTHERLY ABOVE.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 90 78 90 / 30 40 50 50
STT 78 89 80 89 / 40 40 40 40
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
354 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS...SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL HOLD THROUGH THU. LARGE TUTT
LOW ACROSS THE CNTRL ATLC WILL RETROGRESS OVR THE NEXT SVRL DAYS
AND POSITION ITSELF JUST NORTH OF PR EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN FILL.
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD AGAIN FOR MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...WEAK TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ACROSS THE LESSER
ANTILLES YDAY AFTERNOON IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON EITHER
SATELLITE IMAGERY OR MODEL HEIGHT/VORTICITY FIELDS AND LIKELY HAS
BEEN ABSORBED BY TS MARIA. NEVERTHELESS...STILL PLENTY OF MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY TODAY TO FUEL SCT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNDER
A SOUTHEAST STEERING FLOW. HOT WITH TEMPS LIKELY CLIMBING INTO THE
MID 90S WITH LESS CLD CVR THAN YDAY.
LEADING EDGE OF MUCH DRIER AIR ALONG 55W PER BLENDED TPW IMAGERY
WILL ADVECT QUICKLY INTO THE AREA ON THU AS TRADES ESTABLISH
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. AREA THEN BECOMES UNDER A STRONG
CONVERGENT PATTERN ALOFT FRI-SAT BETWEEN RETROGRESSING TUTT LOW
ACROSS THE ATLC AND SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THIS TO
SUPPORT A STRONG SUBSIDENCE CAP AND RAPID EROSION OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO GREATLY INHIBIT CONVECTION ESPECIALLY FRI-SAT.
TUTT LOW IS THEN FCST TO FILL EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE BUILDING TO THE NORTH NEXT TUE. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO
GRADUALLY CLIMB EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR BETTER CHANCES OF AFTERNOON
CONVECTION.
&&
.AVIATION...SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.
AS A RESULT... MVFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE BTW
14/16Z-14/22Z IN AND AROUND ALL PR AND VI TAF SITES. WINDS SSE 10
TO 20 KT.
&&
.MARINE...SEAS GENERALLY 3-4 FT BOTH ATLC AND CARIB WATERS NEXT
FIVE DAYS WITH ISOLD TSTMS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 78 91 79 / 50 30 30 10
STT 88 80 89 79 / 40 30 30 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
354 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS...SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL HOLD THROUGH THU. LARGE TUTT
LOW ACROSS THE CNTRL ATLC WILL RETROGRESS OVR THE NEXT SVRL DAYS
AND POSITION ITSELF JUST NORTH OF PR EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN FILL.
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD AGAIN FOR MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...WEAK TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ACROSS THE LESSER
ANTILLES YDAY AFTERNOON IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON EITHER
SATELLITE IMAGERY OR MODEL HEIGHT/VORTICITY FIELDS AND LIKELY HAS
BEEN ABSORBED BY TS MARIA. NEVERTHELESS...STILL PLENTY OF MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY TODAY TO FUEL SCT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNDER
A SOUTHEAST STEERING FLOW. HOT WITH TEMPS LIKELY CLIMBING INTO THE
MID 90S WITH LESS CLD CVR THAN YDAY.
LEADING EDGE OF MUCH DRIER AIR ALONG 55W PER BLENDED TPW IMAGERY
WILL ADVECT QUICKLY INTO THE AREA ON THU AS TRADES ESTABLISH
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. AREA THEN BECOMES UNDER A STRONG
CONVERGENT PATTERN ALOFT FRI-SAT BETWEEN RETROGRESSING TUTT LOW
ACROSS THE ATLC AND SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THIS TO
SUPPORT A STRONG SUBSIDENCE CAP AND RAPID EROSION OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO GREATLY INHIBIT CONVECTION ESPECIALLY FRI-SAT.
TUTT LOW IS THEN FCST TO FILL EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE BUILDING TO THE NORTH NEXT TUE. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO
GRADUALLY CLIMB EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR BETTER CHANCES OF AFTERNOON
CONVECTION.
&&
.AVIATION...SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.
AS A RESULT... MVFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE BTW
14/16Z-14/22Z IN AND AROUND ALL PR AND VI TAF SITES. WINDS SSE 10
TO 20 KT.
&&
.MARINE...SEAS GENERALLY 3-4 FT BOTH ATLC AND CARIB WATERS NEXT
FIVE DAYS WITH ISOLD TSTMS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 78 91 79 / 50 30 30 10
STT 88 80 89 79 / 40 30 30 10
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cycloneye
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- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
A beautiful 
morning in PR after what occured yesterday. 
The rivers are returning to normal and the cleanup of roads has started.
morning in PR after what occured yesterday. The rivers are returning to normal and the cleanup of roads has started.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
cycloneye wrote:A beauitiful
That's very good news
, have a good day Cycloneye .
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
Even thou the tail of Maria is away from PR, still very humid conditions aided by a weak wave passing thru are causing more rain and with the over saturated grounds,are again causing floodings.
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC009-019-021-041-045-051-105-135-137-141845-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0140.110914T1455Z-110914T1845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1055 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON
CIDRA
COMERIO
AIBONITO
BARRANQUITAS
NARANJITO
TOA ALTA
DORADO
TOA BAJA
* UNTIL 245 PM AST
* AT 1045 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES OF
PUERTO RICO. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL...ON ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS AND SWOLLEN RIVERS...WILL CAUSE ANOTHER ROUND OF
FLOODING ON THE RIO DE LA PLATA FROM AIBONITO...COMERIO ON
DOWNSTREAM TO TOA ALTA. EXPECT RAPID RISES ON THE DE LA PLATA AND
ITS TRIBUTARIES AT LEAST UNTIL 245 PM AST.
FOR THE RIO DE LA PLATA AT COMERIO - COMP4
FLOOD STAGE - 11 FEET.
AT 1045 AM AST...THE USGS SENSOR INDICATED THE RIVER HAD RISEN
TO 9.47 FEET. MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
FOR THE RIO DE LA PLATA NEAR TOA ALTA - TOAP4
FLOOD STAGE - 16 FEET.
MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.
IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.
&&
LAT...LON 1816 6632 1828 6623 1848 6630 1849 6625
1826 6617 1817 6617 1814 6617 1812 6622
$$
AAS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC009-019-021-041-045-051-105-135-137-141845-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0140.110914T1455Z-110914T1845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1055 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON
CIDRA
COMERIO
AIBONITO
BARRANQUITAS
NARANJITO
TOA ALTA
DORADO
TOA BAJA
* UNTIL 245 PM AST
* AT 1045 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES OF
PUERTO RICO. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL...ON ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS AND SWOLLEN RIVERS...WILL CAUSE ANOTHER ROUND OF
FLOODING ON THE RIO DE LA PLATA FROM AIBONITO...COMERIO ON
DOWNSTREAM TO TOA ALTA. EXPECT RAPID RISES ON THE DE LA PLATA AND
ITS TRIBUTARIES AT LEAST UNTIL 245 PM AST.
FOR THE RIO DE LA PLATA AT COMERIO - COMP4
FLOOD STAGE - 11 FEET.
AT 1045 AM AST...THE USGS SENSOR INDICATED THE RIVER HAD RISEN
TO 9.47 FEET. MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
FOR THE RIO DE LA PLATA NEAR TOA ALTA - TOAP4
FLOOD STAGE - 16 FEET.
MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.
IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.
&&
LAT...LON 1816 6632 1828 6623 1848 6630 1849 6625
1826 6617 1817 6617 1814 6617 1812 6622
$$
AAS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC043-075-111-113-123-133-149-141800-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0141.110914T1511Z-110914T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1111 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO
VILLALBA
JUANA DIAZ
PONCE
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
PENUELAS
* UNTIL 200 PM AST
* AT 1105 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES OF
PUERTO RICO. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL...ON ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS AND SWOLLEN RIVERS...WILL CAUSE ANOTHER ROUND OF
FLOODING ON THE LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS ACROSS THESE
MUNICIPALITIES. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1794 6668 1811 6672 1811 6633 1794 6627
$$
FIGUEROA
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRC043-075-111-113-123-133-149-141800-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0141.110914T1511Z-110914T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1111 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO
VILLALBA
JUANA DIAZ
PONCE
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
PENUELAS
* UNTIL 200 PM AST
* AT 1105 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES OF
PUERTO RICO. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL...ON ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS AND SWOLLEN RIVERS...WILL CAUSE ANOTHER ROUND OF
FLOODING ON THE LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS ACROSS THESE
MUNICIPALITIES. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
&&
LAT...LON 1794 6668 1811 6672 1811 6633 1794 6627
$$
FIGUEROA
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
404 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS...LOCAL REMNANTS OF T.S. MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT
SLOWLY NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A TUTT LOW WILL
APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY...MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN LINGER NEARBY FOR AT LEAST
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...LOCAL REMNANTS OF MARIA CONTINUE LINGERING ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA AT THIS TIME. BANDS OF MOISTURE CONTINUE TO BE
PULLED FROM SOUTH SOUTHEAST TO NORTH NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FA AND
COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND UPPER LEVEL VENTILATION...TO
PRODUCE BURSTS OF CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...AS WAS THE CASE THIS MORNING. EXPECT ONE MORE
ROUND OF ACTIVITY TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTH...EAST AND INTERIOR
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BEFORE CONDITIONS RETURN TO MORE NORMAL
DIURNAL AND NOCTURNAL PATTERNS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
OVERALL DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE UPPER CONVERGENT
SIDE OF AFOREMENTIONED TUTT FOR FRIDAY AND PROBABLY MOST OF
SATURDAY...BUT STILL WITH LOCALIZED DIURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION.
FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AS TUTT AND ASSOCIATED LOWER LEVEL
REFLECTIONS MOVE ACROSS AND THEN EVENTUALLY WEST OF THE FA...
EXPECT MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE AGAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
AND COMBINE WITH THE TUTT AND LOCAL EFFECTS TO PRODUCE YET ANOTHER
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THROUGH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
A REMINDER...ALTHOUGH RAINFALL ACROSS YOUR AREA MAY HAVE ENDED...
LOCAL TERRAIN REMAINS SATURATED AND SOILS LOOSENED. MUDSLIDES AND
LANDSLIDES REMAIN A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD AND LOCAL RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING THROUGH AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.
&&
.AVIATION...GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...
BRIEF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
ARE EXPECTED IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL THROUGH AT
LEAST 14/23Z.
&&
.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 17 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 90 80 89 / 30 30 10 20
STT 80 90 81 90 / 30 30 10 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
404 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS...LOCAL REMNANTS OF T.S. MARIA WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT
SLOWLY NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A TUTT LOW WILL
APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY...MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN LINGER NEARBY FOR AT LEAST
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...LOCAL REMNANTS OF MARIA CONTINUE LINGERING ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA AT THIS TIME. BANDS OF MOISTURE CONTINUE TO BE
PULLED FROM SOUTH SOUTHEAST TO NORTH NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FA AND
COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND UPPER LEVEL VENTILATION...TO
PRODUCE BURSTS OF CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...AS WAS THE CASE THIS MORNING. EXPECT ONE MORE
ROUND OF ACTIVITY TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTH...EAST AND INTERIOR
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BEFORE CONDITIONS RETURN TO MORE NORMAL
DIURNAL AND NOCTURNAL PATTERNS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
OVERALL DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE UPPER CONVERGENT
SIDE OF AFOREMENTIONED TUTT FOR FRIDAY AND PROBABLY MOST OF
SATURDAY...BUT STILL WITH LOCALIZED DIURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION.
FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AS TUTT AND ASSOCIATED LOWER LEVEL
REFLECTIONS MOVE ACROSS AND THEN EVENTUALLY WEST OF THE FA...
EXPECT MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE AGAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
AND COMBINE WITH THE TUTT AND LOCAL EFFECTS TO PRODUCE YET ANOTHER
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THROUGH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
A REMINDER...ALTHOUGH RAINFALL ACROSS YOUR AREA MAY HAVE ENDED...
LOCAL TERRAIN REMAINS SATURATED AND SOILS LOOSENED. MUDSLIDES AND
LANDSLIDES REMAIN A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD AND LOCAL RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING THROUGH AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.
&&
.AVIATION...GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...
BRIEF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
ARE EXPECTED IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL THROUGH AT
LEAST 14/23Z.
&&
.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 17 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 90 80 89 / 30 30 10 20
STT 80 90 81 90 / 30 30 10 20
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1020 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011
.UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE SURFACE TROUGH
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MARIA...HAS NOW SHIFTED WESTWARD OVER
THE MONA PASSAGE. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER WEST NORTHWEST
OF THE LOCAL AREA OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BUILDS SOUTH SOUTHWEST
INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...AS MARIA LIFTS FURTHER NORTHWARD. IN
DOING SO...EXPECT THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TO BECOME MORE EASTERLY THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE
IN THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
STILL SUGGESTS THAT THE TUTT LOW NOW OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...WILL CONTINUE RETROGRESS WEST SOUTHWEST
AND REACH THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS BY FRIDAY...THEN MOVE OVER THE LOCAL
AREA SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LATEST 00Z TJSJ U/A SOUNDING AS WELL AS
GROUND BASED GPS IPW DATA SUGGESTS A STEADY DECREASE IN PWAT VALUES.
ALTHOUGH THE LAYERED PRECIP WATER WAS STILL AROUND 2.00 INCHES...MOISTURE
PROFILE SHOWED SLOW DRYING IN THE LOW LEVEL UNDER THE PREVAILING SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW. EXPECT THIS DRYING TREND TO CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND. THEREFORE...NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE INHERITED FORECAST
PACKAGE AS IT APPEARS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PRESENT AND EXPECTED WEATHER
CONDITIONS. IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...EXCEPT
FOR LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND
A FEW NOCTURNAL SHOWERS ALONG SOME OF THE COASTAL AREAS.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1020 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011
.UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE SURFACE TROUGH
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MARIA...HAS NOW SHIFTED WESTWARD OVER
THE MONA PASSAGE. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER WEST NORTHWEST
OF THE LOCAL AREA OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BUILDS SOUTH SOUTHWEST
INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...AS MARIA LIFTS FURTHER NORTHWARD. IN
DOING SO...EXPECT THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TO BECOME MORE EASTERLY THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE
IN THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
STILL SUGGESTS THAT THE TUTT LOW NOW OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...WILL CONTINUE RETROGRESS WEST SOUTHWEST
AND REACH THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS BY FRIDAY...THEN MOVE OVER THE LOCAL
AREA SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LATEST 00Z TJSJ U/A SOUNDING AS WELL AS
GROUND BASED GPS IPW DATA SUGGESTS A STEADY DECREASE IN PWAT VALUES.
ALTHOUGH THE LAYERED PRECIP WATER WAS STILL AROUND 2.00 INCHES...MOISTURE
PROFILE SHOWED SLOW DRYING IN THE LOW LEVEL UNDER THE PREVAILING SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW. EXPECT THIS DRYING TREND TO CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND. THEREFORE...NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE INHERITED FORECAST
PACKAGE AS IT APPEARS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PRESENT AND EXPECTED WEATHER
CONDITIONS. IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...EXCEPT
FOR LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY INDUCED CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND
A FEW NOCTURNAL SHOWERS ALONG SOME OF THE COASTAL AREAS.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145327
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather
Good morning.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
417 AM AST THU SEP 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW ACROSS THE CNTRL ATLC WILL CONTINUE TO
RETROGRESS TOWARD THE AREA AND POSITION NEAR PR OVR THE WEEKEND
THEN FILL EARLY NEXT WEEK. SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD NORTH OF THE
AREA MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. SFC TROUGH ALONG 50W TO MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA SAT NIGHT-SUN.
&&
.DISCUSSION...ISOLD MORNING SHOWERS XPCD TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS
MORNING AS AREA BECOMES UNDER A STRONG SUBSIDENT/CONVERGENT
PATTERN ALOFT ON WEST SIDE OF RETROGRESSING TUTT LOW ACROSS THE
CNTRL ATLC. SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT/JET STREAK OVR THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND PW MINIMA ON THE
BLENDED TPW PRODUCT WILL MOVE ACROSS PR TODAY TO PUT A DENT ON
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. HI-RES NMM MODEL ONLY SHOWS AN ISOLD
AFTERNOON TSRA ACROSS NW PR WHILE THE ARW VERSION HAS NOTHING AT
ALL FOR THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SHORT DRY SPELL WILL ONLY LAST THRU
FRI AS MODELS SHOW MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASING RAPIDLY
LATE SAT AS AREA BECOMES UNDER THE EAST/DIVERGENT SIDE OF TUTT. AT
THE SAME TIME...INDUCED SFC TROUGH ALONG 50W PER PW MAXIMA ON
BLENDED TPW PRODUCT WILL LIFT NORTHWEST AND INTERACT FAVORABLY
LATE SAT AND SUN TO YIELD SCT-NMRS CONVECTION. ECMWF AND GFS DIFFER
SOMEWHAT ON THE POSITION OF TUTT OVR THE WEEKEND BUT BOTH INDICATE
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT AND SUN.
SWEAT AND TOTAL TOTAL INDICES ARE PARTICULARLY VERY HIGH BOTH SAT
AND SUN AND SUGGEST THE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDESTORMS.
TUTT LOW FILLS MON WHILE SFC TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CNTRL
CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY HANGS AROUND FOR A
FEW MORE DAYS UNTIL TUE.
&&
.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TO BECOME
MORE EASTERLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
CHANCES OF AFTERNOON TSTMS INCREASE LATE SAT AND SUN WITH SVR
STORMS POSSIBLE.
&&
.MARINE...SEAS GENERALLY 3-5 FT OFFSHORE BOTH ATLC AND CARIB
WATERS. SCT-NMRS TSRA LATE SAT-SUN WITH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 90 79 / 10 10 10 30
STT 90 79 89 79 / 10 10 20 40
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
417 AM AST THU SEP 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW ACROSS THE CNTRL ATLC WILL CONTINUE TO
RETROGRESS TOWARD THE AREA AND POSITION NEAR PR OVR THE WEEKEND
THEN FILL EARLY NEXT WEEK. SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD NORTH OF THE
AREA MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. SFC TROUGH ALONG 50W TO MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA SAT NIGHT-SUN.
&&
.DISCUSSION...ISOLD MORNING SHOWERS XPCD TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS
MORNING AS AREA BECOMES UNDER A STRONG SUBSIDENT/CONVERGENT
PATTERN ALOFT ON WEST SIDE OF RETROGRESSING TUTT LOW ACROSS THE
CNTRL ATLC. SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT/JET STREAK OVR THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND PW MINIMA ON THE
BLENDED TPW PRODUCT WILL MOVE ACROSS PR TODAY TO PUT A DENT ON
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. HI-RES NMM MODEL ONLY SHOWS AN ISOLD
AFTERNOON TSRA ACROSS NW PR WHILE THE ARW VERSION HAS NOTHING AT
ALL FOR THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SHORT DRY SPELL WILL ONLY LAST THRU
FRI AS MODELS SHOW MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASING RAPIDLY
LATE SAT AS AREA BECOMES UNDER THE EAST/DIVERGENT SIDE OF TUTT. AT
THE SAME TIME...INDUCED SFC TROUGH ALONG 50W PER PW MAXIMA ON
BLENDED TPW PRODUCT WILL LIFT NORTHWEST AND INTERACT FAVORABLY
LATE SAT AND SUN TO YIELD SCT-NMRS CONVECTION. ECMWF AND GFS DIFFER
SOMEWHAT ON THE POSITION OF TUTT OVR THE WEEKEND BUT BOTH INDICATE
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT AND SUN.
SWEAT AND TOTAL TOTAL INDICES ARE PARTICULARLY VERY HIGH BOTH SAT
AND SUN AND SUGGEST THE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDESTORMS.
TUTT LOW FILLS MON WHILE SFC TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CNTRL
CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY HANGS AROUND FOR A
FEW MORE DAYS UNTIL TUE.
&&
.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TO BECOME
MORE EASTERLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
CHANCES OF AFTERNOON TSTMS INCREASE LATE SAT AND SUN WITH SVR
STORMS POSSIBLE.
&&
.MARINE...SEAS GENERALLY 3-5 FT OFFSHORE BOTH ATLC AND CARIB
WATERS. SCT-NMRS TSRA LATE SAT-SUN WITH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 90 79 / 10 10 10 30
STT 90 79 89 79 / 10 10 20 40
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
A month of August dominated by rain
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 138386.php
France-Antilles Guadeloupe14.09.2011
Last month, the rainfall was "130 to 200% higher than normal on the East and North of the high-land, La Désirade and Marie-Galante." (Roberto Birhus)
Weather France has published the monthly summary of the time in Guadeloupe. To say the least, August was particularly watered.
Time specialists note a very important rainfall: "more than 130 to 200% higher than normal on the East and North of the high-land, La Désirade and Marie-Galante, and 50 to 90% on the rest of the archipelago and the Northern Islands". The passage of two hurricanes Emily and Irene at the embryonic stage of tropical storm, has greatly contributed.
Chronologically, here are the highlights of the weather in the month of August and that somewhat marred the holiday in the Sun.
1-August 2, there was passage of Emily, whose centre is passed in the night, to the South of Guadeloupe, Dominica and Martinique, our archipelago being remained on the margins of the most active part of the phenomenon. However, it has generated average winds of 30 to 40 km with gusts of 96 km/h recorded at la Desirade and 85 km/h at Marie-Galante. There was also a swell with average hollow of 3.5 metres and the rainfall northeast of Basse-Terre.
Wednesday 3-Friday 5, time remained cloudy with showers. The following weekend was particularly watered and this to the Tuesday following the successive passage of the tropical wave 24 and 25. These phenomena have led to vast stormy cluster dating back to Guadeloupe to hit Saturday afternoon. 30 mm of water fell on Basse-Terre in under an hour with high electrical activity.
Ten days of dry
Monday 8 and Tuesday, August 9 at the front of the tropical wave 25 time remained very unstable with locally strong stormy showers but no significant accruals. From 10 to 14, after the passage of the wave, time is again generally nice and dry. A few good showers occurred August 12 on Northern the Basse-Terre and the 13 regions of Capesterre-Belle-Eau and Sainte-Rose.
Between 15 and 16 August, to the passage of the tropical wave 27, very active, time becomes very rainy and stormy with heavy showers, lightning and Thunder and strong gusts of winds (80 km/h recorded at La Désirade, 100 km/h at the Soufrière Hills). Accumulations of rain are significant in 48 hours, he fell between 150 and 200 mm of rain in the mountains and between 60 and 120 mm on the rest of the archipelago.
20-21, It was noted the passage of tropical storm Irene which centre passes through the Caribbean arc end of the night, between Guadeloupe and Antigua. Guadeloupe rest on the margins of the most active part. She suffers no stormy winds, but the sea are strengthened. Irène moved away to Hispaniola, but our archipelago was concerned by its end (54 mm of rain fell in the Raizet within 3 hours during the night of 22-23).
Time became fine and dry from 24 August and this until the last days of August.
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 138386.phpFrance-Antilles Guadeloupe14.09.2011
Last month, the rainfall was "130 to 200% higher than normal on the East and North of the high-land, La Désirade and Marie-Galante." (Roberto Birhus)
Weather France has published the monthly summary of the time in Guadeloupe. To say the least, August was particularly watered.
Time specialists note a very important rainfall: "more than 130 to 200% higher than normal on the East and North of the high-land, La Désirade and Marie-Galante, and 50 to 90% on the rest of the archipelago and the Northern Islands". The passage of two hurricanes Emily and Irene at the embryonic stage of tropical storm, has greatly contributed.
Chronologically, here are the highlights of the weather in the month of August and that somewhat marred the holiday in the Sun.
1-August 2, there was passage of Emily, whose centre is passed in the night, to the South of Guadeloupe, Dominica and Martinique, our archipelago being remained on the margins of the most active part of the phenomenon. However, it has generated average winds of 30 to 40 km with gusts of 96 km/h recorded at la Desirade and 85 km/h at Marie-Galante. There was also a swell with average hollow of 3.5 metres and the rainfall northeast of Basse-Terre.
Wednesday 3-Friday 5, time remained cloudy with showers. The following weekend was particularly watered and this to the Tuesday following the successive passage of the tropical wave 24 and 25. These phenomena have led to vast stormy cluster dating back to Guadeloupe to hit Saturday afternoon. 30 mm of water fell on Basse-Terre in under an hour with high electrical activity.
Ten days of dry
Monday 8 and Tuesday, August 9 at the front of the tropical wave 25 time remained very unstable with locally strong stormy showers but no significant accruals. From 10 to 14, after the passage of the wave, time is again generally nice and dry. A few good showers occurred August 12 on Northern the Basse-Terre and the 13 regions of Capesterre-Belle-Eau and Sainte-Rose.
Between 15 and 16 August, to the passage of the tropical wave 27, very active, time becomes very rainy and stormy with heavy showers, lightning and Thunder and strong gusts of winds (80 km/h recorded at La Désirade, 100 km/h at the Soufrière Hills). Accumulations of rain are significant in 48 hours, he fell between 150 and 200 mm of rain in the mountains and between 60 and 120 mm on the rest of the archipelago.
20-21, It was noted the passage of tropical storm Irene which centre passes through the Caribbean arc end of the night, between Guadeloupe and Antigua. Guadeloupe rest on the margins of the most active part. She suffers no stormy winds, but the sea are strengthened. Irène moved away to Hispaniola, but our archipelago was concerned by its end (54 mm of rain fell in the Raizet within 3 hours during the night of 22-23).
Time became fine and dry from 24 August and this until the last days of August.
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