Caribbean - Central America Weather

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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10281 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 7:31 am

weather.gov
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories


Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
448 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-201030-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
448 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL COMBINE WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
MASS AND LOCAL EFFECTS TODAY...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...BRIEF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS
AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR LOW LYING FLOODING ARE EXPECTED IN A FEW
LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS EACH
DAY. ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR LOW LYING FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING OR OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER WOULD
BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
448 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-201030-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
448 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL COMBINE WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
MASS AND LOCAL EFFECTS TODAY...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN...LIGHTNING...BRIEF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS AND AT LEAST SOME
MINOR LOW LYING FLOODING ARE EXPECTED IN A FEW LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO OVER PARTS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS EACH DAY. ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...
LIGHTNING...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR LOW LYING
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING OR OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER WOULD
BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

$$
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10282 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:13 am

San Juan, PR
9:12 AM AST on September 19, 2011 (GMT -0400)Elev: 108 ft Lon: 66.1° WLat: 18.5° N
Rapid Fire Updates™
Updated 2 sec ago Make this Location a Weather Sticker®
Tropical Weather: Invest 98 (North Atlantic) Invest 99 (North Atlantic) Invest 96 (East Pacific) Tropical Storm Roke (Western Pacific) Typhoon Sonca (Western Pacific)


View WunderPhotos® in: San Juan, Puerto Rico



Weather at a Glance
Weather Station
Old San Juan, San Juan
Elevation
108 ft
Station Select
Now

Scattered Clouds
Temperature
83.3 °F
Feels Like 91 °F
Wind(mph)
8.0
Sunrise / Set
6:12 AM
6:23 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
More Astronomy
Today
84 °F
T-storms
50% chance of precipitation
Tonight
79 °F
T-storms
40% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
83 °F
T-storms
40% chance of precipitation
Wednesday
83 | 79 °F
Rain Showers
20% chance of precipitation
Thursday
83 | 79 °F
T-storms
30% chance of precipitation
Friday
83 | 79 °F
Rain Showers
30% chance of precipitation
7-Day Forecast - Hourly Details Today is forecast to be nearly the same temperature as yesterday.
Current DataToday's AlmanacExtended ForecastRadarSatelliteWebcams
Conditions
Pressure 30.19 in Visibility10.0 miles CloudsFew 2600 ft
Scattered Clouds 7500 ft
Moisture
Humidity76%Rainfall0.00 in Snow Depth Not available.
METAR
METAR TJSJ 191256Z 10005KT 10SM FEW026 SCT075 29/24 A2996 RMK AO2 SLP144 VCSH SE T02890239
Don't speak METAR? Read our FAQ.
Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Heat Index91 °F Dew Point 75 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir8.0 mph from ENE Wind Gust9.0 mph
Health
UV3.9 out of 16Pollen Not available. Air QualityNot available.Flu Activity Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10283 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:25 am

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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10284 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:26 am

Marine Weather Statement
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
801 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

AMZ732-735-741-745-191500-
801 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS...

AT 753 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS... OVER
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO.

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER
WAVES...AND LIGHTNING STRIKES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE
SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE
LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY
UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 1701 6736 1750 6800 1832 6800 1773 6681
1702 6593
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10285 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:28 am

Current Weather Conditions:
Vc Bird International Airport Antigua, Antigua and Barbuda

(TAPA) 17-07N 061-47W 10M
Conditions at

2011.09.19 1300 UTC
Wind from the ENE (070 degrees) at 12 MPH (10 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Weather Cumulonimbus clouds, towering cumulus clouds observed
Temperature 82 F (28 C)
Dew Point 73 F (23 C)
Relative Humidity 74%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.94 in. Hg (1014 hPa)
ob TAPA 191300Z 07010KT 9999 FEW015CB SCT016TCU BKN250 28/23 Q1014
24 Hour Summary

Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 9 AM (13) Sep 19 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.94 (1014) ENE 12
8 AM (12) Sep 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) E 14
7 AM (11) Sep 19 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) E 14
6 AM (10) Sep 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.88 (1012) E 14
5 AM (9) Sep 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.88 (1012) E 13
4 AM (8) No Data
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10286 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:28 am

Current Weather Conditions:
Grantley Adams, Barbados

(TBPB) 13-04N 059-29W 56M
Conditions at

2011.09.19 1300 UTC
Wind from the ESE (110 degrees) at 8 MPH (7 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly clear
Temperature 84 F (29 C)
Dew Point 75 F (24 C)
Relative Humidity 74%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.91 in. Hg (1013 hPa)
ob TBPB 191300Z 11007KT 9999 FEW018 29/24 Q1013 NOSIG
24 Hour Summary

Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 9 AM (13) Sep 19 84 (29) 75 (24) 29.91 (1013) ESE 8
8 AM (12) Sep 19 84 (29) 75 (24) 29.91 (1013) ESE 10
7 AM (11) Sep 19 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.88 (1012) ESE 8
6 AM (10) Sep 19 80 (27) 75 (24) 29.85 (1011) ESE 9
5 AM (9) Sep 19 78 (26) 73 (23) 29.88 (1012) E 7 showers in the vicinity
4 AM (8) Sep 19 78 (26) 73 (23) 29.88 (1012) ENE 7 showers in the vicinity
3 AM (7) Sep 19 78 (26) 73 (23) 29.8
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10287 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:29 am

Current Weather Conditions:
Juliana Airport, Saint Maarten, Netherlands Antilles

(TNCM) 18-03N 063-07W 9M
Conditions at

2011.09.19 1300 UTC
Wind from the ESE (110 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions partly cloudy
Temperature 82 F (28 C)
Dew Point 73 F (23 C)
Relative Humidity 74%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.94 in. Hg (1014 hPa)
ob TNCM 191300Z 11008KT 9999 SCT019 28/23 Q1014
24 Hour Summary

Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 9 AM (13) Sep 19 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.94 (1014) ESE 9
8 AM (12) Sep 19 82 (28) 75 (24) 29.94 (1014) E 7
7 AM (11) Sep 19 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) E 5
6 AM (10) Sep 19 78 (26) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) E 5
5 AM (9) Sep 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) ESE 6
4 AM (8) Sep 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.88 (1012) E 10
3 AM (7) Sep 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.88 (1012) E 8
2 AM (6) Sep 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) ESE 8
1 AM (5) Sep 19 80 (27) 75 (24) 29.91 (1013) ESE 7
Midnight (4) Sep 19 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.94 (1014) E 7
11 PM (3) Sep 18 80 (27) 75 (24) 29.94 (1014) E 6
10 PM (2) Sep 18 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.94 (1014) E 9
9 PM (1) Sep 18 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.94 (1014) E 8
8 PM (0) Sep 18 80 (27) 75 (24) 29.94 (1014) SE 8
7 PM (23) Sep 18 80 (27) 75 (24) 29.94 (1014) ESE 6 light rain showers
6 PM (22) Sep 18 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) ESE 7
5 PM (21) Sep 18 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) ESE 7
4 PM (20) Sep 18 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.88 (1012) SE 10 light rain showers
3 PM (19) Sep 18 78 (26) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) SE 12 light rain
2 PM (18) Sep 18 78 (26) 71 (22) 29.91 (1013) ESE 22 light rain showers
1 PM (17) Sep 18 77 (25) 71 (22) 29.91 (1013) ESE 20 light rain with thunder
Noon (16) Sep 18 78 (26) 73 (23) 29.97 (1015) E 18
11 AM (15) Sep 18 75 (24) 73 (23) 30.00 (1016) NE 12 light rain with thunder
Oldest 10 AM (14) Sep 18 75 (24) 75 (24) 30.00 (1016) E 12 rain with thunder
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F(C) Dew Point
F(C) Pressure
Inches(hPa) Wind
(MPH) Weather
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10288 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:30 am

urrent Weather Conditions:
San Juan, Luis Munoz Marin International Airport, PR, United States

(TJSJ) 18-27N 066-00W
Conditions at

2011.09.19 1256 UTC
Wind from the E (100 degrees) at 6 MPH (5 KT)
Visibility 10 mile(s)
Sky conditions partly cloudy
Temperature 84.0 F (28.9 C)
Dew Point 75.0 F (23.9 C)
Relative Humidity 74%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.96 in. Hg (1014 hPa)
ob TJSJ 191256Z 10005KT 10SM FEW026 SCT075 29/24 A2996 RMK AO2 SLP144 VCSH SE T02890239
Maximum and Minimum Temperatures

Maximum
Temperature
F (C) Minimum
Temperature
F (C)
81.0 (27.2) 75.9 (24.4) In the 6 hours preceding Sep 19, 2011 - 07:56 AM EDT / 2011.09.19 1156 UTC
79.0 (26.1) 73.0 (22.8) In the 24 hours preceding Sep 18, 2011 - 11:56 PM EDT / 2011.09.19 0356 UTC
Precipitation Accumulation

Precipitation
Amount
0.03 inches In the 24 hours preceding Sep 19, 2011 - 07:56 AM EDT / 2011.09.19 1156 UTC
24 Hour Summary

Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 9 AM (13) Sep 19 84.0 (28.9) 75.0 (23.9) 29.96 (1014) E 6
8 AM (12) Sep 19 81.0 (27.2) 73.9 (23.3) 29.94 (1013) ESE 5
7 AM (11) Sep 19 75.9 (24.4) 72.0 (22.2) 29.93 (1013) Calm
6 AM (10) Sep 19 75.9 (24.4) 72.0 (22.2) 29.92 (1013) E 3
5 AM (9) Sep 19 75.9 (24.4) 72.0 (22.2) 29.91 (1012) E 5
4 AM (8) Sep 19 77.0 (25.0) 73.0 (22.8) 29.9 (1012) SE 3
3 AM (7) Sep 19 78.1 (25.6) 73.0 (22.8) 29.91 (1012) SE 3
2 AM (6) Sep 19 78.1 (25.6) 73.0 (22.8) 29.92 (1013) Calm
1 AM (5) Sep 19 78.1 (25.6) 73.0 (22.8) 29.94 (1013) Calm
Midnight (4) Sep 19 75.9 (24.4) 73.9 (23.3) 29.94 (1013) SSE 3
11 PM (3) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.9 (23.3) 29.94 (1013) SE 3
10 PM (2) Sep 18 75.0 (23.9) 73.0 (22.8) 29.95 (1014) Calm
9 PM (1) Sep 18 75.0 (23.9) 72.0 (22.2) 29.95 (1014) Calm
8 PM (0) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.0 (22.8) 29.94 (1013) ESE 5
7 PM (23) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.9 (23.3) 29.92 (1013) E 6
6 PM (22) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.9 (23.3) 29.91 (1012) ESE 5
5 PM (21) Sep 18 77.0 (25.0) 73.9 (23.3) 29.9 (1012) E 12
4 PM (20) Sep 18 77.0 (25.0) 73.0 (22.8) 29.91 (1012) E 14
3 PM (19) Sep 18 77.0 (25.0) 73.0 (22.8) 29.92 (1013) ESE 10
2 PM (18) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.0 (22.8) 29.92 (1013) E 13
1 PM (17) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.0 (22.8) 29.95 (1014) ESE 8
Noon (16) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.0 (22.8) 29.97 (1014) ESE 7
11 AM (15) Sep 18 78.1 (25.6) 75.9 (24.4) 29.97 (1014) E 12
Oldest 10 AM (14) Sep 18 78.1 (25.6) 73.9 (23.3) 29.98 (1015) ENE 12
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F(C) Dew Point
F(C) Pressure
Inches(hPa) Wind
(MPH) Weather
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10289 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:34 am

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FLCA42 TJSJ 190848
HWOSJU

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
448 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-201030-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
448 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL COMBINE WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
MASS AND LOCAL EFFECTS TODAY...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...BRIEF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS
AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR LOW LYING FLOODING ARE EXPECTED IN A FEW
LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS EACH
DAY. ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR LOW LYING FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING OR OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER WOULD
BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

$$

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-201030-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
448 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL COMBINE WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
MASS AND LOCAL EFFECTS TODAY...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN...LIGHTNING...BRIEF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS AND AT LEAST SOME
MINOR LOW LYING FLOODING ARE EXPECTED IN A FEW LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO OVER PARTS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS EACH DAY. ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...
LIGHTNING...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR LOW LYING
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING OR OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER WOULD
BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

$$
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10290 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:38 am

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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10291 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:38 am

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook60% 98L

This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
Place your mouse cursor over areas of interest for more information Archived Outlooks

GIS data: .shp
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
TROPICAL DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

2. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SMALL AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN
Last edited by underthwx on Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:41 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10292 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:39 am

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR 10N81W AND IS PROVIDING AN UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT W OF 74W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
FOCUSED ON MAXIMIZED LOW-LEVEL SPEED CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COAST
OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING S OF 19N W OF
81W. E OF 74W...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SW NORTH
ATLC SOUTHWARD TO A BASE OVER THE SE CARIBBEAN. MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE ADVECTED ACROSS THE MUCH OF THE
NE CARIBBEAN WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN E OF 65W. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING WILL
BROADEN OUT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC
PROVIDING THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH CONTINUED WEST-
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND HIGHER POSSIBILITY FOR WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10293 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 8:42 am

A PERSISTENT LOW IN THE WEST CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IS KEEPING VERY
DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE AREA. TROUGHING WILL EXTEND NORTHEAST OF
THIS AND OVER HISPANIOLA...KEEPING AREAS OF HIGH HUMIDITY OVER
PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A DEEP POLAR TROUGH
DIGGING INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL SUSTAIN GOOD VERTICAL LIFT
OVER THE LOCAL AREA THAT WILL HELP TO GENERATE AREAS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL NOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE
HEAVIEST RAINS WILL OCCUR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO ARE BECOMING MORE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING WITH SATURATED SOILS AND ABOVE
NORMAL STREAM AND RIVER FLOW DUE TO THE PERSISTENT RAINS OVER THE
PAST FEW WEEKS. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS OVER THE COMING DAYS WILL
ONLY AGGRAVATE THIS SITUATION. WHILE ALL AREAS ARE AT RISK OF
EXPERIENCING SOME FLOODING...AREAS NORTH OF THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL
ARE AT GREATEST RISK OF EXPERIENCING THE MOST SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
DUE TO THE PRESENT STATE OF THE SOIL CONDITIONS. ADDITIONALLY
PLUMES OF SHOWERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST MAY SET UP OVER THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY THAT COULD PRODUCE FLOODING
IN AREA GUTS.

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED SUNDAY MORNING OR WHEN CONDITIONS
CHANGE...WHICHEVER IS EARLIER.
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10294 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:22 am

Marine Weather Statement
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
801 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

AMZ732-735-741-745-191500-
801 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS...

AT 753 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS... OVER
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO.

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER
WAVES...AND LIGHTNING STRIKES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE
SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE
LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY
UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 1701 6736 1750 6800 1832 6800 1773 6681
1702 6593
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10295 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:41 am

Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1032 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

PRZ001-002-012-013-VIZ001-191700-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
1032 AM AST MON SEP 19 2011

.NOW...CONSISTENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AND AFFECTED THE EASTERN
MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO...THE SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN
AREA...VIEQUES...SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN. THESE SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THESE AREAS AND SOME WILL ALSO AFFECT THE
ISLAND OF CULEBRA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...CAUSING BRIEF PERIODS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND MINOR PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10296 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:43 am

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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10297 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:53 am

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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10298 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 9:55 am

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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10299 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 10:12 am

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Re: Caribbean - C America - Watching Atl East of Lesser Antilles

#10300 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 19, 2011 10:18 am

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