Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

RWRPR
PUERTO RICO/U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
400 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

PRZ001-004-192100-
PUERTO RICO

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
SAN JUAN LMM PTSUNNY 82 75 78 E8 29.89S
CEIBA SUNNY 82 75 78 E8 29.89S
$$

PRZ006-007-192100-
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CHARLOTTE AMA MOSUNNY 84 75 74 E12 29.89R HX 92
CHRISTIANSTED SUNNY 86 75 70 E10 29.89R HX 95
$$

[underthwx]

cantidad de lluvia que han grabado hasta el momento actual?





urrent Weather Conditions:
San Juan, Luis Munoz Marin International Airport, PR, United States

(TJSJ) 18-27N 066-00W
Conditions at

2011.09.19 1956 UTC
Wind from the E (090 degrees) at 8 MPH (7 KT)
Visibility 10 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Temperature 82.0 F (27.8 C)
Dew Point 75.0 F (23.9 C)
Relative Humidity 79%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.89 in. Hg (1012 hPa)
ob TJSJ 191956Z 09007KT 10SM FEW031 SCT046 BKN075 28/24 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP122 SHRA DSNT SW-NW T02780239
Maximum and Minimum Temperatures

Maximum
Temperature
F (C) Minimum
Temperature
F (C)
84.9 (29.4) 80.1 (26.7) In the 6 hours preceding Sep 19, 2011 - 01:56 PM EDT / 2011.09.19 1756 UTC
79.0 (26.1) 73.0 (22.8) In the 24 hours preceding Sep 18, 2011 - 11:56 PM EDT / 2011.09.19 0356 UTC
Precipitation Accumulation

Precipitation
Amount
0.01 inches In the 3 hours preceding Sep 19, 2011 - 10:56 AM EDT / 2011.09.19 1456 UTC
0.01 inches In the 6 hours preceding Sep 19, 2011 - 01:56 PM EDT / 2011.09.19 1756 UTC
0.03 inches In the 24 hours preceding Sep 19, 2011 - 07:56 AM EDT / 2011.09.19 1156 UTC
24 Hour Summary

Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 4 PM (20) Sep 19 82.0 (27.8) 75.0 (23.9) 29.89 (1012) E 8
3 PM (19) Sep 19 82.9 (28.3) 73.9 (23.3) 29.89 (1012) E 6
2 PM (18) Sep 19 82.9 (28.3) 75.0 (23.9) 29.89 (1012) ENE 12
1 PM (17) Sep 19 82.0 (27.8) 71.1 (21.7) 29.92 (1013) ENE 13
Noon (16) Sep 19 82.9 (28.3) 75.0 (23.9) 29.94 (1013) E 14 light rain
11 AM (15) Sep 19 82.9 (28.3) 75.9 (24.4) 29.96 (1014) E 7
10 AM (14) Sep 19 82.9 (28.3) 75.9 (24.4) 29.96 (1014) E 7 light rain
9 AM (13) Sep 19 84.0 (28.9) 75.0 (23.9) 29.96 (1014) E 6
8 AM (12) Sep 19 81.0 (27.2) 73.9 (23.3) 29.94 (1013) ESE 5
7 AM (11) Sep 19 75.9 (24.4) 72.0 (22.2) 29.93 (1013) Calm
6 AM (10) Sep 19 75.9 (24.4) 72.0 (22.2) 29.92 (1013) E 3
5 AM (9) Sep 19 75.9 (24.4) 72.0 (22.2) 29.91 (1012) E 5
4 AM (8) Sep 19 77.0 (25.0) 73.0 (22.8) 29.9 (1012) SE 3
3 AM (7) Sep 19 78.1 (25.6) 73.0 (22.8) 29.91 (1012) SE 3
2 AM (6) Sep 19 78.1 (25.6) 73.0 (22.8) 29.92 (1013) Calm
1 AM (5) Sep 19 78.1 (25.6) 73.0 (22.8) 29.94 (1013) Calm
Midnight (4) Sep 19 75.9 (24.4) 73.9 (23.3) 29.94 (1013) SSE 3
11 PM (3) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.9 (23.3) 29.94 (1013) SE 3
10 PM (2) Sep 18 75.0 (23.9) 73.0 (22.8) 29.95 (1014) Calm
9 PM (1) Sep 18 75.0 (23.9) 72.0 (22.2) 29.95 (1014) Calm
8 PM (0) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.0 (22.8) 29.94 (1013) ESE 5
7 PM (23) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.9 (23.3) 29.92 (1013) E 6
6 PM (22) Sep 18 75.9 (24.4) 73.9 (23.3) 29.91 (1012) ESE 5
Oldest 5 PM (21) Sep 18 77.0 (25.0) 73.9 (23.3) 29.9 (1012) E 12
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F(C) Dew Point
F(C) Pressure
Inches(hPa) Wind
(MPH) Weather
The information presented here is taken from products produced by the U.S. National Weather Service and other national and international agencies

[underthwx]

Latest SFWMD Models:


https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... orm_98.gif

[underthwx]

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

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Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 191906
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
306 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA AND THEREFORE CONTINUE
TO LIFT PATCHES OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION
WHILE PROVIDING UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.
IN THE LOW LEVELS...BROAD SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING WEAKLY ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FROM THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
THE TROUGH ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SHIFTS FURTHER WESTWARD. SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED CONSIDERABLE AMOUNTS OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH AREAS OF ENHANCED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BEING ADVECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS IN
THE PREVAILING SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE PRESENT LOW LEVEL PATTERN IN INDUCING LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS COMBINED WITH THE PROXIMITY
OF TUTT WILL CONTINUE TO HELP DESTABILIZE LOCAL AREA AND ALLOW FOR
ENHANCED DIURNAL AND NOCTURNAL CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
EXPECT DAYTIME CONVECTION ACROSS THE ISLANDS TO DIMINISH DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...SOME EARLY MORNING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COASTAL SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND THE
REGIONAL WATERS.

BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON TUTT IS TO PULL FURTHER NORTH AND WEST OF AREA
WITH UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THEN BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE.
THEREFORE...EXPECT AFTERNOON CONVECTION TO BE MAINLY LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY
INDUCED...WHICH WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS OVER ISOLATED SPOTS IN THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS HOWEVER NOT EXPECTED. BY LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
AS AN EASTERLY PERTURBATION WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...THIS WILL
INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
DURING THE DAYTIME...SOME OF WHICH WILL AGAIN PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AT TIMES.

BY LATE FRIDAY AND INTO THE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...A TROPICAL
WAVE STILL WAY OUT IN THE ATLANTIC AND EAST OF THE ISLANDS...IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES LATE FRIDAY...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WAVE STILL HAS A LONG WAY TO
GO BEFORE REACHING THE ISLANDS...BUT SO FAR ALL MODELS AGREE THAT
IS WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN TROPICAL ITCZ MOISTURE AND
THUS INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK. STAY TUNED FOR MORE INFO AS THIS UNFOLDS
WITH TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH 20/22Z OVER THE
INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO. THIS WILL OBSCURE SOME HIGHER MOUNTAINS BUT
TAF SITES IN PR AND ELSEWHERE IN THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VFR...EXCEPT FOR TEMPO MVFR/IFR IN TJBQ. LLVL WINDS ARE GENERALLY
EASTERLY AT 15 KNOTS BELOW 10 THOUSAND FEET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 88 77 90 / 20 30 30 30
STT 77 87 78 90 / 50 50 40 40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

$$

[underthwx]

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 191906
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
306 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA AND THEREFORE CONTINUE
TO LIFT PATCHES OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION
WHILE PROVIDING UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.
IN THE LOW LEVELS...BROAD SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING WEAKLY ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FROM THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
THE TROUGH ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SHIFTS FURTHER WESTWARD. SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED CONSIDERABLE AMOUNTS OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH AREAS OF ENHANCED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BEING ADVECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS IN
THE PREVAILING SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE PRESENT LOW LEVEL PATTERN IN INDUCING LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS COMBINED WITH THE PROXIMITY
OF TUTT WILL CONTINUE TO HELP DESTABILIZE LOCAL AREA AND ALLOW FOR
ENHANCED DIURNAL AND NOCTURNAL CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
EXPECT DAYTIME CONVECTION ACROSS THE ISLANDS TO DIMINISH DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...SOME EARLY MORNING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COASTAL SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND THE
REGIONAL WATERS.

BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON TUTT IS TO PULL FURTHER NORTH AND WEST OF AREA
WITH UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THEN BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE.
THEREFORE...EXPECT AFTERNOON CONVECTION TO BE MAINLY LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY
INDUCED...WHICH WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS OVER ISOLATED SPOTS IN THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS HOWEVER NOT EXPECTED. BY LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
AS AN EASTERLY PERTURBATION WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...THIS WILL
INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
DURING THE DAYTIME...SOME OF WHICH WILL AGAIN PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AT TIMES.

BY LATE FRIDAY AND INTO THE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...A TROPICAL
WAVE STILL WAY OUT IN THE ATLANTIC AND EAST OF THE ISLANDS...IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES LATE FRIDAY...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WAVE STILL HAS A LONG WAY TO
GO BEFORE REACHING THE ISLANDS...BUT SO FAR ALL MODELS AGREE THAT
IS WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN TROPICAL ITCZ MOISTURE AND
THUS INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK. STAY TUNED FOR MORE INFO AS THIS UNFOLDS
WITH TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH 20/22Z OVER THE
INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO. THIS WILL OBSCURE SOME HIGHER MOUNTAINS BUT
TAF SITES IN PR AND ELSEWHERE IN THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VFR...EXCEPT FOR TEMPO MVFR/IFR IN TJBQ. LLVL WINDS ARE GENERALLY
EASTERLY AT 15 KNOTS BELOW 10 THOUSAND FEET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 88 77 90 / 20 30 30 30
STT 77 87 78 90 / 50 50 40 40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

$$

[underthwx]

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 191906
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
306 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA AND THEREFORE CONTINUE
TO LIFT PATCHES OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION
WHILE PROVIDING UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.
IN THE LOW LEVELS...BROAD SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING WEAKLY ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FROM THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
THE TROUGH ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SHIFTS FURTHER WESTWARD. SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED CONSIDERABLE AMOUNTS OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH AREAS OF ENHANCED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BEING ADVECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS IN
THE PREVAILING SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE PRESENT LOW LEVEL PATTERN IN INDUCING LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS COMBINED WITH THE PROXIMITY
OF TUTT WILL CONTINUE TO HELP DESTABILIZE LOCAL AREA AND ALLOW FOR
ENHANCED DIURNAL AND NOCTURNAL CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
EXPECT DAYTIME CONVECTION ACROSS THE ISLANDS TO DIMINISH DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS LEAVING MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...SOME EARLY MORNING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COASTAL SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND THE
REGIONAL WATERS.

BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON TUTT IS TO PULL FURTHER NORTH AND WEST OF AREA
WITH UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THEN BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE.
THEREFORE...EXPECT AFTERNOON CONVECTION TO BE MAINLY LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY
INDUCED...WHICH WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS OVER ISOLATED SPOTS IN THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS HOWEVER NOT EXPECTED. BY LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
AS AN EASTERLY PERTURBATION WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...THIS WILL
INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
DURING THE DAYTIME...SOME OF WHICH WILL AGAIN PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AT TIMES.

BY LATE FRIDAY AND INTO THE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...A TROPICAL
WAVE STILL WAY OUT IN THE ATLANTIC AND EAST OF THE ISLANDS...IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES LATE FRIDAY...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WAVE STILL HAS A LONG WAY TO
GO BEFORE REACHING THE ISLANDS...BUT SO FAR ALL MODELS AGREE THAT
IS WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN TROPICAL ITCZ MOISTURE AND
THUS INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK. STAY TUNED FOR MORE INFO AS THIS UNFOLDS
WITH TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH 20/22Z OVER THE
INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO. THIS WILL OBSCURE SOME HIGHER MOUNTAINS BUT
TAF SITES IN PR AND ELSEWHERE IN THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VFR...EXCEPT FOR TEMPO MVFR/IFR IN TJBQ. LLVL WINDS ARE GENERALLY
EASTERLY AT 15 KNOTS BELOW 10 THOUSAND FEET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 88 77 90 / 20 30 30 30
STT 77 87 78 90 / 50 50 40 40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

$$

[underthwx]

Local Storm Report
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
NWUS52 TJSJ 162001
LSRSJU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
401 PM AST FRI SEP 16 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0333 PM HAIL YAUCO 18.04N 66.86W
09/16/2011 E0.50 INCH YAUCO PR EMERGENCY MNGR

MARBLE HAIL SIZE WAS REPORTED IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF
YAUCO.


&&

[underthwx]

STILL RAINBOW IMAGE:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/rb-l.jpg

[cycloneye]

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
446 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WATERS

AMZ700-200930-
446 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WATERS...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA AND A BROAD TROUGH ACROSS
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL HELP MAINTAIN A MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL TROUGH WILL
LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. AS A RESULT...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGIONAL WATERS.

$$

AMZ710-200930-
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
446 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION...

.TONIGHT...EAST WINDS 13 TO 18 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FEET. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUESDAY...EAST WINDS 11 TO 16 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FEET. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 4 FEET.
SCATTERED SHOWERS.
.WEDNESDAY...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FEET. SCATTERED
SHOWERS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EAST WINDS 13 TO 18 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.THURSDAY...EAST WINDS 14 TO 19 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
.FRIDAY...EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS.
.SATURDAY...EAST WINDS 16 TO 21 KNOTS. SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET. ISOLATED
SHOWERS...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

[underthwx]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... /irng8.GIF


Carribbean Imagery:(98L entering from the right side of image)

[underthwx]

Special Marine Warning
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING...CORRECTION
AMZ712-192215-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.MA.W.0129.110919T2144Z-110919T2215Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
544 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM...

* UNTIL 615 PM AST

* AT 542 PM AST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING A
WATERSPOUT OVER COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM...
OR ABOUT 7 NM SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA VIENTO...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 1856 6619 1856 6606 1847 6606 1848 6618
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 180DEG 0KT 1841 6608

$$

ER
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
AMZ712-192215-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.MA.W.0128.110919T2141Z-110919T2215Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
541 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM...

* UNTIL 615 PM AST

* AT 536 PM AST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING A
WATERSPOUT OVER COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM...
OR ABOUT 7 NM NORTHWEST OF SAN JUAN...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 1856 6619 1856 6606 1847 6606 1848 6618
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 120DEG 11KT 1848 6611

$$

ER

[underthwx]

Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
551 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

PRZ004-006-007-009>011-200000-
EASTERN INTERIOR-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
551 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

.NOW...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN HAVE
DEVELOPED IN A LINE FROM HORMIGUEROS AND SAN GERMAN TO
VILLALBA...OROCOVIS AND BARRANQUITAS. THE SHOWERS WERE MOVING
SLOWLY NORTH NORTHWEST. A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN SHOULD BE EXPECTED
BEFORE 7 PM IN MAYAGUEZ...MARICAO...ADJUNTAS...AND JAYUYA.


$$

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN

[cycloneye]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/images/irng8.GIF


Carribbean Imagery:(98L entering from the right side of image)

This year,we have been inundated with rain as we have seen with the many flood events that have occured like Emily,the Irene landfall,the tail of Maria and troughs stationary.Hopefully,no more big rain events occur.

[underthwx]

STAY TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL NWS AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR COMPLETE UPDATES ON YOUR LOCAL WEATHER..AND ALL TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATES....PLEASE STAY AWARE OF ANY FLOODING AFFECTING YOUR IMMEDIATE AREA...REMEMBER TO NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED STREETS..YOU MAY NOT KNOW THE ACTUAL DEPTH OF THE WATER...DO NOT TAKE THE RISK...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

[underthwx]

MORE 98L MODELS:


http://tropics.hamweather.com/images/tr ... models.jpg

[underthwx]

Flood Advisory
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
619 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

PRC001-023-055-059-067-073-075-079-093-097-111-113-121-125-153-
200115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0461.110919T2219Z-110920T0115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUANICA PR-GUAYANILLA PR-HORMIGUEROS PR-JAYUYA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-
LAJAS PR-MARICAO PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-
SAN GERMAN PR-YAUCO PR-ADJUNTAS PR-CABO ROJO PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-
619 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
GUANICA...GUAYANILLA...HORMIGUEROS...JAYUYA...JUANA DIAZ...
LAJAS...MARICAO...PENUELAS...PONCE...SABANA GRANDE...SAN
GERMAN...YAUCO...ADJUNTAS...CABO ROJO AND MAYAGUEZ

* UNTIL 915 PM AST

* AT 615 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.THESE SHOWERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLOODING
IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS RAPID RIVER RISES.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1824 6705 1820 6702 1821 6697 1817 6684
1822 6683 1821 6668 1817 6666 1821 6664
1820 6655 1797 6656 1796 6676 1799 6677
1796 6679 1795 6721 1802 6719 1818 6719
1820 6717 1825 6718

$$

ER

[underthwx]

Flood Advisory
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
619 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

PRC001-023-055-059-067-073-075-079-093-097-111-113-121-125-153-
200115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0461.110919T2219Z-110920T0115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUANICA PR-GUAYANILLA PR-HORMIGUEROS PR-JAYUYA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-
LAJAS PR-MARICAO PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-
SAN GERMAN PR-YAUCO PR-ADJUNTAS PR-CABO ROJO PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-
619 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
GUANICA...GUAYANILLA...HORMIGUEROS...JAYUYA...JUANA DIAZ...
LAJAS...MARICAO...PENUELAS...PONCE...SABANA GRANDE...SAN
GERMAN...YAUCO...ADJUNTAS...CABO ROJO AND MAYAGUEZ

* UNTIL 915 PM AST

* AT 615 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.THESE SHOWERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLOODING
IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS RAPID RIVER RISES.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1824 6705 1820 6702 1821 6697 1817 6684
1822 6683 1821 6668 1817 6666 1821 6664
1820 6655 1797 6656 1796 6676 1799 6677
1796 6679 1795 6721 1802 6719 1818 6719
1820 6717 1825 6718

$$

ER

[cycloneye]

Flood Advisory
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
619 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

PRC001-023-055-059-067-073-075-079-093-097-111-113-121-125-153-
200115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0461.110919T2219Z-110920T0115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUANICA PR-GUAYANILLA PR-HORMIGUEROS PR-JAYUYA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-
LAJAS PR-MARICAO PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-
SAN GERMAN PR-YAUCO PR-ADJUNTAS PR-CABO ROJO PR-MAYAGUEZ PR-
619 PM AST MON SEP 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
GUANICA...GUAYANILLA...HORMIGUEROS...JAYUYA...JUANA DIAZ...
LAJAS...MARICAO...PENUELAS...PONCE...SABANA GRANDE...SAN
GERMAN...YAUCO...ADJUNTAS...CABO ROJO AND MAYAGUEZ

* UNTIL 915 PM AST

* AT 615 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.THESE SHOWERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLOODING
IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS RAPID RIVER RISES.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1824 6705 1820 6702 1821 6697 1817 6684
1822 6683 1821 6668 1817 6666 1821 6664
1820 6655 1797 6656 1796 6676 1799 6677
1796 6679 1795 6721 1802 6719 1818 6719
1820 6717 1825 6718

$$

ER

[underthwx]

SFWMD 98L MODELS:


https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... orm_98.gif

[underthwx]

MORE 98L MODELS:


http://stormw.files.wordpress.com/2011/ ... est98l.gif

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... t72hrs.gif

http://orcasystems.ca/kog.jpg

http://orcasystems.ca/1.jpg


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/da ... xyrfpr.png