HOLD ON THAR BOBBALOU!!!!!

[Steve H.]

Somebody help keep my sanity.. What were the 12Z tropical models looking like. The 18Z run looks like a significant change to the SW...ALso, the intensity gives one the impression that it gets into a tropphy area then begins to intensify again. Is this a re-building ridge?? :o This model run has the highest latitude at 27>5N, near 70W at 120 hours...the others are further south. Not getting excited here, but this must be a change.

[Rainband]

I am watching Fabian very close

[weathergymnast]

I just have to say... very intersting developments indeed.

[weatherlover427]

Are any of those SHIPS? :? If they are then I immediately discount SHIPS since it weakens storms waaaaaaaaaaay too fast IMHO.

[njbeachwx]

following Fabian all week....love it and hate it at the same time.

[wow]

Somebody help keep my sanity.. What were the 12Z tropical models looking like. The 18Z run looks like a significant change to the SW...ALso, the intensity gives one the impression that it gets into a tropphy area then begins to intensify again. Is this a re-building ridge?? :o This model run has the highest latitude at 27>5N, near 70W at 120 hours...the others are further south. Not getting excited here, but this must be a change.

The Ecmwf re-builds the ridge in the med. range. Very uncertain here. very.

[ColdFront77]

The National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida is saying that (as of today) that high pressure is expected to rebuild into the Bahamas and the Florida Straits by the end of the week.

This would keep Fabian generally on a westward track.

(I posted the above in the "The Trough" thread")

[SacrydDreamz]

Could we see a Andrew like left hand turn, but further north?! Certainly hope not, but Fabian has certainly tracked on southern periphery of the track envelope. Potential east coast threat? We shall see.

[ColdFront77]

There has been a potential east coast threat with Fabian right along.

If and when the high rebuilds itself, this system will have trouble moving northward.