Caribbean - Central America Weather

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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10841 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 25, 2011 11:17 am

Hey,Eastern Caribbean folks,look what GFS continues to show in three days,inclement weather. Let's see what occurs in real time with this. Some models even have a small hint of tropical development in the area.I will keep all informed.

Image

12z Canadian

Image
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10842 Postby Macrocane » Fri Nov 25, 2011 11:22 am

msbee wrote:wow..no injuries or destruction i hope


Thankfully no damages have been reported msbee and let's hope that no damages will occur with future quakes as the swarm is still ongoing.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10843 Postby expat2carib » Fri Nov 25, 2011 1:50 pm

cycloneye wrote:Hey,Eastern Caribbean folks,look what GFS continues to show in three days,inclement weather. Let's see what occurs in real time with this. Some models even have some type of tropical development in the area.I will keep all informed.

http://oi39.tinypic.com/xpo46q.jpg

12z Canadian

http://img204.imageshack.us/img204/5084/slp14.png


Very interesting. Very late in the season. Let's hope it's "noise" within the data of the models.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10844 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 25, 2011 2:08 pm

:rain: :rain: :rain: :rain: :rain: :rain: This will be the dominant weather starting late Saturday and continue thru early next week.How much rain depends on how the trough locates,but the sure bet is for bad weather for many in the Eastern Caribbean. And we have to watch if that surface trough shows signs of development as some models have been hinting in past runs.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
258 PM AST FRI NOV 25 2011

.SYNOPSIS...MID TO UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS THE
AREA...WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS
WILL EVENTUALLY GIVE WAY TO A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH IS
FORECAST TO SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION BY EARLY SUNDAY. THIS
UNFOLDING PATTERN WILL BE SUPPORTED BY A BROAD INVERTED SURFACE
TROUGH WHICH WILL SET UP ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN BY
SUNDAY...AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEST ATLANTIC SPREADS
FURTHER EAST...AND ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ATLANTIC. FURTHER EAST...A TROPICAL WAVE AND
ASSOCIATED MOISTURE JUST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY SATURDAY
MORNING. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO BE ABSORBED BY THE BROAD SURFACE
TROUGH WHICH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND LIFT
NORTHWARDS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA BY SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FAIRLY LIGHT EASTERLIES CONTINUED TO TRANSPORT SMALL
PATCHES OF TRADE WIND MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THIS LEAD TO
INCREASED CLOUDINESS WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND ONE OR TWO
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING
WATERS. SO FAR NO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WAS OBSERVED OVER THE ISLANDS.

FOR TONIGHT AND THROUGH SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH OVER LAND...EXPECT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
TROPICAL MOISTURE AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS
NORTHWARDS AND SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE REGION.
IN ADDITION...THE DEVELOPING TROUGH WILL INDUCING AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST
LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW AND THIS IN TURN WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES OF
PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION.

MODELS SUGGEST CONTINUED INCREASE IN DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY BEGINNING LATE SATURDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO AFOREMENTIONED MID
TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THERE STILL HOWEVER REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST ESPECIALLY FOR THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK...AS SOME MODELS SUGGESTS THAT THE DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE WILL
BE FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OR PUERTO RICO AND
ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK. THE PWAT
VALUES ARE HOWEVER EXPECTED TO JUMP TO 2.00 INCHES OR MORE IN SOME
AREAS AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WITH THIS IN MIND...DECIDED TO
MAINTAIN CONSISTENCY WITH THE PRESENT FORECAST PACKAGE AND LOOK
FOR INCREASINGLY UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATE
SATURDAY AND CONTAINING THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. BASED
ON OVERALL MODEL GUIDANCE...THERE IS GOOD POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS ALL OR PARTS OF THE FA...BUT ALL
DEPEND ON HOW MUCH AND EXACTLY WHERE THE DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH
INTERACTS WITH THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STAY TUNED
AS FURTHER ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST WILL BE NECESSARY AS THIS
EXPECTED WETTER PATTERN UNFOLDS.

&&

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 75 84 74 84 / 20 50 50 70
STT 75 84 75 85 / 40 40 70 70
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10845 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 25, 2011 2:32 pm

On a sidenote,I added to the long first post of this thread a web cam from San Juan and the Aruba/Curacao radar. If anyone has more cams or radars that are not yet posted,dont hesitate and bring them here and I will add those.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10846 Postby msbee » Fri Nov 25, 2011 3:49 pm

Thanks for the updates Luis. We're watching carefully.

In the meantime we had a nice little rain shower here a little while ago.
Thought you would like a picture I took.

Image
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10847 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 25, 2011 4:27 pm

msbee wrote:Thanks for the updates Luis. We're watching carefully.

In the meantime we had a nice little rain shower here a little while ago.
Thought you would like a picture I took.

http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/curre ... sUm7af.jpg


Nice pic Barbara. About the weather expected for the next few days,it looks like things may be starting to take shape south and Southwest of PR,and that will spread towards the NE Caribbean slowly.And that will combine with the area of clouds that is East and Southeast of the islands related to a surface trough to cause the bad weather.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10848 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 25, 2011 7:27 pm

An excerpt from 8 PM discussion:

THE LESSER ANTILLES CAN EXPECT AN INCREASE IN
SHOWER ACTIVITY AS MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH E
OF THE ISLANDS BEGINS TO ADVECT WWD.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10849 Postby Macrocane » Fri Nov 25, 2011 10:54 pm

Good evening! I have bad news from El Salvador as the quakes have continued and have damaged at least 92 homes according to the government so yellow alert was declared in the municipalities that have been affected, more info here: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=67&t=107415&p=2206387#p2206387
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10850 Postby Macrocane » Sat Nov 26, 2011 12:03 am

The cold temperatures (especially minimum) have continued in most of Central America, these are the temps registered on November 24:

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 21°C (70°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 17.4°C (63.3°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 13°C (55°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 4.6°C (40.3°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 18°C (64°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 15.8°C (60.4°F) Coldest since March 27
Las Pilas, El Salvador 9.8°C (49.6°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 20.2°C (68.4°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 15°C (59°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 11°C (52°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 20°C (68°F) Coldest since March 23
Jinotega, Nicaragua 17°C (63°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.4°C (63.3°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 21.1°C (70.0°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 6.4°C (43.5°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.3°C (72.1°F)
Boquete, Panama 14.1°C (57.4°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 29°C (84°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 25.3°C (77.5°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 23°C (73°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 20.0°C (68.0°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 28°C (82°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 28.7°C (83.7°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 15.3°C (59.5°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 34.3°C (93.7°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 34°C (93°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 23.7°C (74.7°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 31.5°C (88.7°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 9.1°C (48.7°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.9°C (87.6°F)
Boquete, Panama 21.1°C (70.0°F)
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10851 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 26, 2011 5:28 am

Good morning. No change to the wet forecast expected for the Eastern Caribbean so prepare for it. Eastern PR and VI are under a flash flood watch until Monday.

Gusty,we will have an NBA season after all as they reached an agreement. See the details at the sports forum. :)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST SAT NOV 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
WILL CONTINUE TO DIG TOWARD THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY. THIS FEATURE
WILL INDUCE A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.
DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO/USVI. WINDS
WERE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...PATCHES OF MOISTURE
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND WILL COMBINE WITH
LOCAL EFFECTS TO RESULT IN INTERVALS OF CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS
OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THIS WEATHER SCENARIO IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE
AS AFOREMENTIONED MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG TOWARD
THE AREA. THIS FEATURE WILL INDUCE A SURFACE TROUGH WHICH WILL
EXTEND ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THE INDUCED
SURFACE TROUGH IS THEN EXPECTED TO LINGER ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK.

THERE IS GOOD POTENTIAL FOR UNSTABLE CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO MONDAY...BUT ALL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH AND EXACTLY
WHERE THE DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTS WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH. AT THIS MOMENT...BEST CHANCES FOR RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED
MAINLY OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND USVI.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR THRU 00Z SUN. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS/WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT WITH MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
LIKELY AT JSJ/USVI AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TERMINALS. RAIN POSSIBLY
HEAVY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUN NIGHT WITH IFR CONDITIONS.
CONDITIONS IMPROVE SOMEWHAT ON MON BUT STILL WITH THE RISK OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...INCREASING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. A GROUP OF NORTH NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL INVADE THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 83 75 84 75 / 70 70 70 30
STT 85 77 85 77 / 80 80 70 60
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather

#10852 Postby Gustywind » Sat Nov 26, 2011 5:39 am

cycloneye wrote:Good morning. No change to the wet forecast expected for the Eastern Caribbean so prepare for it. Eastern PR and VI are under a flash flood watch until Monday.

Gusty,we will have an NBA season after all as they reached an agreement. See the details at the sports forum. :)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST SAT NOV 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
WILL CONTINUE TO DIG TOWARD THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY. THIS FEATURE
WILL INDUCE A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.
DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO/USVI. WINDS
WERE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...PATCHES OF MOISTURE
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND WILL COMBINE WITH
LOCAL EFFECTS TO RESULT IN INTERVALS OF CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS
OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THIS WEATHER SCENARIO IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE
AS AFOREMENTIONED MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG TOWARD
THE AREA. THIS FEATURE WILL INDUCE A SURFACE TROUGH WHICH WILL
EXTEND ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THE INDUCED
SURFACE TROUGH IS THEN EXPECTED TO LINGER ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK.

THERE IS GOOD POTENTIAL FOR UNSTABLE CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO MONDAY...BUT ALL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH AND EXACTLY
WHERE THE DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTS WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH. AT THIS MOMENT...BEST CHANCES FOR RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED
MAINLY OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND USVI.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR THRU 00Z SUN. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS/WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT WITH MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
LIKELY AT JSJ/USVI AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TERMINALS. RAIN POSSIBLY
HEAVY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUN NIGHT WITH IFR CONDITIONS.
CONDITIONS IMPROVE SOMEWHAT ON MON BUT STILL WITH THE RISK OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...INCREASING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. A GROUP OF NORTH NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL INVADE THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 83 75 84 75 / 70 70 70 30
STT 85 77 85 77 / 80 80 70 60


Thanks for this info Cycloneye, that's a very good news :D
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#10853 Postby Gustywind » Sat Nov 26, 2011 5:43 am

Concerning the bad weather, Meteo-France Guadeloupe is pretty confident. They assume that we should deal with very strong showers beginning tommorow and especially the next few days until mid-week. Let's wait and see...
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Re: Caribbean - C A= Rainy weather for Eastern Caribbean

#10854 Postby msbee » Sat Nov 26, 2011 10:11 am

clouds are rolling in here already and we have had a few showers.

macrocane, sorry to hear that the quakes are continuing and that homes are being damaged
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Re: Caribbean - C A= Rainy weather for Eastern Caribbean

#10855 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 26, 2011 10:20 am

There is the surface trough nearing the Windwards. That will combine with the other mess from the upper trough to cause the bad weather expected.

Image
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Re: Caribbean - C A= Rainy weather for Eastern Caribbean

#10856 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 26, 2011 11:05 am

Latest update from San Juan NWS



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1153 AM AST SAT NOV 26 2011

.UPDATE...NO CHANGES TO INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE AT THIS TIME.
STILL EXPECT INCREASED TROPICAL MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AS SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE REGION. IN ADDITION...THE AMPLIFICATION OF
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...AND GOOD DIVERGENT
PATTERN AS THE FA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF
SUBTROPICAL JET MAXIMA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WILL INCREASE
CHANCES FOR INCLEMENT WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
FOR THIS REASON A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AT LEAST UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDS EXPECTED AT MOST TAF SITE DURG
THE REST OF THE MORNING HOURS...EXCEPT FOR TNCM AND TKPK WHERE
PASSING LOW LEVEL CLDS AND SHRA WILL PRODUCE TEMPO MVFR CONDS.
FOR THE AFTN MOSTLY VFR CONDS AS STATED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION.
HOWEVER AFTN SHRA/ISOLD TSRA DEVELOPMENT PSBL OVR THE INTERIOR
AND NRN HALF OF PR. THIS WILL LEAD TO VCSH OR VCTS AT ALL TAF
SITES TIL AT LEAST 26/23Z. THEREAFTER...INCRG CLOUDINESS AND
DETERIORATING WX CONDS IS FCST ACROSS THE FLYING AREA DUE TO
DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH DURG NEXT 24-48 HRS. THIS FEATURE WILL
HELP INCR CHANCES FOR SCT-NUM SHRA/ISOLD TSRA EN ROUTE BTW LOCAL
ISLANDS.
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Re: Caribbean - C A= Rainy weather for Eastern Caribbean

#10857 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 26, 2011 12:32 pm

Todays 12z GFS continues to paint a wet scenario for the Eastern Caribbean during at least the next 48-72 hours.

Image
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Re: Caribbean - C A= Rainy weather for Eastern Caribbean

#10858 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 26, 2011 2:18 pm

:rain: :rain: :rain: :rain: :rain: :rain: :rain: No change from the rain forecast for the next 48 hours so be prepared for this kind of weather.

AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
303 PM AST SAT NOV 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A MID TO UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC DIGGING INTO THE AREA. THIS MAY
INDUCE A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. WITH THAT...AVAILABLE
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DURING THE MORNING HOURS...MOST OF THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY REMAINED OVER THE WATERS. HOWEVER...AFTER NOON...SHOWERS
BEGAN DEVELOPING ACROSS MANY AREAS IN PUERTO RICO AND ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF PUERTO RICO HAS
REMAINED DRY.

FORECAST SOUNDING SHOW AN INCREASE IN OVERALL INSTABILITY ACROSS
THE AREA. PW VALUES MAY RANGE BETWEEN 1.8 AND 2 INCHES WITH
DECENT VENTILATION IN THE UPPER LEVELS. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL MONDAY AS GLOBAL MODELS INSIST IN A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF
RAINFALL OVER THE CARIBBEAN STARTING LATE TONIGHT.


&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDS AS STATED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION.
HOWEVER AFTN SHRA/ISOLD TSRA DEVELOPMENT PSBL OVR THE INTERIOR AND
NRN HALF OF PR. THIS WILL LEAD TO VCSH OR VCTS AT ALL TAF SITES
TIL AT LEAST 26/23Z. THEREAFTER...INCRG CLOUDINESS AND
DETERIORATING WX CONDS IS FCST ACROSS THE FLYING AREA DUE TO
DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH DURG NEXT 24-48 HRS. THIS FEATURE WILL
HELP INCR CHANCES FOR SCT-NUM SHRA/ISOLD TSRA EN ROUTE BTW LOCAL
ISLANDS.

&&

.MARINE...NORTHWEST SWELLS ARE MOVING TOWARDS OUR AREA...SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM LATE
TONIGHT UNTIL AT LEAST MONDAY. BUOY DATA SUGGEST THAT THE
NEARSHORE WATERS ARE STILL AROUND 4 TO 5 FEET. HOWEVER BUOY 41043
HAS INCREASED TO OVER 6 FEET WITH 11 SECOND PERIOD AND BUOY 41046
TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL AREA REPORTED WAVES OF 9.5 FEET AND
9 SECOND PERIOD. THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR
THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM LATE TONIGHT TO AT LEAST MONDAY.
THE EASTERN LOCAL PASSAGES AND NEARSHORE WATERS MAY INCREASE AND
MEET SCA CRITERIA EARLY MONDAY MORNING.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 75 84 75 83 / 70 70 30 40
STT 77 85 77 84 / 80 70 60 60
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Re: Caribbean - C A= Rainy weather for Eastern Caribbean

#10859 Postby Macrocane » Sat Nov 26, 2011 2:50 pm

Still cold minimum temperatures in Central America, I don't complain though I like them :D These are the temps registered yesterday in the region.
-Cooler than normal lows in Belize, Guatemala and Honduras. Near normal lows in El Salvador and Nicaragua. Warmer than normal lows in Costa Rica and Panama.
-Cooler than normal highs in Guatemala, El Salvador and COsta Rica. Near normal highs in the rest of the countries.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 20°C (68°F) Coolest since October 24
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 16.0°C (60.8°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 12.4°C (54.3°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 1.4°C (34.5°F) :cold:
Zacapa, Guatemala 19°C (66°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 16.9°C (62.4°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 7.7°C (45.9°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 19.4°C (66.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 14°C (57°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 11°C (52°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 22°C (72°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 22°C (72°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.6°C (63.7°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 20.8°C (69.4°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.8°C (42.4°F)
Panama city, Panama 23.1°C (73.6°F)
Boquete, Panama 12.3°C (54.1°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 29°C (84°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 25.7°C (78.3°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 22°C (72°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.5°C (70.7°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 30°C (86°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 28.6°C (83.5°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 17.8°C (64.0°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 33.8°C (92.8°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 18°C (64°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 34°C (93°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 25.0°C (77.0°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 32.0°C (89.6°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 13.7°C (56.7°F)
Panama city, Panama 31.6°C (88.9°F)
Boquete, Panama 22.2°C (72.0°F)
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Re: Caribbean - C A= Rainy weather for Eastern Caribbean

#10860 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:56 pm

Things have started to turn wet on eastern PR with already some flood advisories and warnings issued and I suspect there will be a lot more as this rain event takes full shape tonight and on Sunday. I am posting the flood advisories on thread for that at below link.

viewtopic.php?f=24&t=111932&p=2206456#p2206456

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