Western Caribbean

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
chadtm80

Western Caribbean

#1 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:21 am

Image
0 likes   

Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:25 am

That may be the area the models..and the Hazardous weather outlook..I posted in another thread are talking about!!! :o
0 likes   

User avatar
BreinLa
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 1967
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 12:18 pm
Location: Lafayette, La.
Contact:

#3 Postby BreinLa » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:31 am

Oh Boy Here we Go again!!!!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
bkhusky2
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 198
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:24 pm
Location: Trussville, Alabama
Contact:

#4 Postby bkhusky2 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:39 am

Looks like this wave will probably influence my weather in a few days, possibly heavy rain. Which I need the rain here, but areas just south of here do not.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29113
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#5 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:44 am

Noting a definite mid-level swirl in the area immediately off the coast of Honduras and Belize moving W to WNW slowly. This will take it over the S portion of the Yucatan and possibly into the Bay of Campeche. The other possibility that this portion of the area will move into the EPAC.

No matter what I'm watching this one too!!! Current progs for our area are for a rainy week and we sure have started out on the right foot for that!! :roll:

And now that I have seen some models on this one, I will still be watching it. Right now the movement, at least of the noted swirl is still WNW.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

User avatar
bfez1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6548
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:14 am
Location: Meraux--10 mi E of New Orleans-totally destroyed by Katrina
Contact:

#6 Postby bfez1 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:53 am

Pretty impressive blob if you ask me!
0 likes   

chadtm80

#7 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:22 am

0 likes   

chadtm80

#8 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:26 am

Image
0 likes   

Tip
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 325
Joined: Fri May 30, 2003 7:31 am

#9 Postby Tip » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:30 am

Noticing some clockwise rotation on the eastern fringe cloud tops which may indicate that there is high pressure over it.
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#10 Postby weatherlover427 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:32 am

That's quite a blob! :o And thanks for posting images instead of links, that helps my crappy browser a lot! :) :D
0 likes   

chadtm80

#11 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:33 am

TWO


Showers and thunderstorms have increased in the northwestern
Caribbean Sea this morning. Heavy rains are expected to spread
northwestward across the Yucatan and western Cuba into the Gulf of
Mexico...and slow development of this system is possible over the
next day or two.
0 likes   

User avatar
galvbay
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 174
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 8:29 pm
Location: Fort Anahuac, TX

Two Angry Eyes

#12 Postby galvbay » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:39 am

Chad...that sat pic is great, thanks. The two systems look like two angry eyes! I guess the season is going to be in full gear the next couple of weeks. Thanks to everyone at Storm2k for making this the best 'Cane Site' on the web. galvbay
0 likes   

wrkh99

#13 Postby wrkh99 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:49 am

Great anouther storm For Ticka and Texas
0 likes   

User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

#14 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:59 am

Wrkh99 Hmmmm.. I think Texas will sit this one out:):). My guess is central and probably Eastern Gulf. Lets see:):):)
0 likes   

User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

#15 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 11:03 am

0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#16 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 01, 2003 11:13 am

WE have a player
0 likes   

wrkh99

#17 Postby wrkh99 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 11:51 am

0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5277
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#18 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Sep 01, 2003 11:58 am

This one is starting to look like it's getting its act together. I would say Texas to the Florida panhandle need to watch this very closely.
0 likes   

Rainband

#19 Postby Rainband » Mon Sep 01, 2003 11:58 am

wrkh99 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html\

Watch out NO to Texas
AND FLORIDA!!! :lol: :lol:

THROUGH MID WEEK AND INTERESTING SCENARIO COULD PLAY OUT. AT LEAST
THAT IS WHAT THE ETA AND ESPECIALLY THE GFS ARE INDICATING. THE
MODELS APPEAR TO BE LATCHING ON TO CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN, ACTUALLY IT STRETCHES FROM GRAND BAHAMA AND THE STRAITS
SOUTHWARD ALL THE WAY TO COSTA RICA. THIS CONVECTION IS VERY
DISORGANIZED, BUT STILL THE MODELS LATCH ON TO IT AND TAKE IT
NORTHWEST. IN FACT THE GFS AND ETA TAKE A VORT MAX THROUGH THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL. IT IS WORTH NOTING THE 00Z MODEL RUNS ARE A BIT
WEAKER WITH THIS THAN THE 18Z RUNS, BUT ARE STILL CONSISTENT WITH
THE EXISTENCE AND MOVEMENT OF THE FEATURE. AT 200 MB BOTH MODELS
FORM AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE AREA CENTERED ON THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS/JAMAICA REGION LATER TODAY. THE MODELS TAKE THE UPPER RIDGE
WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF. AT THE SAME TIME A TROUGH STARTS TO
DIG SOUTH INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, ALTHOUGH THIS LOOKS LIKE IT IS
STRUGGLING TO MAKE IT TOO FAR SOUTH, BUT IT WILL PLAY A PART IN
INCREASING UPPER DIFLUENCE OVER THE STATE. THE VORT MAX AND
CORRESPONDING WEAK SURFACE LOW BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OFF THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. FOR NOW I WILL PLAY IT WITH JUST A LITTLE
ABOVE CLIMO (MAINLY AFTERNOON CONVECTION) POPS FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY, BUT I AM A LITTLE WORRIED WITH WATER LEVELS ALREADY VERY
HIGH AND THE GROUND SATURATED THAT WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A HEAVY
RAIN EVENT LATER THIS WEEK
.
0 likes   

CocoaBill
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 216
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 10:03 am
Location: Cocoa, FL
Contact:

MOdel link

#20 Postby CocoaBill » Mon Sep 01, 2003 12:03 pm

Does anyone have a link to the models that shows the Caribbean feature moving into the GOM?
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, Google Adsense [Bot], Lizzytiz1, Sciencerocks, Sps123, TomballEd, USTropics and 44 guests