Fabian has peaked.T number goes down to 5.5

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cycloneye
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Fabian has peaked.T number goes down to 5.5

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 01, 2003 7:56 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html
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#2 Postby rainstorm » Mon Sep 01, 2003 8:13 am

yep. john meese is wrong. it hit the shear zone to its west.
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Derek Ortt

#3 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:08 am

Thats the data T number. The second T number is the CI, which is still 6.5
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#4 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 01, 2003 11:15 am

That is subjective...
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#5 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 01, 2003 11:19 am

REcon will tell the tell...

NOUS42 KNHC 011600
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI,FL.
1200 PM EDT MON 01 SEPTEMBER 2003
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z SEP 2003
TCPOD NUMBER.....03-093

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 02/2100Z A. 03/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST B. AFXXX 0212A CYCLONE
C. 02/1830Z C. 03/0945Z
D. 22.5N 88.0W D. 26.0N 88.5W
E. 02/2000Z TO 03/0330Z E. 03/1100Z TO 03/1830Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT. F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE 3-HRLY FIXES IF
SYSTEM DEVELOPS.

3. HURRICANE FABIAN
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 02/1800Z A. 03/0600Z
B. AFXXX 0510A FABIAN B. AFXXX 0610A FABIAN
C. 02/1615Z C. 02/0415Z
D. 20.5N 61.0W D. 21.8N 62.8W
E. 02/1700Z TO 02/2100Z E. 02/0500Z TO 02/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT. F. SFC TO 10,000 FT.

4. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: CONTINUE 12-HRLY FIXES WHILE
SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT. A TWO SHIP P-3 RESEARCH MISSION.
A PROBABLE BUOY DROP AHEAD OF THE STORM.
5. REMARKS: TWO P-3 WILL DO A 9 HOUR RESEARCH MSSION INTO FABIAN
DEPARTING TISX AT 02/1400Z.
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Sep 01, 2003 11:42 am

T numbers should go back up as Fabian went through another eyewall replacement cycle.... Fabian has the classic look once again.

SF
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ColdFront77

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 2:18 pm

rainstorm wrote:yep. john meese is wrong. it hit the shear zone to its west.

His name is Dr. John Neese, not Dr. John Messe (second time I say this) :)


The upper level wind shear isn't increasing ahead of Fabian here:

Image
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