Anyone Ever Hear of the "Long Island Express" of 1

[DelStormLover]

Take a look at this....
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif
Is it just me or is that uncanny........... :o :o :o :o :o

[weathergymnast]

It is interesting.. but what were the atomoshperic conditions for that storm? And currently Fabian is further S than that path. ^^" Anyway's its an interesting track.

[Stephanie]

I've heard of it. It's said that a portion of the island was literally washed away due to the rain and flooding!

That track is pretty spooky! :o

[ChaserUK]

what cat is that when it makes landfall??

[DelStormLover]

i belive cat3.....the reason its in grey is because they had to guess the intesity when it hit because most of the reporting stations were destroyed.

[ChaserUK]

I see - so can we make anything of the similarities of the track given how far away that is?

[weatherlover427]

HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102003
1500Z MON SEP 01 2003

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 56.8W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 56.8W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 56.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.2N 58.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.0N 60.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.3N 63.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 29.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 34.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

I suppose this could be used as a starting point.

[Stephanie]

Information on the creation of "Shinnecock Inlet" by the Long Island Express:

http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/38h ... mpact.html