NW Caribbean and Upcoming Week

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KatDaddy
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NW Caribbean and Upcoming Week

#1 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Sep 01, 2003 7:49 am

Area of disturbed weather to move into W GOM with possible development. Accu-weather has indicated this will be the place to watch.
In addition a trough will develop across the E US pushing a front into the N GOM. Even if no development occurs another round of heavy tropical rains could occur from TX eastward
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ameriwx2003
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#2 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:17 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... /fpc.shtml
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Rainband

Re: NW Caribbean and Upcoming Week

#3 Postby Rainband » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:30 am

KatDaddy wrote:Area of disturbed weather to move into W GOM with possible development. Accu-weather has indicated this will be the place to watch.
In addition a trough will develop across the E US pushing a front into the N GOM. Even if no development occurs another round of heavy tropical rains could occur from TX eastward
Looks like Eastern GOM from that model americawx posted!! :o
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Dean4Storms
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Interesting weekend ahead.....

#4 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:43 am

Yes, ETA and GFS both show a low developing from our enhanced TW in the western Carib. and moving northward into the S. Central GOM by Thur. A more northward motion toward the upper Gulf Coast is most liklely at this time as the trough influences a SW to NE flow. Shear from the SW along this trough maybe the fly in the ointment for strong development.

An area to watch for sure!
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wx247
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#5 Postby wx247 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 12:36 pm

Yes, it does look like the Carib. disturbance is getting better organized. The tropics sure have picked up while I was gone. :o
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#6 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Sep 01, 2003 12:53 pm

HEY Dean4Storms!!! Glad you finally made your way here!!
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DJJordan
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#7 Postby DJJordan » Mon Sep 01, 2003 1:42 pm

This looks to be affecting mainly from New Orleans east with this next one. Lord knows we don't need anymore rain quite yet here in Texas.
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#8 Postby wrkh99 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 1:54 pm

Most of Texas still needs rain
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#9 Postby weatherlover427 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 2:04 pm

While Grace helped in TX, the long term effects are not over by a long shot. Yes the short term may be gone, but the long term is what you need to be concerned about. 6-8" doesn't cut it. 24" or more is needed for that area, at least.
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DJJordan
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#10 Postby DJJordan » Mon Sep 01, 2003 4:02 pm

Not all at once....That doesn't help the drought situation either. 6-12 inches or so with a break....then another 10" in 2 weeks...followed by a persistant light to moderate rain will help the drought situation.
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