![Image](http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc12/SHEM/97S.INVEST/ir/geo/1km/20120121.2000.meteo7.x.ir1km.97SINVEST.15kts-NAmb-120S-1180E.100pc.jpg)
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00pm WST on Saturday the 21st of January 2012
Valid until midnight WST Tuesday
Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
There are no significant lows in the Western Region. The monsoon trough is
expected to become active and one or two significant lows are likely to develop
within the trough by Monday. The risk of a tropical cyclone in the region
increases during next week. At this time it is not possible to say whether
coastal communities will be directly affected.
By late next week the monsoon trough may be producing gale force northwesterly
winds over areas to the south of the Indonesian archipelago including Christmas
Island.
Likelihood of a tropical cyclone forming in the Western Region:
Sunday :Very Low
Monday :Low
Tuesday :Moderate
NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.
Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/