Look where recon will go to investigate 95L in GOM

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cycloneye
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Look where recon will go to investigate 95L in GOM

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 01, 2003 5:50 pm

http://files.hurricanealley.net/storms/95LRCN.html

This system now in the NW caribbean will be invest 95L tommorow as the grafic shows so they are ahead of the NRL navy site about putting invests up.There you can see where recon tommorow will investigate if nessessary.
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GoM 95L

#2 Postby Frank P » Mon Sep 01, 2003 6:15 pm

Interesting development Cy'eye. Initial thoughts by NHC must be that is that this might be a central or northeast GoM event.... look decent on the latest vis loops, key being persistence... which it has since last night... earlier today it spit out another eddy just like Grace did, an tried to generate some convection with it, but it fizzled out after a short run... my guess is that its trying to generate the LLC near or around the general area of 19.2n and 85W....
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 01, 2003 6:19 pm

Agree Frank that the area you mentioned will be the one to watch tonight and tommorow to see if something comes out of there spinning and that area is close to where they plan to fly in if nessessary.
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#4 Postby zoeyann » Mon Sep 01, 2003 6:29 pm

What surprises me is they seem relatively certain that it will be a cyclone
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#5 Postby bfez1 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 6:34 pm

Locals here are saying a cold front should keep it away from us and push it eastward.
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#6 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Sep 01, 2003 6:37 pm

I thought that coldfront was going to stall?
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#7 Postby bkhusky2 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 6:37 pm

I wouldn't mind if it got pushed eastward a little, we need the rain here in Central AL. A few places have had enough, but very few.

Looks now that the convection is weakening, but that probably will not last long.
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#8 Postby Guest » Mon Sep 01, 2003 6:51 pm

Yes i thought the front had stalled or washed out to the north ..... what will affect it now?
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#9 Postby obxhurricane » Mon Sep 01, 2003 8:45 pm

Well, if this thing actually develops, then watch out from the Big Bend of Florida all the way to New England. Potential coastal raker for sure.

Let's see it develop first...
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#10 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 8:48 pm

The cold front has been a stationary front for over 24 hours. For some reason the eastern side of it moved from southeastern North Carolina to Pennsylvania in the last several hours.

Cold fronts stall when they are either developing or weakening; in this case, the front is expected to fall apart as it crossed the United States over the last several days.

It remains to be seen as we monitor the situation with the possible tropical development in the northwestern Caribbean and this frontal boundary.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Mon Sep 01, 2003 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#11 Postby wrkh99 » Mon Sep 01, 2003 8:54 pm

cold front this time of year LOL
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#12 Postby DelStormLover » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:02 pm

obxhurricane wrote:Well, if this thing actually develops, then watch out from the Big Bend of Florida all the way to New England. Potential coastal raker for sure.

Let's see it develop first...

coughcoughbobcoughcough
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#13 Postby obxhurricane » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:09 pm

coughcoughbobcoughcough


Perhaps I should dig into some historical records to see if I can't find some similar storms during the past century. That should convince you...

Hell...Donna was a coastal raker...maybe I can use that one...
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#14 Postby DelStormLover » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:15 pm

obxhurricane wrote:
coughcoughbobcoughcough


Perhaps I should dig into some historical records to see if I can't find some similar storms during the past century. That should convince you...

Hell...Donna was a coastal raker...maybe I can use that one...

Donna was a CV storm...........thus, not an analog.
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#15 Postby DelStormLover » Mon Sep 01, 2003 9:43 pm

obx, Heres a sracy analog for you..............Hazel............ :o
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#16 Postby bfez1 » Tue Sep 02, 2003 8:57 am

wrkh99 wrote:cold front this time of year LOL



Yes, a cold front this time of the year!
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