Texas Winter 2011-2012...

Winter Weather Discussion

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Ntxw
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#2861 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:06 pm

Killeen, Tx (southern portion of FW area forecast) is reporting light snow. It's on the doorstep of Waco but since Wacowx isn't there anymore hard to know what falls.
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2862 Postby iorange55 » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:13 pm

Dallas/Fort Worth NWS Update

DETERMINING PRECIPITATION TYPES CONTINUE TO BE VERY DIFFICULT
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE WRF/SREF/AND NAM
MODELS FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. WE HAVE EXPANDED THE WINTER WX
ADVISORY TO INCLUDE AREAS DOWN TO A
RANGER...WEATHERFORD...DENTON... MCKINNEY...PARIS LINE FOR NOW
WHERE OUR HIGHEST CONFIDENCE EXISTS FOR 1-2 INCHES OF SLEET OR
SNOW ACCUMULATION. GROUND TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING
AND WE THINK THE MAIN IMPACTS SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY AREA WILL BE
GRASSY AREAS AND ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.
THE EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM AND ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
EVALUATED THIS EVENING WITH POSSIBLE MODIFICATIONS TO THE CURRENT
ADVISORY. WE WILL ISSUE A SPECIAL WX STATEMENT TO INCLUDE AREAS
FROM COMANCHE AND STEPHENVILLE...TO DFW...TO SULPHUR SPRINGS FOR
MORE MINOR ACCUMULATIONS AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW PROBLEMS TOWARD
MORNING. AGAIN...THE SCENARIO AND ADVISORY AREA WILL BE RE-
EVALUATED TONIGHT.
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2863 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:21 pm

Gatesville, just west of Waco is reporting light snow. Hamilton, far SW region of DFW is as well.

This is about an hourish away from Cleburne heading that way.
Last edited by Ntxw on Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2864 Postby Ellsey » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:23 pm

Well we are under a winter weather advisory now. Woot!
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2865 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:32 pm

Meridian near Lake Whitney west of Hillsboro is reporting light snow. Looks like most of the stuff west of I-35 is pretty much snow. Heading north/northeast
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2866 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:41 pm

Ntxw wrote:Meridian near Lake Whitney west of Hillsboro is reporting light snow. Looks like most of the stuff west of I-35 is pretty much snow. Heading north/northeast


Hamilton reporting Light Snow - 34
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#2867 Postby ndale » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:59 pm

Austin wfo has put snow/sleet back in forecast for here in north Austin:

This Afternoon: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 41. East wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Tonight: Snow and sleet before 10pm, then rain. Low around 38. Southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2868 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Feb 12, 2012 5:01 pm

Abilene down to 29 with snow .5 mile visibility.
Last edited by SouthernMet on Sun Feb 12, 2012 5:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2869 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 12, 2012 5:03 pm

^ Yep, moderate snow from there to about Brownwood, western counties heads up!
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2870 Postby Snowman67 » Sun Feb 12, 2012 5:22 pm

Heavy snow being reported in Childress
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#2871 Postby ndale » Sun Feb 12, 2012 5:23 pm

Unless I am seeing the radar wrong, it looks like the rain over the hill country is turning back to mix of precipitation.
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2872 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Feb 12, 2012 5:34 pm

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
427 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-130030-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
427 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

.NOW...
A BAND OF MIXED PRECIPITATION IS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOME
RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW IS OCCURRING WITH THIS ACTIVITY. AT 430 PM
THE BAND WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM MEXIA TO WACO TO COMANCHE.
IT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE METROPLEX AFTER 6 PM. LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND SNOW ARE POSSIBLE ON GRASS AND ELEVATED
SURFACES...BUT TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF THE AREA REMAIN ABOVE
FREEZING...AND THUS ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE BRIEF.


AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES...MORE SUBSTANTIAL WINTRY PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE
TO WEATHERFORD TO DENTON. THESE AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE SOME SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING IN THIS AREA.
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Re:

#2873 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 12, 2012 5:38 pm

ndale wrote:Unless I am seeing the radar wrong, it looks like the rain over the hill country is turning back to mix of precipitation.


850s 0c is retreating to Pecos, DFW, Shreveport line and north. Junction is reporting freezing rain which means anything that falls is either that or rain in hill country if temp profiles are correct. Beyond that just rain.
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2874 Postby Snowman67 » Sun Feb 12, 2012 6:04 pm

A couple of people in Magnolia (NW of Houston) called me to report sleet? if that's accurate, sure wasn't expecting that around here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2875 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Feb 12, 2012 6:09 pm

Snowman67 wrote:A couple of people in Magnolia (NW of Houston) called me to report sleet? if that's accurate, sure wasn't expecting that around here.

Just had sleet and graupel mix at my location in NW Harris County.
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#2876 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Feb 12, 2012 6:10 pm

Ok. We need updates!! :D Finally some decent cloud cover here in G.P. Radar sure looks nice. Looks to be an hour or less before it comes. Ntxw, are you still sticking with your call on this one?
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Re:

#2877 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 12, 2012 6:13 pm

gpsnowman wrote:Ok. We need updates!! :D Finally some decent cloud cover here in G.P. Radar sure looks nice. Looks to be an hour or less before it comes. Ntxw, are you still sticking with your call on this one?


Too late to back out now, either win or bust :lol:. I don't see any reason to change. The stuff mentioned in SE Texas sure was a surprise, was not expecting it at all. The value of having live updates from posters or no would would ever know!
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2878 Postby iorange55 » Sun Feb 12, 2012 6:20 pm

Ntxw wrote:Too late to back out now, either win or bust :lol:. I don't see any reason to change. The stuff mentioned in SE Texas sure was a surprise, was not expecting it at all. The value of having live updates from posters or no would would ever know!


That's right. Stick to your guns!
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2879 Postby Snow Deprived365 » Sun Feb 12, 2012 6:21 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Snowman67 wrote:A couple of people in Magnolia (NW of Houston) called me to report sleet? if that's accurate, sure wasn't expecting that around here.

Just had sleet and graupel mix at my location in NW Harris County.


We had some light sleet here around 4:15. 1960 & Eldridge area.
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Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...

#2880 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Feb 12, 2012 6:21 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
515 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-130200-
HOUSTON-TRINITY-MADISON-WALKER-SAN JACINTO-POLK-BURLESON-BRAZOS-
WASHINGTON-GRIMES-MONTGOMERY-LIBERTY-COLORADO-AUSTIN-WALLER-
HARRIS-CHAMBERS-WHARTON-FORT BEND-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-
GALVESTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROCKETT...TRINITY...GROVETON...
MADISONVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...SHEPHERD...COLDSPRING...LIVINGSTON...
CORRIGAN...ONALASKA...CALDWELL...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...BRENHAM...NAVASOTA...THE WOODLANDS...
CONROE...WILLIS...LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...COLUMBUS...
EAGLE LAKE...WEIMAR...SEALY...BELLVILLE...HEMPSTEAD...
PRAIRIE VIEW...BROOKSHIRE...HOUSTON...PASADENA...KATY...TOMBALL...
HUMBLE...WINNIE...MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...EL CAMPO...WHARTON...
PIERCE...SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...
EDNA...BAY CITY...PALACIOS...PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...
ANGLETON...FREEPORT...LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...
GALVESTON
515 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

...LIGHT RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...

AN AREA OF VERY LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS
EVENING. VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR AND LOW WET BULB FREEZING HEIGHTS
WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW ICE PELLETS OR SLEET TO MIX WITH THE RAIN
THIS EVENING. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO WARM OVERNIGHT AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR SLEET WILL DIMINISH. NO SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED. VERY LIGHT SLEET WAS REPORTED IN SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY
COUNTY NEAR RAFER RD AND I-45 AT 505 PM.
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