Big Tornado Outbreak March 2-3

[CrazyC83]

SPC AC 021630

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 AM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

VALID 021630Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NRN TN ACROSS MUCH OF
KY...SRN INDIANA AND SWRN OH...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM CNTRL MS AND AL...NRN GA
NWD INTO IL...IND...OH...WV...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY
EWD TO THE APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE CAROLINAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WITH VORTICITY CENTER CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS
NRN MO WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ENEWD ACROSS THE MS...TN AND OH
VALLEY REGIONS TODAY. STRONG WIND SHEAR WITH THIS TROUGH WILL
OVERSPREAD A LARGE AND EXPANDING WARM SECTOR FOR A WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER OUTBREAK TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.

SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE FROM S CNTRL IL NEWD ACROSS INDIANA AND
EVENTUALLY INTO LOWER MI TODAY. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL
SWWD ALONG THE MS RIVER DURING THE AFTERNOON...WHILE A WARM FRONT
LIFTS NWD ACROSS THE OH RIVER. SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE AND WARM AIR
WILL EXIST E OF THE COLD FRONT AND WILL RAPIDLY REPLACE COOL SURFACE
AIR NOW OVER PORTIONS OF IND...KY AND OH.

*** OUTBREAK OF STRONG TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY TODAY
OVER A LARGE AREA ***

...SRN IL...IND...OH...KY...NRN TN...
STORMS ARE CURRENTLY INTENSIFYING OVER IL AND SERN MO NEAR THE LOW
AND ALONG THE DEVELOPING COLD FRONT. MEANWHILE...THE WARM FRONT HAS
RAPIDLY LIFTED NWD OVER THIS AREA...REPLACING COOL AIR WITH WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIR. FURTHER WARMING WILL OCCUR EWD INTO OH LATER TODAY.
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY FAVORABLE SETUP FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS AND
DAMAGING WINDS...NEAR THE LOW TRACK...AHEAD OF THE UPPER VORTICITY
CENTER AND NEAR THE RETREATING WARM FRONT. LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL
REMAIN STRONG...AS WILL FORCING. STORMS CURRENTLY OVER SERN MO/IL
SHOULD THRIVE AS THEY MOVE ACROSS A WIDE AND DESTABILIZING WARM
SECTOR. THIS SHOULD FAVOR LONG LIVED AND FAST MOVING TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF EXTENSIVE DAMAGE. THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
WANE LATE THIS EVENING NEAR THE ERN FRINGE OF THE MDT RISK AREA AS
LOW LEVELS COOL.

...ERN TN...MS/AL/GA...
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING OVER NRN AL MOVING INTO
ERN TN AND PERHAPS CLIPPING FAR NWRN GA. THESE CELLS FORMED IN AN
AREA OF WARM ADVECTION...AND THE ENTIRE WARM SECTOR IS ALREADY
UNCAPPED. THE MOST CONCENTRATED AREAS OF STORMS SHOULD BE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...ALONG AND EVEN AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FROM LA INTO MS
AND AGAIN AL AND TN. DEEP LIFT WILL EASILY SUSTAIN STORMS IN A VERY
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...AND LONG HODOGRAPHS WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES.

..JEWELL/ROGERS.. 03/02/2012

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1638Z (11:38AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[brunota2003]

From my mom:

Schools and daycare facilities are closing early by the dozens around here today....Chloe gets out at 2

[Bunkertor]

Chaser Wes LYons is at the scene in Al

[WeatherGuesser]

And it would be during school hours too unless its Spring break or something.

Schools are in session.

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (AP) - Thousands of Alabama schoolchildren are getting out of class early because the threat of tornadoes and other severe weather across the northern half of the state.

More than 20 school systems say they are dismissing classes early Friday because of the possibility of severe storms. Otherwise, the bad weather could hit around the time schools normally dismiss for the day, based on predictions from the National Weather Service.

School systems dismissing students early include those in Jefferson County, Tuscaloosa and Walker County, which were all hard by deadly twisters last April.

http://www.wrcbtv.com/story/17064752/nw ... ere-storms

[EF-5bigj]

Well the wind profile down here is pretty much keeping anything from forming im in the SLGT area.

[badger70]

Some good news while browsing TV stations' sites -- many school closures and early dismissals today due to the severe wx.

I cannot forget from a few years ago when severe wx was to move through the Memphis area just as the school day was ending. What a nightmare!

[Cyclenall]

Its now breaking news on CNN:

Link: http://www.cnn.com/2012/03/02/us/severe ... ?hpt=hp_t1

The new info is connected to the old information about the events of Wednesday.

[brunota2003]

From WAAY-TV (their fb page), based in Huntsville, AL:



Driver is okay, though.

More photos:

http://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set= ... 957&type=1

[CrazyC83]

Meanwhile, only about 100 miles outside the PDS Tornado Watch...

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0209
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1106 AM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MO...ERN IA...NRN IL...SRN WI

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 021706Z - 022100Z

MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES NEAR 1 INCH AN HOUR WILL DEVELOP
LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS ERN IA...PROGRESSING NEWD INTO NRN IL AND
SRN WI THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

A BAND OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL IS BEGINNING TO BECOME MORE WELL DEFINED
ACROSS ERN IA...INTERSECTING A BROAD MOIST SECTOR TO THE EAST AND
COLDER POST-FRONTAL AIR ADVECTING SEWD FROM THE NORTHWEST. MODERATE
SNOW HAS OCCASIONALLY BEEN REPORTED FROM KANSAS CITY NEWD TO OTTUMWA
IA. DRY LOW LEVELS NOTED ON 12Z AREA SOUNDINGS IS LIKELY HINDERING
HEAVIER RATES ATTM...THOUGH GRADUAL MOISTENING WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT AN AMALGAMATION OF SNOWFLAKES. AS SUCH...RATES MAY BRIEFLY
INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS BAND
WILL PIVOT EWD...LEADING TO A RATHER TRANSITORY THREAT OF HEAVY
SNOWFALL RATES FOR PORTIONS OF NERN MO AND ERN IA. HOWEVER...LATER
TODAY...THE COMBINATION OF VERY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL JET DYNAMICS
AND FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WILL LIKELY LEAD TO THE
DEVELOPMENT/REDEVELOPMENT OF A MORE PRIMARY BAND OF HEAVY
SNOW...FROM ERN IA...NRN IL AND INTO SRN WI.

..HURLBUT.. 03/02/2012


ATTN...WFO...GRB...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...ARX...DMX...
EAX...

LAT...LON 43589060 43958932 43868855 43708831 43008784 42208810
41588963 40549073 39629200 39899261 41069254 42839125
43589060

[Bocadude85]

Tornado Warning
TORNADO WARNING
MOC223-021730-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0031.120302T1706Z-120302T1730Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1106 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CST.

* AT 1103 AM CST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ELLSINORE...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF PIEDMONT. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED
THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

IN ADDITION...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
GREENVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3707 9077 3726 9031 3706 9032 3696 9068
3703 9074 3705 9073 3705 9075
TIME...MOT...LOC 1706Z 243DEG 48KT 3703 9066

[WeatherGuesser]

The HIGH risk has been expanded in the 1630Z update.

Now includes Cincinnatti

[Dave]

[Bunkertor]

Current

[Bocadude85]

Tornado on the ground in Missouri

TORNADO WARNING
MOC017-223-021800-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0032.120302T1726Z-120302T1800Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1126 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BOLLINGER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
EAST CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL NOON CST.

* AT 1120 AM CST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR GREENVILLE.
DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS ROTATION SOUTHEAST OF GREENVILLE MOVING
EAST AT 60 MPH.

IN ADDITION...GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
MARBLE HILL...GRASSY...LEOPOLD AND ZALMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 8988 3708 8998 3699 9041 3717 9042
TIME...MOT...LOC 1724Z 253DEG 50KT 3710 9032

$$

[cycloneye]

TORNADO WARNING
TNC105-121-143-145-021800-
/O.NEW.KMRX.TO.W.0020.120302T1730Z-120302T1800Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1230 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LOUDON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN MEIGS COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
RHEA COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
ROANE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 100 PM EST

* AT 1225 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR SPRING
CITY...OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROCKWOOD. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS
TORNADO MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
ROCKWOOD...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...FAIRVIEW...PAINT ROCK AND
BRADBURY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY
TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING. IF NO SAFE
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EST FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3580 8485 3583 8481 3583 8477 3587 8473
3595 8444 3585 8423 3577 8428 3567 8458
3566 8474
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 249DEG 47KT 3574 8471

$$

[WeatherGuesser]

MO TOR Warning now expanded.

New TOR for IL

[cycloneye]

TORNADO WARNING
ILC055-065-165-199-021815-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0035.120302T1744Z-120302T1815Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1144 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
SOUTHWESTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHWESTERN SALINE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
NORTHERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 1215 PM CST.

* AT 1139 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CAMBRIA...OR NEAR CARTERVILLE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
JOHNSTON CITY...WEST FRANKFORT...THOMPSONVILLE...FREEMAN SPUR...
WHITEASH...ORIENT...HANAFORD AND MACEDONIA.

THIS POSSIBLE TORNADO IS HEADED TOWARD HERRIN...AND WILL REACH THE
CITY AROUND 1155 AM.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 57 BETWEEN EXITS 59 AND 65.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3809 8863 3780 8864 3777 8914 3785 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 246DEG 51KT 3783 8904

$$

[WeatherGuesser]

I'm getting sustained winds in the 30s with gusts near 50

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0210
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1146 AM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL...MIDDLE/ERN TN...FAR NWRN GA...FAR SWRN VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 56...

VALID 021746Z - 021815Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 56 CONTINUES.

RADAR IMAGERY FROM 1740Z SHOWS ONGOING SUPERCELLS PRIMARILY
CONCENTRATED ACROSS MIDDLE TN ATTM...WITH TORNADOES REPORTED IN THE
PAST HR. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TRACKING ENEWD AT AROUND 40
KTS...INTO A PROGRESSIVELY LESS UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.
HOWEVER...LATEST SFC OBS INDICATE THE AIR MASS IS RECOVERING QUICKLY
WITH TEMPERATURES HEATING AOA 60 DEG F...DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF
WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER. AS THE ENVIRONMENT DESTABILIZES FURTHER...A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DMGG WINDS SHOULD
EXIST DOWNSTREAM FROM THE ONGOING TSTMS.

FARTHER S...TSTMS HAVE MOVED NEWD OUT OF NRN AL...WITH SCT CLOUDS
ALLOWING FOR RAPID AIR MASS RECOVERY...WHILE THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
STRONGLY SHEARED. A NE-SW ORIENTED COULD BAND /NOTED ON
VISIBLE/...PRESUMABLY CO-LOCATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE
ZONE...COULD PROVIDE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS CINH IS WEAK TO NIL. BOTH 14Z WRF-HRRR AND 12Z
WRF-NMM SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO...REDEVELOPING TSTMS AFTER 21Z.

..ROGERS.. 03/02/2012


ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON 34378447 34208493 34078627 34188730 35098680 36748486
36808385 36908259 36628237 36038247 35578328 34378447

[Cyclenall]

9 tornado warnings up now at once!!! I consider 6 at once outbreak mode . CNN calling it "Major Tornado Outbreak Underway".