Big Tornado Outbreak March 2-3
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
WWUS53 KPAH 021944
SVSPAH
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
144 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
ILC127-KYC083-139-145-157-022015-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-120302T2015Z/
MASSAC IL-LIVINGSTON KY-MCCRACKEN KY-MARSHALL KY-GRAVES KY-
144 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MASSAC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...AND NORTHEASTERN GRAVES...NORTHERN MARSHALL...SOUTHEASTERN
MCCRACKEN AND SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTIES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY
UNTIL 215 PM CST...
AT 143 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR EXIT 11 ON I-24. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR
REIDLAND...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3691 8879 3708 8880 3709 8849 3707 8848
3709 8844 3709 8831 3683 8815
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 262DEG 51KT 3704 8855
$$
SVSPAH
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
144 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
ILC127-KYC083-139-145-157-022015-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-120302T2015Z/
MASSAC IL-LIVINGSTON KY-MCCRACKEN KY-MARSHALL KY-GRAVES KY-
144 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MASSAC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...AND NORTHEASTERN GRAVES...NORTHERN MARSHALL...SOUTHEASTERN
MCCRACKEN AND SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTIES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY
UNTIL 215 PM CST...
AT 143 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR EXIT 11 ON I-24. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR
REIDLAND...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3691 8879 3708 8880 3709 8849 3707 8848
3709 8844 3709 8831 3683 8815
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 262DEG 51KT 3704 8855
$$
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 60
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
EASTERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL 900
PM CST.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MONROE LOUISIANA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT POLK LOUISIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...WW
59...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG COLD FRONT PROGRESSING EWD/SEWD
ACROSS THE REGION. PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS HAS WARMED INTO THE
80S...AND WHEN COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S...IS RESULTING IN
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF 50-60 KT
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OBSERVED ACROSS FRONTAL ZONE...THE SETUP WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES. WHILE A TORNADO IS
POSSIBLE...THE VEERED NATURE OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD IS
RESULTING IN ONLY MODEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...MEAD
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 60
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
EASTERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL 900
PM CST.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MONROE LOUISIANA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT POLK LOUISIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...WW
59...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG COLD FRONT PROGRESSING EWD/SEWD
ACROSS THE REGION. PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS HAS WARMED INTO THE
80S...AND WHEN COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S...IS RESULTING IN
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF 50-60 KT
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OBSERVED ACROSS FRONTAL ZONE...THE SETUP WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES. WHILE A TORNADO IS
POSSIBLE...THE VEERED NATURE OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD IS
RESULTING IN ONLY MODEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...MEAD
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143877
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
155 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LINCOLN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 245 PM CST
* AT 151 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CARTWRIGHT...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF ATHENS...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOLLAND GIN...ARDMORE...
CASH POINT...
BLANCHE...TAFT...
COLDWATER...
CARMARGO...BELLEVIEW...
SKINEM...HARMS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR INTERIOR ROOM.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
155 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LINCOLN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 245 PM CST
* AT 151 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CARTWRIGHT...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF ATHENS...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOLLAND GIN...ARDMORE...
CASH POINT...
BLANCHE...TAFT...
COLDWATER...
CARMARGO...BELLEVIEW...
SKINEM...HARMS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR INTERIOR ROOM.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
2000Z: little change
AC 021956
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
VALID 022000Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
INDIANA...SOUTHWEST OHIO...A LARGE PORTION OF KENTUCKY...AND
NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
INDIANA...SOUTHERN OHIO...WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN
VIRGINIA...FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...KENTUCKY...MOST OF
TENNESSEE...NORTHERN GEORGIA...THE NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA...PARTS
OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND A SMALL PORTION OF
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID AND
LOWER MS VALLEY AND OH/TN VALLEYS EASTWARD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS
INTO THE CAROLINAS/WRN VA AND VICINITY...
...OH/LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...
MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS UNDERWAY...WITH SEVERE/SUPERCELL
STORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE RISK AREA. THE ONGOING
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY -- INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER-END
EVENTS CAPABLE OF SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
MAIN CHANGES THIS FORECAST ARE CONFINED TO ADJUSTMENTS ON THE NWRN
PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK...WHERE EWD ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
HAS BROUGHT THE THREAT TO AN END ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF IL AND MO.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AND WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
..GOSS.. 03/02/2012
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 2003Z (3:03PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
AC 021956
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
VALID 022000Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
INDIANA...SOUTHWEST OHIO...A LARGE PORTION OF KENTUCKY...AND
NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
INDIANA...SOUTHERN OHIO...WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN
VIRGINIA...FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...KENTUCKY...MOST OF
TENNESSEE...NORTHERN GEORGIA...THE NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA...PARTS
OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND A SMALL PORTION OF
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID AND
LOWER MS VALLEY AND OH/TN VALLEYS EASTWARD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS
INTO THE CAROLINAS/WRN VA AND VICINITY...
...OH/LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...
MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS UNDERWAY...WITH SEVERE/SUPERCELL
STORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE RISK AREA. THE ONGOING
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY -- INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER-END
EVENTS CAPABLE OF SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
MAIN CHANGES THIS FORECAST ARE CONFINED TO ADJUSTMENTS ON THE NWRN
PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK...WHERE EWD ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
HAS BROUGHT THE THREAT TO AN END ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF IL AND MO.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AND WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
..GOSS.. 03/02/2012
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 2003Z (3:03PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
Just north of Louisville.
WWUS53 KLMK 022003
SVSLMK
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
303 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
INC019-025-043-061-117-175-022030-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-120302T2030Z/
WASHINGTON IN-ORANGE IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-CRAWFORD IN-
303 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...WESTERN CLARK...NORTHWESTERN FLOYD...
NORTHWESTERN HARRISON...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...
AT 300 PM EST...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR NEW PEKIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.
IF YOU ARE IN NEW PEKIN TAKE COVER NOW! PERSONS IN NEW LIBERTY
INDIANA SHOULD SEEK SHELTER NOW!
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
SALEM...
BUNKER HILL AND NEW SALEM...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3852 8588 3841 8588 3829 8633 3855 8633
3876 8589
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 246DEG 53KT 3850 8599
$$
MJ
WWUS53 KLMK 022003
SVSLMK
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
303 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
INC019-025-043-061-117-175-022030-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-120302T2030Z/
WASHINGTON IN-ORANGE IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-CRAWFORD IN-
303 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...WESTERN CLARK...NORTHWESTERN FLOYD...
NORTHWESTERN HARRISON...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...
AT 300 PM EST...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR NEW PEKIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.
IF YOU ARE IN NEW PEKIN TAKE COVER NOW! PERSONS IN NEW LIBERTY
INDIANA SHOULD SEEK SHELTER NOW!
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
SALEM...
BUNKER HILL AND NEW SALEM...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3852 8588 3841 8588 3829 8633 3855 8633
3876 8589
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 246DEG 53KT 3850 8599
$$
MJ
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Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
CNN reporting injuries in Chattanooga due to a possible tornado
Last edited by caneseddy on Fri Mar 02, 2012 3:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0214
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR WRN NC AND NWRN SC...NRN GA...ERN TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 021958Z - 022100Z
THE POTENTIAL FOR DMGG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN
APPALACHIANS. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
WW.
SFC ANALYSIS FROM 19Z SHOWS A NEARLY STATIONARY BAROCLINIC ZONE
ORIENTED E-W ACROSS FAR NWRN SC...ARCING BACK TOWARDS THE NE ALONG
NEAR THE WRN SLOPES OF THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS. A LONE WEAKENING
SUPERCELL WAS NOTED ON 1950Z RADAR IMAGERY MOVING EWD ACROSS SWAIN
COUNTY NC. THIS STORM IS CURRENTLY NEAR THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND WILL
EVENTUALLY ENCOUNTER A PROGRESSIVELY COOLER/MORE STABLE AIR MASS.
FARTHER S/W...BREAKS IN CLOUDINESS HAVE ALLOWED AMPLE SFC HEATING TO
OCCUR OVER PARTS OF NRN GA AND ERN TN...WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
BECOMING MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED. WEAK ECHOES HAVE
BEEN NOTED ON RADAR RECENTLY AS WAA HAS INCREASED WITHIN A BROAD
LLJ. BACKGROUND FLOW FIELDS REMAIN QUITE STRONG AND FAVORABLE FOR
ROTATING STORMS...WITH FFC VWP DATA SHOWING A STRONG CYCLONICALLY
CURVED HODOGRAPH. PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY REMAINS CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
GIVEN ABSENCE OF STRONG LARGE-SCALE FORCING...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
..ROGERS.. 03/02/2012
ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...
LAT...LON 35938244 35128280 34528329 34128403 34168495 34388535
34778533 36438457 36638327 36518219 35938244
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR WRN NC AND NWRN SC...NRN GA...ERN TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 021958Z - 022100Z
THE POTENTIAL FOR DMGG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN
APPALACHIANS. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
WW.
SFC ANALYSIS FROM 19Z SHOWS A NEARLY STATIONARY BAROCLINIC ZONE
ORIENTED E-W ACROSS FAR NWRN SC...ARCING BACK TOWARDS THE NE ALONG
NEAR THE WRN SLOPES OF THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS. A LONE WEAKENING
SUPERCELL WAS NOTED ON 1950Z RADAR IMAGERY MOVING EWD ACROSS SWAIN
COUNTY NC. THIS STORM IS CURRENTLY NEAR THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND WILL
EVENTUALLY ENCOUNTER A PROGRESSIVELY COOLER/MORE STABLE AIR MASS.
FARTHER S/W...BREAKS IN CLOUDINESS HAVE ALLOWED AMPLE SFC HEATING TO
OCCUR OVER PARTS OF NRN GA AND ERN TN...WITH THE ENVIRONMENT
BECOMING MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED. WEAK ECHOES HAVE
BEEN NOTED ON RADAR RECENTLY AS WAA HAS INCREASED WITHIN A BROAD
LLJ. BACKGROUND FLOW FIELDS REMAIN QUITE STRONG AND FAVORABLE FOR
ROTATING STORMS...WITH FFC VWP DATA SHOWING A STRONG CYCLONICALLY
CURVED HODOGRAPH. PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY REMAINS CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
GIVEN ABSENCE OF STRONG LARGE-SCALE FORCING...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
..ROGERS.. 03/02/2012
ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...
LAT...LON 35938244 35128280 34528329 34128403 34168495 34388535
34778533 36438457 36638327 36518219 35938244
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Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
EricFisherTWC:
Possible debris ball on the radar right over New Pekin, IN. Strong #tornado likely in progress. Moving NE at nearly 70mph! #inwx [via Twitter]
TWCBreaking:
Debris ball signature on New Pekin, IN supercell w/ #tornado. Clark, Scott Co...prepare to take shelter! http://wxch.nl/A7kMjz [via Twitter]
Possible debris ball on the radar right over New Pekin, IN. Strong #tornado likely in progress. Moving NE at nearly 70mph! #inwx [via Twitter]
TWCBreaking:
Debris ball signature on New Pekin, IN supercell w/ #tornado. Clark, Scott Co...prepare to take shelter! http://wxch.nl/A7kMjz [via Twitter]
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143877
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
TWC Breaking @TWCBreaking
Scanner traffic: #Tornado reported in srn Washington Co., IN. Folks in New Pekin, IN move to shelter now!
Scanner traffic: #Tornado reported in srn Washington Co., IN. Folks in New Pekin, IN move to shelter now!
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
EricFisherTWC:
Live video of the storm! RT: @severestudios LARGE TORNADO APPROACHING LIVE Henryville, IN: http://bit.ly/xffxYz #tornado #INwx [via Twitter][/b]
Live video of the storm! RT: @severestudios LARGE TORNADO APPROACHING LIVE Henryville, IN: http://bit.ly/xffxYz #tornado #INwx [via Twitter][/b]
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
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Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
BREAKING NEWS - TORNADO EMERGENCY north of Louisville
WWUS53 KLMK 022010
SVSLMK
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
310 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
INC019-025-043-061-117-175-022030-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-120302T2030Z/
WASHINGTON IN-ORANGE IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-CRAWFORD IN-
310 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTY INDIANA...
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...WESTERN CLARK...NORTHWESTERN FLOYD...
NORTHWESTERN HARRISON...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...
AT 305 PM EST...THE NWS IN LOUISVILLE HAS RECEIVED MULTIPLE REPORTS
OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 TO 65 MPH.
PERSONS IN NEW LIBERTY...HENRYVILLE AND MARYSVILLE INDIANA SHOULD
SEEK SHELTER NOW!
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...NORTHWESTERN FLOYD...
NORTHWESTERN HARRISON...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE...WASHINGTON AND
WESTERN CLARK COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3852 8588 3841 8588 3829 8633 3855 8633
3876 8589
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 246DEG 53KT 3854 8583
$$
MJ
WWUS53 KLMK 022010
SVSLMK
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
310 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
INC019-025-043-061-117-175-022030-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-120302T2030Z/
WASHINGTON IN-ORANGE IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-CRAWFORD IN-
310 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTY INDIANA...
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...WESTERN CLARK...NORTHWESTERN FLOYD...
NORTHWESTERN HARRISON...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...
AT 305 PM EST...THE NWS IN LOUISVILLE HAS RECEIVED MULTIPLE REPORTS
OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 TO 65 MPH.
PERSONS IN NEW LIBERTY...HENRYVILLE AND MARYSVILLE INDIANA SHOULD
SEEK SHELTER NOW!
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...NORTHWESTERN FLOYD...
NORTHWESTERN HARRISON...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE...WASHINGTON AND
WESTERN CLARK COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3852 8588 3841 8588 3829 8633 3855 8633
3876 8589
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 246DEG 53KT 3854 8583
$$
MJ
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143877
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
CrazyC83 wrote:2000Z: little change
AC 021956
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
VALID 022000Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
INDIANA...SOUTHWEST OHIO...A LARGE PORTION OF KENTUCKY...AND
NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
INDIANA...SOUTHERN OHIO...WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN
VIRGINIA...FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...KENTUCKY...MOST OF
TENNESSEE...NORTHERN GEORGIA...THE NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA...PARTS
OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND A SMALL PORTION OF
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID AND
LOWER MS VALLEY AND OH/TN VALLEYS EASTWARD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS
INTO THE CAROLINAS/WRN VA AND VICINITY...
...OH/LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...
MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS UNDERWAY...WITH SEVERE/SUPERCELL
STORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE RISK AREA. THE ONGOING
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY -- INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER-END
EVENTS CAPABLE OF SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
MAIN CHANGES THIS FORECAST ARE CONFINED TO ADJUSTMENTS ON THE NWRN
PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK...WHERE EWD ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
HAS BROUGHT THE THREAT TO AN END ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF IL AND MO.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AND WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
..GOSS.. 03/02/2012
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 2003Z (3:03PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
JimCantore:
Henryville, IN in DANGER right now. Debris noted with storm around New Pekin, IN #tornado Watch out New Liberty!! [via Twitter]
Henryville, IN in DANGER right now. Debris noted with storm around New Pekin, IN #tornado Watch out New Liberty!! [via Twitter]
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Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
JimCantore:
Fredericksburg, IN storm also looks like it has a DEBRIS BALL #INwx #tornado Moving towards Palmyra [via Twitter]
Fredericksburg, IN storm also looks like it has a DEBRIS BALL #INwx #tornado Moving towards Palmyra [via Twitter]
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Re: HIGH Risk, March 2
TWCjerdman:
Multi vortex #tornado reported near Memphis, Indiana! [via Twitter]
Injuries reported in New Pekin
Multi vortex #tornado reported near Memphis, Indiana! [via Twitter]
Injuries reported in New Pekin
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