Texas Spring 2012

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Portastorm
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Re:

#161 Postby Portastorm » Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:37 pm

Ntxw wrote:EWX radar is starting to light up. Portastorm and the rest of the Austin/San Antonio regions better be ready these supercells mean business, well advertised. SA seems to be in the line of fire first.

Great job to Texas Snowman for keeping us updated with live info :D


Just got home from a youth baseball game and am in for the night. Tornadoes moving into southwest San Antonio as I type this. Looks like we're next. :eek:
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#162 Postby Ntxw » Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:41 pm

Aside from the severe weather, rain has stalled in Dallas county with numerous activity reforming to the SW heading northeast. Drive safely folks and stay safe Portastorm!
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#163 Postby aggiecutter » Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:43 pm

Tweet from Reed Timmer at 8:40pm CDT:
Reed Timmer ‏ @reedtimmerTVN
"Watching a large tornado right now about 4 miles northeast of Lytle heading for San Antonio"
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#164 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:49 pm

That one cell is heading directly towards SA. Hopefully it weakens within the next hour.
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Re:

#165 Postby Portastorm » Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:51 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:That one cell is heading directly towards SA. Hopefully it weakens within the next hour.


It has weakened some which has prompted EWX to cancel the Tornado Warning.
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#166 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:55 pm

Multiple reports of over-turned semis and damage from that storm. Plenty of pics too showing up on Twitter and Facebook.
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#167 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:11 pm

Wow!!! Check out this photo of this tornado near San Antonio. Large cone or even a wedge tornado on the ground.

EDIT: Scratch that photo - it's bogus, being recirculated from 5/29/04. :roll:
Last edited by Texas Snowman on Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#168 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:15 pm

Woah thats terrifying. Cantore just said that the line may not move very far east. I have to disagree with him though. Maybe not the current line makes it, but a line of storms should make it here in the AM.
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#169 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:15 pm

Scratch that photo - it's bogus, being recirculated from 5/29/04. :x
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#170 Postby Ntxw » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:18 pm

I'm starting to get more concerned regarding flooding. The storms/line is not moving as fast as the models have indicated. Convection continues to build from the SW and head north/east along the front.
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Re:

#171 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:19 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:Scratch that photo - it's bogus, being recirculated from 5/29/04. :x


A lesson to not believe everthing in the internet era. :)
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#172 Postby Portastorm » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:20 pm

Ntxw wrote:I'm starting to get more concerned regarding flooding. The storms/line is not moving as fast as the models have indicated. Convection continues to build from the SW and head north/east along the front.


You *should* be concerned, Ntxw. The line is definitely slowing. Be safe up there yourself!
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#173 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:22 pm

Stu Ostro retweets a San Antonio TV station (KSAT-12 reporter Ryan Lloyd) that says some people may have been injured east of Devine, Texas.

Also, while the image suddenly floating around (large wedge) is bogus, many of the others are not bogus. They show a cone tornado on the ground.
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Re: Re:

#174 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:28 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:Scratch that photo - it's bogus, being recirculated from 5/29/04. :x


A lesson to not believe everthing in the internet era. :)


Yup, for sure. Seems a lot of people got duped by that one. Starting with KENS TV, which posted it first. Lots of retweets to disregard that punked photo.
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#175 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:29 pm

Portastorm wrote:
Ntxw wrote:I'm starting to get more concerned regarding flooding. The storms/line is not moving as fast as the models have indicated. Convection continues to build from the SW and head north/east along the front.


You *should* be concerned, Ntxw. The line is definitely slowing. Be safe up there yourself!


Jim Cantore reports that some place in NW Dallas received 1" of rain in 15 MINUTES.

Wow.
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#176 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:38 pm

Proceed with caution on this info after the bogus tornado pic that was going around earlier.

But @TxStormChasers is reporting "...overturned mobile homes and power lines down, homes destroyed in the Devin/Natalla/LaCoste area."
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#177 Postby Portastorm » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:40 pm

The squall line, at least the portion down my way, seems to have almost stalled. It's gotta be producing some amazing rainfall amounts.
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#178 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:46 pm

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC019-171-265-385-463-200530-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0018.120320T0223Z-120320T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
923 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BANDERA COUNTY...
SOUTHWESTERN GILLESPIE COUNTY...
CENTRAL KERR COUNTY...
SOUTHEASTERN REAL COUNTY...
NORTHEASTERN UVALDE COUNTY...

* UNTIL 1230 AM CDT.

* AT 921 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETERMINED THAT RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE SUFFICIENT TO
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRAIN OVER
THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING AREA THROUGH AT LEAST 1030 PM. RADAR
ESTIMATES COMBINED WITH GROUND REPORTS SUGGEST THAT 2 TO 4 INCHES
OF RAIN WILL HAVE OCCURRED OVER MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA BY 1030 PM.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
KERRVILLE...VANDERPOOL...GARNER STATE PARK...HARPER...HUNT...
INGRAM...KERRVILLE STATE PARK...LOST MAPLES STATE PARK...MOUNTAIN
HOME...REAGAN WELLS...RIO FRIO...TIVYDALE...UTOPIA AND WALTONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS HARD TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING AT NIGHT. IF FLOOD
WATERS RISE ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3030 9890 2947 9954 2956 9987 3038 9922

$$
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Re: Texas Spring 2012

#179 Postby Portastorm » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:49 pm

It would appear my amateur eye was on to something ...

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0299
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0946 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL THROUGH NERN TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 200246Z - 200445Z

HEAVY RAIN WITH RATES LOCALLY FROM 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL REMAIN
LIKELY INTO THE EARLY MORNING. THE HIGHER RATES ARE EXPECTED FROM
S-CNTRL THROUGH ECNTRL TX INCLUDING THE HILL COUNTRY.

EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NERN TX
SWWD THROUGH SCNTRL AND SWRN TX EAST OF DEL RIO. NERN PORTION OF THE
BOUNDARY HAS BEEN A LITTLE MORE PROGRESSIVE...BUT TREND HAS BEEN FOR
THIS FEATURE TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY...ESPECIALLY ALONG SWRN
PORTIONS. DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT IS BEGINNING TO OVERTAKE THE
BOUNDARY WITH CONVECTION BACKBUILDING SWWD TO NEAR THE MEXICAN
BORDER. WITH HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH AXIS STILL TO THE WEST AND THE
TENDENCY FOR MID-UPPER FLOW TO BACK WITH TIME...STORMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TRAINING NEWD ALONG THE BOUNDARY. A SLY LLJ WILL MAINTAIN
INFLUX OF HIGH THETA-E AIR FROM THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR
AS THE STORMS TRAIN NEWD THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.
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#180 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:54 pm

The supercell storms literally vanished off the radar. Great news. Problem though, look on the water vapor at whats hanging in Mexico. Looks to be swinging around the Low and will likely fire up some storms again within the next few hours. I hope the damage is minimal tonight because we really need the rain.
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