Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

Here is a summary of what occured on Tuesday with the floodings in Puerto Rico and a lot happened but the good news was that no casualties occured. And all of this occurs in March which is supposed to be a dry month. This news from local newspaper has been translated to english.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 22728.html

Impressive is surely an euphemisma ! Waouw that's INCREDIBLE .

[cycloneye]

More showers are expected for the next few days especially,in the afternoon hours. Some showers will arrive from the Atlantic tonight as moisture from a weak front arrives.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
302 PM AST WED MAR 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TOMORROW. COLD FRONT WILL STALL JUST
NORTH OF THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
DOMINATING THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. THIS FEATURE IN COMBINATION
WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE...ENHANCE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN SLOPES OF PUERTO RICO. WINDS BETWEEN 0-3 KM AGL ARE
MAINLY FROM THE NORTHEAST WHICH WILL MAINTAIN THE FOCUS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL BETWEEN THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND THE SOUTHERN SLOPES
OF PUERTO RICO THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. THE STORM MOTION OF THESE
SHOWERS WILL BE VERY SLOW...THEREFORE...HIGH RAINFALL ACCUMULATION
WILL BE EXPECTED.

A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM AT THE SURFACE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC TOMORROW...INDUCING A NORTHEAST TRADE WIND
FLOW. THIS FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR FASTER MOVEMENT OF THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY. A COLD FRONT WILL STALL JUST NORTHERN OF THE AREA AND IS
NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA. HOWEVER...PATCHES OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE NORTH COAST
OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS
REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE DURING THE WEEKEND AS WINDS SHIFT SOUTHEAST
AND GOOD CHANCES FOR SHOWER EVERY AFTERNOON PREVAILS.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS EXPECTED
TO PREVAIL ACROSS TJMZ AND TJPS THROUGH AT LEAST 28/22Z IN
SHRA/TSRA. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 3-5 FT RIGHT NOW IN PREDOMINANT WIND WAVES BUT A
SMALL NE SWELL IS NOW BEING OBSERVED AT BUOYS 41043 AND 41053.
SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD RAPIDLY TOMORROW IN NORTH SWELLS WITH
SMALL CRAFT AND HIGH SURF CONDITIONS LIKELY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 73 84 73 83 / 50 50 50 50
STT 74 84 75 84 / 50 50 50 50

[cycloneye]

Here is a preseason outlook by Rob of Crownweather services. He sees a slower hurricane season,but more closer to islands cyclone formations.

http://www.crownweather.com/?p=6918

[Macrocane]

Hi, these are the temperatures registered on March 27 2012 in Central America. Nicaragua stations didn't work.

Minimum Temperatures

-Warmer than normal in Panama. Near normal in Belize, El Salvador, Honduras and Costa Rica. Cooler than normal in Guatemala.

Belize city, Belize 23°C (73°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 16.4°C (61.5°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 12.7°C (54.9°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 3.7°C (38.7°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 18°C (64°F) Coldest since January 21
San Salvador, El Salvador 18.9°C (66.0°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 6.9°C (44.4°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.2°C (73.8°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 16°C (61°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 7°C (45°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.0°C (60.8°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 6.4°C (43.5°F) Warmest since February 4
Liberia, Costa Rica 18.2°C (64.8°F) Coldest since February 19
Panama city, Panama 23.6°C (74.5°F)
Boquete, Panama 14.4°C (57.9°F)

Maximum Temperatures

-Near normal in all the region.

Belize city, Belize 29°C (82°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 28.8°C (83.8°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 27.0°C (80.6°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 20.8°C (69.4°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 34°C (93°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 31.7°C (89.1°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 21.3°C (70.3°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 37.7°C (99.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 30°C (86°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 38°C (100°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 28.5°C (83.3°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 18.2°C (64.8°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 35.7°C (96.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 33.8°C (92.8°F)
Boquete, Panama 22.1°C (71.8°F)

[cycloneye]

Here is the latest information about what has occured with the effects of the very heavy rains that affected interior Puerto Rico on Wednesday that have caused flooding in many places and landslides. The good news is that for a second day in a row,no casualties have occured. And all of this wet pattern that we have seen in March is not supposed to occur as it's normally the driest month of the year. Translated to english.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 23680.html

[cycloneye]

Good morning. It has been overnight hours with plenty of flood warnings and advisories as the unusual wet pattern occuring on a dry normally March continues. Over 100 advisories have been issued so far in 2012 as you can follow them at the 2012 advisories thread viewtopic.php?f=24&t=112426&p=2217818#p2217818. I will keep you informed about any news of landslides and flooding that for sure will come today.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
632 AM AST THU MAR 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE IS
ESTABLISHING ITSELF ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. COLD FRONT STALLING
JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL GO INTO EFFECT AT
3PM AST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND
THE NORTHERN USVI.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE COMBINATIONS OF THE UPPER TROUGH WITH
CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE AND ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY HAS CAUSED
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. DUE TO THE
ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...THE RAINFALL FROM THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS
CAUSED WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS NORTHERN PUERTO RICO WHICH
INCLUDED URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING AS WELL AS WELL AS RIVER
FLOODING.

THE OVERALL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SIMILAR FOR TODAY
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WESTERN
INTERIOR AND NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.


&&

.AVIATION...A BAND OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS STRETCHES FROM THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS TO THE COASTAL PORTIONS OF NORTHERN PUERTO
RICO...AREAS MVFR CONDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 29/22Z. MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS SHOULD BE EXPECTED BEYOND 30/02Z. LLVL WINDS ARE
EASTERLY 5 TO 15 KT BUT VEERING TO THE SOUTHEAST BTWN 4 AND 10
KFT. AFT 29/16Z AREAS OF SHRA AND TSRA WILL DEVELOP OVER INTERIOR
PR WITH MORE PREVALENT MVFR AND PSBL BRIEF IFR CONDS FROM TJBQ TO
TJNR.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS ARE NOW INCREASING AND THE LOCAL BUOYS ARE
REPORTING WAVE HEIGHTS OF 7 FEET ACROSS NORTHERN PUERTO RICO.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE NOW IN EFFECT AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
FOR THE NORTHERN COASTS WILL GO INTO EFFECT AT 3 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...MANY RIVERS ARE OUT OF ITS BANKS INCLUDING RIO
CULEBRINAS...RIO GRANDE DE MANATI...RIO CAMUY...RIO GRANDE DE
ARECIBO...AND OTHER SMALLER RIVERS ALONG THE NORTHERN
MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO. PONDING OF WATER IN ROADWAYS AND
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS PRESENT. IN
ADDITION...THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND NORTHWESTERN
PUERTO RICO..FURTHER AGGRAVATING FLOODING PROBLEMS ACROSS THAT
AREA.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 74 84 74 / 60 50 60 50
STT 84 75 84 76 / 50 50 50 40

[cycloneye]

Things are very dangerous in some areas of Puerto Rico with the floodings that are occuring. Here is news about what is going on.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 24063.html

[cycloneye]

More information of the flooding with photos and videos.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 24046.html

[cycloneye]

OMG! A town in the interior part is on the verge of being incommunicated due to a landslide that threats to close the main road in and out of the town.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 24098.html

[cycloneye]

Those people in those homes will have to do a bog cleanup as the mud penetrated inside.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 24114.html

[cycloneye]

Good news for Puerto Rico as it looks like a drying trend will start by this weekend.Let's see if it verifies to then allow the rivers to go down and let the grounds get less saturated.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
330 PM AST THU MAR 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL FLATTEN/WEAKEN OVR THE
WEEKEND. FLAT RIDGE WILL TRY TO ESTABLISH ACROSS THE AREA NEXT
WEEK WITH DEEP TROUGH PATTERN XPCD TO ESTABLISH AGAIN LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST ACARS PLOT SHOW THAT AREA IS UNDER UPPER
CONVERGENT FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH RIGHT EXIT REGION OF 105-KT JET
STREAK RIDING OVER NORTHEAST PR AND INTO THE ATLC. HOWEVER...ANOTHER
JET STREAK IS STILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA AND
WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT WITH AREA BECOMING UNDER FVRBL
UPPER DIVERGENCE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW EVENING AS SEEN
ON 12Z GFS 250 MB DIVERGENCE FIELDS. FOR TONIGHT...THINGS ARE
ALREADY QUITE DOWN QUICKLY AND I EXPECT THIS TO BE RULE TONIGHT BUT
ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER SEEMS LIKELY TOMORROW AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE EASTERN THIRD OF PR AND THE USVI. STEERING WINDS (0-6KM MEAN
FLOW) IS PRETTY WEAK FROM THE SOUTHWEST OR NON-EXISTENT SO ANY
TSTMS WILL BE SLOW MOVERS AND PRODUCE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. ANY
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE WEST WILL HAVE TO FIGHT MID-LVL DRY AIR.

CONDITIONS IMROVE RAPIDLY LATE FRI NIGHT WITH DRY AIR ADVECTION
AND SHORTWAVE RIDGING. FURTHER IMROVEMENTS ARE EXPECTED SAT AND
SUN AS AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DRY OUT AND MID-LVL TEMPS WARM/SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION STRENGTHENS. A SHEARLINE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUE
EVENING. IN THE EXTENDED...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF DIVERT QUICKLY
WITH THE GFS SHOWING MID LEVEL TEMPS WARMING STEADILY AND THE
ECWMF INDICATING COOL MID LEVEL TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT BUT TSTMS POSSIBLE AGAIN
TOMORROW AFTERNOON ALL ARPTS EXCEPT JPS.

&&

.MARINE...ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ALG THE ATLC COAST DUE TO NORTH
SWELLS. SWELLS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 73 83 73 83 / 30 70 40 40
STT 74 77 74 77 / 40 40 30 30

[Macrocane]

I hope that conditions improve in those areas cycloneye.

These are the temps registered on March 28 in Central America.

Minimum Temperatures

-Warmer than normal in Panama, Costa Rica and Honduras. Near normal in Belize and El Salvador. Cooler than normal in Guatemala.

Belize city, Belize 23°C (73°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 18.0°C (64.4°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 14.0°C (57.2°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 2.2°C (36.0°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 19°C (66°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.5°C (67.1°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 9.3°C (48.7°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 21.8°C (71.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F) Warmest since February 16
La Esperanza, Honduras 12°C (54°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.4°C (63.3°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 6.2°C (43.2°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 19.6°C (67.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 23.6°C (74.5°F)
Boquete, Panama 15.0°C (59.0°F)

Maximum Temperatures

-Near normal in all the region.

Belize city, Belize 29°C (84°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 28.1°C (82.6°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 26.0°C (78.8°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.7°C (71.1°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 34°C (93°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 32.6°C (90.7°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 21.1°C (70.0°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 38.6°C (101.5°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 29°C (84°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 37°C (99°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 35°C (95°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 25.1°C (77.2°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 11.2°C (52.2°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 34.8°C (94.6°F)
Panama city, Panama 33.5°C (92.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 20.7°C (69.3°F)

[cycloneye]

Good morning. A little more rain is expected today as the trough lingers nearby,but is more weak. Let's see if there are less flood advisories today than in the past few days.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
510 AM AST FRI MAR 30 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...THE STRONG SOUTHWEST JET OVER THE
AREA WEAKENS DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. A WEAK TROUGH WILL PASS
THROUGH THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY RIDGING THAT BUILDS IN THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW AND TROUGHING OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN RETURNS LATER NEXT WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...A WEAK TROUGH LEFT THE AREA TOWARD THE EAST
OVERNIGHT AND RIDGING WILL BUILD IN OVER THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH
SUNDAY. TROUGHING DOES NOT RETURN TO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN UNTIL
NEXT WEEKEND.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA MOVES INTO
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OVER THE WEEKEND ALLOWING SURFACE FLOW TO
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY. A LOW PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST OF
THE UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND OUT OF NEW
ENGLAND ON MONDAY. IT IS THIS HIGH THAT DRAGS A TROUGH ACROSS THE
AREA ON TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN RETURNS TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.


&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS BECAME HEAVY OVERNIGHT ON THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS AND A FEW LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS LINGER IN
THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. SIGNIFICANT
SHOWERS TENDED TO PASS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY OVERNIGHT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS TO CONTINUE OVER THE AREA AND SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RE-DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHWESTERN TWO
THIRDS OF PUERTO RICO. SOME OF THE SHOWERS WILL BE HEAVY AND
LOCALIZED URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY. THE GFS
SHOWED CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE DEVELOPING ACROSS
EASTERN PUERTO RICO AFTER 30/18Z AND THIS COULD ENHANCE SHOWER
ACTIVITY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...THEREFORE MOST POPS WERE GREATER
THAN 50 PERCENT OVER PUERTO RICO.

THE BAND OF MOISTURE THAT HAS STRAYED LITTLE FROM THE LOCAL AREA
WILL BEGIN TO DIFFUSE...BUT A RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FROM 1.4 TO 1.7 WILL CONTINUE IN THE
AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. DURING THIS TIME EAST TO
SOUTHEAST SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP SHOWERS IN THE WESTERN INTERIOR
AND NORTHWEST AND NORTH COASTAL PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ON TUESDAY A TROUGH
FROM A STRONGLY DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL
INCREASE SHOWERS IN GENERAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL
TERMINALS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CEILINGS OVER TIST AND TISX WITH PASSING SHOWERS. AFTER 30/16Z
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PUERTO
RICO...AFFECTING TJSJ...TJMZ...AND TJBQ UNTIL 30/22Z. LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH SEA BREEZE
VARIATIONS AT TJPS AND TJMZ FROM 30/15Z TO 30/22Z.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH
TUESDAY. EXPECT ALL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO END BY SUNSET. NEXT
LARGE SWELL EVENT NOT TILL LATER NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 73 84 74 / 50 50 30 50
STT 83 74 84 75 / 40 50 30 30

[cycloneye]

Good afternoon. This discussion brings great news for Puerto Rico as dry weather will come for the first days of April and that will give time to the grounds to dry out and to the rivers to go down to normal,ending this very wet period that we have been thru.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
316 PM AST FRI MAR 30 2012

.SYNOPSIS...SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE REGION TONIGHT
WITH FLAT RIDGE EXPECTED TO BUILD OVR THE WEEKEND AND HOLD THROUGH
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL INTO
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH PULLS OUT OF THE REGION
TONIGHT...JET STREAK WILL RELOCATE TO THE NORTH OF THE GREATER
ANTILLES. FLAT RIDGE WILL THEN START TO BUILD INTO THE LOCAL AREA
SAT AND THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. MODELS RESPOND BY
INDICATING A GRADUAL DRYING TREND LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW WITH
SHARP DRYING FOR SAT NIGHT AND SUN. OVERALL...EXPECT MUCH BETTER
CONDITIONS FOR THE FIRST FIVE TO SIX DAYS OF APRIL.


&&

.AVIATION...IT APPEARS CONVECTION WILL MISS ALL AIRPORTS FOR THE
REST OF TODAY. SCT TSRA POSSIBLE TOMORROW AT JBQ THEN MUCH BETTER
FOR NEXT WEEK WITH NO SIG WX.

&&

.MARINE...CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE OVR THE WEEKEND WITH
SEAS BECOMING PRETTY MUCH FLAT EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALL SCAS WILL BE CANCELLED.

&&

.CLIMATE...9.22 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN SO FAR AT THE SJU INTL
ARPT SO FAR THIS MONTH. IT APPEARS THAT WE WILL LIKELY FALL SHORT
OF BREAKING THE RECORD FOR THE MONTH.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 73 84 73 84 / 50 50 0 10
STT 75 77 75 77 / 50 50 0 0

[cycloneye]

Here is what occured on Friday in Eastern Puerto Rico with the flooding. The good news continues to be that no casualties have occured since all of this wet weather began two weeks ago. Translated to English.

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 25163.html

[Macrocane]

Good evening, these are the temps registered on March 29 in Central America:

Minimum Temperatures

-Warmer than normal in Panama. Near normal in Belize, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Cooler than normal in Guatemala.

Belize city, Belize 23°C (73°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 16.6°C (61.9°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 12.9°C (55.2°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 2.0°C (35.6°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 18°C (64°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.8°C (67.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 9.4°C (48.9°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 21.0°C (69.8°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 16°C (61°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 10°C (50°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 26°C (79°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.4°C (61.5°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 4.8°C (40.6°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 21.9°C (71.4°F)
Panama city, Panama 23.2°C (73.8°F)
Boquete, Panama 15.2°C (59.4°F)

Maximum Temperatures

-Near normal in all the region.

Belize city, Belize 30°C (86°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 28.2°C (82.8°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 27.0°C (80.6°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.0°C (69.8°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 35°C (95°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 31.7°C (89.1°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 20.9°C (69.6°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 38.1°C (100.6°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 30°C (86°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 39°C (102°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 35°C (95°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 27°C (81°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 27.3°C (81.1°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 16.9°C (62.4°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 35.3°C (95.5°F)
Panama city, Panama 34.1°C (93.4°F)
Boquete, Panama 22.6°C (72.7°F)

[cycloneye]

Good morning. More rain is expected today mainly in the afternoon and evening hours in interior and northern PR.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
509 AM AST SAT MAR 31 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...ALTHOUGH A WEAK RIDGE IS
APPROACHING...THE DEPARTING JET IS STILL GIVING GOOD DIVERGENCE
ALOFT TODAY. SEVERAL SHORT WAVE RIDGES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
MONDAY AND WEDNESDAY...BUT SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL RETURN WITH
TROUGHING TO THE WEST FRIDAY ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WINDS.

AT MID LEVELS...THE APPROACHING RIDGE FROM THE WEST WILL BE
SQUASHED BUT NOT OVERCOME BY A DEEPENING LONG WAVE TROUGH TO THE
NORTH ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL UNTIL A
TROUGH SINKS INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN LATE IN THE WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...CONVERGENCE ON A VERY OLD AND VERY PERSISTENT
BOUNDARY CONTINUE IN THE VICINITY AIDED BY UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE.
THIS BOUNDARY WILL BECOME MORE DIFFUSE DURING THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER
PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED MID WEEK FROM VERY STRONG LOW
PRESSURE PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE AREA TO THE EAST MONDAY.
AND...THIS BOUNDARY COULD STALL ON OR NEAR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS WELL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS PERSISTED OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT
WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES BEFORE MIDNIGHT EAST OF A LINE FROM RIO GRANDE
TO CAYEY TO PATILLAS...FOLLOWED BY MORE SHOWERS OVER SOUTHEAST
PUERTO RICO AND THE EASTERN FLANKS OF EL YUNQUE AFTER MIDNIGHT
WITH UP TO 3 INCHES IN THE PATILLAS RIVER BASIN. SHARP RISES IN
THE LOCAL AREA RIVERS WERE NOTED...AND THE PATILLAS RIVER CAME
WITHIN INCHES OF FLOODING AT THE GAGE NEAR PATILLAS.

PRECIPITABLE WATER HAS BEEN DECREASING OVERNIGHT AT BOTH ISABELA
AND SAINT CROIX...NOW REACHING VALUES OF 1.4 TO 1.6 INCHES AFTER
RISING TO ALMOST 1.9 AROUND 30/21Z AND OVER 2 INCHES IN THE 31/00Z
SOUNDING AT SAN JUAN. NEVERTHELESS...MOISTURE CONTINUES OVER THE
AREA AND THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED JET IS FORECAST TO BE GENERATING
CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE CENTERED OVER THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO
RICO AS IN THE GFS OR JUST NORTH AS IN THE NAM AT 31/18Z...JUST IN
TIME FOR THE BEST CONVECTION AND HEATING. WINDS AT THE SURFACE ARE
MORE EASTERLY AND BELIE A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW EVIDENT IN THE
FORECASTS AT 850 MB. THIS WILL KEEP GOOD CONVECTION AGAINST AND
NORTH OF THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL...MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY. MOISTURE
MAX MAY BE CLOSER TO THE EAST SIDE OF THE ISLAND THIS TIME HOWEVER
SO EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND POSSIBLY EVEN CULEBRA AND VIEQUES COULD
SEE SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. CANNOT RULE OUT A
STREAMER OFF OF EL YUNQUE EITHER...THOUGH IT WOULD CROSS WEST OF
SAN JUAN WITH CURRENT WIND SITUATION. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS AGAIN TODAY.

UPPER LEVEL FLOW ABATES AND MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
QUICKLY AFTER 31/21Z. NAM IS QUICKEST AND DRIEST WITH THIS
TREND...WHILE ECMWF TAKES THE OPPOSITE VIEW AND CARRIES MOISTURE
THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE ANY NOTICEABLE DRYING. SHOWERS SHOULD BE
LESS INTENSE...BUT STILL EXPECT CONSIDERABLE COVERAGE AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TODAY AND SUNDAY OFFER SCATTERED SHOWERS AT BEST
FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS PATTERN DRIES OUT.

MONDAY WILL HAVE THE LEAST COVERAGE...POSSIBLY OF THE WHOLE WEEK...AS
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BEGINS TO WREST CONTROL...BUT APPROACHING
SURFACE TROUGH AHEAD OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH AN
INTENSE LOW PASSING TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY WILL BEGIN TO BRING
MORE SHOWERS TUESDAY AND INCREASING THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TAF SITES UNTIL
31/16Z. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN
AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AFTER 31/16Z PRODUCING MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS AND MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS TJBQ AND TJMZ UNTIL
31/22Z. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...BECOMING
EASTERLY AT 10 TO 15 KTS AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT TJMZ AND TJPS WHERE
SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MANY
AREAS...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO IMPROVE.
MANY OF THE SURROUNDING WATERS WILL FIND SOME OF THE BEST
CONDITIONS IN MANY WEEKS BEGINNING LATE MONDAY AND CONTINUING INTO
TUESDAY WITH GENTLE WINDS AND SEAS 3 FEET OR LESS. WINDS WILL BEGIN A
GRADUAL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 73 85 73 / 60 40 40 10
STT 85 73 84 74 / 30 40 30 10

[cycloneye]

Good afternoon. Good news that the drying trend has started and much less shower activity has occured today,with only the usual afternoon showers on the interior and northern parts of PR.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
329 PM AST SAT MAR 31 2012

.SYNOPSIS...FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...THE LOCAL AREA WILL
GENERALLY BE SANDWICHED BETWEEN MID TO UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE
TO THE SOUTH AND TROUGHINESS TO THE NORTH...WITH A SERIES OF
EMBEDDED PERTURBATIONS PASSING MAINLY NORTH OF THE FA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH AN OVERALL DRIER AND MORE STABLE WEATHER
PATTERN IS EXPECTED LOCALLY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...STILL EXPECT
ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND EACH DAY TO COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS...
TO PRODUCE SOME LOCALIZED CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. PLEASE REFER TO SJUZFPPR FOR THE FORECAST
DETAILS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE AT ALL TAF SITES... AS
CONVECTION CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS TJBQ AND TJMZ UNTIL 31/22Z.

&&

.MARINE...GENERALLY EXPECT WINDS OF 20 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF
5 FEET OR LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 72 84 72 86 / 30 30 10 20
STT 73 84 74 84 / 40 40 10 10

[Macrocane]

Yesterday was a very warm day for Central America, these are the temperatures:

Minimum Temperatures

-Warmer than normal in Belize, Nicargaua and Costa Rica. Near normal in Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Panama.

Belize city, Belize 25°C (77°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.1°C (68.2°F) Warmest since January 13 2012
Guatemala city, Guatemala 16.0°C (60.8°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 3.5°C (38.3°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 21°C (70°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.0°C (66.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 10.4°C (50.7°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 21.3°C (70.3°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 17°C (63°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 14°C (57°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 26°C (79°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 18°C (64°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 18.0°C (64.4°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 6.1°C (43.0°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 20.6°C (69.1°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.8°C (73.0°F)
Boquete, Panama 15.9°C (60.6°F) Warmest since December 30 2011

Maximum Temperatures

-Warmer than normal in Costa Rica. Near normal in Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua and Panama.

Belize city, Belize 30°C (86°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 30.6°C (87.1°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 26.0°C (78.8°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.8°C (71.2°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 38°C (100°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.9°C (87.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 21.3°C (70.3°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 37.8°C (100.0°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 30°C (86°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 38°C (100°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 35°C (95°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 27°C (81°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 28.0°C (82.4°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 19.4°C (66.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 37.1°C (98.8°F) WARMEST SINCE APRIL 22 2010
Panama city, Panama 33.5°C (92.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 23.1°C (73.6°F)

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Better weather for today as dry air has arrived.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
438 AM AST SUN APR 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...JET ACTION SHIFTS NORTH AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN NOW THROUGH TUESDAY. FLOW
BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AND INCREASES WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH 90 KT JET FROM WEST POSSIBLY RETURNING BY SUNDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS CONTROL DURING THE
WEEK...BUT A STRONG LONG WAVE TROUGH DIGS IN FROM THE WEST
BEGINNING NEXT WEEKEND. MOSTLY DRY AIR EXCEPT FOR TUESDAY...FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA HAS FINALLY DISSIPATED.
DRIER AIR WILL PREVAIL UNTIL TROUGH FROM NEXT STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY. THIS
BOUNDARY MAY ALSO STALL PROVIDING WETTER WEATHER MID WEEK AND
BEYOND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...VERY FEW SHOWERS ON RADAR AT THE MOMENT AND NONE
OVER LAND. EVEN CLOUD COVER IN THE FORM OF CIRRUS HAS MOVED OFF OF
THE AREA...EXPOSING ONLY A SCATTERED CUMULUS FIELD. FLOW REMAINS
EAST SOUTHEAST AT THE SURFACE...ALTHOUGH ABOVE 3 KFT TO ABOUT 13
KFT IT IS ACTUALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MOISTURE AND STABILITY AT
EBB FOR THE MOMENT AND THIS WILL KEEP SHOWER DEVELOPMENT LIMITED.
BUT STILL EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS IN THE NORTHWEST
SECTION OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOCAL CONVERGENCE AND
STRONG HEATING...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE REST OF THE INTERIOR
WHERE ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS...IF ANY...ARE LIKELY. SHOWERS WILL INCREASE
ON MONDAY AS SOME MOISTURE RETURNS...BUT SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
SHOWER ACTIVITY DOES NOT APPEAR IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS UNTIL THE
SOUTHWESTERLY JET AT UPPER LEVELS BEGINS TO RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. WINDS AT 850 MB ARE VARIABLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEK SO VARIOUS AREAS WILL BE FAVORED FOR SCATTERED SHOWER
FORMATION. SHOWERS MAY STILL FORM OVER THE CORDILLERA EACH DAY...
HOWEVER...BEFORE MOVING TO THE LEEWARD SIDE OF THE ISLAND. SURFACE
WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE EAST AFTER WEDNESDAY AND BEST SHOWERS
SHOULD FORM ON THE WESTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO THEREAFTER. PRECIP OVER THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL BE HIT AND MISS...WITH NO ORGANIZED
SHOWERS FORMING OVER LOCAL WATERS FOR THEIR BENEFIT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TAF SITES UNTIL
01/16Z. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN
AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AFTER 01/16Z PRODUCING MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS AND POTENTIALLY CAUSING MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS IN AND
AROUND TJBQ UNTIL 01/22Z. PREVAILING SURFACE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE EARLY IN THE EARLY MORNING...THEN FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AFTER 01/13Z WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS REMAIN TRANQUIL THROUGH TUESDAY.
NORTHERLY SWELL WITH 10-12 SECOND PERIODS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY ON
WEDNESDAY WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES EXPECTED IN THE ATLANTIC AND
PASSAGES AND HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ALONG COASTS
WITH NORTH EXPOSURE...MAINLY THURSDAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 73 87 74 / 30 10 30 10
STT 84 74 84 76 / 20 10 10 10