5:30 PM EDT TWO=3 areas that have potential 2 at east atl

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:16 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... BNT20.KNHC

#2 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:23 pm

Stormsfury which of the 2 waves in the east atlantic is what the models are showing development?

tropicsPR · #3 Postby **tropicsPR** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:33 pm

The wave located southeast of the C.V. looks very strong. I just saw it in the Weather Channel web site. Any potential for development?

Stormsfury · #4 Postby **Stormsfury** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:38 pm

Yes, cycloneye...it's the wave/low SE of the Cape Verde Islands...

Incidentally the (normally conservative for developing tropical systems) EURO has it to 52.4 kts at 850mb (5,000 ft) 5 days from now (from yesterday's run).

SF

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:39 pm

That one is the one to watch as it is low in latitud 10-11n and can travel more to the west than the other one thart is already at 14n.

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:42 pm

Hummm interesting Stormsfury I suspected that was the one but I was asking you to be sure.I see that one as it is at a low latitud going more west but time will tell.

Lindaloo · #7 Postby **Lindaloo** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:42 pm

GEEZ!! Here we go again.

JCT777 · #8 Postby **JCT777** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:48 pm

Lindaloo wrote:GEEZ!! Here we go again.

Yup, no rest for the weary Atlantic tropics watchers! :o

Lindaloo · #9 Postby **Lindaloo** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 4:51 pm

LOL John. Heck, we do not even have enough time for a commercial break lately.

The_Cycloman_PR · #10 Postby **The_Cycloman_PR** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 5:30 pm

tropicsPR wrote:The wave located southeast of the C.V. looks very strong. I just saw it in the Weather Channel web site.

Agree! Another one to watch during the next few days. Did anybody had time to rest?? 'Cause I did'nt...Whiew!! What a season!

PD. Question for the rest of the board...What do you think are our chances here in the Islands for the rest of the season after seen Fabian?? Will we survive until the end of the season without a hit, or not? And how strong the systems if any form over the Atlantic will be when they get close (If they do) to the islands. Also what about 96L and the wave southeast of CV?

Coments welcome!

Stormsfury · #11 Postby **Stormsfury** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 5:33 pm

Another CV storm and that throws the years 1947 and 1960 right out of the analogs.

SF

CocoaBill · #12 Postby **CocoaBill** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:13 pm

Steve Lyons said the two CV areas are probably going to "dance around each other and then merge into a large area that may develop"

SacrydDreamz · #13 Postby **SacrydDreamz** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:20 pm

Fujiwhara!!

Maybe not, lol

#14 Postby **wx247** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:25 pm

Interesting analysis from Dr. Lyons. Any comments on that from our experts?

AussieMark · #15 Postby **AussieMark** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:48 pm

Do any models develop the tropical wave currently 600 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands into at least a tropical storm before reaching the Lesser Antilles or will this wave be swallowed up the stronger one following behind.

Stormsfury · #16 Postby **Stormsfury** » Tue Sep 02, 2003 7:13 pm

tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:Do any models develop the tropical wave currently 600 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands into at least a tropical storm before reaching the Lesser Antilles or will this wave be swallowed up the stronger one following behind.

Welcome to the boards.

To answer that question above, only one and that's discounted. That area of convection has pretty much diminished. The main show is the wave SSE of the Cape Verde Islands.

SF

5:30 PM EDT TWO=3 areas that have potential 2 at east atl

5:30 PM EDT TWO=3 areas that have potential 2 at east atl

The 1st Tropical Wave

Re: The 1st Tropical Wave

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