Plains Tornado Outbreak 4/14-15

[snoopj]

I was just about to write how I'm surprised the NW Page County/NE Fremont County Iowa storm doesn't have a Tornado Warning associated with it, when you can clearly see the classic hook on the cell. Just as I was writing, a warning was issued.

[Fyzn94]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
216 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTH CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
EASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
WEST CENTRAL PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF SPEARVILLE. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HANSTON...GRAY AND BURDETT.


DOPPLER RADAR AS WELL AS PUBLIC SIGHTING OF TORNADOS HAVE CONFIRMED
A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. THOSE NEAR HANSTON AND BURDETT
AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST RURAL AREAS OF HODGEMAN COUNTY SHOULD TAKE
TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3782 9983 3795 9999 3826 9970 3827 9951
3815 9934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 227DEG 37KT 3795 9982
HAIL <.50IN

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
218 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 300 PM CDT

* AT 214 PM CDT...STORM CHASERS REPORTED A TORNADO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CLARK STATE LAKE. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL
SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGSDOWN...BUCKLIN AND MULLINVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

[brunota2003]

That cell with the confirmed tornado (storm chasers/Clark County one) is heading towards Greensburg.....

[snoopj]

Look to the south and you can see a batch of cells starting to form into Oklahoma just south of the Kansas initiation. Yikes.

[Fyzn94]

That cell with the confirmed tornado (storm chasers/Clark County one) is heading towards Greensburg.....

Oh lovely...

[apocalypt-flyer]

Certainly living up to the expectations so far. Feels like everything that's blowing up goes tornadic.

[CrazyC83]

DEBRIS BALL south of Dodge City...at least it has a while to go until hitting Greensburg

[Dave]

Correction: Watch Update

WOUS64 KWNS 141927
WOU7

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 167
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
130 PM MDT SAT APR 14 2012

TORNADO WATCH 167 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NEC009-041-063-071-085-091-111-113-115-117-171-183-150200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0167.120414T1930Z-120415T0200Z/

NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BLAINE CUSTER FRONTIER
GARFIELD HAYES HOOKER
LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP
MCPHERSON THOMAS WHEELER


ATTN...WFO...LBF...

[Dave]

PAWNEE KS-HODGEMAN KS-EDWARDS KS-
228 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS...
EASTERN HODGEMAN AND WEST CENTRAL PAWNEE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 224 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
HANSTON. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HANSTON...
GRAY...
BURDETT...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS AND
WESTERN PAWNEE COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0529
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...

VALID 141928Z - 142000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 165 CONTINUES.

A LARGE...AND POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELL IN MITCHELL COUNTY
KANSAS IS INTERACTING WITH A NWD-MOVING SFC WARM FRONT. THE
BAROCLINIC CIRCULATION ALONG THE WARM FRONT...ALONG WITH STRONGLY
UNSTABLE...BACKGROUND SSELY INFLOW OF 20-25 KT PER SFC OBS...WILL
SUPPORT A SUSTAINED SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT DURING THE NEXT HALF
HOUR TO HOUR...POSSIBLY LONGER. THE SUPERCELL MAY REORGANIZE AS A
LARGER MASS OF CONVECTION MOVES NEWD FROM LINCOLN COUNTY...WITH
ADDITIONAL MESOCYCLONES POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING OVER THE SRN FLANKS
OF MERGING CONVECTION THAT MAY APPROACH CLOUD AND OTTAWA
COUNTIES...POSSIBLY EVEN FARTHER EAST/NORTHEAST.

..COHEN.. 04/14/2012


ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...

LAT...LON 39289710 38869750 38829830 39209859 39479856 39809839
39939797 39939750 39769701 39289710

[Peanut432]

Looks like a area of 4000 j/kg in the eastern Texas panhandle and Western OK ahead of the dryline

[brunota2003]

DEBRIS BALL south of Dodge City...at least it has a while to go until hitting Greensburg

Extrapolating the motion of the storm, the hook would miss Greensburg to the NW/N...but only by like 5 miles...so any change in direction could be very bad.

[WeatherGuesser]

[Dave]

DEBRIS BALL south of Dodge City...at least it has a while to go until hitting Greensburg

Extrapolating the motion of the storm, the hook would miss Greensburg to the NW/N...but only by like 5 miles...so any change in direction could be very bad.

still moving NE @ 40 mph

[CrazyC83]

New watch near triple point. Probs 60/50. NOT PDS though.

SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 167
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
130 PM MDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL
800 PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST OF NORTH
PLATTE NEBRASKA TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BROKEN BOW NEBRASKA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY
RAPIDLY IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST KS AND
WEST CENTRAL NEB. THIS AREA IS NEAR SURFACE TRIPLE-POINT WHERE
SUBSTANTIALLY BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL PROMOTE TORNADO THREAT. SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22025.


...HART

[WeatherGuesser]

Extrapolating the motion of the storm, the hook would miss Greensburg to the NW/N...but only by like 5 miles...so any change in direction could be very bad.

Maybe, but there's two or three more right behind it.

[CrazyC83]

Even 5 years later, Dave Freeman has a hard time mentioning Tornado Warning for Kiowa County...since that includes Greensburg. That town is ALWAYS in our hearts.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
240 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 238 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 3 MILES
SOUTH OF GRAY. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRAY...BURDETT...ROZEL...SANFORD AND ASH VALLEY.

A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. LOCATIONS FROM HANSTON
TO BURDETT ARE IN PARTICULARLY HIGH IMMEDIATE DANGER!


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

[brunota2003]

Check this feature out...look at the light blue line on the northern cell (the long tracked/Dodge City cell). I've been following it since it rolled out of the DC area, and that line is following the hook perfectly...never outrunning the hook.