KIOWA KS-FORD KS-
248 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN FORD AND
NORTHWESTERN KIOWA COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM CDT...
AT 242 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 3 MILES EAST OF
BUCKLIN. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BUCKLIN...
MULLINVILLE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN KIOWA AND SOUTHEASTERN FORD
COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
Plains Tornado Outbreak 4/14-15
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
248 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 315 PM CDT
* AT 242 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 2 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF GRAY. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURDETT...ROZEL...SANFORD AND ASH VALLEY.
GRAY AND BURDETT IS IN THE DIRECT PATH OF THIS CONFIRMED TORNADO.
ANYONE IN GRAY OR BURDETT SHOULD BE TAKING LIFE
SAVING PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
248 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 315 PM CDT
* AT 242 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 2 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF GRAY. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURDETT...ROZEL...SANFORD AND ASH VALLEY.
GRAY AND BURDETT IS IN THE DIRECT PATH OF THIS CONFIRMED TORNADO.
ANYONE IN GRAY OR BURDETT SHOULD BE TAKING LIFE
SAVING PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
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Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
Why is there a double tornado warning in effect?
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NOTICE: I cannot give an expert analysis. Most of my "observations" are made visually with the help of only vital information provided by public advisories.
-
Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
252 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
EAST CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
NORTHERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 330 PM CDT
* AT 247 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 5 MILES
EAST OF BUCKLIN. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MULLINVILLE...GREENSBURG...CENTERVIEW...KINSLEY...FELLSBURG...LEWIS
AND TROUSDALE.
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
252 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
EAST CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
NORTHERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 330 PM CDT
* AT 247 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 5 MILES
EAST OF BUCKLIN. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MULLINVILLE...GREENSBURG...CENTERVIEW...KINSLEY...FELLSBURG...LEWIS
AND TROUSDALE.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
SPC AC 141942
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
VALID 142000Z - 151200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR CNTRL AND ERN KS AND
NEB...AND MUCH OF NRN OK...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM CNTRL OK NWD ACROSS
KS...NEB...SWRN IA AND NWRN MO...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM N TX INTO SERN SD AND SRN
MN...
...OK/KS...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THICK STRATUS RELATED TO THE
ADVECTION OF MID 60S F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS FROM NRN TX INTO
CNTRL OK AND CNTRL KS...WITH SSELY SURFACE WINDS GUSTING OVER 30
MPH. A SPECIAL 17Z OUN SOUNDING SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF A WARM LAYER
NEAR 650 MB...WITH RELATIVELY COOL...BUT MOIST...PROFILES IN THE
LOWEST 3 KM. LATEST RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATES CAPPING
INCREASING AFTER 21Z OVER PORTIONS OF SRN AND ERN OK. THUS...THE
THREAT APPEARS MORE CONDITIONAL THERE...BUT VERY CLOSE TO THE EDGE
OF THE ONGOING HIGH RISK AREA. THUS...NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE.
TO THE W...CLEARING WAS TAKING PLACE ALONG AND E OF THE DRYLINE FROM
SW KS INTO THE OK AND TX PANHANDLES AND WRN OK. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
SHOWED TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S OVER WRN
OK...AND AT OR ABOVE 80 F IN THE PANHANDLES. AS A RESULT...THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME UNCAPPED IN THESE AREAS. INDEED...SEVERE
STORMS WERE ALREADY ONGOING OVER WRN KS INTO FAR NW OK ALONG THE
DRYLINE...WITH TOWERING CU FARTHER S.
WAVES OF STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO FORM ON THE DRYLINE...WHERE
CONVERGENCE IS INCREASING AS SURFACE WINDS VEER OVER THE PANHANDLES.
THESE STORMS SHOULD BECOME PROGRESSIVELY MORE SEVERE...AS LOW LEVEL
SHEAR CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEEDED TO INITIATE STORMS.
MEANWHILE...LATEST RUC MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT COOLING ALOFT
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH MAY BE MORE ADVANCED THAT PREVIOUSLY FORECAST
WITH 500 MB TEMPS OF -12 TO -13 C TO THE DRYLINE BY 00Z. THIS WILL
ONLY HELP TO INCREASE UPDRAFT ACCELERATION IN AN ALREADY VOLATILE
SETUP. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE MOST LIKELY CORRIDOR FOR
VIOLENT TORNADOES WILL BE FROM NW OK ACROSS NRN OK INTO CNTRL AND
S-CNTRL KS. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO OCCUR. WITH ONGOING CELLS OVER
CNTRL KS...THE LOCATION OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY ALSO PLAY A KEY
ROLE IN TORNADOGENESIS AS SUPERCELLS INTERACT WITH THEM LATER. SOME
OF THE CITIES WITH THE HIGHEST RISK INCLUDE ENID...PRATT...GREAT
BEND...SALINA...HUTCHINSON...WICHITA.
...NRN KS/NEB...
LARGE SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NRN KS...WITH STRONG
MESOCYCLONES NOTED ON RADAR AND PROBABLY TORNADOES. THESE CELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO TREK NEWD INTO NEB WHERE SHEAR REMAINS STRONG AND
INSTABILITY IS SUFFICIENT WITH RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES. IN
ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT...SOME OF THESE HP CELLS MAY EVENTUALLY
BOW WITH DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS WELL.
ANOTHER LIKELY AREA OF SUPERCELL TORNADO DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FROM
NWRN KS INTO WRN AND CNTRL NEB. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE CU
FIELD...W OF THE ONGOING KS ACTIVITY...AND E OF THE DRYLINE. BACKED
SURFACE FLOW OVER NEB...ALONG WITH CONTINUED HEATING AND COOLING
ALOFT SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR A DEVELOPING TORNADO AND LARGE HAIL
THREAT. STRONG TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AREA-WIDE.
..JEWELL.. 04/14/2012
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
VALID 142000Z - 151200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR CNTRL AND ERN KS AND
NEB...AND MUCH OF NRN OK...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM CNTRL OK NWD ACROSS
KS...NEB...SWRN IA AND NWRN MO...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM N TX INTO SERN SD AND SRN
MN...
...OK/KS...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THICK STRATUS RELATED TO THE
ADVECTION OF MID 60S F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS FROM NRN TX INTO
CNTRL OK AND CNTRL KS...WITH SSELY SURFACE WINDS GUSTING OVER 30
MPH. A SPECIAL 17Z OUN SOUNDING SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF A WARM LAYER
NEAR 650 MB...WITH RELATIVELY COOL...BUT MOIST...PROFILES IN THE
LOWEST 3 KM. LATEST RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATES CAPPING
INCREASING AFTER 21Z OVER PORTIONS OF SRN AND ERN OK. THUS...THE
THREAT APPEARS MORE CONDITIONAL THERE...BUT VERY CLOSE TO THE EDGE
OF THE ONGOING HIGH RISK AREA. THUS...NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE.
TO THE W...CLEARING WAS TAKING PLACE ALONG AND E OF THE DRYLINE FROM
SW KS INTO THE OK AND TX PANHANDLES AND WRN OK. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
SHOWED TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S OVER WRN
OK...AND AT OR ABOVE 80 F IN THE PANHANDLES. AS A RESULT...THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME UNCAPPED IN THESE AREAS. INDEED...SEVERE
STORMS WERE ALREADY ONGOING OVER WRN KS INTO FAR NW OK ALONG THE
DRYLINE...WITH TOWERING CU FARTHER S.
WAVES OF STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO FORM ON THE DRYLINE...WHERE
CONVERGENCE IS INCREASING AS SURFACE WINDS VEER OVER THE PANHANDLES.
THESE STORMS SHOULD BECOME PROGRESSIVELY MORE SEVERE...AS LOW LEVEL
SHEAR CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEEDED TO INITIATE STORMS.
MEANWHILE...LATEST RUC MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT COOLING ALOFT
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH MAY BE MORE ADVANCED THAT PREVIOUSLY FORECAST
WITH 500 MB TEMPS OF -12 TO -13 C TO THE DRYLINE BY 00Z. THIS WILL
ONLY HELP TO INCREASE UPDRAFT ACCELERATION IN AN ALREADY VOLATILE
SETUP. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE MOST LIKELY CORRIDOR FOR
VIOLENT TORNADOES WILL BE FROM NW OK ACROSS NRN OK INTO CNTRL AND
S-CNTRL KS. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO OCCUR. WITH ONGOING CELLS OVER
CNTRL KS...THE LOCATION OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY ALSO PLAY A KEY
ROLE IN TORNADOGENESIS AS SUPERCELLS INTERACT WITH THEM LATER. SOME
OF THE CITIES WITH THE HIGHEST RISK INCLUDE ENID...PRATT...GREAT
BEND...SALINA...HUTCHINSON...WICHITA.
...NRN KS/NEB...
LARGE SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NRN KS...WITH STRONG
MESOCYCLONES NOTED ON RADAR AND PROBABLY TORNADOES. THESE CELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO TREK NEWD INTO NEB WHERE SHEAR REMAINS STRONG AND
INSTABILITY IS SUFFICIENT WITH RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES. IN
ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT...SOME OF THESE HP CELLS MAY EVENTUALLY
BOW WITH DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS WELL.
ANOTHER LIKELY AREA OF SUPERCELL TORNADO DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FROM
NWRN KS INTO WRN AND CNTRL NEB. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE CU
FIELD...W OF THE ONGOING KS ACTIVITY...AND E OF THE DRYLINE. BACKED
SURFACE FLOW OVER NEB...ALONG WITH CONTINUED HEATING AND COOLING
ALOFT SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR A DEVELOPING TORNADO AND LARGE HAIL
THREAT. STRONG TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AREA-WIDE.
..JEWELL.. 04/14/2012
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 168
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST IOWA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF OMAHA NEBRASKA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW 167...
DISCUSSION...A LARGE SUPERCELL STORM HAS FORMED OVER SOUTHWEST IA
AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD ROUGHLY ALONG WARM FRONT FOR NEXT
FEW HOURS. OTHER LESS-INTENSE STORMS MAY ALSO SPREAD OUT OF EASTERN
NEB INTO WESTERN IA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TORNADOES...LARGE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 168
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST IOWA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF OMAHA NEBRASKA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW 167...
DISCUSSION...A LARGE SUPERCELL STORM HAS FORMED OVER SOUTHWEST IA
AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD ROUGHLY ALONG WARM FRONT FOR NEXT
FEW HOURS. OTHER LESS-INTENSE STORMS MAY ALSO SPREAD OUT OF EASTERN
NEB INTO WESTERN IA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TORNADOES...LARGE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
(3:54 PM) DDC: Unverified/Non-NWS Report -- from Kurt Hulst (via spotternetwork.org) @ 02:50 PM CDT -- (S) Tor -- -- Spotter is 2 miles W of Rozel, KS (Pawnee county) [38.190/-99.440] -- rain wrapped tornado south of Burdett.
(3:55 PM) DDC: Unverified/Non-NWS Report -- from Steve Worthington (via spotternetwork.org) @ 02:54 PM CDT -- (S) Tor -- -- Spotter is 1 miles SE of Burdett, KS (Pawnee county) [38.181/-99.515] -- 2 miles to our west. Large cone tornado been on ground several minutes
(3:55 PM) DDC: Unverified/Non-NWS Report -- from Steve Worthington (via spotternetwork.org) @ 02:54 PM CDT -- (S) Tor -- -- Spotter is 1 miles SE of Burdett, KS (Pawnee county) [38.181/-99.515] -- 2 miles to our west. Large cone tornado been on ground several minutes
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
RUSH KS-PAWNEE KS-NESS KS-HODGEMAN KS-EDWARDS KS-
300 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS...
NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NESS...NORTHWESTERN
PAWNEE AND RUSH COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...
AT 256 PM CDT...STORM CHASERS AND TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A
TORNADO 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF BURDETT. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS
TORNADIC STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP
TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
NUMEROUS SIGHTINGS OF A LARGE TORNADO 2 MILES SOUTH OF BURDETT HAVE
BEEN RECEIVED.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROZEL...
ALEXANDER...
ASH VALLEY...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN
EDWARDS...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE...RUSH AND SOUTHEASTERN NESS
COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
300 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS...
NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NESS...NORTHWESTERN
PAWNEE AND RUSH COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...
AT 256 PM CDT...STORM CHASERS AND TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A
TORNADO 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF BURDETT. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS
TORNADIC STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP
TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
NUMEROUS SIGHTINGS OF A LARGE TORNADO 2 MILES SOUTH OF BURDETT HAVE
BEEN RECEIVED.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROZEL...
ALEXANDER...
ASH VALLEY...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN
EDWARDS...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE...RUSH AND SOUTHEASTERN NESS
COUNTIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34001
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0530
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SWRN KS AND WRN OK
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...
VALID 142001Z - 142030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 165 CONTINUES.
DRYLINE CIRCULATIONS ADJACENT TO A N-S-ORIENTED ZONE OF SFC
CONFLUENCE CONTINUE TO FOSTER THE DEVELOPMENT OF DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
FROM CNTRL/SWRN KS INTO WRN OK. DURING THE NEXT HALF HOUR TO
HOUR...THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR TORNADOES ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL
WILL EXTEND FROM CNTRL/SWRN KS INTO NWRN OK WITH NEWD/ENEWD-TRACKING
SUPERCELLS CURRENTLY IN HODGEMAN/PAWNEE COUNTIES KS...KIOWA COUNTY
KS...HARPER COUNTY OK...AND AN INCIPIENT CONVECTIVE PLUME IN ELLIS
COUNTY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS ADDITIONAL CUMULUS
DEVELOPING NEAR THE DRYLINE TOWARD THE RED RIVER...AND THE
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION TORNADO WATCH 165 HAD EARLIER BEEN
EXTENDED SWD TO THE TX/OK BORDER. WITH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTORS
EXHIBITING A SUBSTANTIAL DRYLINE-ORTHOGONAL COMPONENT AND EFFECTIVE
SRH VALUES OF AROUND 300-500 M2/S2...DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...SOME POSSIBLY STRONG TO VIOLENT...ALONG WITH
VERY LARGE HAIL AND DMGG STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS WILL BE OF CONCERN.
..COHEN.. 04/14/2012
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 38699975 39049894 38969811 37979783 37049792 36119838
34679905 34369957 34829993 36949997 38699975
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SWRN KS AND WRN OK
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...
VALID 142001Z - 142030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 165 CONTINUES.
DRYLINE CIRCULATIONS ADJACENT TO A N-S-ORIENTED ZONE OF SFC
CONFLUENCE CONTINUE TO FOSTER THE DEVELOPMENT OF DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
FROM CNTRL/SWRN KS INTO WRN OK. DURING THE NEXT HALF HOUR TO
HOUR...THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR TORNADOES ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL
WILL EXTEND FROM CNTRL/SWRN KS INTO NWRN OK WITH NEWD/ENEWD-TRACKING
SUPERCELLS CURRENTLY IN HODGEMAN/PAWNEE COUNTIES KS...KIOWA COUNTY
KS...HARPER COUNTY OK...AND AN INCIPIENT CONVECTIVE PLUME IN ELLIS
COUNTY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS ADDITIONAL CUMULUS
DEVELOPING NEAR THE DRYLINE TOWARD THE RED RIVER...AND THE
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION TORNADO WATCH 165 HAD EARLIER BEEN
EXTENDED SWD TO THE TX/OK BORDER. WITH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTORS
EXHIBITING A SUBSTANTIAL DRYLINE-ORTHOGONAL COMPONENT AND EFFECTIVE
SRH VALUES OF AROUND 300-500 M2/S2...DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...SOME POSSIBLY STRONG TO VIOLENT...ALONG WITH
VERY LARGE HAIL AND DMGG STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS WILL BE OF CONCERN.
..COHEN.. 04/14/2012
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 38699975 39049894 38969811 37979783 37049792 36119838
34679905 34369957 34829993 36949997 38699975
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Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
Proof that it's getting extreme out there.
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NOTICE: I cannot give an expert analysis. Most of my "observations" are made visually with the help of only vital information provided by public advisories.
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
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- Contact:
RUSH KS-PAWNEE KS-NESS KS-HODGEMAN KS-EDWARDS KS-
308 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS...
NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NESS...NORTHWESTERN
PAWNEE AND RUSH COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...
AT 306 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 3 MILES
WEST OF BURDETT. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS
ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURDETT...
ROZEL...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN
EDWARDS...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE...RUSH AND SOUTHEASTERN NESS
COUNTIES.
THE FIRST TORNADO HAS DISSIPATED, HOWEVER ANOTHER STORM JUST WEST OF
THE PREVIOUS STORM APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING ANOTHER TORNADO.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
308 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS...
NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NESS...NORTHWESTERN
PAWNEE AND RUSH COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...
AT 306 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 3 MILES
WEST OF BURDETT. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS
ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURDETT...
ROZEL...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN
EDWARDS...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE...RUSH AND SOUTHEASTERN NESS
COUNTIES.
THE FIRST TORNADO HAS DISSIPATED, HOWEVER ANOTHER STORM JUST WEST OF
THE PREVIOUS STORM APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING ANOTHER TORNADO.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
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