Is there a large consensus of the models?

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CocoaBill
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Is there a large consensus of the models?

#1 Postby CocoaBill » Tue Sep 02, 2003 10:14 pm

of developing the LLC near the Dry Tortugas into a named TS? :?:
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Stormsfury
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#2 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Sep 02, 2003 10:30 pm

Getting some model support ...

ECMWF/ETA develop a weak low .. still waiting on the 00z models to come in ..

SF
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#3 Postby AussieMark » Tue Sep 02, 2003 10:40 pm

The closest i can of anything that even remotely looks like a tropical storm is this

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/eta/00/images/eta_500_072l.gif

GFS and NGM do not appear to develop it at this stage
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Sep 02, 2003 10:52 pm

tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:The closest i can of anything that even remotely looks like a tropical storm is this

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/eta/00/images/eta_500_072l.gif

GFS and NGM do not appear to develop it at this stage


Here's a full look at the ETA (MSLP/6 HR PRECIP)
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.etauspcp.html

BTW, 00z ETA has backed off the idea of Fabian getting too far west now.
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Scott_inVA
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Re: Is there a large consensus of the models?

#5 Postby Scott_inVA » Tue Sep 02, 2003 11:02 pm

CocoaBill wrote:of developing the LLC near the Dry Tortugas into a named TS? :?:


Large consensus using current 18 and 0Z. Absolutely not.

EC and Eta still trying hard but, FWIW, I am not sold.

Scott
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