LLC May Be Forming in Eastern Gulf

#1 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 8:17 am

Now that I'm at work, I can see what appears to be an LLC forming beneath the mid-level circulation close to 26.7N/87.7W.

Stormsfury · #2 Postby **Stormsfury** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 8:28 am

Floater 2 is on that area as well, and seems to back that up.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Aquawind · #3 Postby **Aquawind** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 8:37 am

Great Posts! Clearly the LL inflow is starting to wrap! Good thing it's much further north..less time to actually intensify..well hopefully..Maybe more rain for the panhandle versus the peninsula as well. Although the SW flow should get going and the bumpers off the coast look intense for AM action. :crazyeyes:

weathergymnast · #4 Postby **weathergymnast** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:36 am

Its starting to wrap good. Its like one moment its barely visible then bam it gets going. ^^'

#5 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 10:32 am

No real change out there yet. The actual LLC appears to be up a bit to the north of where I put that "L". Looks like the NHC will wait for recon to upgrade it. Not really much wind around it - 15-25 kts.

Rainband · #6 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 10:37 am

wxman57 wrote:No real change out there yet. The actual LLC appears to be up a bit to the north of where I put that "L". Looks like the NHC will wait for recon to upgrade it. Not really much wind around it - 15-25 kts.

Looks like your GFS scenario may play out after all :o

wrkh99 · #7 Postby **wrkh99** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 10:37 am

Rain ????

Lindaloo · #8 Postby **Lindaloo** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 10:42 am

No rain here. There is high pressure hugging the coast. Isn't that supposed to act as a shield?

#9 Postby **alicia-w** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 10:44 am

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kevx.shtml

we are starting to get rain here. had BEAUTIFUL cloud columns earky this morning. the panhandle needs no more rain, but I'll take a TD or TS over a Cat IV or V hurricane anyday.

Steve H. · #10 Postby **Steve H.** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 10:55 am

I don't think it will be in a hurry to go anywhere. Probably move NE then stall...may even cross north central Florida, but could end up off the FL east coast/Bahamas over the weekend :roll:

wrkh99 · #11 Postby **wrkh99** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 10:57 am

I'm going out on my jetski .. I will call in live reports over the next couple of days

#12 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:08 am

Here's the latst shot (11am CDT) of the NE Gulf. I've indicated the location of the LLC:

<img src="http://home.houston.rr.com/wx/henri4.gif">

wrkh99 · #13 Postby **wrkh99** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:13 am

that's close to me

#14 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:14 am

There is a bit more convection than this morning but the majority is east of the low and that is because of some shear from the SW.

ColdFront77 · #15 Postby **ColdFront77** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:21 am

I agree with the potential of a slow moving system with this LLC in the Gulf of Mexico. The central Florida
forecasts (from the National Weather Services in Ruskin, FL [Tampa Bay Area], Jacksonville, FL and
Melbourne, FL) have showers and thunderstorms with flooding rains possible for the next 60
hours in association with this system.

Then, this weekend a weak cold front is expected to stall across northern Florida as the low moving
up the east coast (according to the National Weather Service).

What difference does it make that their is some southwest shear which is pushing the convection to
the northeastern portion of the convection? The worse weather with tropical lows in the northern
hemisphere is normally on the northeast side.

#16 Postby **alicia-w** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:31 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-ir4-loop.html

okay boys and girls, what is this thing gonna do???

#17 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:34 am

Please check out the links below.
One is the radar loop out of Mobile, AL.
and the other is the visible satellite floater.
You pretty easily see where the center is.
Does not look like it's moving NE or NNE, IMO.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmob.shtml

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Rainband · #18 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:55 am

Stormcenter wrote:Please check out the links below.
One is the radar loop out of Mobile, AL.
and the other is the visible satellite floater.
You pretty easily see where the center is.
Does not look like it's moving NE or NNE, IMO.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmob.shtml

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

The LLC they are going to investigate..is to the south//The trough coming down through the se will keep this nne or ne movement from changing.. :wink:

wrkh99 · #19 Postby **wrkh99** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:58 am

It should go north then NE . It does have a chance to stall .

Stormsfury · #20 Postby **Stormsfury** » Wed Sep 03, 2003 12:04 pm

wrkh99 wrote:It should go north then NE . It does have a chance to stall .

The LLC is moving NNW or North at this time, but I do agree that this LLC has the potential to stall and slide NE.

SF

LLC May Be Forming in Eastern Gulf

LLC May Be Forming in Eastern Gulf

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