Ignore the 00z GFS regarding the two CV waves

[Stormsfury]

I just don't see two spin ups so close together and if you look at the 950mb Vorticity run, there's actually three vort maxes shown and IMO, just looks wrong. Trade winds are very light though in the region, less than 10 kts. Though this flow should increase as the ATL Ridge moves eastward. Remember, the first system 600 miles West of the Cape Verde Islands is undergoing quie a bit of SW Shear and the air to its west is quite dry.

SLP
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/avntc2.cgi? ... =Animation

950mb
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/avntc2.cgi? ... =Animation

850mb
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/avntc2.cgi? ... =Animation

The 00z Canadian is extremely aggressive in combining these vort maxes together and creating ONE large tropical system and actually may have the right idea. Last night's EURO run also suggests this idea of one consolidated system

00z Canadian
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/cmctc2.cgi? ... =Animation

00z Canadian
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/cmctc2.cgi? ... =Animation

Day 5 EURO
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest

[Aquawind]

I agree with that. The southern system will simply become the dominant wave and truely develope.. Wow that AVN loop makes a biggie. Looking at the shear maps anything heading northward is going to get it's head cut off. Maybe when the High moves east the shear will lesson.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF