Dr Grays outlook for september and october=2 active months

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cycloneye
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Dr Grays outlook for september and october=2 active months

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 03, 2003 7:06 am

http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/fo ... 3/sep2003/

September he has 4 named systems 2 hurricanes and 1 major cane.

October he has 3 named systems2 hurricanes and 1 major cane.

Read the rest of the outlook and see what factors he based his forecast.Opinions are welcomed about this outlook from the doc.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Sep 03, 2003 1:32 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby Aquawind » Wed Sep 03, 2003 7:18 am

Wow!! That certainly makes for a busy season.. Finishing strong..November has to have one name at that rate.. Big numbers this year. :o
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rainstorm

#3 Postby rainstorm » Wed Sep 03, 2003 7:26 am

sept sounds avg. oct canes , if they occur are rarely threats.
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WXBUFFJIM
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Yea, but..

#4 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Wed Sep 03, 2003 8:07 am

October can also be a wild month too. The perfect storm, hurricane opal. That's just to name a few. While chances of a landfalling cane decrease in october rs, you can never let your guard down!!! October can be a busy month also.

Jim
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#5 Postby AussieMark » Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:20 am

During October-November there have been a lot of bad hurricanes in recent years with just 1 of these impacting the U.S.

2002
October 2 - Hurricane Lili struck Louisiana with 90 mph winds after peaking at 145 mph just prior to 1 day earlier.

2001
November 4 - Hurricane Michelle struck Cuba with 140 mph winds.
October 9 - Hurricane Iris struck Belize with 145 mph winds.

2000
October 2 - Hurricane Keith struck Belize with 75 mph winds after peaking at 140 mph just prior to 2 days earlier.

1999
November 17 - Hurricane Lenny struck the U.S. Virgin Islands with 155 mph winds.

1998
October 29 - Hurricane Mitch struck Honduras with 80 mph winds after peaking at 180 mph just 3 days earlier.

1995
October 29 - Hurricane Roxanne struck Mexico with 115 mph.
October 4 - Hurricane Opal struck Florida with 115 mph after peaking at 150 mph just 12 hours earlier.
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#6 Postby AussieMark » Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:41 am

Does anyone know why Dr Gray dind't update
    Intense Hurricane Days
    Hurricane Destruction Potential
    Net Tropical Cyclone Activity


because on the site those fields have been left blank
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ColdFront77

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:10 am

We are entering the part of the Hurricane Season (from about mid-September through October and even into November) when Florida has more landfalling threats.

Cold fronts move into the Gulf of Mexico easier and developing systems in the Gulf have more of a chance of moving in an easterly direction, rather than a westerly direction.
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