ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

[Annie Oakley]

Dave if u want/need a break I can take HDOBS

[Dave]

Dave if u want/need a break I can take HDOBS

Thanks Annie, for now I need to work...think you'll understand. Maybe later.

[Evil Jeremy]

It might look like a hurricane, but that's because of the eye-like feature. It's still not an eye, not yet. I might be wrong, but wasn't that the result of the upper level low the storm has been bounded to since it formed?

[Annie Oakley]

Standing by with full understanding........

[cycloneye]

Plane departing from Keesler base will cause it not to be on time for the 5 PM EDT advisory, as they will reach the center around 5:30 PM EDT.

[Hurricaneman]

It looks like some of those NE Atlantic storms that form from cold core means, but this is definately something that could still become a hurricane and should IMO be treated as such

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 271954
AF308 0302A BERYL HDOB 03 20120527
194530 3046N 08744W 4098 07411 0399 -178 -460 034022 022 /// /// 03
194600 3046N 08741W 4098 07413 0400 -177 -468 034022 022 /// /// 03
194630 3046N 08738W 4101 07408 0400 -175 -478 033022 022 /// /// 03
194700 3046N 08735W 4101 07408 0400 -176 -487 031021 022 /// /// 03
194730 3047N 08732W 4099 07408 0400 -175 -493 031022 022 /// /// 03
194800 3047N 08729W 4099 07410 0400 -175 -499 034021 022 /// /// 03
194830 3047N 08726W 4098 07412 0400 -175 -502 033022 022 /// /// 03
194900 3047N 08723W 4099 07408 0399 -175 -505 033022 023 /// /// 03
194930 3047N 08720W 4099 07410 0398 -175 -506 038021 023 /// /// 03
195000 3048N 08717W 4098 07408 0398 -177 -509 041022 023 /// /// 03
195030 3048N 08714W 4098 07410 0398 -175 -511 037020 023 /// /// 03
195100 3048N 08711W 4099 07407 0398 -172 -512 032019 019 /// /// 03
195130 3048N 08708W 4098 07412 0399 -175 -510 029019 019 /// /// 03
195200 3048N 08705W 4099 07411 0400 -175 -507 028019 019 /// /// 03
195230 3048N 08702W 4098 07412 0400 -175 -510 027020 020 /// /// 03
195300 3049N 08659W 4098 07411 0400 -175 -512 025020 020 /// /// 03
195330 3049N 08656W 4099 07410 0400 -176 -513 027021 022 /// /// 03
195400 3049N 08653W 4098 07412 0401 -180 -518 029022 023 /// /// 03
195430 3049N 08650W 4099 07410 0400 -180 -521 028022 022 /// /// 03
195500 3049N 08647W 4099 07408 0399 -180 -522 028022 022 /// /// 03
$$
;

[Evil Jeremy]

[Hurricaneman]

Plane departing from Keesler base will cause it not to be on time for the 5 PM EDT advisory, as they will reach the center around 5:30 PM EDT.

There probably will be an special advisory as soon or shortly after a VDM comes in

[Hurricane Andrew]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[Dave]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
347 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

FLZ020-022-023-272030-
BAKER-COLUMBIA-HAMILTON-
347 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN
BAKER...NORTHERN COLUMBIA AND SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES FOR
STRONG WINDS VALID UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 347 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF TAYLOR...OR 11
MILES SOUTHEAST OF FARGO...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND TAYLOR AND BELMONT THROUGH
430 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE.

[cycloneye]

Plane departing from Keesler base will cause it not to be on time for the 5 PM EDT advisory, as they will reach the center around 5:30 PM EDT.

There probably will be an special advisory as soon or shortly after a VDM comes in

If there is very important data that requires it,yes.

[fci]

Calling it a "hurricane" now is only a matter of semantics.
If you were ready for the "strong tropical storm" that you were forecast to get with winds of 60-65, then you are ready for the minimal "hurricane" with winds of 75.
It doesn't really matter when the storm is just off the coastline.
Time for preparation is over anyway.
Us weather geeks are much more concerned with the titles given than the general public.

[CronkPSU]

big time thunder over here by Lake Apopka...radar shows the next band about to come through

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Just took a peak at velocities on radar...they are near 70-75 knots 8-13 km up.

We may have a minimal hurricane on our hands.

Recon is on the way, they should at least find hurricane-force gusts if not sustained hurricane-force winds.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 272004
AF308 0302A BERYL HDOB 04 20120527
195530 3049N 08644W 4098 07411 0399 -180 -524 031021 022 /// /// 03
195600 3050N 08641W 4099 07408 0399 -180 -523 028021 022 /// /// 03
195630 3050N 08637W 4098 07410 0399 -180 -524 028021 022 /// /// 03
195700 3049N 08634W 4098 07411 0399 -180 -524 030021 021 /// /// 03
195730 3049N 08631W 4099 07407 0398 -180 -524 031021 021 /// /// 03
195800 3049N 08628W 4100 07406 0398 -180 -525 032021 021 /// /// 03
195830 3049N 08625W 4098 07410 0397 -180 -527 030022 022 /// /// 03
195900 3049N 08622W 4098 07408 0397 -180 -527 029021 022 /// /// 03
195930 3049N 08619W 4100 07403 0395 -180 -529 025021 021 /// /// 03
200000 3049N 08616W 4099 07403 0395 -180 -529 023020 021 /// /// 03
200030 3049N 08612W 4099 07405 0394 -180 -529 025020 020 /// /// 03
200100 3049N 08609W 4099 07403 0393 -180 -530 021020 020 /// /// 03
200130 3049N 08606W 4099 07403 0394 -182 -528 018019 020 /// /// 03
200200 3049N 08603W 4098 07407 0395 -183 -511 017019 019 /// /// 03
200230 3049N 08600W 4098 07408 0397 -182 -499 018019 019 /// /// 03
200300 3049N 08557W 4101 07405 0398 -180 -505 018019 019 /// /// 03
200330 3049N 08553W 4101 07406 0398 -180 -515 016018 019 /// /// 03
200400 3049N 08550W 4099 07406 0398 -180 -518 015018 018 /// /// 03
200430 3049N 08547W 4097 07412 0397 -180 -519 015017 018 /// /// 03
200500 3048N 08544W 4099 07408 0397 -176 -522 018017 018 /// /// 03
$$
;

[Hurricaneman]

I personally think a Hurricane warning needs to be hoisted from Jacksonville to Daytona Beach if any of the satelite data is true

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[KatDaddy]

I am also calling Berly a hurricane.

[Dave]

000
URNT11 KNHC 272004
97779 20044 10308 85800 70100 02017 68//1 /5759
RMK AF308 0302A BERYL OB 02
DEW POINT NEG 52 DEGREES C

[Dave]

(4:07 PM) Local Storm Report by NWS JAX: 42 ENE ST. Augustine BE [Amz472 Co, XX] buoy reports TROPICAL STORM at 03:41 PM EDT -- a tropical storm wind gust of 59 mph was recorded at buoy 41012. maximum sustained winds were measured at 45 mph.