ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

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Evil Jeremy
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#1201 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun May 27, 2012 4:19 pm

Pressure down to 993
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#1202 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun May 27, 2012 4:19 pm

Little doubt in my mind that within that heavy convection in the north quad that hurricane force winds are getting forced down to the surface. I believe we have a hurricane.
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#1203 Postby ROCK » Sun May 27, 2012 4:20 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:Pressure down to 993



993...that is impressive!
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#1204 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sun May 27, 2012 4:20 pm

How many reports of 70+knt FL winds have we had?
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#1205 Postby Cyclenall » Sun May 27, 2012 4:21 pm

Just got on, now there is actually talk of Beryl becoming a hurricane? That's crazy! A unwatched pot seems to boil when I'm not watching :lol: .

The NRL, NRL Backup, and NHC sites were acting up; I just got through though.
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#1206 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun May 27, 2012 4:22 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:How many reports of 70+knt FL winds have we had?


2 so far.
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#1207 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 27, 2012 4:22 pm

FL winds need to be 80 kt to support Hurricane Beryl.
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#1208 Postby ozonepete » Sun May 27, 2012 4:23 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Little doubt in my mind that within that heavy convection in the north quad that hurricane force winds are getting forced down to the surface. I believe we have a hurricane.


Looks like it to me. If it is just under it doesn't matter since it still has a few hours to ramp up a little more. Negative is 26-27C water coming up and land of course but on a big intensification like this it will take a while to start weakening.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Recon Discussion

#1209 Postby FutureEM » Sun May 27, 2012 4:23 pm

Has recon hit the NE or NW quadrants?
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Tropical Storm

#1210 Postby SouthernBreeze » Sun May 27, 2012 4:24 pm

First off, I pray for everyones safety in NE FL & SE GA as Beryl moves ashore! I haven't seen much as to how soon after moving ashore, he's expected to turn NE? I'm on the coast @ the NC/SC line & kinda wondering what I might be in store for here in a couple days? Any input appreciated - stay safe Y'ALL!
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#1211 Postby lester » Sun May 27, 2012 4:24 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:How many reports of 70+knt FL winds have we had?


two so far with several 65+ kt FL winds
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#1212 Postby Hurricanehink » Sun May 27, 2012 4:25 pm

Not sure if anyone posted this, but if Beryl hits as a hurricane, it'd be Hurricane Alma in 1966 for the earliest landfalling U.S. hurricane.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Tropical Storm

#1213 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 27, 2012 4:25 pm

Note=Anyone who wants to make comments about the recon data can visit the recon discussion thread for that.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=112816&p=2226423#p2226423
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#1214 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sun May 27, 2012 4:26 pm

Image

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Re:

#1215 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 27, 2012 4:26 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:What is the reduction rate from FL wind to SFC wind at 6K feet?


80% reduction level.
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Re:

#1216 Postby FutureEM » Sun May 27, 2012 4:27 pm

Hurricanehink wrote:Not sure if anyone posted this, but if Beryl hits as a hurricane, it'd be Hurricane Alma in 1966 for the earliest landfalling U.S. hurricane.


If it can maintain that intensity at landfall, either way it is interesting. Surprised you folks haven't given it a separate article on the Wiki yet though :p
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Tropical Storm

#1217 Postby ozonepete » Sun May 27, 2012 4:27 pm

SouthernBreeze wrote:First off, I pray for everyones safety in NE FL & SE GA as Beryl moves ashore! I haven't seen much as to how soon after moving ashore, he's expected to turn NE? I'm on the coast @ the NC/SC line & kinda wondering what I might be in store for here in a couple days? Any input appreciated - stay safe Y'ALL!


You should be ok as far as wind goes because even though it may re-intensify a little it will be still close to land. You may get a TS warning and some gusty winds but mainly it looks like you'll get some much needed heavy rain. :)
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Re: Re:

#1218 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 27, 2012 4:27 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Hurricane Andrew wrote:What is the reduction rate from FL wind to SFC wind at 6K feet?


80% reduction level.


So we have to see 80 kts to have an upgrade right?
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#1219 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun May 27, 2012 4:27 pm

I think these winds were measured on the western approach to the center, no telling what they find in the northern convection!
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#1220 Postby Dave » Sun May 27, 2012 4:27 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 272124
AF308 0302A BERYL HDOB 12 20120527
211530 3004N 08020W 8432 01428 9933 +178 +141 335005 007 000 002 03
211600 3003N 08018W 8426 01434 9934 +179 +139 282003 004 000 002 03
211630 3003N 08016W 8433 01428 9933 +184 +133 242006 007 002 003 03
211700 3003N 08014W 8425 01436 9932 +190 +125 217011 011 /// /// 03
211730 3002N 08013W 8425 01439 9937 +185 +122 227009 011 004 002 00
211800 3000N 08011W 8436 01427 9938 +184 +122 237012 013 016 002 00
211830 2959N 08010W 8429 01437 9940 +183 +119 243015 016 029 003 00
211900 2958N 08009W 8430 01437 9946 +175 +125 244016 016 036 003 00
211930 2957N 08007W 8428 01443 9954 +165 +136 243020 023 037 003 00
212000 2956N 08006W 8426 01447 9959 +162 +136 249030 032 040 002 00
212030 2954N 08005W 8434 01444 9964 +165 +132 253035 036 041 003 00
212100 2953N 08003W 8434 01448 9970 +161 +133 254039 041 043 002 00
212130 2952N 08002W 8430 01456 9978 +154 +135 251042 042 043 003 00
212200 2950N 08000W 8429 01460 9983 +152 +136 251044 044 044 003 00
212230 2949N 07959W 8429 01466 9989 +149 +136 250045 045 044 003 00
212300 2948N 07958W 8429 01468 9997 +145 +137 252046 046 043 003 00
212330 2947N 07956W 8432 01472 0004 +144 +133 252047 047 043 004 00
212400 2945N 07955W 8427 01479 0011 +141 +126 252048 048 042 002 00
212430 2944N 07953W 8433 01479 0021 +135 +129 248049 049 042 004 00
212500 2943N 07952W 8432 01485 0024 +139 +128 246047 050 041 002 00
$$
;
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